Core Viewpoint - BNP Paribas Exane initiates coverage on 12 U.S. aerospace and defense companies, suggesting selective investment due to pressures in commercial aviation and anticipated growth in defense spending by 2026 [1] Commercial Aviation - The firm prefers parts and subsystem suppliers over large OEMs, favoring companies like Raytheon (RTX.US), TransDigm (TDG.US), and AeroVironment (AVAV.US) with positive ratings, while giving a negative outlook on Boeing (BA.US) and GE Aerospace (GE.US) [1][3][4][5] Defense Sector - Exane expects U.S. budget decisions in 2026 to drive demand, listing Lockheed Martin (LMT.US), Northrop Grumman (NOC.US), and AeroVironment (AVAV.US) as preferred picks [1] Company Ratings - **AeroVironment (AVAV.US)**: Outperform, positioned at the core of U.S. defense priorities with expected double-digit growth in its AxS segment [1] - **TransDigm (TDG.US)**: Outperform, with anticipated profit margin improvements in 2026 and 2027, and a projected special dividend of $100 next year [2][3] - **Raytheon (RTX.US)**: Outperform, expecting improved output from Collins Aerospace and growth in Pratt & Whitney [4] - **GE Aerospace (GE.US)**: Underperform, with concerns over declining aftermarket revenue and increasing losses in the GE9X project [5] - **L3Harris Technologies (LHX.US)**: Neutral, with limited room for valuation expansion despite benefits from missile defense projects [6] - **Boeing (BA.US)**: Underperform, with overly optimistic expectations on aircraft production and cash flow [7] - **Lockheed Martin (LMT.US)**: Outperform, driven by missile projects and international demand [8] - **Kratos Defense (KTOS.US)**: Neutral, with high valuation concerns despite broad defense technology coverage [9] - **General Dynamics (GD.US)**: Outperform, with expected improvements in various sectors including Gulfstream jets and shipbuilding [10] - **Northrop Grumman (NOC.US)**: Outperform, with anticipated growth in multiple projects as they transition to procurement phases [11] - **Howmet Aerospace (HWM.US)**: Outperform, with strong performance in pricing and market share [12] - **Heico (HEI.US)**: Neutral, with cautious outlook due to high valuation and potential slowdown in acquisitions [13]

7日上午，比利时列日机场因无人机干扰短暂关闭，这是近来欧洲多个机场发生无人机干扰事件的又一 例。近两个月来，哪些国家发生过无人机干扰事件？事件频发的原因和责任人是否已经调查清楚？欧洲 国家将采取什么措施避免类似情况发生？ 无人机事件发生在哪里 比利时媒体报道，类似7日发生的无人机干扰事件近日已在比利时发生多起。6日晚，布鲁塞尔机场和列 日机场因发现无人机后暂停运营约30分钟；4日晚间至5日上午，布鲁塞尔机场两度中断航班起降，导致 多架到港航班备降其他机场，部分出港航班被取消，列日机场也一度关闭。同时，比利时小布罗赫尔空 军基地和弗洛雷讷空军基地附近也发现了无人机。 6日下午，瑞典第二大城市哥德堡机场发现无人机，迫使十多个航班备降其他机场或被取消；5日，立陶 宛维尔纽斯机场在发现一架无人机后对空域实施限制；德国柏林机场10月31日发现无人机，暂停航班起 降近两小时。 6日，比利时国家安全委员会召开紧急会议讨论无人机威胁问题。弗兰肯表示，比利时预计出台一项耗 资5000万欧元的反无人机计划，用于采购和部署探测系统、干扰器和武器，以保护关键设施。此外，比 利时安全和内政大臣贝尔纳·坎坦说，比利时正在更严格执行无人机 ...

Core Viewpoint - The current method of using expensive fighter jets to intercept low-cost drones is unsustainable, necessitating investment in more efficient anti-drone systems [1] Group 1: Security Threats - European countries are facing escalating security threats from drone incursions, particularly along the eastern defense line [1] - A significant number of drones entered Polish airspace earlier this month, prompting the Polish military to take emergency measures [1] Group 2: Military Response - The Netherlands' F-35 fighter jets participated in intercepting drones in Polish airspace [1] - Recent incidents of unidentified drones have also disrupted multiple airports in Denmark and Norway [1] Group 3: Technological Development - There is a pressing need for EU and NATO countries to accelerate the development of anti-drone technology to effectively address these threats [1]

Group 1: Industry Overview - The U.S. government's push for military strength is creating investment opportunities for defense contractors, with over $150 billion allocated for defense projects in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act [1] - Analysts expect companies like CACI International, Booz Allen, and Viasat to benefit from this funding and achieve growth [1] Group 2: CACI International - CACI has quickly become a favored defense stock on Wall Street, with Goldman Sachs upgrading its rating to "Buy" and raising the target price from $407 to $544 [2] - The company has a strong relationship with the U.S. Department of Defense, which accounts for 75% of its revenue, and it is expected to outpace peers in growth due to its shift towards advanced technologies [2] - CACI's proprietary anti-drone systems differentiate it from competitors, with an estimated 26% of its revenue coming from these solutions [2] - CACI's stock has risen 21% year-to-date, with a 13% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.3 billion, surpassing expectations [2] Group 3: Booz Allen - Booz Allen, one of the oldest defense consulting firms, has seen its stock decline 15% this year and nearly 28% over the past 12 months [3] - The company faced contract terminations, with 97 agreements canceled by the Department of Defense, impacting its performance [3] - However, market sentiment is shifting, and analysts predict Booz Allen could rebound, with a focus on its core businesses in AI, cybersecurity, software development, and data analytics [3] - The latest financial report showed a slight revenue decline of 0.6% to $2.9 billion, but adjusted earnings per share increased by 7.2% to $1.48, exceeding expectations [3] Group 4: Viasat - Viasat is gaining attention as a potential high-growth stock, with analysts noting significant upside potential despite recent stock price increases [4] - Potential catalysts include management's consideration of an IPO or spin-off of its defense technology business and expected cash inflow of $568 million from a spectrum agreement with Ligado [4] - The company anticipates positive free cash flow in the second half of the year, boosting investor confidence [4] - Viasat's stock has surged over 200% year-to-date, with a 4% revenue increase to $1.17 billion, although net losses widened from $33 million to $56 million [5]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **anti-drone industry**, particularly in the context of the increasing use of small commercial drones in warfare, notably in the **Russia-Ukraine conflict**. The cost-effectiveness of these drones, which can destroy high-value targets at a fraction of their cost, has led to their widespread deployment by both sides in the conflict [1][4]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Drone Utilization in Warfare**: Drones have transitioned from peripheral to central roles in modern warfare, demonstrating significant destructive capabilities against high-value targets. The Ukraine operation successfully targeted Russian strategic bombers, showcasing the effectiveness of drones in warfare [2]. - **Market Growth**: The global anti-drone market is projected to grow at a **24.7% CAGR** from 2024 to 2031, with a significant focus on ground-based systems, particularly for protecting high-value static targets like airports and chemical plants [1][13]. - **Demand and Supply Dynamics**: The increase in drone applications on the battlefield and the rising need for protection of high-value targets are driving demand for anti-drone systems. The supply side is characterized by a low concentration of industry players, indicating early-stage development [3][17]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Traditional Anti-Drone Measures**: Traditional methods include electronic warfare, radar, and optical detection, each with its pros and cons. An ideal anti-drone system should integrate multiple detection and neutralization methods to effectively counter various drone threats [5]. - **Technological Trends**: The shift from large high-altitude drones to smaller, more difficult-to-detect drones necessitates the development of advanced detection systems, including electronic countermeasures and specialized radar [8]. - **Key Players and Components**: Notable companies in the upstream component sector include **6,912** and **Raycus Laser** for high-energy microwave and laser components, respectively. In the midstream radar sector, companies like **Guorui Technology** and **Aerospace Nanhua** are highlighted [18][19]. Recommendations for Future Investments - **Potential Market Leaders**: Companies producing laser components and high-power microwave systems are expected to see significant growth in both military and civilian applications. The overall supply chain is likely to benefit from increased orders, particularly in the anti-drone sector [14]. - **Complete Product Line Companies**: Companies with comprehensive anti-drone product lines, such as **Aerospace Electronics** and **Lianchuang Optoelectronics**, are recommended for their strong integration of R&D and production capabilities [20]. Conclusion - The anti-drone industry is poised for significant growth driven by the increasing battlefield application of drones and the need for protective measures against high-value targets. The evolving technology landscape and the emergence of new players in the market present both opportunities and challenges for investors and stakeholders in the defense sector [15][16].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [12] Core Insights - The role of drones in modern warfare has rapidly increased, highlighting the urgent need for counter-drone systems to address the challenges posed by low, small, and slow targets [6][24] - Ukraine's use of FPV drones in June 2025 resulted in significant damage to Russian strategic bombers, demonstrating the high cost-effectiveness and flexibility of drones in warfare [3][24] - The counter-drone systems utilize various detection methods such as radar, electro-optical, and radio detection, and employ high-energy lasers and microwave technologies for effective low-cost countermeasures [7][43] Summary by Sections Drone Warfare and Countermeasures - The conflict in Ukraine has shown that small drones can achieve high damage ratios, necessitating the development of counter-drone systems [6][36] - Ukraine's strategic drone strikes in June 2025 targeted multiple Russian bomber bases, destroying over 40 bombers, which is 34% of Russia's strategic bomber fleet [3][24] - The characteristics of small drones make traditional air defense systems ineffective, thus counter-drone systems are becoming essential in modern warfare [43][56] Global Development of Counter-Drone Systems - Various countries are developing counter-drone systems, with the US and Israel leading in technology and system quantity [8][67] - The market for counter-drone systems is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 24.7% from 2024 to 2031, reaching a market size of $7.51 billion by 2031 [9][10] Investment Strategy - The rapid expansion of drone applications across various fields is driving the demand for counter-drone equipment [10] - Chinese military enterprises have a comprehensive layout in the counter-drone system sector, with several listed companies involved in various aspects of the industry [10][9] - Recommended companies for investment include those involved in upstream components and complete counter-drone products [10][13]

Group 1 - The Indian Ministry of Defense is initiating a comprehensive military procurement review to identify Chinese components in military equipment and assess vulnerabilities in the defense supply chain [1] - The Indian Army aims to eliminate Chinese components from its suppliers, emphasizing the reduction of foreign dependency, particularly on China, as a key priority for addressing potential security risks [1] - Recent investigations revealed that some suppliers may have exaggerated the number of domestic components, with critical parts often traceable to China, especially in sensitive areas like drones and anti-drone systems [1] Group 2 - As part of a comprehensive reform plan for 2025, the Indian Ministry of Defense may appoint an external agency to verify domestic production rates, map supply chain dependencies, and evaluate cost structures and technology transfer processes [3] - Following the discovery of Chinese components in military equipment, the Indian Ministry of Defense canceled a drone procurement order citing national security risks, indicating that more defense hardware may require strict inspections to ensure compliance with safety standards [3] - The Ministry of Defense has accelerated procurement processes and intensified scrutiny of suppliers potentially using Chinese components in frontline equipment amid rising tensions with Pakistan [3] Group 3 - The Indian government has decided to terminate a $23 billion Production-Linked Incentive (PLI) scheme aimed at boosting domestic manufacturing, which was intended to increase manufacturing's share in the economy to 25% by 2025 [4] - The PLI scheme, launched four years ago, had around 750 companies, including major players like Foxconn and Reliance Industries, signing up, but many failed to start production or faced slow subsidy payments [5] - As of October 2024, participating companies produced goods worth $151.93 billion under the PLI scheme, achieving only 37% of the set target, with the government disbursing just $1.73 billion in incentives, less than 8% of the allocated funds [5]

Summary of Conference Call for Company and Industry Company Overview - **Company Name**: 华耀电子 (Huayao Electronics) - **Industry**: Controlled Nuclear Fusion and Low Altitude Economy Key Points and Arguments Industry and Market Position - Huayao Electronics is the first domestic company to provide megawatt-level power supplies for controlled nuclear fusion auxiliary heating systems, with applications in large scientific engineering devices and irradiation equipment [2][3] - The company became a member of the Fusion Industry Alliance in January 2023 and is involved in the construction of the BEST Tokamak device, with a projected procurement budget of 700-800 million yuan for power systems by 2025 [2][3][8] - The company sees significant potential in the low-altitude economy, supported by local governments through special bonds or treasury bonds, positioning itself competitively against other well-known enterprises [2][6] Product and Technology Development - Huayao Electronics has a strong advantage in high-voltage power supplies and military power supply businesses, having participated in the manufacturing of the world's first PSM high-voltage power supply system since before 2010 [2][9] - The PSM high-voltage heating power supply accounts for approximately 5% of the total nuclear fusion reactor system, providing energy for low-temperature superconducting plasma [11] - The company has developed low-altitude monitoring radars and anti-drone systems, winning a bid for the low-altitude intelligent infrastructure project in Anhui Province [4][19] Competitive Landscape - The market share and competitive landscape for Huayao Electronics show a balanced competition, with the company benefiting from state-owned enterprise backing and localized support services [13] - The company plans to expand its industry scale and improve intelligent production levels, anticipating growth from national debt projects and equipment replacements [4][23] Future Directions and Collaborations - Huayao Electronics is actively pursuing collaborations with domestic fusion projects, including state-owned and private startups, to expand its business [22] - The company is also focusing on low-altitude safety and monitoring systems, with plans to develop regional and urban-level protective measures [20] Financial Projections - The total procurement budget for power-related products in the PSC project is expected to be around 770 million yuan, with power products potentially accounting for 50% of the total project value [15] - The company has reported a positive outlook for future growth, despite having made some impairment provisions in the past two years [23][27] Investor Engagement - Huayao Electronics welcomes investors for on-site visits to better understand its operations and product offerings [28] Additional Important Information - The company has over 100 employees, including 13 industry-leading experts, and is involved in significant scientific and industrial projects [7] - The company is also exploring opportunities in the military trade sector, although this is primarily managed by its parent organization [24] - Huayao Electronics is optimistic about the market potential in both military and civilian sectors, particularly in low-altitude safety [25][26]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the drone and anti-drone equipment industry, particularly in the context of military applications and advancements in technology [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - The use of FPV drones by Ukraine to attack Russian bomber bases on June 1 demonstrates the increasing importance and effectiveness of drone warfare, with estimated losses to Russia reaching several billion dollars [1][2]. - This incident marks the first large-scale drone swarm attack on a strategic military target, highlighting the high cost-effectiveness of drone operations in modern warfare [1][2]. - The development of drone swarm technology and collaborative combat strategies is identified as a key focus area for future advancements in the industry [3]. Future Trends and Opportunities - Anti-drone systems are expected to become a crucial component of future air defense systems, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [4]. - China is noted for its leading position in drone technology, with rapid advancements in anti-drone technology [5]. Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch in the anti-drone equipment sector include: - Sichuan Jiuzhou (self-developed complete anti-drone system) - Xinjingang - Guorui Technology - Nairui Radar - Lianchuang Optoelectronics - 6912 [6]. - Suggested companies in the drone sector include: - Zongheng Co. - Aerospace Electronics - Zhongwu Drone - Aerospace Rainbow [6]. Risk Factors - The unpredictability of geopolitical situations and technological developments poses risks to the industry [7].

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight decline with a trading volume of 1.14 trillion, indicating a healthy level of activity despite external pressures from geopolitical events [3] - The sentiment in the market is currently weak, with a significant number of stocks declining compared to those that increased, highlighting a challenging environment for investors [4] Sector Analysis - The pharmaceutical sector is showing strength, particularly with stocks like Shuyou Shen, which is expected to continue its upward trend, making it a potential safe haven for investors in June [5] - The stablecoin market has seen significant activity, particularly in Hong Kong, where the introduction of new regulations has led to a 64% increase in related stocks, indicating a potential area for investment [5] - The drone and anti-drone sectors are emerging as short-term trading opportunities following recent geopolitical events, although the depth of capital involvement remains limited [6] Investment Opportunities - The nuclear power sector faced a setback due to recent regulatory issues, but there may be opportunities for recovery if the market stabilizes [7] - Consumer stocks are expected to maintain their momentum, with potential for individual stocks to perform well in the coming week [8] - Overall, the market is anticipated to remain in a structural phase where making profits may be challenging, but there are still opportunities in strong sectors and stocks [9]