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Can TOST's Tech-Driven Recipes Spice Up its Profitability & Revenue?
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 14:01
Core Insights - Toast Inc. (TOST) is expanding its presence across various geographies and segments, targeting not only small and medium-sized restaurants but also food & beverage retail and enterprise chains, currently supporting around 140,000 locations globally [1][9] - The company's strategy focuses on scaling locations, demonstrating growth in new markets, increasing platform adoption with a data and AI focus, and maintaining high standards while gradually expanding margins [2][7] Product and Technology Developments - Toast has developed an all-in-one platform tailored for the restaurant industry, leveraging AI to enhance usability and efficiency for operators [3] - The introduction of Sous Chef, an AI assistant for restaurant operators, is currently in pilot testing and aims to provide business insights and manage various operational tasks [4] - ToastIQ, an AI-powered intelligence engine, has shown positive impacts for early adopters, enhancing the platform's capabilities [5] Operational Enhancements - Recent updates for front-of-house staff include improvements to POS systems, kiosks, and kitchen displays, along with new tools for guest engagement such as Websites, Branded Apps, and AI-powered SMS Marketing [6] - The company has also introduced enhanced reporting, payroll, accounting tools, and a Benchmarking tool to help restaurants manage costs [6] Financial Performance - Toast has raised its full-year outlook, now expecting a 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $550 million and a 31% margin, reflecting a five-point increase from previous estimates [7][9] - TOST shares have gained 76.7% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry's growth of 37.2% [11] Valuation Metrics - TOST trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.2X, which is lower than the industry's average of 5.68X, indicating potential undervaluation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has been rising over the past 60 days, suggesting positive market sentiment [13]
TOST Stock Rises 19% in Three Months: Time to Hold or Make an Exit?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 14:11
Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares have increased by 19.2% over the past three months, outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which grew by 12.5% and 9.7% respectively [1] - TOST is a leading provider of software-as-a-service (SaaS) and hardware solutions focused on the restaurant market [1] Price Performance - TOST stock declined by 2.4% recently, closing at $41.54, which is close to its 52-week high of $45.56 [4] - Despite recent momentum, there are pros and cons to consider regarding the stock's future performance [4] Challenges - The macro environment is uncertain due to escalating trade wars, which raise concerns about increased costs and reduced consumer purchasing power [5] - The restaurant industry is sensitive to consumer spending, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility, which could impact TOST's performance [6] - A decline in Gross Payment Volume (GPV) per location is a concern, with overall GPV increasing by 22% year over year to $42 billion, but GPV per location declining by 3% year over year [7] - Operating expenses increased by 12% in the last reported quarter, with sales and marketing expenses growing by 25% year over year [9] Competitive Landscape - TOST faces competitive pressure from various players, including Block (formerly Square), Oracle, and Lightspeed, each with different market approaches [11] - Oracle offers a range of products targeting large restaurant chains, while Lightspeed provides a comprehensive commerce platform for various businesses [12] Valuation Concerns - TOST's stock is considered expensive, trading at a price/book multiple of 12.35X compared to the industry's 6.26X, indicating a stretched valuation [16] - The company's Value Style Score of F suggests that the stock may not be a good value at this time [15] Investment Thesis - TOST faces challenges such as an uncertain macro environment, competitive threats, and stretched valuation, suggesting that recent stock gains may present an opportunity to exit before potential downturns [18]
Toast(TOST) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-13 16:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The meeting confirmed the election of Paul Bell and Hilary Koplaw McAdams as Class I directors, each serving a three-year term until the 2028 Annual Meeting [8] - The proposal to ratify Ernst and Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, was approved [13] - The advisory nonbinding proposal regarding the compensation of named executives was also approved [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific business line data or key metrics were discussed in the meeting [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - No specific market data or key metrics were provided during the meeting [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The company emphasized its mission to support the restaurant community in delighting guests and thriving in their operations [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed gratitude towards shareholders, employees, customers, and partners for their continued support and dedication [15] - The company highlighted its commitment to helping the restaurant community succeed [16] Other Important Information - The meeting was held virtually to enhance inclusivity and reduce attendance burdens for stockholders [2] - Approximately 89% of the voting power was present, confirming a quorum for the meeting [6] Q&A Session Summary - No relevant questions were submitted by stockholders during the meeting [10]
Toast: Software Platform And AI Are Serving Up Sizzling Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-20 15:35
Core Insights - Toast (NYSE: TOST) has experienced significant upward momentum in its stock price, attributed to positive news regarding its Q1 2025 earnings report and profitability [1] Company Summary - The recent earnings report for Q1 2025 has positively impacted Toast's stock performance, indicating strong financial results and profitability [1] Analyst Disclosure - There is no current stock or derivative position held by the analyst in Toast, but there is potential for initiating a long position in the near future [2]
Toast's Inflection Point Could Send It To $60 -- Why I'm Long
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-19 15:29
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience analyzing companies in tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through its concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides "hand-holding" support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and kind community accessible via chat [3]
Toast's Strong Growth, Expanding Margins, And Market Dominance Make It A Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-19 13:03
Group 1 - The core argument is that Toast Inc. (TOST) is more than just a point-of-sale company, indicating that the market may be underestimating its broader capabilities [1] - The analysis emphasizes a focus on the underlying business and financial metrics rather than market narratives, suggesting a disciplined approach to investment evaluation [1] Group 2 - The author has over 15 years of market experience and an economics degree, which adds credibility to the analysis presented [1]
Toast: This Is Just The Beginning (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-18 08:57
Group 1 - The article discusses the investment strategy of a boutique family office fund led by Amrita, focusing on sustainable, growth-driven companies that aim to maximize shareholder equity [2] - Amrita has a background in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and has experience working with venture capital firms, which has contributed to her ability to maximize returns for clients [2] - The newsletter "The Pragmatic Optimist," co-founded by Amrita, emphasizes democratizing financial literacy and simplifying complex macroeconomic concepts for better understanding [2] Group 2 - The article mentions that the analyst has a beneficial long position in the shares of TOST, indicating a personal investment interest in the company [3] - It is noted that the article expresses the author's own opinions and is not receiving compensation for it, highlighting the independence of the analysis [3] - Seeking Alpha's disclosure emphasizes that past performance does not guarantee future results and that the views expressed may not reflect the platform's overall stance [4]
2 Breakout Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next 10 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-18 08:12
Group 1: Roblox - Roblox is a free online platform with 98 million users, experiencing significant growth and recently hitting a new 52-week high after strong quarterly earnings [3][4] - The platform is available on all gaming devices and is increasingly attracting users over 13 years old, expanding its growth potential [4] - Revenue has nearly doubled over the past three years, with a year-over-year growth of 29% in the first quarter [5] - The community of content creators on Roblox is projected to earn over $1 billion in compensation this year, incentivizing more content creation [6] - Roblox aims to capture 10% of the annual spending on video game content, referencing a $180 billion industry estimate for 2024 [7] - The trailing-12-month revenue for Roblox is $3.8 billion, with a growth rate exceeding 20% year over year, targeting $18 billion in annual revenue within the next decade [8] Group 2: Toast - Toast is experiencing strong demand for its cloud-based solutions in the restaurant industry, recently hitting a new high after robust quarterly growth [10] - The company added 6,000 net new locations in the first quarter, with revenue increasing by 31% year over year to $1.7 billion [11] - Toast's platform is adaptable to various restaurant types, gaining momentum across the industry [12] - The platform offers tools that simplify restaurant management, including kitchen displays and real-time analytics, which enhance service and reduce costs [13] - Toast has only captured 10% of the 1.4 million restaurant locations in its addressable market, indicating significant growth potential [14]
Toast (TOST) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-13 16:30
Summary of Toast (TOST) FY Conference Call - May 13, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Toast, Inc. (TOST) - **Industry**: Payments and IT services, specifically focused on restaurant management software and point of sale systems Key Points and Arguments Market Share and Growth - Toast has increased its market share in the U.S. restaurant sector from **10% to 15%** over the last two years [12][16] - The company aims to continue expanding its market share by leveraging social proof and increasing visibility among restaurant owners [16][18] - Productivity among account executives (AEs) has improved, indicating effective execution and product performance [19][22] Focus on Restaurants - Toast maintains a strong focus on the restaurant sector, having chosen to specialize rather than diversify into other areas [20] - The company has seen success in enterprise solutions, with notable clients like Applebee's and Topgolf, indicating growth potential in larger chains [21][42] Macro Environment and Resilience - Toast tracks various metrics such as same-store sales, new openings, and churn to gauge the health of the restaurant industry [24][25] - Historical data suggests that restaurants tend to perform better than retail during economic downturns, providing confidence in Toast's resilience [26][27] Profitability and Capital Allocation - The leadership team emphasizes long-term growth and capital allocation aligned with strategic goals, focusing on core business while exploring new opportunities [31][32] - Toast is prepared to adjust discretionary spending in response to economic pressures while ensuring long-term investments are not compromised [32][33] Competitive Landscape - Toast is enhancing its pricing strategy and sales approach to maintain a competitive edge in the market [34][35] - The company tracks win rates and customer satisfaction metrics to assess product effectiveness and market positioning [40] AI and Technological Innovations - Toast is investing in AI technologies, such as Sous Chef and Toast IQ, to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience [61][71] - The AI initiatives aim to provide restaurant operators with tools to optimize operations and improve customer interactions [69][70] Consumer Opportunities - The company sees potential in consumer-facing applications, leveraging data to enhance customer experiences and drive demand for restaurants [75][79] - Toast is exploring ways to integrate consumer services with its existing platform to create a seamless experience for users [81][82] International Expansion - Toast aspires to grow its international presence, focusing on markets with high potential for restaurant operations [91][92] - The company aims to achieve product parity with the U.S. offerings in international markets while being strategic about market entry [93] Additional Important Insights - Toast's capital business is designed to balance risk while providing necessary funding to SMB restaurants, especially in challenging economic conditions [86][88] - The company is committed to maintaining strong relationships with restaurant staff and franchisees, which helps drive its growth through word-of-mouth and community support [48][49] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the Toast FY Conference Call, highlighting the company's focus on growth, innovation, and resilience in the restaurant technology sector.
Toast (TOST) Reports Q1 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 01:00
Core Insights - Toast reported revenue of $1.34 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24.4% [1] - The company's EPS was $0.20, a significant improvement from -$0.15 in the same quarter last year [1] - Revenue met the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but there was a slight negative surprise of -0.27% [1] - EPS exceeded expectations with a surprise of +5.26% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.19 [1] Key Performance Metrics - Gross Payment Volume (GPV) was reported at $42.2 billion, slightly below the estimated $42.38 billion [4] - Subscription Annualized Recurring Run-Rate reached $883 million, surpassing the average estimate of $867.78 million [4] - The number of locations served by Toast was 140,000, close to the estimated 140,163 [4] - Total Annualized Recurring Run-Rate (ARR) was $1.71 billion, matching the average estimate [4] - Payments Annualized Recurring Run-Rate stood at $830 million, slightly above the estimate of $824.03 million [4] - Revenue from financial technology solutions was $1.08 billion, aligning with the average estimate [4] - Revenue from subscription services was $209 million, exceeding the average estimate of $201.35 million [4] - Revenue from hardware and professional services was $46 million, falling short of the estimated $53.03 million [4] Stock Performance - Toast's shares have returned +3.4% over the past month, compared to the S&P 500 composite's +11.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3]