Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [3][4][18] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 26.7 billion yuan in Q4 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 1%, but achieved a Non-GAAP net profit of 9.7 billion yuan, representing a 31% increase year-on-year [1][6] - The online gaming business showed strong performance with a revenue of 20.5 billion yuan in Q4 2024, a 5% increase year-on-year, driven by significant growth in PC games [10][11] - The company has a robust game pipeline, with expectations for new flagship games like "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" and the return of "Overwatch" [2][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a Non-GAAP net profit margin of 36%, up 9 percentage points year-on-year, aided by a foreign exchange gain of 1.54 billion yuan [1][6] - The sales expense ratio decreased to 11%, down 5 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting improved marketing efficiency [1][7] Gaming Segment - The mobile gaming revenue was 13.4 billion yuan, down 11% year-on-year, primarily due to a high base from the previous year, while PC gaming revenue surged to 7.1 billion yuan, up 57% [10][11] - The deferred revenue for the company reached 15.2 billion yuan, a 14% increase year-on-year, indicating strong future revenue potential [10] New Game Releases - "Marvel Showdown" performed exceptionally well, reaching the top of the Steam sales chart within 4 hours of release and accumulating over 40 million players [2][11] - The company anticipates that "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" will become another flagship game, with a growing audience over time [2][11] Other Business Segments - Youdao's revenue decreased by 10% year-on-year to 1.3 billion yuan, with learning services revenue down 21% due to selective customer acquisition strategies [12] - NetEase Cloud Music reported a revenue of 1.9 billion yuan in Q4 2024, a 5% decline year-on-year, impacted by social entertainment business challenges, but online music revenue grew by 20% in H2 2024 [14][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group (9988.HK) [4][6] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 7.6% year-on-year for Q3 FY2025, with a significant net profit increase of 239.1% [1][2] - The overall performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong results from its core businesses, Taobao and cloud services [2][3] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts upward for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, reflecting positive trends in both Taobao and cloud business [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of FY2025, Alibaba achieved a revenue of CNY 759.89 billion, a 5.6% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 117.09 billion, up 53.1% [1] - In Q3 FY2025 alone, revenue reached CNY 280.15 billion, marking a 7.6% increase, while net profit soared to CNY 48.95 billion, a 239.1% rise [1][9] Business Segments - Taobao Group's customer management revenue grew by 9% year-on-year in Q3 FY2025, benefiting from increased online GMV and improved take rates [2] - The Cloud Intelligence Group reported a 13% year-on-year revenue growth to CNY 31.74 billion, with external customer revenue increasing by 11% [3] Profitability Forecasts - The report projects non-GAAP net profits for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 to be CNY 168.19 billion, CNY 178.16 billion, and CNY 186.84 billion respectively, reflecting increases of 8.4%, 5.3%, and 1.4% [4][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Alibaba-SW (09988.HK) is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Views - The report highlights that Alibaba's e-commerce profitability has exceeded expectations, with a comprehensive focus on AI driving a reassessment of value [1] - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of HKD 1,003.56 billion in FY2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.6% [7] - The adjusted net profit forecast for FY2025-2027 is set at HKD 151.73 billion, HKD 170.68 billion, and HKD 189.13 billion, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of -3.7%, 12.5%, and 10.8% respectively [4][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY2025Q3 revenue grew by 8% year-on-year, with non-GAAP net profit increasing by 6%, outperforming Bloomberg consensus expectations [5] - The customer management revenue for Taobao increased by 9.4% year-on-year, driven by the contribution from technology service fees and improved penetration rates [5] - The international business group reported a revenue growth of 32% year-on-year, while the cloud intelligence group saw a 13% increase in revenue, with AI-related products experiencing triple-digit growth for six consecutive quarters [5] Strategic Focus - The long-term goal for Taobao remains stable market share, with an expected recovery in monetization rates in 2025 due to the iteration of advertising products and increased technology service fees [6] - The international e-commerce segment is expected to achieve breakeven in FY2026 for its B2C business [6] - Significant investments in AI and cloud infrastructure are anticipated, with projected expenditures over the next three years exceeding the total of the past decade [6] Shareholder Returns - The remaining share buyback program is valued at USD 20.7 billion, approximately 6% of the current market capitalization, valid until March 2027 [6]

股价走势图 数据来源：聚源 -30% 0% 30% 60% 90% 120% 2024-02 2024-06 2024-10 2025-02 阿里巴巴-W 恒生指数 相关研究报告 商贸零售/互联网电商 阿里巴巴-SW（09988.HK） 电商盈利超预期改善，全面布局 AI 驱动价值重估 2025 年 02 月 21 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/2/21 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(港元) | 138.50 | | 一年最高最低(港元) | 139.60/65.800 | | 总市值(亿港元) | 26,325.55 | | 流通市值(亿港元) | 26,325.55 | | 总股本(亿股) | 190.08 | | 流通港股(亿股) | 190.08 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 29.09 | 《FY2025Q2 业绩符合预期，关注电商 竞争格局 —港股公司信息更新报告》 -2024.11.18 《国内电商份额趋稳，待货币化率提 升驱动盈利拐点 —港股公司信息更 新报告》-2024.8.17 《电商战略成效初现，双重上市有望 驱动流动性改善—港股公司信息更新 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Baidu Group-SW is "Buy" (maintained) [6][13]. Core Views - The growth of intelligent cloud services is accelerating due to AI, and the advertising business is expected to gradually recover with the macroeconomic environment and AI search commercialization [6]. - The non-GAAP net profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been slightly adjusted to 27.1 billion and 29.4 billion CNY respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 32 billion CNY, corresponding to year-on-year growth rates of 0.2%, 8.7%, and 8.7% [6]. - The current stock price of 88.35 HKD corresponds to a PE ratio of 8.7, 8.0, and 7.4 for 2025-2027 [6]. Financial Summary and Valuation Indicators - Revenue for 2023 was 134.6 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 8.8%. For 2024, revenue is expected to decline slightly by 1.1% to 133.1 billion CNY, followed by a growth of 3.2% in 2025 [9]. - Non-GAAP net profit for 2023 was 28.7 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 39.0%. The forecast for 2024 is a decline of 6.1% to 27.0 billion CNY, with a slight recovery in 2025 [9]. - The gross margin for 2025 is projected to be 51.3%, while the net margin is expected to be 19.7% [9]. - The diluted EPS for 2025 is estimated at 9.4 CNY, with a PE ratio of 8.7 [9].

港股公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 宏信建发（09930） 证券研究报告 低估值高空作业平台租赁龙头，海外布局打造成长新动能 建筑设备租赁市场龙头企业，首次覆盖给予"买入"评级 公司背靠大股东远东宏信，作为国内最大的设备运营服务商，截至 24Q3 高空作业平台设备保有量 21.48 万台。公司的核心逻辑有三点，一是加大 海外业务扩张将设备转移至高回报地区；二是国内高空作业平台竞争格局 已基本稳固，国内高空作业平台租金或迎来涨价阶段；三是轻资产模式持 续巩固龙头规模优势。我们预测宏信建发 24-26 年归母 净利润为 9/10.4/12.2 亿元，增速分别为-6.3%/+15.7%/+16.5%，对应 EPS 分别为 0.28/0.33/0.38 元，参考可比公司 25 年 21 倍平均 PE，考虑到港股市场折 价以及流动性问题，我们认可给予宏信建发 25 年 5 倍 PE，对应目标价 1.75 港元和总市值为 55.8 亿港币，首次覆盖给予"买入"评级。我们认为宏信 建发 PB 仅 0.33 倍，资产存在一定低估，公司 24 年中期分红每股 0.05 港 元，对应 2025/1/24 收盘股息率为 4%，高股息提 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 105.3 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.91%, and a net profit of 29.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.96% [4]. - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 26.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.45% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.05%, with a net profit of 8.8 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 33.18% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 34.08% [4]. - The company is expected to benefit from new product cycles, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 34.2 billion yuan, 39 billion yuan, and 42.4 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to EPS of 10.7 yuan, 12.1 yuan, and 13.2 yuan [4]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue from games and related value-added services in Q4 2024 was 21.2 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [4]. - The revenue from online music services in 2024 saw a 22% increase, with a gross margin of 33.7%, up by 7 percentage points year-on-year [6]. - The company’s operating profit for Youdao turned positive for the first time in 2024, driven by innovation and AI integration [6]. Product Performance - The game "Marvel Showdown" quickly topped the Steam global sales chart after its overseas launch, with over 10 million registered users within 72 hours, and currently surpassing 40 million [5]. - The game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" achieved over 3 million downloads within four days of its domestic launch, with total players exceeding 15 million within two weeks [5]. - The return of Blizzard games like "World of Warcraft" and "Hearthstone" has positively impacted the company's PC game revenue, with further growth expected from the recent return of "Overwatch" [5]. Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 120.97 billion yuan, 135.22 billion yuan, and 146.33 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.9%, 11.8%, and 8.2% [7]. - The net profit projections for the same years are 34.23 billion yuan, 38.98 billion yuan, and 42.37 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 15.3%, 13.9%, and 8.7% [7]. - The company’s current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.0, 12.3, and 11.3 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [7].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on the company with a "Buy" rating, setting a target price of 1.75 HKD based on a 5x PE for 2025, reflecting a total market capitalization of 5.58 billion HKD [5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leading player in the construction equipment rental market, with a focus on expanding its overseas operations and leveraging a light asset model to maintain its competitive edge [1][2][4]. - The domestic high-altitude work platform rental market is stabilizing, with rental prices expected to rise, enhancing profit margins for the company [3]. - The company has demonstrated strong growth in revenue and net profit, with a projected net profit of 9/10.4/12.2 billion RMB for 2024-2026, reflecting a growth rate of -6.3%/+15.7%/+16.5% [1]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading high-altitude work platform rental provider in China, backed by its major shareholder, Far East Horizon. As of Q3 2024, it has a fleet of 214,800 high-altitude work platforms [1][12]. - The company has established a comprehensive service capability, integrating equipment rental, engineering services, and platform services [19]. International Expansion - The company is actively expanding its overseas presence through a "3+3+3" international strategy, targeting high-growth markets in Southeast Asia and the Middle East. It has established 44 overseas outlets across seven countries, with an overseas asset management scale exceeding 2.7 billion RMB [2][50][55]. - The profitability of overseas operations is significantly higher, with diesel arm vehicles priced three times higher than in China, while diesel costs are only half [2][52]. Market Dynamics - The domestic high-altitude work platform market has seen a significant increase in equipment ownership, with projections indicating a rise from 530,000 units in 2023 to 650,000 units in 2024. The company's market share in this segment has grown to 34% [3]. - The rental prices for high-altitude work platforms are expected to increase by 10% as major manufacturers have announced price hikes, indicating a favorable market environment [3]. Business Model and Financial Performance - The company has successfully implemented a light asset model, increasing its managed equipment from 4,600 units in 2021 to 72,600 units in H1 2024, with a significant rise in the proportion of light asset management [4][21]. - Revenue growth has been robust, with a CAGR of 38.28% from 2019 to 2023, and a projected revenue of 4.877 billion RMB in H1 2024, reflecting a 16% year-on-year increase [21][37].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4][12] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 105.3 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 2.91%, and a net profit of 29.7 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.96% [4] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue of 26.7 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 1.45% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.05%, with a net profit of 8.8 billion CNY, marking a year-on-year increase of 33.18% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.08% [4] - The company is expected to benefit from new product cycles, with projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 34.2 billion CNY, 39 billion CNY, and 42.4 billion CNY respectively, corresponding to EPS of 10.7 CNY, 12.1 CNY, and 13.2 CNY [4] Revenue and Profitability - The company's revenue from games and related value-added services in Q4 2024 was 21.2 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 1.4% [4] - The company’s online music service revenue grew rapidly, with a 22% increase in subscription revenue for cloud music in 2024, achieving a gross margin of 33.7% [6] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 28.2%, with a projected net profit margin of 28.3% for 2025 [7] Product Performance - The game "Marvel Showdown" launched overseas on December 6, 2024, quickly topped the Steam global sales chart, with over 10 million registered users within 72 hours, and currently surpassing 40 million [5] - The game "Yanyun Sixteen Sounds" saw over 3 million downloads within four days of its domestic launch, with total players exceeding 15 million within two weeks [5] - The return of Blizzard games such as "World of Warcraft" and "Hearthstone" has positively impacted the company's revenue, with the recent return of "Overwatch" expected to further boost earnings [5] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 120.97 billion CNY, 135.22 billion CNY, and 146.33 billion CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.9%, 11.8%, and 8.2% [7] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 14.0, 12.3, and 11.3 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price raised from HKD 13.00 to HKD 14.00 [3][6][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a core profit growth of 6.8% for 2024, exceeding expectations by 7%, and maintained its interim dividend at HKD 0.81 per share, leading to a total dividend of HKD 1.08 for the year [1][3]. - Total revenue for 2024 increased by 6.2% to HKD 3.409 billion, supported by a 9.8% growth in retail rental income due to the opening of newly renovated luxury brand flagship stores [1][11]. - The company is optimistic about its transformation strategy, which includes attracting higher-paying tenants and optimizing tenant mix, particularly in its shopping malls [2][3]. Financial Performance Summary - The company achieved a net profit of HKD 35 million in 2024, a significant recovery from a loss of HKD 872 million in 2023, with a notable reduction in fair value losses on investment properties [1][11]. - The net debt increased by 2% to HKD 24.303 billion, resulting in a net gearing ratio of 51.1% [1][11]. - The financing cost decreased by 5.9% year-on-year, primarily due to exchange gains from the depreciation of the Renminbi [1][11]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted upwards by 8.7% and 9.3%, respectively, reflecting the anticipated benefits from ongoing transformation initiatives [13]. - Core profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have also been revised upward by 7.7% and 9.5%, respectively [13]. Valuation Metrics - The company currently has a price-to-book ratio of 0.19 and an attractive dividend yield of 8.6% [3][11]. - The projected earnings per share for 2024 is HKD 1.90, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.6 [4][11].