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西部证券晨会纪要-20260210
Western Securities· 2026-02-10 00:11
晨会纪要 证券研究报告 2026 年 02 月 10 日 核心结论 分析师 【有色金属】有色金属行业周报(2026.2.2-2026.2.8):情绪影响正减弱, 有色板块正重回基本面阶段 情绪影响正减弱,有色板块正重回基本面阶段。 【北交所】北交所市场周报——260202-260206:市场震荡调整,投资者规 模突破千万户新里程碑 在投资策略上,建议自下而上挖掘业绩与估值匹配的品种。随着年报业绩预 告密集披露,业绩超预期或实现边际改善的标的可能具备超额收益机会。 | 周颖 S0800520080003 | | --- | zhouying@research.xbmail.com.cn 国内市场主要指数 | 指数名称 | 收盘 | 涨跌(%) | | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4,123.09 | 1.41 | | 深证成指 | 14,208.44 | 2.17 | | 沪深 300 | 4,719.06 | 1.63 | | 上证 180 | 10,333.36 | 1.53 | | 中小板指 | 8,594.83 | 1.74 | | 创业板指 | 3,332.77 | 2.98 ...
北交所市场周报:市场震荡调整,投资者规模突破千万户新里程碑-20260209
Western Securities· 2026-02-09 14:41
行业周报 | 北交所 市场震荡调整,投资者规模突破千万户新里程碑 证券研究报告 2026 年 02 月 09 日 北交所市场周报——260202-260206 核心结论 北交所市场复盘:当周北交所全部 A 股日均成交额达 204.8 亿元,环比下降 28.7%。当周涨幅前五大个股分别为:*ST 云创(40.8%)、欧普泰(14.4%)、 亿能电力(14.2%)、灵鸽科技(13.1%)、宏远股份(12.4%);跌幅前五大 个股分别为:康农种业(-19.3%)、秋乐种业(-15.5%)、利通科技(-13.2%)、 美邦科技(-13.1%)、花溪科技(-13.1%)。 重点新闻及政策:1)十部门联合发布《低空经济标准体系建设指南(2025 年 版)》:市场监管总局会同中央空管办、国家发展改革委等十部门联合发布《低 空经济标准体系建设指南(2025 年版)》,重点围绕低空航空器、低空基础 设施、低空空中交通管理、安全监管和应用场景五大核心领域,建立技术标 准与管理规范融合、国内标准与国际规则融合、强制性标准与推荐性标准融 合、基础标准与场景标准融合的"四维融合"标准供给体系;2)上金所: 投资建议:北交所市场建设迎来 ...
西部证券晨会纪要-20260209
Western Securities· 2026-02-09 02:50
Group 1: Company Overview - Nanya Technology (688519.SH) is expected to achieve revenues of 49.48 billion, 61.75 billion, and 73.41 billion CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, with net profits of 2.24 billion, 5.11 billion, and 7.83 billion CNY respectively, leading to a target market value of 229.80 billion CNY and a target price of 97.88 CNY for 2026, receiving a "Buy" rating [2][7]. - Shunxin Agriculture (000860.SZ) is projected to have revenues of 72.6 billion, 79.6 billion, and 86.7 billion CNY from 2025 to 2027, with net profits of -1.5 billion, 0.6 billion, and 1.7 billion CNY, reflecting a significant decline in 2025 but recovery in subsequent years, and is rated "Accumulate" [4][21]. Group 2: Industry Insights - The demand for high-end CCL (Copper Clad Laminate) is expected to grow significantly, with a projected CAGR of 40% from 2024 to 2027, driven by AI and high-frequency applications, although the market is currently dominated by a few key players [8][9]. - The white liquor industry is facing significant pressure, with production showing negative growth and a shift in consumer preferences towards quality over quantity, leading to intensified competition and a focus on value rather than scale [20][21]. - The asset tokenization market is entering a new era of compliance management, providing more diverse financing channels for companies with quality underlying assets, which may optimize their financing structures and enhance compliance credibility [15][17].
解读美国关键矿产战略储备政策历史、现状与前景
Western Securities· 2026-02-08 13:30
海外政策周报 解读美国关键矿产战略储备政策 历史、现状与前景 证券研究报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 核心结论 摘要内容 美东时间 2 月 2 日,特朗普公布"金库计划"(Project Vault),该计划旨在 建立美国战略关键矿产储备,是独立管理的公私合作项目,将在美国各地的 设施中储存重要的原材料。 关键矿产储备涵盖 60 种关键矿产,涉及半导体、国防、汽车(电动汽车)、 可再生能源等行业。战争时期,为应对供给冲击,美国政府曾使用战略储备 作为短期缓冲工具,美国的战略储备规模呈上升趋势。冷战初期,关键矿产 战略储备规模一度削减。在 20 世纪 70-80 年代,战略储备规模再度扩大。 1989 年冷战结束后,随着国外物资来源被认为更加可靠,美国关键矿产储 备规模再度削减。 张蕾 S0800525060001 13124791038 zhanglei09617@xbmail.com.cn 1 | 请务必仔细阅读报告尾部的投资评级说明和声明 中国外交:习近平同美国总统特朗普通电话;习近平同俄罗斯总统普京 举行视频会晤;王毅同绍伊古进行战略沟通。 美国:特朗普反思移民执法;美国 1 月 ADP 就业人 ...
新兴产业周报20260208-20260208
Western Securities· 2026-02-08 13:29
证券研究报告 新兴产业周报20260208 西部证券研发中心 2026年2月8日 分析师 |曹柳龙 S0800525010001 李超 S0800525100001 联系人 |缪一宁 机密和专有 未经西部证券许可,任何对此资料的使用严格禁止 建议关注:新消费、固态电池、创新药 调整便是较好买点,继续超配新消费、固态电池、创新药,关注AI应用近期催化。 | 主题类别 | 主题名称 | 综合评级 | 技术面评级 | | 技术指标 | | | 盈利预期增速 | 基本面变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 120日均线±2倍标准差 | 个股轮动强度 | 实际拥挤度 | 相对位置 | (12月以来) | | | | 商业航天 | 中性 | 偏弱 | 低于+2倍标准差 | 处于高位 | 高位回落 | 偏高 | 上修后平稳 | 国内商业航天首个卫星测发技术厂房 通过预验收 | | | | | | (中性信号) | (有调整压力) | (有调整压力) | | | | | | 人形机器人 | 中性+ | 偏强 | ...
2026年地方两会有哪些关键信息?
Western Securities· 2026-02-08 13:26
固定收益周报 2026 年地方两会有哪些关键信息? 核心结论 截至 2 月 5 日,分省两会皆已召开。今年是"十五五"开局之年,作为敲定 地方经济社会发展的"施工图",2026 年地方两会透露了哪些关键信息? (一)GDP:多数省份目标增速在 5%-5.5%区间,平均增速有所降低。2026 年,31 个省份 GDP 目标增速均值为 5.12%,较 2025 年小幅调降 0.24 个百 分点,或与部分省份 2025 年未完成经济增速目标有关。具体到各省份来看, 2026 年共有 21 个省份下调 GDP 增速目标,仅江西上调 GDP 增速目标。 (二)重点工作:扩大内需、加快发展新质生产力成为共同发力点。挖掘有 效需求潜力、强化科技创新支撑引领、构建现代化产业体系,成为今年各地 政策的核心着力点。化债重点省份 2026 年前三大重点工作整体与经济大省 并无太大区别,亦在扩内需、强创新、兴产业方面发力,同时立足省情差异 化布局,兼顾短期稳增长与长期筑根基。 (三)财政方面:部分省份下调收入增速目标,多省增速维持平稳。16 省 2026 年一般公共预算收入目标增速与去年相同,8 省下调目标增速,平均目 标增速从 3 ...
电新行业周报:国家超算互联网核心节点上线,电力投资聚焦绿色转型-20260208
Western Securities· 2026-02-08 08:29
行业周报 | 电力设备 国家超算互联网核心节点上线,电力投资聚焦绿色转型 证券研究报告 2026 年 02 月 08 日 电新行业周报 20260202-20260208 核心结论 天仪研究院冲刺 A 股 IPO,国内首个商业 SAR 卫星闭环服务体系成型。 天仪研究院完成 辅导备案拟冲刺 A 股。商业航天推荐福斯特、迈为股份、明阳智能,建议关注华菱线缆、 琏升科技、东方日升、泰胜风能、钧达股份、海优新材、宇晶股份、永贵电器。 国家超算互联网核心节点上线,3 万卡国产集群筑基万亿模型算力底座。该节点是全国最 大的单体国产算力资源池,其投运将为万亿参数模型训练、高通量推理以及 AI for Science 等大规模 AI 计算场景提供高效算力服务。AI 算力数据中心配套推荐思源电气、 东方电气、四方股份、伊戈尔,建议关注联德股份、西子洁能、科士达。 特斯拉干电极工艺实现规模量产,长安汽车全球首搭宁德时代钠电池。近日,马斯克宣 布已实现干电极技术的规模化生产。长安汽车宣布宁德时代钠离子电池将全球首次搭载 于长安车型。固态电池板块推荐当升科技,建议关注先惠技术、先导智能、纳科诺尔、 宏工科技。镍钴板块推荐格林美、华 ...
宏观经济观察系列(十三):新春政策十大动向
Western Securities· 2026-02-08 05:59
宏观周报 新春政策十大动向 宏观经济观察系列(十三) 核心结论 2026 年是"十五五"开局之年,我们梳理了新春政策十大动向: 1. GDP 目标:多数省份增速定在 5%左右,经济大省挑大梁,广东、浙江设 区间目标,四川、湖北 5.5%左右,西藏 7%以上。 2. 外交动向:年初多国领导人访华,中俄元首视频会晤,中美、中德元首会 晤有望陆续举行,外事交流频繁。 3. 宏观政策:基调"稳中求进、提质增效",促物价合理回升,聚焦国内大循 环、实体经济(科技创新)、全国统一大市场建设。 4. 投资导向:推动投资于物与投资于人结合,优化政府投资结构,提高民生 投资比重。 5. 消费培育:2026 年以扩内需为首要任务,支持消费品以旧换新,重点培 育服务消费新增长点,推进消费"三新"试点。 6. 统一大市场:电力、交通、技术、数据四大领域率先突破,地方积极响应 融入全国统一大市场建设。 7. 农业发展:一号文件锚定农业农村现代化,重心转向建设农业强国,强化 粮食安全与农业质效提升。 8. 能源转型:能耗双控转向碳排放双控,国家电网"十五五"投资 4 万亿元, 推进新型电力系统建设。 9. 科技布局:各地因地制宜推动培育 ...
寰宇通汇系列九:境内资产代币化迈入合规管理新时代
Western Securities· 2026-02-07 08:41
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" [5] Core Insights - The report discusses the new regulatory framework established by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) for the issuance of asset-backed securities (ABS) tokens based on domestic assets in overseas markets, which aims to provide a compliant pathway for asset tokenization [1][2] - The regulatory guidelines define the business activities related to tokenization, ensuring they are embedded within existing laws on cross-border investment, foreign exchange management, and data security, thus eliminating the previous "grey area" of regulation [1] - The guidelines introduce a strict admission mechanism based on a "negative list" that prohibits certain entities from engaging in tokenization activities, ensuring the legitimacy and purity of the underlying assets [2] - The CSRC will oversee a pre-filing system for domestic entities wishing to issue ABS tokens, requiring comprehensive documentation to prevent false representations and ensure compliance [2] - Continuous monitoring and international regulatory cooperation are mandated post-issuance, addressing regulatory asymmetries and reducing opportunities for regulatory arbitrage [3] Summary by Sections Regulatory Framework - The CSRC's announcement on February 6, 2026, introduces a structured approach to the issuance of ABS tokens, marking a significant shift towards compliance in the asset tokenization space [5] Admission Mechanism - The guidelines specify six categories of entities that are barred from engaging in tokenization, including those posing national security risks or involved in recent criminal activities, ensuring a high standard for participation [2] Compliance Pathway - The pre-filing requirement emphasizes the CSRC's role in regulating the process, mandating detailed disclosures from domestic entities to maintain transparency and integrity in the market [2] Post-Issuance Management - The report highlights the importance of ongoing oversight and collaboration with international regulators to manage risks associated with cross-border transactions and ensure consistent regulatory practices [3]
西锐(02507):产品升级如期落地,关注后续产能订单释放
Western Securities· 2026-02-06 07:25
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][9]. Core Insights - The company has launched the visionJet G3, which features significant upgrades in consumer orientation, including a fully upgraded avionics system, enhanced cabin comfort, and improved performance metrics such as maximum flight speed and payload capacity [1][4]. - The target customer base is high-net-worth individuals rather than professional pilots, focusing on smart and safe performance upgrades to address pain points during flights, which is expected to enhance customer acquisition and market penetration [1]. - The company is expanding its production capacity and improving its delivery structure, which is anticipated to lead to better order fulfillment and increased revenue from new product lines [1][4]. Financial Projections - Revenue is projected to grow from $1,068 million in 2023 to $1,902 million in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17.1% [3][8]. - Net profit is expected to increase from $91 million in 2023 to $237 million in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 22.8% [3][8]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from $0.59 in 2023 to $0.65 in 2027, with a decreasing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio from 32.4 in 2023 to 12.4 in 2027, indicating potential valuation recovery [3][8].