Piper Sandler将优步的目标价从110美元下调至100美元。 ...

证券研究报告 Uber (UBER US) 进入 Robotaxi 叙事的重要验证期 2026 年 2 月 05 日│美国 互联网 Uber 公布 4Q25 业绩：总交易额为 541 亿美元，同比增长 22.5%，高于 VA 一致预期 1.7%，收入 143.7 亿美元，同比增长 20.1%，略高于预期 0.2%； 经调整 EBITDA 为 24.9 亿美元，同比增长 35.0%，高于预期 0.5%；GAAP 归母净利润为 3.0 亿美元，同比下降 95.7%，主要受股权投资公允价值变动 及一次性会计项目扰动。指引方面，公司对 1Q26 总交易额给出 520-535 亿美元指引区间，中值较预期高约 1%，而经调整 EBITDA 指引为 23.7-24.7 亿美元，中值较预期低约 1.2%。整体来看，4Q25 业绩和 1Q26 指引均呈 现增长小幅超预期但利润略逊预期。公司持续推进"混合供给网络"战略， 管理层预计 2026 年底前完成 15 个城市的 AV 部署，后续逐步扩大覆盖； 并多家企业建立深度合作，形成多元化供应体系，并通过战略投资 Waabi 和 Nuro 等锁定产能，目标在 2029 年成为全球最 ...

优步 20260204 摘要 Uber 营收增长超 20%，达 87 亿美元，调整后 EBITDA 利润率为 35%，自由现金流达 98 亿美元，同比增长 42%，显示出强劲的增长势 头和可持续增长能力。 自动驾驶技术显著提升 Uber 平台效率，自动驾驶车辆利用率提升 30%，并改善预计到达时间（ETA），推动总预订量增速，尤其在旧金 山、奥斯汀和亚特兰大等城市。 Uber 积极拓展用户增长战略，通过推出 Moto 两轮车、预约服务、女性 专属服务等，覆盖不同用户群体和使用场景，月活跃用户超 2.02 亿， 年活跃用户超 4.5 亿。 Uber 用户留存率显著提升，得益于对用户生命周期早期体验的优化和会 员计划的投资，40%的用户使用超过一款 Uber 产品，会员计划同比增 长 55%。 Uber 预计自动驾驶市场将形成多元化生态系统，与 Waymo、NVIDIA 等合作，计划年底前进入 15 个城市，并逐步过渡至完全自动驾驶，同 时关注盈利性经济模型。 Q&A Uber 在 2025 年第四季度及全年业绩表现如何？ Uber 在 2025 年第四季度及全年业绩表现强劲。平台出行量年化运行率达 150 亿次 ...

2026.02. 05 本文字数：1124，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 陆涵之 此外，部分产品也吸引了新的用户，例如"Reserve"产品（预约出行）最初是服务那些追求更高可靠性的用户，Uber发现该产品满足了非原本目标群体 例如住在郊区的用户，以及机场接送和其他时间紧迫的行程需求，同样的情况发生在"Women Preferred"、青少年、老年人等产品上。 此外，达拉·科斯罗萨希提及，自动驾驶汽车可以成为公司获取新客户的又一途径。他表示，得益于全球多个自动驾驶汽车部署项目的经验，Uber比以往 任何时候都更加确信，自动驾驶汽车将为Uber带来数万亿美元的商机。 达拉·科斯罗萨希认为，在自动驾驶领域不会出现赢家通吃的情况，会有众多供应商。他提及，小马智行、文远知行等公司已经开发出了自动驾驶技术， Uber也在美国以外的市场与他们合作。去年11月，Uber与文远知行宣布在阿布扎比正式启动L4级全自动驾驶Robotaxi商业运营。 今年以来，Uber已经公布了在自动驾驶领域的多项进展。1月6日，Uber宣布正与英伟达合作开发新的解决方案，以支持人工智能驱动的自动驾驶技术的 发展。 1月27日，Uber ...

当地时间2月4日，美国移动出行平台优步科技公司（Uber）发布了2025年第四季度财报。 财报显示，第四季度Uber营收同比增长20%至144亿美元。根据美国通用会计准则（GAAP），归属于 Uber的净利润为2.96亿美元，同比下跌96%。对此，Uber表示2024年第四季度净利润包括因税务估值释 放而获得的64亿美元收益，以及因Uber股权投资重估而获得的5.56亿美元税前净收益。2025年第四季度 净利润包括因Uber股权投资重估而导致的16亿美元税前净亏损。此外，2025年第四季度公司非GAAP净 利润同比增长25%至15亿美元。 受净利润下滑的影响，美股开盘后Uber股价下跌超5%。 Uber在财报中表示，上季度Uber订单量同比增长22%至38亿单，主要得益于月活跃平台用户 (MAPC)同 比增长18%至2亿。其中，第四季度出行业务的交易额同比增长20%，配送业务的交易额同比增长26%。 今年以来，Uber已经公布了在自动驾驶领域的多项进展。1月6日，Uber宣布正与英伟达合作开发新的解 决方案，以支持人工智能驱动的自动驾驶技术的发展。 1月27日，Uber宣布成立AV Labs（自动驾驶实验室） ...

证券研究报告 Uber (UBER US) 进入 Robotaxi 叙事的重要验证期 2026 年 2 月 05 日│美国 互联网 Uber 公布 4Q25 业绩：总交易额为 541 亿美元，同比增长 22.5%，高于 VA 一致预期 1.7%，收入 143.7 亿美元，同比增长 20.1%，略高于预期 0.2%； 经调整 EBITDA 为 24.9 亿美元，同比增长 35.0%，高于预期 0.5%；GAAP 归母净利润为 3.0 亿美元，同比下降 95.7%，主要受股权投资公允价值变动 及一次性会计项目扰动。指引方面，公司对 1Q26 总交易额给出 520-535 亿美元指引区间，中值较预期高约 1%，而经调整 EBITDA 指引为 23.7-24.7 亿美元，中值较预期低约 1.2%。整体来看，4Q25 业绩和 1Q26 指引均呈 现增长小幅超预期但利润略逊预期。公司持续推进"混合供给网络"战略， 管理层预计 2026 年底前完成 15 个城市的 AV 部署，后续逐步扩大覆盖； 并多家企业建立深度合作，形成多元化供应体系，并通过战略投资 Waabi 和 Nuro 等锁定产能，目标在 2029 年成为全球最 ...

Uber Technologies, Inc. ( UBER ) released its Q4 results , and the market didn't like it very much, with the stock falling about 4%. Since I didn't think it was such a weak earnings report, I addedEquity Research Analyst with a broad career in the financial market, covered both Brazilian and global stocks. As a value investor, my analysis is primarily fundamental, focusing on identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential. Feel free to reach out for collaborations or to connect!Analyst’s Disclosure: I ...

Market Overview - The market is mixed, with the Dow up 336 points (0.7%) while the NASDAQ is down over 1% [1] - The S&P 500 is down 0.21%, but the equal-weighted S&P 500 is performing better, indicating strength in smaller stocks [1] - The Dow transports have surged 2.5% over the last three days, up nearly 8% since the ISM manufacturing report [1] Sector Performance - Materials sector is leading with a 2.4% increase, followed by real estate and energy sectors, which is up over 15% year-to-date [1] - The healthcare, staples, and financials sectors are also showing gains of more than 1% [1] - The tech sector is under pressure, with significant declines in major stocks like Tesla (down 3%), Broadcom (down 4%), and AMD (down 16%) [1] Earnings Growth Forecast - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 17% earnings growth for the S&P 500 this year, driven by positive operating leverage and improved pricing power [2] - The median stock in the Russell 3000 is experiencing a 13% year-over-year earnings growth, the best in four years [2] Valuation Insights - Current valuation is extended historically, with the median stock in the S&P trading at a three-turn discount to the cap-weighted index [2] - Historical data suggests that when earnings growth exceeds 8% and the Fed funds rate declines, market multiples tend to expand 90% of the time [2] Investment Opportunities - Small caps and consumer discretionary sectors are highlighted as areas of opportunity, with the S&P 600 small cap index showing 10% earnings growth, the best since 2022 [2] - Consumer discretionary is favored due to improving unit demand and pricing, alongside a fiscal tailwind of $65 billion expected in 2026 [2] Tech Sector Analysis - Despite recent pressures, the fundamental setup for large-cap tech remains intact, with revenue revisions at 20-year highs [2] - The market is rewarding high capital expenditure to sales behavior, benefiting AI enablers and hyperscalers [2] Crypto Market Dynamics - The crypto market has seen significant volatility, with Bitcoin down approximately 40% from its October highs, raising concerns about leverage and liquidity [5] - Tokenization is expected to gain traction in 2026, with tokenized treasuries and stocks showing substantial growth [6] Ford's EV Strategy - Ford's US vehicle sales dropped about 5% in January, with EV sales collapsing by approximately 70% [5] - The company is working on a universal EV platform expected to be profitable by 2027-2028, while also exploring partnerships with Chinese OEMs [5] Uber's Business Model - Uber reported strong fourth-quarter results, with bookings up 22% and revenue up 20%, but guidance weighed on stock performance [5] - The long-term risk for Uber lies in the evolution of autonomous vehicles and potential market share loss to vendors like Waymo and Tesla [5]

Group 1: AMD's Sales Forecast and Market Reaction - AMD shares fell significantly, down 15%, marking its largest drop since October 2018, following a disappointing sales forecast of approximately $9.8 billion, which was below investor expectations of $10 billion [3][4][27]. - The company's revenue from China impacted margins negatively, and while revenues were recognized, the overall performance did not meet the high expectations set by the market [5][6]. - The anticipated growth in CPU and GPU segments is not expected until the second half of the year, leading to a cautious outlook among investors [7][8]. Group 2: Broader Market Trends and Software Sector Concerns - The technology sector is experiencing a selloff, with fears of disruption following the introduction of a new AI automation tool by Anthropic, leading to a significant decline in the Goldman Sachs Software Index, which has lost around $2 trillion since its peak [11][57]. - Concerns about the impact of AI on software companies are prevalent, with many investors reassessing valuations and business models in light of rapid advancements in AI technology [57][59]. - Major companies like NVIDIA and Google are also feeling the pressure, with NVIDIA's stock down and Google facing scrutiny ahead of its earnings report [12][16]. Group 3: NVIDIA's Investment in OpenAI - NVIDIA is reportedly close to finalizing a $20 billion investment in OpenAI, which would be part of a larger commitment potentially reaching $100 billion [46][48]. - This investment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen NVIDIA's position in the AI market, although details regarding the overall agreement are still being finalized [49][50]. - The relationship between NVIDIA and OpenAI is crucial for NVIDIA's long-term strategy, particularly in terms of chip usage for AI model training [69]. Group 4: Uber's Financial Outlook and New Initiatives - Uber's stock fluctuated, down 3% in premarket trading, as the company provided a weak profit outlook and announced a new CFO focused on future markets, including robotaxi initiatives [20][21][25]. - The adjusted EPS forecast for the first quarter was lower than expected, attributed to new product initiatives that have not yet yielded anticipated returns [22][23]. - Despite these challenges, underlying demand in the U.S. remains strong, and Uber expects growth to accelerate as previous risks, such as high insurance costs, are expected to abate [23][24]. Group 5: Antitrust Concerns in Streaming Industry - The Senate Committee is holding hearings on the future of self-driving cars, with significant attention on the merger between Netflix and Warner Brothers, which raises antitrust concerns [26][29]. - The merger is argued to create value for consumers and enhance opportunities for the creative community, although competitive concerns remain [31][32]. - The regulatory landscape is complex, with different standards applied in the U.S. and the EU regarding consumer benefits and competitive effects [40][41]. Group 6: Supply Chain Innovations and Market Dynamics - A new startup, Auger, founded by former Amazon supply chain chief Dave Clark, aims to provide an operating system for supply chains, emphasizing the need for contextual data integration [71][75]. - The startup is focused on addressing the challenges of disconnected data in supply chains, which is critical for operational efficiency [76][84]. - Auger's approach is seen as timely, given the current market dynamics and the increasing importance of supply chain management across various industries [80][82].

About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...