Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Citigroup has raised the target price for Zijin Mining's H-shares from HKD 39 to HKD 51.8 and for A-shares from CNY 35.5 to CNY 46.6, maintaining a "Buy" rating and its position as an industry favorite [1] - The upward revision of profit forecasts for the group from 2025 to 2027 is attributed to higher predictions for gold and lithium prices, as well as increased gold sales, with expected profits of CNY 51.6 billion, CNY 81.7 billion, and CNY 76.6 billion, reflecting growth rates of 1%, 29%, and 12% respectively [1] - Concerns regarding the increased control of the group by the local state-owned assets supervision and administration commission after the departure of former chairman Chen Jinghe are deemed unfounded, as the group operates differently from other provincial or central enterprises [1] Group 2 - The new board's term is set to end in 2028, and investor worries about the three-year production plan failing to meet the 2030 targets are considered excessive, with the belief that the company will provide clearer performance guidance [1] - The three-year plan is viewed as more effective than a five-year plan, and it is expected that the company will offer a rolling three-year plan without anticipating significant changes in the board by 2028 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (601899)(02899) has seen a significant increase of over 4%, currently trading at 45.3 HKD with a transaction volume of 2.272 billion HKD, driven by upgraded price targets and profit forecasts from Citigroup due to rising gold and lithium prices, as well as increased gold sales [1] Group 1: Price Target Adjustments - Citigroup has raised the target price for Zijin Mining's H-shares by 32.8% from 39 HKD to 51.8 HKD and for A-shares by 31.3% from 35.5 RMB to 46.6 RMB, maintaining a "Buy" rating and considering it a top pick in the industry [1] - The firm anticipates that Zijin Mining will gradually increase its dividend payout ratio, projecting a payout rate of 40% starting in 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Potential - Zheshang Securities (601878) views Zijin Mining as a leading global player in gold and copper resources, benefiting from a rising price trend in gold and copper amid a rate-cutting cycle and escalating geopolitical risks [1] - The company is expected to achieve simultaneous growth in volume and price due to ongoing production increases from projects like the Julong Copper Mine, Kazakhstan Gold Mine, and Allied Gold Corporation, alongside a rebound in lithium prices contributing to a third growth curve [1] - Current valuation levels are considered low within the industry, suggesting potential for valuation re-rating in the future [1]

Core Viewpoint - Zijin Mining (02899) has seen a significant increase of over 4%, currently trading at 45.3 HKD with a transaction volume of 2.272 billion HKD, driven by positive analyst upgrades and favorable commodity price forecasts [1] Group 1: Analyst Upgrades - Citigroup has raised the target prices for Zijin Mining's A-shares and H-shares by over 30%, citing increased gold and lithium price forecasts as well as higher gold sales [1] - The new target price for Zijin's H-shares is raised by 32.8% from 39 HKD to 51.8 HKD, and for A-shares from 35.5 RMB to 46.6 RMB, an increase of 31.3% [1] - Citigroup expects the company to gradually increase its dividend payout ratio, projecting a payout ratio of 40% starting in 2025 [1] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Potential - Zheshang Securities identifies Zijin Mining as a leading global player in gold and copper resources, benefiting from a rising price trend in both metals amid a declining interest rate environment and escalating geopolitical risks [1] - The company is expected to achieve volume and price increases due to ongoing production from projects like the Giant Dragon Copper Mine, Kazakhstan Gold Mine, and Allied Gold Corporation [1] - The rebound in lithium prices is anticipated to contribute to a third growth curve, significantly boosting the company's performance, with current valuation levels considered low within the industry, suggesting potential for valuation re-rating [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Huatai-PineBridge ETF (159652) in the non-ferrous metals sector, showing a stable opening price and mixed performance among its major holdings [1] - The ETF opened at 1.954 yuan with a 0.00% change, indicating stability in the market [1] - Major holdings in the ETF include Zijin Mining, which rose by 0.23%, and Huayou Cobalt, which increased by 2.25%, while other stocks like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium experienced slight declines [1] Group 2 - The performance benchmark for the Huatai-PineBridge ETF is the CSI Sub-Industry Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index return rate [1] - Since its establishment on January 16, 2023, the ETF has achieved a return of 95.20%, with a monthly return of 7.27% [1] - The fund is managed by Huatai-PineBridge Fund Management Co., Ltd., with managers Dong Jin and Sun Hao overseeing its operations [1]

Group 1 - The mining ETF (561330) opened at 2.280 yuan, experiencing a slight decline of 0.09% [1] - Major holdings in the mining ETF include Zijin Mining (+0.23%), Luoyang Molybdenum (-0.04%), Northern Rare Earth (+0.00%), Huayou Cobalt (+2.25%), China Aluminum (-0.45%), Ganfeng Lithium (+0.05%), Shandong Gold (-0.74%), Yun Aluminum (-0.19%), Zhongjin Gold (-0.72%), and Tianqi Lithium (-0.14%) [1] - The performance benchmark for the mining ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index return, managed by Guotai Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 127.98% since its establishment on October 19, 2022, and a 9.00% return over the past month [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the Invesco ETF (560290) in the context of the metal industry, showing a slight opening decline of 0.72% to 0.964 yuan [1] - The major holdings of the Invesco ETF include Zijin Mining, which opened up by 0.23%, and other companies like China Aluminum and Ganfeng Lithium showing mixed performance [1] - The performance benchmark for the Invesco ETF is the CSI Nonferrous Metals Mining Theme Index, with a return of -2.69% since its establishment on January 26, 2026 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup has raised the target prices for Zijin Mining's A-shares and Hong Kong shares by over 30%, along with an increase in profit forecasts due to higher gold and lithium price predictions and increased gold sales [1] Group 1: Target Price Adjustments - The target price for Zijin Mining's Hong Kong shares has been increased from HKD 39 to HKD 51.8 [1] - The target price for A-shares has been raised from CNY 35.5 to CNY 46.6 [1] Group 2: Profit Forecasts - Profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to CNY 51.6 billion, CNY 81.7 billion, and CNY 76.6 billion respectively, representing increases of 1%, 29%, and 12% compared to previous estimates [1] Group 3: Dividend Expectations - Analysts expect the company to gradually increase its dividend payout ratio, with a model assumption of a 40% payout rate starting in 2025 [1] Group 4: Investor Concerns - Some investors express concerns regarding the lack of a 2030 production target in the three-year production plan, as the new board's term lasts until 2028 [1] - Citigroup believes these concerns are overstated and anticipates that the company will provide clearer three-year rolling guidance [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Zijin Mining has set ambitious production targets and a long-term vision to become a leading international mining group by 2035, emphasizing its commitment to becoming a top-tier player in the global mining industry [1][2] - Zijin Mining aims to achieve a copper production target of 1.5-1.6 million tons and gold production of 130-140 tons by 2028, representing an increase of 38%-47% and 44%-56% respectively compared to 2025 [1] - The company has aggressive expansion plans in the fields of new energy and strategic metals, with lithium carbonate equivalent production targets set at 270,000-320,000 tons and molybdenum production targets at 25,000-35,000 tons, indicating explosive growth of 9-11 times and 1-2 times respectively compared to 2025 [1] Group 2 - Industry commentary highlights that Zijin Mining's production guidance reflects its ambition and strength as a leading player in the Chinese mining sector, which is expected to have a profound impact on the global mining landscape [2] - The large-scale layout in key strategic metals such as lithium and molybdenum is anticipated to reshape the global supply chain for these metals, providing essential resource support for the development of the global new energy industry [2]

Group 1 - Citigroup raised the target price for Zijin Mining's A-shares and Hong Kong shares by over 30% [1] - The increase in target price is attributed to the upward revision of gold and lithium price forecasts, as well as an increase in gold sales [1]

Summary of the Conference Call on Zijin Mining Company Overview - **Company**: Zijin Mining - **Industry**: Mining (Gold and Copper) Key Points and Arguments Financial Projections - Expected net profit for 2026 is approximately **926 billion CNY** with gold price at **100 CNY per gram** and copper price at **100,000 CNY per ton** [1] - Current PE ratio is estimated to be between **9 to 10 times**, indicating significant undervaluation compared to the industry average of **12 to 18 times** [1] Strategic Goals - By **2028**, Zijin aims to rank among the top three globally in terms of resource reserves, production, sales revenue, and profit for copper and gold [2] - The company has adjusted its production guidance, increasing gold production targets from **100 tons** to **130-140 tons** [3] Production Capacity and Growth - Copper production is projected to reach **150-160 million tons** by **2028**, surpassing competitors like Glencore and Freeport [3][8] - Significant increases in production are expected from acquisitions and expansions, including the **Kamoa Copper Mine** and **Giant Copper Mine** [7][8] - Lithium production is also targeted to grow from **2.5 million tons** to **27-32 million tons** by **2028** [5][10] Acquisition and Expansion Strategy - Recent acquisitions include the **Joint Gold Mine** and **Sakhalin Gold Mine**, which are expected to contribute significantly to production increases [5][6] - The company has a strong track record of turning around underperforming mines, such as the **Bole Copper Mine**, which was transformed from a loss-making entity to profitability within six months of acquisition [16][17] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Zijin Mining is positioned to become a leading international mining company, leveraging its technological capabilities to extract value from low-grade ores [12][18] - The company has developed a systematic approach to mining that allows it to profit from previously unprofitable assets [14][18] Industry Trends and Market Outlook - The gold and copper markets are expected to experience upward price trends due to geopolitical tensions and strategic metal reserves initiatives by major economies [19][20] - The long-term outlook for copper supply remains constrained, which could lead to price increases [20] Investment Recommendation - The current valuation of Zijin Mining is considered low, with a potential upside as the company continues to expand its production and improve operational efficiencies [22] - The company is recommended as a strong investment opportunity due to its growth potential and strategic positioning in the mining sector [22] Additional Important Insights - The company emphasizes its commitment to sustainable practices and ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) standards in its operations [4] - There are risks associated with macroeconomic fluctuations and metal price volatility that could impact short-term stock performance [21][22]