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VICI Properties: A Top REIT To Buy Below $30 (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-03 17:30
Group 1 - VICI Properties is considered a reliable investment primarily for income generation, despite its strong fundamentals as a REIT [1] - The market sentiment towards VICI Properties appears to be lukewarm, indicating a disconnect between the company's fundamentals and market perception [1] Group 2 - The analyst has a long position in VICI shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [3] - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting personal due diligence before making investment decisions [2]
VICI Properties Stock: Is Wall Street Bullish or Bearish?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-03 06:09
Core Viewpoint - VICI Properties Inc. is a leading REIT focused on gaming, hospitality, and entertainment, with a market cap of approximately $32 billion, but its stock has underperformed compared to broader market indices [1][2]. Financial Performance - VICI's Q3 topline grew 4.4% year-over-year to $1 billion, exceeding consensus estimates by 43 basis points [5]. - The company's adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share increased by 5.3% to $0.71, surpassing Street expectations by 1.6% [5]. - For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts project an AFFO of $2.37 per share, reflecting a 4.9% year-over-year increase [5]. - VICI has demonstrated a robust AFFO surprise history, exceeding estimates in each of the past four quarters [5]. Stock Performance - Year-to-date, VICI stock prices have gained 2.7%, but have declined 7.5% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index's gains of 16.3% in 2025 and 17.7% over the past year [2]. - The stock has slightly outperformed the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLRE) marginal 57 basis points uptick year-to-date, but has underperformed XLRE's 7% decline over the past 52 weeks [3]. Analyst Ratings - Among 23 analysts covering VICI, the consensus rating is a "Strong Buy," with 18 "Strong Buys," one "Moderate Buy," and four "Holds" [6]. - This rating configuration has improved slightly from two months ago, when 17 analysts recommended "Strong Buy" [7]. - Stifel analyst Simon Yarmak maintained a "Buy" rating on VICI but lowered the price target from $35 to $34 [7].
VICI(VICI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-31 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported an AFFO per share of $0.60, reflecting a 5.3% increase compared to $0.57 in Q3 2024, demonstrating the company's ability to grow earnings despite market uncertainties [5][19][21] - The company declared a dividend of $0.45 per share, marking a 4% increase from the previous dividend, representing the eighth consecutive annual dividend increase since inception [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company announced the addition of its 14th tenant, Clairvest, in connection with MGM Resorts International's agreement to sell the operations of MGM Northfield Park, with an initial annual base rent of $53 million [12][13] - The transaction will not change the total amount of rent collected by the company, as the rent under the MGM master lease will decrease by the same amount [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company remains optimistic about the casino gaming sector, despite recent challenges in Las Vegas, citing the Venetian Resort's strong performance with record hotel revenues and gaming volumes [14][16] - The convention business in Las Vegas is highlighted as a significant growth area, with convention visitors spending 33% more than average leisure visitors [16][17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company emphasizes a disciplined capital allocation strategy focused on long-term growth and risk management, avoiding oversupply and obsolescence risks [10][18] - The management is exploring opportunities in university sports infrastructure, indicating a shift towards diversifying investment beyond traditional gaming assets [32][58] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current market challenges but maintains a long-term view, believing in the resilience of Las Vegas as a premier destination [15][17] - The company is actively monitoring the evolving landscape of gaming and experiential sectors, indicating readiness to adapt to market changes [18][32] Other Important Information - The company has a total debt of $17.1 billion, with a net debt to annualized third-quarter adjusted EBITDA ratio of approximately five times, at the low end of its target leverage range [20] - The updated AFFO guidance for 2025 is projected to be between $2.51 billion and $2.52 billion, or between $2.36 and $2.37 per diluted common share, representing a year-over-year growth of 4.6% [21] Q&A Session Summary Question: How often do lease amendments come up, and how does the company approach those conversations? - The company focuses on understanding challenges and working productively to find solutions, emphasizing a track record of addressing tenant needs [23][24] Question: How might the company approach the situation with Caesars regarding regional assets? - The company plans to apply the same frameworks used in the past, focusing on win-win outcomes for both parties [26][27] Question: What non-gaming conversations is the company having, particularly regarding university-level athletic facilities? - The company is exploring opportunities in university sports infrastructure, indicating a significant interest in this area [30][32] Question: What are the implications of MGM Resorts International's decision to withdraw from the New York City license bidding process? - The company was not surprised by MGM's decision and sees potential opportunities to partner with other bidders in the future [47][49] Question: How has the company's comfort level evolved regarding working with tribes in the tribal lending landscape? - The company maintains active relationships with tribes and is open to future opportunities, emphasizing the importance of strong credit investments [83] Question: What is the company's perspective on the theme park real estate ownership? - The company has studied the theme park landscape and is interested in potential opportunities, although no transactions have been made yet [70][72]
VICI(VICI) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-31 14:00
Financial Performance & Portfolio Highlights - Net income attributable to common stockholders was $762040 thousand for the three months ended September 30, 2025[17, 22] - Adjusted EBITDA attributable to common stockholders was $825582 thousand for the three months ended September 30, 2025[17, 24] - The company owns 93 experiential assets, including 54 gaming properties and 39 other experiential properties[12] - The portfolio features approximately 127 million square feet and approximately 60300 hotel rooms[12] - The portfolio has a 400 year weighted average lease term as of September 30, 2025[16] Capital Structure & Credit Metrics - Total debt was $17097906 thousand as of September 30, 2025[17, 35] - The company has a LQA Net Leverage Ratio of 50x as of September 30, 2025[17, 36] - The company's total liquidity was $3104483 thousand, including $2352094 thousand from the Revolving Credit Facility Capacity[35] Future Outlook - The company estimates AFFO for the year ending December 31, 2025, will be between $2510 million and $2520 million, or between $236 and $237 per diluted common share[32]
VICI Properties' Q3 AFFO & Revenues Beat Estimates, Improve Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-10-31 13:31
Core Insights - VICI Properties reported third-quarter adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share of 60 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 59 cents, and reflecting a 5.3% increase from the prior-year quarter [1][9] - The company generated total revenues of $1.01 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.00 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 4.4% [2][9] - VICI Properties raised its 2025 AFFO per share outlook to a range of $2.36-$2.37, above the previous guidance of $2.35-$2.36, aligning with the Zacks Consensus Estimate [7][9] Revenue Breakdown - Income from sales-type leases was $531.8 million, a 2.5% increase year-over-year [3] - Income from lease financing receivables, loans, and securities rose to $448 million, marking a 6.9% year-over-year increase [3] - Other income for the quarter was $19.5 million, up 1.2% from the previous year, while golf revenues increased by 8.5% to $8.2 million [3] Financial Position - As of September 30, 2025, VICI Properties had cash and cash equivalents of $507.5 million, up from $233 million as of June 30, 2025 [5] - The company's total liquidity stood at $3.1 billion, which includes cash, estimated net proceeds from forward sale agreements, and availability under its revolving credit facility [5] - Total debt decreased to approximately $17.1 billion from $17.3 billion in the previous quarter [6] Strategic Developments - VICI Properties entered into a new agreement with Clairvest Group for the Northfield Park property in Northfield, OH, previously owned by MGM Resorts International [4]
VICI Properties Inc. (VICI) Surpasses Q3 FFO and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-10-30 22:26
Core Insights - VICI Properties Inc. reported quarterly funds from operations (FFO) of $0.6 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.59 per share, and showing an increase from $0.57 per share a year ago, resulting in an FFO surprise of +1.69% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.01 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.43%, and up from $964.67 million year-over-year [2] - VICI Properties has underperformed the market with a 1.7% increase in shares since the beginning of the year, compared to the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Financial Performance - Over the last four quarters, VICI Properties has surpassed consensus FFO estimates only once, but has topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] - The current consensus FFO estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.60 on revenues of $1.01 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.37 on revenues of $4 billion [7] Market Outlook - The sustainability of VICI Properties' stock price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call [3] - The estimate revisions trend for VICI Properties was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] - The REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry is currently in the top 34% of Zacks industries, suggesting a positive outlook for stocks within this sector [8]
VICI(VICI) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2025-10-30 20:20
Financial Performance - Total revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2025, were $1.01 billion, a 4.3% increase compared to $964.67 million for the same period in 2024[27]. - Net income attributable to common stockholders for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $762.04 million, up 3.9% from $732.90 million in the same period last year[27]. - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $2,204,253, compared to $2,097,037 for the same period in 2024, reflecting an increase of approximately 5.2%[32]. - Comprehensive income attributable to common stockholders of $751.13 million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $726.39 million in the same period last year[27]. - Net income attributable to partners for Q3 2025 was $770.3 million, compared to $741.5 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a 3.9% year-over-year growth[40]. - Basic and diluted net income per Partnership unit for Q3 2025 was $0.71, up from $0.70 in Q3 2024[40]. - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $2,198,582, an increase of 5.2% compared to $2,090,562 in 2024[46]. Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased to $46.54 billion as of September 30, 2025, up from $45.37 billion at December 31, 2024, representing a growth of 2.6%[24]. - Total liabilities as of September 30, 2025, were $18,422,479, slightly up from $18,400,872 as of December 31, 2024[37]. - Total stockholders' equity reached $28.10 billion as of September 30, 2025, compared to $26.95 billion at December 31, 2024, marking an increase of 4.3%[24]. - Total other assets amounted to $1,041,932,000, a slight increase from $1,030,644,000 as of December 31, 2024[136]. - Total other liabilities as of September 30, 2025, were $1,006,993,000, compared to $1,004,340,000 as of December 31, 2024[137]. Cash Flow and Investments - Cash provided by operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,818,047, compared to $1,737,401 for the same period in 2024, representing an increase of approximately 4.6%[32]. - The company reported a net cash used in investing activities of $765,460 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $662,606 for the same period in 2024[32]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period were $507,503, down from $524,615 at the beginning of the period[34]. - The company experienced a net decrease in cash of $17,112 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[34]. - Total investments in loans and securities amounted to $786,360, compared to $473,727 in the prior year, representing a substantial increase of 66.1%[46]. Dividends and Stock - The company declared dividends of $0.4500 per common share for the quarter, totaling approximately $480.97 million[29]. - The company declared dividends of $0.4325 per common share, totaling $452,885 for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[32]. - The total outstanding common stock increased from 1,042,702,763 shares on January 1, 2024, to 1,068,808,694 shares by September 30, 2025, reflecting an issuance of 12,101,372 shares from forward sale agreements[189]. - Basic earnings per share (EPS) for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $2.05, compared to $1.98 for the same period in 2024, indicating a growth of approximately 3.5%[193]. - The company had approximately 9.0 million shares of common stock available for issuance under the 2017 Stock Incentive Plan as of September 30, 2025[197]. Lease and Rental Income - Total lease revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $2.75 billion, compared to $2.69 billion for the same period in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 2.2%[110]. - Revenue from lease agreements with MGM represented 38% of total lease revenues for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024[96]. - Contractual rent from lease agreements with Caesars represented 36% of total lease revenues for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024[96]. - Properties on the Las Vegas Strip generated approximately 49% of total lease revenues for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2025[97]. - Income from sales-type leases for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $503.0 million, an increase from $494.6 million in the same period in 2024[110]. Credit Losses and Allowances - The company reported a change in allowance for credit losses of $(20.15) million for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $(31.63) million in the same period last year[27]. - The allowance for credit losses as of September 30, 2025, is $1,612,244,000, representing 3.41% of the total amortized cost of $47,291,029,000[127]. - The company recognized a $20.2 million decrease in the allowance for credit losses during the three months ended September 30, 2025, primarily due to reduced equity market volatility[128]. - The CECL allowance for unfunded commitments was $9,684,000 as of September 30, 2025, slightly up from $9,482,000 as of December 31, 2024[137]. Debt and Financing - The total debt as of September 30, 2025, was $17,097,906,000, with a carrying value of $16,762,660,000[139]. - The company had CAD borrowings of $125,720,000 and GBP borrowings of $22,186,000, both maturing on February 3, 2029[139]. - The outstanding senior unsecured notes include $2.25 billion from November 2019 Notes, $1.75 billion from February 2020 Notes, and $4.50 billion from April 2022 Notes, among others[146]. - The company recorded an unrealized loss of $2,714,000 in other comprehensive income for the three months ended September 30, 2024[163]. - The company has the option to redeem senior unsecured notes at specified prices prior to maturity, subject to certain conditions[148]. Risk Management - The company is exposed to risks in equity and debt capital markets, impacting its ability to raise capital and finance operations[274]. - Foreign currency exchange risk is managed by borrowing in the currencies of foreign investments, providing a natural hedge[275]. - The company actively monitors interest rate risks and may use interest rate swap agreements to mitigate potential impacts[273]. - The company may utilize derivative financial instruments to mitigate foreign currency risk in the future[275]. Corporate Governance - As of September 30, 2025, the company is not subject to any litigation that could materially affect its business or financial condition[172]. - The CEO reviews the consolidated income statement monthly, focusing on revenue and expense changes compared to prior periods[201]. - The company operates as a single reportable segment focused on real estate investment activities, with performance assessed using consolidated net income[200].
VICI(VICI) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-10-30 20:15
Exhibit 99.1 VICI PROPERTIES INC. ANNOUNCES THIRD QUARTER 2025 RESULTS - Announced 14th Tenant - - Updates Guidance for Full Year 2025 - - Announced 8th Consecutive Annual Dividend Increase - NEW YORK, NY – October 30, 2025 – VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE: VICI) ("VICI Properties", "VICI" or the "Company"), an experiential real estate investment trust, today reported results for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. All per share amounts included herein are on a per diluted common share basis unless otherwise ...
VICI Properties Inc. (NYSE:VICI) - A Beacon of Stability in the REIT Sector
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-30 15:00
Core Insights - VICI Properties Inc. is a leading REIT focusing on experiential properties, including gaming, hospitality, and entertainment venues, with a diverse portfolio that allows it to capitalize on the tourism and entertainment sectors [1] Price Target and Market Outlook - The consensus price target for VICI Properties' stock has shown a positive trend, with the average price target increasing from $36.67 to $37, indicating a favorable outlook from analysts [2] - Analyst Richard Anderson from Wedbush has set a price target of $33, reflecting confidence in the stock's potential despite short-term challenges in the tourism sector [5] Stock Performance and Analyst Sentiment - VICI's stock has experienced a 6.6% decline over the past four weeks but is now considered oversold, suggesting a potential trend reversal [3][6] - Analysts have revised earnings estimates upwards, indicating optimism for a turnaround in VICI's performance [3] Earnings Expectations and Financial Health - VICI Properties is expected to report positive Q3 earnings, driven by stable lease revenues and a diversified portfolio [4][6] - The company has a robust debt profile and over $600 million in retained cash flow, providing flexibility for growth [4]
Top Real Estate Stocks To Follow Now – October 28th
Defense World· 2025-10-30 08:06
Core Insights - Seven real estate stocks to watch include American Tower, Opendoor Technologies, Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Welltower, Blackstone, VICI Properties, and AGNC Investment, noted for their high trading volume recently [2] Company Summaries - **American Tower (AMT)**: A leading global REIT with over 224,000 communications sites and a significant presence in U.S. data center facilities [3] - **Opendoor Technologies (OPEN)**: Operates a digital platform for residential real estate transactions, offering services for homeowners to sell directly or list their homes [3] - **Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE)**: A life science REIT focused on collaborative life science and advanced technology campuses in key innovation areas [4] - **Welltower (WELL)**: A REIT transforming healthcare infrastructure by investing in seniors housing and health systems to enhance care delivery models [5] - **Blackstone (BX)**: An alternative asset management firm specializing in real estate and private equity, also providing capital markets services [6] - **VICI Properties (VICI)**: An experiential REIT with a portfolio of major gaming and hospitality destinations, including iconic Las Vegas properties [7] - **AGNC Investment (AGNC)**: A REIT investing in agency residential mortgage-backed securities, focusing on government-backed securities [7]