Key Takeaways from Zijin Mining Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining Group (Ticker: 2899.HK) - **Industry**: Greater China Materials - **Market Cap**: US$107.861 billion as of November 20, 2025 - **Current Stock Price**: HK$31.12 - **Price Target**: HK$46.10, representing a 48% upside potential [5][5][5] Copper Production Insights - **2025 Copper Output**: Expected to be approximately 1.1 million tons, revised down from earlier guidance of 1.15 million tons, primarily due to reduced output from the KK mine [4][7][7] - **Production Costs**: Anticipated to remain between Rmb21,000-23,000 per ton in the coming years, with a reported cost of Rmb22,100 per ton in Q3 2025 [2][2][2] - **Julong Copper Mine Phase II**: Set to commence production by the end of 2025, with an additional output of 100,000 tons expected in 2026 [1][1][1] - **Serbia Copper Complex Expansion**: Completion expected around 2027, slightly delayed due to the new block caving method requiring longer approval times [1][1][1] Lithium Production Insights - **Lakkor Tso Production**: Started in early 2025, expected to deliver 10,000 tons of Lithium Carbonate Equivalent (LCE) in 2025 and 20,000 tons in 2026, with production costs around Rmb35,000-40,000 per ton LCE [3][3][3] - **3Q Project**: Began production in September 2025, with an estimated output of 20,000-30,000 tons LCE in 2026 and a unit cost of Rmb60,000 per ton LCE [3][3][3] - **Xiangyuan Project**: Expected to start production by the end of 2025, with a capacity of 40,000 tons LCE and an expected output of 30,000 tons in 2026 at a unit cost of Rmb50,000-55,000 per ton LCE [3][3][3] - **Future Plans**: Zijin aims to achieve 250,000-300,000 tons per year of LCE lithium production by 2028 [3][3][3] Financial Performance Metrics - **Revenue Projections**: Expected net revenue for 2025 is Rmb354.239 billion, increasing to Rmb411.130 billion in 2026 [5][5][5] - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: Projected EPS for 2025 is Rmb1.97, with further growth expected in subsequent years [5][5][5] - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: Expected to be 37.5% in 2025, indicating strong profitability [5][5][5] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks**: Stronger copper prices due to robust demand or supply disruptions in key copper-producing countries, along with volume increases from project ramp-ups [11][11][11] - **Downside Risks**: Weaker copper prices driven by economic downturns, project execution misses, and geopolitical risks affecting production [11][11][11] Conclusion Zijin Mining Group is positioned for growth in both copper and lithium production, with strategic expansions and cost management in place. However, the company faces potential risks from market fluctuations and geopolitical factors that could impact its operations and profitability.

Flash | 16 Nov 2025 18:22:27 ET │ 11 pages Zijin Mining (2899.HK) What's New from Citi 2025 China Conference: Mine Gold and Copper Output Maintain Decent Growth CITI'S TAKE We hosted meetings for Zijin Mining on Nov 13th at our China Conference in Shanghai. Ms. Krystal Chen, IR Manager, attended the meeting. Below are our key takeaways. Mine gold output – Mine gold output is 65t in 9M25, +20% YoY, mainly driven by newly acquired Akyem mine and increasing output from Sawaya'erdun gold mine. Mgmt. expects the ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company announced the quarterly index review results for the Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Index, Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Select Index, and Hang Seng National Index ESG Enhanced Index, effective from December 8, 2025 [1] - The number of constituents in the Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Index will increase from 76 to 77, with the inclusion of Innovent Biologics (01801) and Zijin Mining (02899), while Cheung Kong (00001) will be removed [1][3] - The Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Select Index will also see the addition of Innovent Biologics (01801) and Zijin Mining (02899), increasing its constituents from 74 to 75, with Cheung Kong (00001) being excluded [3][4] Group 2 - The Hang Seng National Index ESG Enhanced Index will include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883), Innovent Biologics (01801), and Yum China (09987), maintaining a total of 45 constituents [5] - The inclusion of these companies reflects a focus on ESG criteria within the indices [1][5]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index Company announced the quarterly index review results for the Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Index, Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Select Index, and Hang Seng China Enterprises ESG Enhanced Index, effective from December 8, 2025 [1] - The number of constituents in the Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Index will increase from 76 to 77, with the inclusion of Innovent Biologics (01801) and Zijin Mining Group (02899), while Cheung Kong (00001) will be removed [1][3] - The Hang Seng ESG Enhanced Select Index will also see the addition of Innovent Biologics (01801) and Zijin Mining Group (02899), increasing its constituents from 74 to 75, with Cheung Kong (00001) being removed [1][3] Group 2 - The Hang Seng China Enterprises ESG Enhanced Index will include China National Offshore Oil Corporation (00883), Innovent Biologics (01801), and Yum China Holdings (09987), maintaining a total of 45 constituents [1][5] - The inclusion of these companies reflects a focus on enhancing the ESG profile of the indices [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's stock price has experienced significant fluctuations, with a year-to-date increase of 94.19% but a recent decline of 5.43% over the past five trading days [2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zijin Mining achieved a revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.33%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.864 billion yuan, showing a substantial increase of 55.45% compared to the previous year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 59.277 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 27.772 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Stock Market Activity - As of November 21, Zijin Mining's stock price was 28.39 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 754.536 billion yuan. The trading volume was 5.46 billion yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.09% [1]. - There was a net outflow of 155 million yuan in principal funds, with large orders showing a buy of 184 million yuan and a sell of 237 million yuan [1]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 529,800, reflecting a rise of 57.83% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person remained at zero [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 1.354 billion shares, a decrease of 235 million shares from the previous period [3].

每经AI快讯，南矿集团（SZ 001360，收盘价：16.53元）发布公告称，2025年11月20日下午 14:00~16:00，南矿集团接受紫金矿业投资（上海）有限公司等投资者调研，公司副董事长兼常务副总 裁龚友良等人参与接待，并回答了投资者提出的问题。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——展望"十五五" | 专访黄群慧：既要重视AI赋能千行百业，也要考量其对就业 的替代效应和带来的收入极化 （记者 曾健辉） 2025年1至6月份，南矿集团的营业收入构成为：制造业占比99.61%，其他业务占比0.39%。 ...

Core Insights - The company is focusing on transforming from an "equipment supplier" to an "operational service provider" in the precious metals mining sector, aiming for long-term high-value operational business [3] - The South American market is a key area for overseas expansion due to its rich mineral resources and compatibility with the company's technology [4] - The current order structure is dominated by black metals, with a diversified development in non-ferrous metals, particularly copper [5] Group 1: Business Strategy - The company aims to lock in long-term operational revenue by signing long-term maintenance contracts through equity participation in mining projects, with operational costs accounting for 80% of the total lifecycle cost of mining equipment [3] - The company is implementing an "investment + EPC + O" model, starting with the Brownhill gold mine project, to accumulate experience for replication in larger projects [3] Group 2: Market Expansion - The company plans to establish overseas warehouses in South America, focusing on high-value minerals such as gold, copper, and lithium, with copper being particularly prominent in the non-ferrous metal sector [4] - The overseas warehouse will typically cover an area of 10 to 20 acres and will include basic water, electricity, and logistics functions [4] Group 3: Order Structure - The order structure is characterized by a dominance of black metals, particularly iron ore, which has the highest order share due to economies of scale [5] - The company emphasizes the need to optimize the order structure to increase the proportion of high-value mineral types [5] Group 4: Competitive Advantage - The company is establishing a differentiated advantage in overseas markets through "nanny-style" services and localized technical support, which are rare among domestic companies [6] - The implementation of a smart maintenance system using 5G and IoT technology allows for predictive maintenance, enhancing equipment utilization and reducing unplanned downtime [6] Group 5: Profitability - The company's gross margin is improving due to changes in business structure, with a higher revenue share from the more profitable metal mining business compared to sand and gravel [7] - The share of after-market services, including maintenance and parts, is continuously increasing, contributing to the overall improvement in gross margin [7]

Group 1 - The target price for Zijin Mining Group's A-shares has been raised from 30.00 yuan to 37.00 yuan by DBS Group Research [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zijin Mining is "Buy" with a target price of HK$39.00, representing an expected total return of 16.7% [6][8]. Core Insights - The report presents a bullish outlook on gold and copper prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, potential FED rate cuts, and increased gold reserves in emerging countries [2][4]. - Zijin Gold aims for an output target of 100 tons per annum (tpa) by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% through 2030, primarily through internal production improvements and acquisitions [3]. - The copper supply-demand dynamic indicates a robust demand forecast, with expectations of reaching 40 million tons per annum (mntpa) by 2035, despite current output challenges faced by Zijin [4]. Summary by Sections Gold Price Outlook - Mr. Lin holds a positive view on gold prices, citing historical increases during previous economic cycles and suggesting further upside potential in the current cycle [2]. Copper Supply-Demand Dynamics - Global top-10 copper miners produced approximately 8 million tons of copper in the first nine months of 2025, with Zijin experiencing a 2% year-over-year decrease in output due to mine disruptions and logistical issues [4]. Acquisition Plans - Zijin Mining is actively seeking acquisition opportunities in copper, gold, and lithium, with specific targets in South America and Africa, aiming for a lithium capacity of 200-250 kilotons per annum by 2028 [5].

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining's stock price has experienced fluctuations, with a notable increase of 94.25% year-to-date, but a recent decline of 4.12% over the past five trading days [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of November 18, Zijin Mining's stock price was 28.40 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 754.80 billion CNY [1] - The stock has seen a trading volume of 29.85 billion CNY, with a turnover rate of 0.51% [1] - Year-to-date, the stock has increased by 94.25%, but has decreased by 4.12% in the last five trading days and 5.49% in the last twenty trading days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 254.20 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.33% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 37.86 billion CNY, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 55.45% [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Zijin Mining reached 529,800, an increase of 57.83% from the previous period [2] - The company has distributed a total of 59.28 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 27.77 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 1.35 billion shares, a decrease of 235 million shares from the previous period [3]