Company Performance - Toast (TOST) stock closed at $47.31, reflecting a +1.7% change from the previous day's closing price, outperforming the S&P 500 which gained 0.14% [1] - The stock has increased by 9.85% over the past month, surpassing the Computer and Technology sector's gain of 7.37% and the S&P 500's gain of 5.35% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect Toast to report earnings of $0.24 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 1100% [2] - Revenue is anticipated to be $1.53 billion, representing a 23.44% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Full-Year Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $0.95 per share and revenue of $6.01 billion for the full year, reflecting year-over-year changes of +3066.67% and +21.2%, respectively [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates suggest positive sentiment regarding Toast's business and profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - Toast has a Forward P/E ratio of 49.07, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 29.16 [6] - The Internet - Software industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 79, placing it in the top 32% of over 250 industries [6] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), indicates that Toast currently has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [5] - The Zacks Rank system has shown an average annual return of +25% for 1 ranked stocks since 1988 [5]

Group 1 - Toast, Inc. (NYSE: TOST) is gaining traction in the fintech sector but is currently trading at high valuations [1] - Block, Inc. (NYSE: XYZ) has not recovered from its all-time highs and is trading at lower valuations [1] - Julian Lin, a financial analyst, focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential and strong management [1] Group 2 - The investment group led by Julian Lin emphasizes stocks with a high probability of delivering significant alpha compared to the S&P 500 [1] - The investment strategy combines growth-oriented principles with strict valuation criteria to enhance the margin of safety [1]

Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) shares have increased by 21.6% year to date, outperforming the Internet Software market and the Zacks Computer & Technology sector, which grew by 14.6% and 8.4% respectively, while the S&P 500 returned 5.6% in the same period [1] Company Performance - TOST closed at $44.34, down 0.3% recently, and is near its 52-week high of $46.57 [4] - The company registered over 6,000 net locations in Q1 2025, totaling approximately 140,000 customer locations globally, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth [7] - Toast achieved an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32%, exceeding its medium-term target of 30-35%, attributed to disciplined expense management [8] - Free cash flow turned positive at $69 million, compared to a $33 million loss a year ago [9] Growth Opportunities - Toast is expanding in the U.S. SMB restaurant market, with significant wins like Applebee's and Topgolf, and has only 10% penetration in its total addressable market of 1.4 million locations, indicating substantial long-term growth potential [5] - The company is targeting to exceed 10,000 locations by the end of 2025 across new growth areas: enterprise, international, and food & beverage retail [6] - Toast projects a 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit for 2025, with an estimated adjusted EBITDA of $550 million and a 31% margin, up five percentage points from 2024 [10] Challenges - The decline in Gross Payment Volume (GPV) per location poses a challenge, with GPV per location down 3% year-over-year, despite overall GPV increasing by 22% to $42 billion in Q1 [12] - The restaurant industry remains sensitive to consumer spending, labor inflation, and supply-chain volatility, which could impact TOST's performance [11] - TOST's stock is considered expensive, trading at a price/book multiple of 13.20X compared to the industry's 6.57X, indicating a stretched valuation [16] Investment Outlook - Despite headwinds, Toast's focus on expanding its addressable market and strategic investments in AI support long-term upside [17] - The company is currently rated Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting long-term investors should maintain their positions while new entrants may benefit from waiting for a more favorable entry point [18]

Core Insights - Samuel Adams has renewed its multiyear partnership with the Boston Red Sox, remaining the team's Official Beer for the next decade, which began in 2018 [1][3] - The partnership will also include other Boston Beer brands such as Angry Orchard, Truly, and Twisted Tea [1] - The collaboration emphasizes the deep roots of both brands in Boston and their commitment to enhancing the fan experience at Fenway Park [3] Company Overview - Samuel Adams is a leading independent American craft brewer, founded in 1984, known for its flagship Boston Lager and its role in the craft beer revolution [6][7] - The Boston Beer Company, which owns Samuel Adams, has expanded its portfolio to include hard cider, hard seltzer, and hard tea, with a focus on innovation and quality [8] - The company has a philanthropic program called Brewing the American Dream, aimed at supporting entrepreneurs and fellow brewers [6] Partnership Details - The Sam Deck in right field at Fenway Park remains a popular destination for fans, with over 275,000 pints of Sam Adams served [2] - The partnership will feature special events, including watch parties at the Downtown Boston Taproom and Boston Brewery, and the introduction of a new beer, Grand Slam Adams, for the Sox season [3][4] - Samuel Adams has a history of community involvement, including being the official beer of the Boston Marathon and supporting local charities [4]

Group 1 - Toast's stock price decreased by 2.84% to $43.03, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.11% [1] - Over the past month, Toast's shares increased by 3.02%, while the Computer and Technology sector and the S&P 500 gained 8.76% and 5.17%, respectively [1] Group 2 - Toast is expected to report an EPS of $0.23, reflecting a significant increase of 1050% compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The projected revenue for the upcoming earnings release is $1.53 billion, which is a 23.45% increase from the previous year [2] Group 3 - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $0.95 per share, representing a 3066.67% increase, and revenue is expected to be $6 billion, up 21.06% from the prior year [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Toast can indicate short-term business trends, with positive revisions suggesting an optimistic outlook [3] Group 4 - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimate changes, has shown a correlation with stock price performance, with stocks rated 1 historically producing an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [4][5] - Currently, Toast holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [5] Group 5 - Toast's Forward P/E ratio is 46.72, indicating a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 29.16 [6] - The Internet - Software industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 40, placing it in the top 17% of over 250 industries [6] Group 6 - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the performance of industry groups, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Company Overview - Toast, Inc. is a cloud-based restaurant management platform providing integrated hardware and software solutions for full-service and quick-service restaurant industries [3][4] - The company has rapidly expanded since its first product launch in 2013, serving independent restaurants, multi-location chains, and franchise groups across the U.S. [4] Market Performance - Toast's shares are up over 21% year-to-date and nearly 200% over the past three years, despite a high P/E ratio of 187.35 [2][5] - The company's market capitalization stands at $25.6 billion, placing it in the mid-cap category [5] Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, Toast reported EPS of $0.10, a 167% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $1.34 billion, up 24.7% [8] - The company achieved a net income of $56 million, a 75% quarter-over-quarter increase, and adjusted EBITDA of $133 million [8] - Annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 31%, with SaaS ARR climbing 32% [9] Growth Outlook - Toast raised its full-year 2025 outlook, projecting 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit and $550 million in adjusted EBITDA [10] - The stock price forecast is $41.21, with a moderate buy rating from analysts [7] Institutional Support - Over the past 12 months, $4.5 billion in institutional capital has flowed into Toast, with 82.9% of shares held by institutions [11] Technical Analysis - The stock is consolidating just below a key resistance area near $45, with $42 acting as short-term support [12][13]

Company Insights - Marathon Petroleum Corporation (MPC) reported first-quarter total revenues and other income of $31.85 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $29.58 billion [1] - The adjusted EPS loss for Marathon Petroleum was $(0.24), an improvement from $(2.58) a year earlier, and better than the analyst consensus estimate of $(0.53) [1] - Aurora Innovation posted a first-quarter GAAP loss of 12 cents per share, which was in line with estimates [2] - QXO, Inc. proposed to acquire GMS for $95.20 per share in cash [2] - Toast (TOST) received a Buy rating from Truist Securities analyst Matthew Coad, with a price target of $48 [3] Stock Performance - Marathon Petroleum shares increased by 1.1% to settle at $167.52 [6] - Aurora Innovation shares rose by 2.1% to close at $5.40 [6] - QXO shares gained 1.4% to settle at $24.12 [6] - Toast shares experienced a 2.4% increase, closing at $42.49 [6]

Group 1 - The focus is on long-term growth and dividend growth investing, emphasizing the importance of profitability over low valuation [1] - The analysis prioritizes margins, free cash flow stability and growth, and returns on invested capital as key metrics for evaluating companies [1] - The approach involves thorough research of stocks within specific areas of competence, particularly high-quality companies [1]

Core Insights - Toast Inc (TOST) started 2025 with strong momentum, adding over 6,000 net locations in Q1 2025, totaling approximately 140,000 customer locations globally, reflecting a 25% year-over-year growth [1] - The company aims to achieve record net additions in the current quarter and expects 2025 to surpass 2024's full-year net additions [1] - Toast is focusing on expanding its presence in the U.S. SMB restaurant market, with only 10% penetration into its total addressable market (TAM) of 1.4 million locations, indicating significant long-term growth potential [1] - The company is also pursuing growth in three new areas: enterprise, international, and food & beverage retail, targeting over 10,000 locations by the end of 2025 in these segments [1] Technology and Innovation - Toast's AI-powered tools, such as Sous Chef and ToastIQ, are enhancing its competitive edge in restaurant technology [2] - The company has improved its reporting, payroll, and accounting tools, and introduced a Benchmarking tool to assist restaurants in managing costs [2] - These advancements position Toast as a full-stack solutions provider, which is expected to support its growth trajectory beyond the current quarter [2] Financial Projections - Toast projects a 26% growth in fintech and subscription gross profit for 2025 at the midpoint, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $550 million and a 31% margin, reflecting a five percentage point increase from 2024 [3] Market Environment - Management is closely monitoring the macro environment, acknowledging the restaurant industry's sensitivity to consumer spending, labor inflation, and supply chain volatility [4] - A downturn in consumer spending or increased cost pressures could potentially impact restaurant technology budgets, affecting TOST's performance [4] Competitive Landscape - Competitor Lightspeed Commerce Inc. is pivoting towards North America's Retail and Europe's Hospitality sectors, reporting a 3% year-over-year increase in customer locations and a 6% rise in GTV for these customers [5][6] - Block, Inc. offers a comprehensive commerce ecosystem, including Square for Restaurants, which competes directly with TOST's offerings, generating $1.48 billion in transaction revenues, up 5.9% year over year [7][8] Stock Performance and Valuation - TOST shares gained 13.9% year to date, slightly underperforming the Internet-Software industry's growth of 14.2% [9] - The shares are currently trading at a price/book ratio of 12.34X, higher than the industry average of 6.49X [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has remained unchanged over the past 30 days [12]

Core Insights - Toast, Inc. (TOST) reported a strong first-quarter 2025 performance, with revenue increasing by 24.4% year-over-year to $1.34 billion and adjusted EBITDA reaching $133 million, reflecting a margin of approximately 32% [1][2] - The company is experiencing significant growth in annual recurring revenues, which reached $1.7 billion, a 31% increase year-over-year, and operates in about 140,000 locations, marking a 25% growth [3] - Toast has raised its full-year EBITDA outlook to around $550 million with a 31% margin, an increase from the previous estimate of $510-$530 million at a 30% margin [5] Financial Performance - Operating costs, excluding bad-debt charges, rose only about 12%, primarily due to increased spending on sales and marketing [2] - Free cash flow turned positive at $69 million, compared to a loss of $33 million a year ago [2] - Toast's adjusted EBITDA margin improved significantly, driven by gross profit growth and strict cost discipline [1][2] Market Position and Growth Potential - Toast has only 10% penetration into its total addressable market (TAM) of 1.4 million locations, indicating substantial long-term expansion opportunities [3] - The company is leveraging its scale to introduce new services, including AI-powered analytics and fintech products, which contribute to revenue without proportional cost increases [4] - Management anticipates record net additions in the current quarter, with expectations for 2025 to surpass 2024's full-year net additions [3] Competitive Landscape - Block (formerly Square) reported an adjusted EBITDA of $812.8 million for Q1 2025, with an operating margin of 8.1% [7] - Lightspeed Commerce (LSPD) achieved total revenues of $253.4 million in Q1 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 32% [9] - TOST's shares have increased by 61.4% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Internet-Software industry's growth of 34.3% [12] Valuation Metrics - TOST trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 3.12X, which is lower than the industry's average of 5.76X [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TOST's earnings for 2025 has been rising over the past 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [14]