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Toast vs. Lightspeed: Which POS Platform Stock Offers More Upside?
ZACKS· 2025-06-25 15:05
Core Insights - Toast Inc. (TOST) and Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) are key players in the point-of-sale (POS) solutions market, with Toast focusing on restaurants and Lightspeed serving both restaurants and retail, making them direct competitors in the hospitality tech sector [1][2] Company Analysis: Toast Inc. (TOST) - TOST ended the first quarter with approximately 140,000 customer locations globally, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth, and added over 6,000 net locations in the same period [3][9] - The company has only 10% penetration into its total addressable market (TAM) of 1.4 million locations, indicating significant long-term growth potential [3] - TOST is expanding into three new growth areas: enterprise, international, and food & beverage retail, with a target of exceeding 10,000 locations in these segments by the end of 2025 [4] - The introduction of AI-powered tools, such as Sous Chef and ToastIQ, is enhancing TOST's platform and improving operational efficiency for restaurant operators [5] - Despite strong growth, TOST faces challenges such as a 3% year-over-year decline in gross payment volume (GPV) per location, indicating lower average transaction volumes [7] Company Analysis: Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (LSPD) - LSPD reported an 18% revenue increase in fiscal 2025, surpassing $1 billion in annual revenues for the first time [8] - The company is strategically focusing on North American retail and European hospitality, with customer locations in these markets increasing over 3% year-over-year [10] - LSPD is investing heavily in innovation, with a 35% increase in product development budget for fiscal 2026 compared to fiscal 2025 [11] - Transaction-based revenues for LSPD rose 14% to $157.8 million, with GPV increasing by 40%, showcasing strong growth in its payments segment [12] - However, LSPD is also facing macroeconomic challenges, with a revenue growth guidance of 10% to 12% for the current fiscal year, lower than the previous year's 18% growth [13] Market Comparison - TOST shares have appreciated by 5.2%, while LSPD shares have gained 11.7% [16] - Valuation metrics indicate that both companies are overvalued, with TOST trading at a Price/Book ratio of 13.28X compared to LSPD's 1.04X [18] - Analysts have slightly revised earnings estimates upward for TOST, while LSPD has seen a marginal downward revision for the current year [20][22] - Despite facing similar macro and competitive challenges, LSPD's diversified revenue base across multiple sectors makes it a more compelling investment option compared to TOST's restaurant-heavy model [22]
Toast (TOST) Outperforms Broader Market: What You Need to Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-23 23:01
Group 1 - Toast's stock increased by 2.38% to $43.36, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.96% [1] - Over the past month, Toast's shares have decreased by 0.33%, underperforming the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 2.53% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.5% [1] Group 2 - Upcoming earnings disclosure is expected to show an EPS of $0.23, a 1050% increase year-over-year, with projected revenue of $1.53 billion, reflecting a 23.45% rise [2] - For the full year, earnings are projected at $0.95 per share and revenue at $6.01 billion, representing increases of 3066.67% and 21.23% respectively from the prior year [3] Group 3 - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for Toast are important as they indicate changing near-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [4] - Estimate revisions are correlated with near-term share price momentum, which is utilized in the Zacks Rank system to provide a rating [5] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system, ranging from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), has shown an average annual return of +25% for 1 stocks since 1988, with Toast currently holding a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6] Group 5 - Toast's Forward P/E ratio is 44.67, indicating a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 27.81 [7] - The Internet - Software industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 54, placing it in the top 22% of over 250 industries [7][8]
Can TOST's Tech-Driven Recipes Spice Up its Profitability & Revenue?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 14:01
Core Insights - Toast Inc. (TOST) is expanding its presence across various geographies and segments, targeting not only small and medium-sized restaurants but also food & beverage retail and enterprise chains, currently supporting around 140,000 locations globally [1][9] - The company's strategy focuses on scaling locations, demonstrating growth in new markets, increasing platform adoption with a data and AI focus, and maintaining high standards while gradually expanding margins [2][7] Product and Technology Developments - Toast has developed an all-in-one platform tailored for the restaurant industry, leveraging AI to enhance usability and efficiency for operators [3] - The introduction of Sous Chef, an AI assistant for restaurant operators, is currently in pilot testing and aims to provide business insights and manage various operational tasks [4] - ToastIQ, an AI-powered intelligence engine, has shown positive impacts for early adopters, enhancing the platform's capabilities [5] Operational Enhancements - Recent updates for front-of-house staff include improvements to POS systems, kiosks, and kitchen displays, along with new tools for guest engagement such as Websites, Branded Apps, and AI-powered SMS Marketing [6] - The company has also introduced enhanced reporting, payroll, accounting tools, and a Benchmarking tool to help restaurants manage costs [6] Financial Performance - Toast has raised its full-year outlook, now expecting a 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $550 million and a 31% margin, reflecting a five-point increase from previous estimates [7][9] - TOST shares have gained 76.7% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry's growth of 37.2% [11] Valuation Metrics - TOST trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.2X, which is lower than the industry's average of 5.68X, indicating potential undervaluation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has been rising over the past 60 days, suggesting positive market sentiment [13]
TOST Stock Rises 19% in Three Months: Time to Hold or Make an Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 14:11
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares have increased by 19.2% over the past three months, outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which grew by 12.5% and 9.7% respectively [1] - TOST is a leading provider of software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hardware solutions focused on the restaurant market [1] Price Performance - TOST stock declined by 2.4% recently, closing at $41.54, which is close to its 52-week high of $45.56 [4] - Despite recent momentum, there are pros and cons to consider regarding the stock's future performance [4] Challenges - The macro environment is uncertain due to escalating trade wars, which raise concerns about increased costs and reduced consumer purchasing power [5] - The restaurant industry is sensitive to consumer spending, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility, which could impact TOST's performance [6] - A decline in Gross Payment Volume (GPV) per location is a concern, with overall GPV increasing by 22% year over year to $42 billion, but GPV per location declining by 3% year over year [7] - Operating expenses increased by 12% in the last reported quarter, with sales and marketing expenses growing by 25% year over year [9] Competitive Landscape - TOST faces competitive pressure from various players, including Block (formerly Square), Oracle, and Lightspeed, each with different market approaches [11] - Oracle offers a range of products targeting large restaurant chains, while Lightspeed provides a comprehensive commerce platform for various businesses [12] Valuation Concerns - TOST's stock is considered expensive, trading at a price/book multiple of 12.35X compared to the industry's 6.26X, indicating a stretched valuation [16] - The company's Value Style Score of F suggests that the stock may not be a good value at this time [15] Investment Thesis - TOST faces challenges such as an uncertain macro environment, competitive threats, and stretched valuation, suggesting that recent stock gains may present an opportunity to exit before potential downturns [18]
Toast(TOST) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-13 16:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The meeting confirmed the election of Paul Bell and Hilary Koplaw McAdams as Class I directors, each serving a three-year term until the 2028 Annual Meeting [8] - The proposal to ratify Ernst and Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was approved [13] - The advisory nonbinding proposal regarding the compensation of named executives was also approved [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific business line data or key metrics were discussed in the meeting [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific market data or key metrics were provided during the meeting [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company emphasized its mission to support the restaurant community in delighting guests and thriving in their operations [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed gratitude towards shareholders, employees, customers, and partners for their continued support and dedication [15] - The company highlighted its commitment to helping the restaurant community succeed [16] Other Important Information - The meeting was held virtually to enhance inclusivity and reduce attendance burdens for stockholders [2] - Approximately 89% of the voting power was present, confirming a quorum for the meeting [6] Q&A Session Summary - No relevant questions were submitted by stockholders during the meeting [10]
Toast: Software Platform And AI Are Serving Up Sizzling Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 15:35
Core Insights - Toast (NYSE: TOST) has experienced significant upward momentum in its stock price, attributed to positive news regarding its Q1 2025 earnings report and profitability [1] Company Summary - The recent earnings report for Q1 2025 has positively impacted Toast's stock performance, indicating strong financial results and profitability [1] Analyst Disclosure - There is no current stock or derivative position held by the analyst in Toast, but there is potential for initiating a long position in the near future [2]
Toast's Inflection Point Could Send It To $60 -- Why I'm Long
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-19 15:29
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience analyzing companies in tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides "hand-holding" support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and kind community accessible via chat [3]
Toast's Strong Growth, Expanding Margins, And Market Dominance Make It A Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-19 13:03
Group 1 - The core argument is that Toast Inc. (TOST) is more than just a point-of-sale company, indicating that the market may be underestimating its broader capabilities [1] - The analysis emphasizes a focus on the underlying business and financial metrics rather than market narratives, suggesting a disciplined approach to investment evaluation [1] Group 2 - The author has over 15 years of market experience and an economics degree, which adds credibility to the analysis presented [1]
Toast: This Is Just The Beginning (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-18 08:57
Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy of a boutique family office fund led by Amrita, focusing on sustainable, growth-driven companies that aim to maximize shareholder equity [2] - Amrita has a background in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and has experience working with venture capital firms, which has contributed to her ability to maximize returns for clients [2] - The newsletter "The Pragmatic Optimist," co-founded by Amrita, emphasizes democratizing financial literacy and simplifying complex macroeconomic concepts for better understanding [2] Group 2 - The article mentions that the analyst has a beneficial long position in the shares of TOST, indicating a personal investment interest in the company [3] - It is noted that the article expresses the author's own opinions and is not receiving compensation for it, highlighting the independence of the analysis [3] - Seeking Alpha's disclosure emphasizes that past performance does not guarantee future results and that the views expressed may not reflect the platform's overall stance [4]
2 Breakout Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next 10 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-18 08:12
Group 1: Roblox - Roblox is a free online platform with 98 million users, experiencing significant growth and recently hitting a new 52-week high after strong quarterly earnings [3][4] - The platform is available on all gaming devices and is increasingly attracting users over 13 years old, expanding its growth potential [4] - Revenue has nearly doubled over the past three years, with a year-over-year growth of 29% in the first quarter [5] - The community of content creators on Roblox is projected to earn over $1 billion in compensation this year, incentivizing more content creation [6] - Roblox aims to capture 10% of the annual spending on video game content, referencing a $180 billion industry estimate for 2024 [7] - The trailing-12-month revenue for Roblox is $3.8 billion, with a growth rate exceeding 20% year over year, targeting $18 billion in annual revenue within the next decade [8] Group 2: Toast - Toast is experiencing strong demand for its cloud-based solutions in the restaurant industry, recently hitting a new high after robust quarterly growth [10] - The company added 6,000 net new locations in the first quarter, with revenue increasing by 31% year over year to $1.7 billion [11] - Toast's platform is adaptable to various restaurant types, gaining momentum across the industry [12] - The platform offers tools that simplify restaurant management, including kitchen displays and real-time analytics, which enhance service and reduce costs [13] - Toast has only captured 10% of the 1.4 million restaurant locations in its addressable market, indicating significant growth potential [14]