Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7]. Core Insights - The company focuses on the Asian container shipping market, establishing a leading position through specialized and stable operations, particularly in the Southeast Asian market [6][20]. - The ongoing industrial transfer, accelerated by U.S. tariff policies, is expected to sustain long-term demand in the Southeast Asian region [6][9]. - The emergence of new alliance models and various disruptions are likely to benefit the flexibility of smaller vessels [6][10]. - Limited new ship supply may lead to negative growth in capacity in the future, particularly for smaller container ships [6][10]. - The company is projected to achieve revenues of $3.086 billion in 2025, with a slight growth of 0.93% year-on-year [5][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has developed into a leading container shipping enterprise in Asia, focusing on container shipping and logistics since its establishment in 1991 [20][25]. - It operates 78 trade routes covering major ports across Asia, with 98% of its capacity dedicated to the Asian market [25][28]. Market Competition - The Asian container shipping market is characterized by relatively low concentration and intense competition, with no significant price wars [37][41]. - The company has leveraged its scale advantages and cost efficiencies to stand out in this competitive landscape [51][52]. Industrial Transfer and Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the industrial transfer from China to Southeast Asia is expected to increase shipping demand, particularly for smaller vessels [6][67]. - The flexibility of smaller vessels is emphasized as a key advantage in the changing market dynamics [6][10]. Financial Projections and Valuation - The company is expected to see revenues of $3.086 billion in 2025, with a projected net profit of $1.042 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 1.28% [5][7]. - Historical valuation ranges from 10-20 times, with current estimates suggesting a low valuation of 5-7 times PE, indicating potential for valuation recovery [6][7].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Chow Tai Fook, but it provides insights into the company's performance and expectations for future profitability [4][8]. Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook's overall retail sales value (RSV) declined by 11.6% year-on-year in FY25Q4, with the Mainland market and Hong Kong/Macao markets experiencing declines of 10.4% and 20.7% respectively, primarily due to macroeconomic factors and high gold prices affecting consumer sentiment [1][9]. - Despite the decline in same-store sales volume, the company successfully increased the RSV share of high-margin products by optimizing its product mix and adjusting pricing, leading to an increase in same-store average selling price (ASP) [1][11]. - The ASP for gold jewelry in Mainland China rose to HK$6,400, a 14.3% increase from HK$5,600 in FY24, while in Hong Kong and Macau, it rose to HK$8,600, a 14.7% increase from HK$7,500 [1][9]. Summary by Sections Retail Performance - In FY25Q4, same-store RSV in the Mainland market decreased by 10.4%, with direct-managed and franchised stores seeing declines of 13.2% and 8.7% respectively. The Hong Kong and Macau markets recorded a 22.5% decline in same-store RSV [2][10]. - The high gold prices have suppressed consumer willingness to purchase gold jewelry, impacting sales of gram-weight products [2][10]. Product Strategy - The company accelerated the introduction of set-price products, which accounted for 19% of total RSV in FY25, exceeding the initial target of 15%. This proportion is expected to increase to 20%-23% in FY26 [3][11]. - The RSV share of priced products in the gold jewelry category rose from 9.4% in FY24Q4 to 25.6% in FY25Q4, surpassing management expectations [3][11]. Store Network Optimization - Chow Tai Fook closed 896 stores in the Mainland market during FY25, primarily underperforming locations, with a total of 6,423 stores globally as of FY25Q4 [5][12]. - The company opened two new image stores in Shanghai and Wuhan, achieving higher productivity levels compared to closed stores, with average monthly sales of approximately HK$1 million [5][12]. Collaborative Products - In March 2025, Chow Tai Fook launched a co-branded gold jewelry collection with Chiikawa, featuring nine designs that sold out quickly, indicating strong market demand for innovative products [6][13].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, New Energy (2688 HK), with a target price of HKD 74.60, indicating a potential upside of 21.4% from the current closing price of HKD 61.45 [4][9]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2025 saw gas sales remain stable, influenced by a warm winter, with retail gas volume growing by 0.3% year-on-year, outperforming the mainland's natural gas apparent consumption decline of 2.2% [2][7]. - The management indicated that the warm winter impacted gas sales by approximately 2-3 percentage points, with residential gas sales increasing by 1.1% year-on-year [2][7]. - The privatization plan is progressing steadily, with expectations for shareholder approval in the fourth quarter of this year [7][8]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: RMB 113,858 million - 2024: RMB 109,853 million - 2025E: RMB 116,552 million (6.1% growth) - 2026E: RMB 122,701 million (5.3% growth) - 2027E: RMB 129,239 million (5.3% growth) [3][11]. - Net profit estimates are: - 2023: RMB 6,816 million - 2024: RMB 5,987 million - 2025E: RMB 7,174 million (3.2% growth) - 2026E: RMB 7,782 million (8.5% growth) - 2027E: RMB 8,098 million (4.1% growth) [3][11]. - The company maintains a dividend yield of 4.6% in 2023, projected to increase to 7.0% by 2027 [3][11]. Operational Performance - The company expects retail gas volume and energy sales to grow by 2.2% and 12% respectively in 2025, despite the warm winter's impact [7][8]. - The number of new residential connections decreased by 16% year-on-year to 287,000, with a ratio of new to old homes at 3:1 [7][8]. - The energy business saw a sales volume increase of 9.9% year-on-year to 10 billion kWh, with 14 new projects becoming operational [7][8]. Market Position - The company's market capitalization stands at approximately HKD 68,286.31 million, with a 52-week high of HKD 79.30 and a low of HKD 45.25 [6][9]. - The stock has shown a year-to-date change of 10.03% [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Li Ning, with a target price of HK$16.00, indicating a potential upside of 6.5% from the current price of HK$15.00 [2][12]. Core Insights - Li Ning's 1Q25 performance was in line with expectations, with a focus on product category expansion in 2025, which is designated as an investment year for the company [1][6]. - The company anticipates flat revenue growth for 2025, with a high single-digit net profit margin, as it invests heavily in brand partnerships and product development around the upcoming Olympic Games [6][12]. - The report highlights a strong performance in the running category, with over 20% growth, while basketball and sports lifestyle categories are experiencing declines [4][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 1Q25, Li Ning's revenue growth was low single-digit, with direct channel sales declining due to a reduction in the number of directly managed stores [3][10]. - The company achieved a sell-through rate of approximately 5X in inventory to sales ratio, with improvements in discount rates across various channels [3][10]. Product Development - Li Ning's retail sales mix for 2024 shows running (28%), fitness (15%), basketball (21%), and casual (35%) categories, with respective growth rates of 25%, 6%, -21%, and -6% [4][11]. - New product launches are planned across all categories for 2025, including specialized running shoes and basketball models, with significant sell-out rates reported for certain lines [4][11][12]. Market Strategy - The company has secured partnerships with the Chinese Olympic Committee and plans to enhance its brand presence through sponsorships and collaborations with sports stars [6][12]. - Li Ning's channel adjustments are nearing completion, positioning the company for a potential brand upcycle post-2025 [7][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 40.30 [6][4]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for Q1 2025 reached RMB 36.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1%, with a notable decline in mobile metal frame revenue, while automotive business revenue nearly doubled [1]. - The gross margin was reported at 6.3%, down by 0.6 percentage points, primarily due to the reduced contribution from high-margin mobile metal frame revenue [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB 620 million, reflecting a 2% increase year-on-year [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted downwards by 13%, 11%, and 11% respectively, leading to expected net profits of RMB 50.3 billion, RMB 60.7 billion, and RMB 69.4 billion [4][11]. - The company anticipates revenue growth driven by North American major clients and the automotive sector, with expected profit contributions of RMB 5 billion and RMB 6 billion respectively from these segments [2]. New Growth Drivers - The new intelligent product segment, particularly the "data center + robotics" business, is expected to become a significant growth driver, with projected revenue contributions of RMB 30-50 billion from the data center business in 2025 [3]. - The robotics business is positioned to enhance the company's "intelligent ecosystem," leveraging its capabilities in robotic components and assembly [3]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s estimated PE ratio for 2025 is 13.24, which is below the industry average of 14.9, indicating potential undervaluation [14]. - The report highlights a market capitalization of HKD 71.7 billion and a closing price of HKD 31.80 as of April 28 [7][6]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from RMB 1.79 in 2023 to RMB 3.08 in 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [5][18]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to stabilize around 14.67% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 16.04% by 2027 [5][18].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Li Ning is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][5][13] Core Views - In the first quarter of 2025, Li Ning's retail sales recorded low single-digit growth year-on-year, with improvements in discount rates compared to the previous year [2][3] - The management maintains guidance for flat revenue growth and a high single-digit net profit margin for the year 2025 [10][12] - The company achieved steady revenue growth despite a challenging operating environment and continued contraction in offline channels, while maintaining good operational quality [3][13] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Performance - As of March 31, 2025, Li Ning's retail sales (excluding Li Ning YOUNG) recorded low single-digit growth year-on-year, with offline channels showing low single-digit growth and e-commerce virtual stores achieving a growth rate in the low double digits [2][3] - The total number of sales points in China was 6,088, a net decrease of 29 from the end of the previous year [2] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is 2.51 billion, 2.83 billion, and 3.04 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year changes of -16.8%, +12.8%, and +7.6% respectively [3][14] - The target price is set between 17.9 and 19.2 HKD, corresponding to a 2025 PE ratio of 17.2-18.5x [3][13] Inventory and Discount Rates - The inventory turnover ratio slightly increased to 5 months, indicating a healthy inventory level [4][3] - Discounts in both online and offline channels improved, although the trend showed signs of weakening in April [4][12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD [10] Core Views - The target price for BYD shares is adjusted to HKD 458.8, representing a potential upside of 20% for the Hong Kong stock and RMB 444.0 for the A-share, with a potential upside of 23% [2][6] - BYD's first-quarter performance sets a growth tone for 2025, with a projected sales volume of 5.5 million vehicles for the year, driven by significant advancements in smart driving technology [10] - The report anticipates a doubling of BYD's overseas sales this year, while single-vehicle profitability is expected to remain stable [10] Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for BYD from 2023 to 2027 are as follows: - 2023: RMB 602,315 million - 2024: RMB 777,102 million - 2025E: RMB 892,238 million - 2026E: RMB 1,053,310 million - 2027E: RMB 1,186,221 million - Revenue growth rates are projected at 42% for 2023, 29% for 2024, and gradually decreasing to 13% by 2027 [3][11] - Net profit forecasts are: - 2023: RMB 30,041 million - 2024: RMB 40,254 million - 2025E: RMB 49,632 million - 2026E: RMB 60,562 million - 2027E: RMB 70,470 million - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 81% in 2023, 34% in 2024, and tapering to 16% by 2027 [3][11] Performance Analysis - In Q1 2025, BYD's revenue reached RMB 170,360 million, a 36% year-on-year increase, while net profit doubled to RMB 9,155 million [12] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was reported at 20.1%, showing a decline of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year but an increase of 3.1 percentage points from the previous quarter [12] - The automotive sales volume in Q1 2025 was 1,000,804 units, reflecting a 60% year-on-year growth [12] Valuation Methodology - The report employs a sum-of-the-parts valuation method, assigning price-to-earnings ratios of 28.0x for the electric vehicle segment, 17.0x for mobile and electronic businesses, and 10.0x for other segments, leading to target prices of HKD 458.8 and RMB 444.0 [10][14]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for Chow Tai Fook, but it discusses expectations for gross profit margin and operating profit margin improvements, indicating a positive outlook for the company [1][9][11]. Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook's overall retail sales value (RSV) declined by 11.6% year-on-year in FY25Q4, with the Mainland market and Hong Kong, Macau, and other markets experiencing declines of 10.4% and 20.7% respectively, primarily due to macroeconomic factors and high gold prices affecting consumer sentiment [1][10]. - Despite the decline in same-store sales volume, the company successfully increased the RSV share of high-margin products through product mix optimization and flexible pricing adjustments, leading to an increase in same-store average selling price (ASP) [1][9][11]. - The ASP for gold jewelry in Mainland China rose to HK$6,400, a 14.3% increase from the previous year, while in Hong Kong and Macau, it increased to HK$8,600, a 14.7% rise [1][9]. Summary by Sections Retail Sales Performance - In FY25Q4, same-store RSV in the Mainland market decreased by 10.4%, with direct-managed and franchised stores seeing declines of 13.2% and 8.7% respectively. The Hong Kong and Macau markets recorded a 22.5% decline in same-store RSV [2][10]. - The high gold prices have suppressed consumer willingness to purchase gold jewelry, impacting sales of gram-weight products [2][10]. Product Strategy - The company accelerated the introduction of set-price products, achieving a 19% share of total RSV in FY2025, exceeding the initial target of 15%. This share is expected to rise to 20%-23% in FY2026 [3][11]. - The RSV share of set-price products in the gold jewelry category increased from 9.4% in FY24Q4 to 25.6% in FY25Q4, surpassing management expectations [3][11]. Store Network Optimization - Chow Tai Fook closed 896 stores in the Mainland market during FY2025, primarily underperforming locations, with a total of 6,423 stores globally as of FY25Q4 [5][12]. - The company opened two new image stores in Shanghai and Wuhan, achieving higher productivity levels compared to closed stores, with average monthly sales of approximately HK$1 million [5][12]. Collaborative Products - In March 2025, Chow Tai Fook launched a co-branded gold jewelry collection with Chiikawa, featuring nine designs that sold out quickly, indicating strong market demand for innovative products [6][13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1][7] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 20.1 billion yuan in FY24, representing a year-on-year increase of 7.5%, with a shareholder loss of 0.691 billion yuan, an improvement from a loss of 1.050 billion yuan in the same period last year [2] - The raw milk business showed strong growth, while the ruminant animal breeding solutions business faced challenges, with revenues of 15.1 billion yuan and 5 billion yuan respectively for FY24, reflecting year-on-year changes of +17.0% and -13.7% [3] - The company’s cash EBITDA for FY24 reached 5.32 billion yuan, a significant increase of 38.3% year-on-year, indicating strong operational performance despite accounting losses from biological asset impairments [4] - The raw milk price is expected to enter a reversal cycle, with the company positioned to benefit as a leading player in the industry, anticipating a recovery in demand alongside supply-side adjustments [5] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company’s revenue for FY24 was 20.1 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 10.05 billion yuan for H2 FY24, showing a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [2] - The gross margin for FY24 was 28.8%, an increase of 4.9 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to lower raw material prices and improved operational management [4] Business Segments - The raw milk segment achieved a revenue of 15.1 billion yuan in FY24, with a volume of 3.6695 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 24.6%, while the average selling price (ASP) decreased by 6.1% to 4.12 yuan/kg [3] - The company has increased its dairy cow inventory to 622,000 heads, a year-on-year increase of 6.7%, enhancing its production capacity [3] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for FY25 and FY26 to 22.25 billion yuan and 24.49 billion yuan respectively, with an additional forecast for FY27 at 25.79 billion yuan [6] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for FY25 and FY26 have been revised to 0.17 yuan and 0.28 yuan respectively, with a new forecast for FY27 at 0.38 yuan [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Li Ning is "Buy" (maintained) [2][6] Core Views - The report indicates that Li Ning's Q1 performance met expectations, with low discount sales improving and strong growth in running and e-commerce segments. The company focuses on professional sports, increasing resource allocation and expanding new products to cater to niche markets and emerging sectors [6][7][9] Financial Summary and Valuation Metrics - For the fiscal year 2023, Li Ning reported a revenue of 27,598 million HKD, with a year-on-year growth of 7.0%. The projected revenue for 2025 is 28,742 million HKD, reflecting a minimal growth of 0.2% [10] - The net profit for 2023 was 3,187 million HKD, showing a decline of 21.6% year-on-year. The estimated net profit for 2025 is 2,459 million HKD, indicating a further decline of 18.4% [10] - The gross margin for 2023 was 48.4%, with a projected gross margin of 49.8% for 2025. The net margin is expected to decrease from 11.5% in 2023 to 8.6% in 2025 [10] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2025 is projected at 14.6, with a price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.4 [10] Operational Insights - In Q1 2025, Li Ning's total store count was 6,088, a decrease of 2% year-on-year. The company plans to close 10-20 direct stores and open 30-40 wholesale stores throughout the year [8] - The report highlights that the running category saw over 20% growth, driven by sponsorship of events and strong performance of new running shoe products [7][9]