智通财经APP获悉，联合包裹(UPS.US)因难以把握市场波动而拒绝提供盈利指引，凸显了这家快递巨头 在重组网络和重振业务过程中面临的挑战。财报显示，联合包裹二季度营收 212 亿美元，同比下降 2.8%，高出市场预期；非公认会计准则每股收益为 1.55 美元，低于市场预期的1.57美元。 该公司周二表示，"鉴于当前宏观经济的不确定性"，将不会给出全年营收或营业利润预测。联合包裹仅 对2025年资本支出和股息支付作出有限预测，并表示仍预计正在进行的转型计划将实现35亿美元成本削 减。 这一模糊展望表明复苏仍遥不可及，延续了该公司自四月宣布不再更新此前预期以来的经营不确定性。 虽然今年初许多企业因特朗普总统贸易政策引发的波动暂停业绩指引，但近期已有部分企业恢复预测。 这家快递企业正竭力恢复疫情期间的业务量水平——当时居家隔离的消费者转向线上购物。由于全经济 领域需求疲软，加之工会罢工威胁导致部分客户流向竞争对手，联合包裹的业务下滑态势持续难解。 联合包裹在声明中称，二季度经调整每股收益1.55美元，略低于彭博汇编分析师平均预测的1.56美元。 包裹业务收入140.8亿美元优于预期。 为应对困境，该公司表示正在削 ...

格隆汇7月29日｜联合包裹2025年Q2营收212亿美元，去年同期218亿美元，市场预期208.6亿美元；调整 后每股收益1.55美元，市场预期为1.56美元。 ...

Exhibit 99.2 United Parcel Service, Inc. Selected Financial Data - Second Quarter (unaudited) | | | | Three Months Ended | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | June 30, | | | | | | | | 2025 | | 2024 | | Change | % Change | | (amounts in millions, except per share data) Statement of Income Data: | | | | | | | | | Revenue: | | | | | | | | | U.S. Domestic Package | $ | 14,083 | $ | 14,201 | $ | (118) | (0.8)% | | International Package | | 4,485 | | 4,370 | | 115 | 2.6 % | | Supply ...

联合包裹维持全年资本支出预期约35亿美元不变，市场预估35亿美元。 联合包裹（UPS）二季度经调整后每股收益1.55美元，预估1.56美元。 联合包裹因宏观经济不确定性未提供全年营收指引。 联合包裹已完成10亿美元股票回购计划。 联合包裹美股盘前跌超1%。 ...

联合包裹(UPS.N)盘前下跌1.5%。 ...

智通财经7月29日电，联合包裹（UPS）第二季度调整后每股收益1.55美元，市场预期为1.56美元。 ...

联合包裹(UPS.N)2025年Q2营收212亿美元，去年同期218亿美元，市场预期208.6亿美元。 ...

Core Insights - United Parcel Service (UPS) is expected to release its earnings on July 29, 2025, with historical data indicating a pattern of negative one-day returns following earnings announcements, where the stock has decreased in 60% of cases with a median drop of -6.5% [2][3] Earnings Expectations - Analysts forecast earnings of $1.57 per share on sales of $20.85 billion for the upcoming quarter, representing a decline from $1.79 per share and $21.82 billion in revenue from the same quarter last year, indicating potential challenges for the company [3] Financial Performance - UPS has a market capitalization of $87 billion and generated $91 billion in revenue over the past twelve months, achieving operational profitability with $8.5 billion in operating profits and a net income of $5.9 billion [4] Historical Earnings Reaction - Over the past five years, UPS recorded 20 earnings data points, with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns occurring approximately 40% of the time, which drops to 25% when analyzing the last 3 years [7] Post-Earnings Strategy - Traders may consider pre-earnings positioning based on historical probabilities and assess the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns after earnings to guide their strategies [6][8]

Company Overview - United Parcel Service (UPS) was founded in 1907 in Seattle, Washington, initially as the American Messenger Company, and was renamed United Parcel Service in 1919 to reflect its expanded focus on package delivery [1] Investment Philosophy - The company emphasizes the importance of identifying undervalued and promising stocks, focusing on balancing risk and reward, and believes that the best investment ideas are often the simplest [1]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that United Parcel Service (UPS) will report quarterly earnings of $1.56 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 12.9%, with revenues expected to reach $20.85 billion, down 4.4% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 1.5%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts of their initial forecasts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior regarding the stock, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts forecast 'Revenue- Supply Chain Solutions' to be $2.78 billion, indicating a year-over-year decline of 16.4% [5]. - The 'Revenue- International Package' is expected to be $4.25 billion, reflecting a decrease of 2.9% year-over-year [5]. - The consensus estimate for 'Revenue- U.S. Domestic Package' stands at $13.83 billion, showing a decline of 2.1% from the prior-year quarter [5]. Key Metrics - 'Revenue- International Package- Cargo and other' is projected to be $164.91 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 1.2% [6]. - The 'Average revenue per piece - International Package - Total' is expected to be $20.58, down from $21.42 in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Average daily package volume - International Package - Export' is estimated at 1.60 million, slightly up from 1.58 million a year ago [7]. - 'Average daily package volume - International Package - Domestic' is projected to remain at 1.49 million, consistent with the previous year's figure [7]. - 'Average revenue per piece - U.S. Domestic Package - Ground' is expected to reach $11.47, compared to $10.92 a year ago [8]. - The 'Average revenue per piece - U.S. Domestic Package - Total' is projected at $13.15, up from $12.35 in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Average revenue per piece - International Package - Domestic' is expected to be $8.02, slightly down from $8.10 a year ago [9]. - The 'Average revenue per piece - International Package - Export' is projected at $32.34, down from $33.90 in the same quarter last year [9]. - The average prediction for 'Average daily package volume - International Package - Total' is 3.09 million, compared to 3.07 million in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, UPS shares have returned +4.2%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has changed by +5.7% [11]. - UPS currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the overall market in the near future [11].