How should we interpret these comments from uh Waller. Uh you know Fed governor of course we have a meeting coming up in July. Also Waller has been floated as a potential successor to J Pal.How do you view it as someone who's a market participant. We are certainly getting mixed signals u as far as you know where what the Fed is thinking and where the path of interest rates may go from here. Uh we saw a little bit of a tick up this week in CPI.So, but overall inflation has been relatively tame in spite of th ...

Core Insights - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) experienced a significant Power Inflow at a price of $243.05, indicating a potential uptrend and serving as a bullish signal for traders [3][4][9] Trading Signals - The Power Inflow occurred within the first two hours of market open, suggesting the overall trend for TSM's stock for the remainder of the day is influenced by institutional activity [6] - Following the Power Inflow, TSM's stock reached a high price of $248.27 and a close price of $245.11, resulting in returns of 2.1% and 0.9% respectively [9] Order Flow Analytics - Order flow analytics, which involves analyzing the flow of buy and sell orders, helps traders make informed decisions by understanding market conditions and identifying trading opportunities [5][7] - Active traders interpret the Power Inflow as a bullish signal, emphasizing the importance of incorporating such analytics into trading strategies [5][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $300 [7][24]. Core Insights - The company reported Q2 2025 revenue of $30.07 billion, exceeding guidance due to strong demand for 3nm and 5nm processes, with a gross margin of 58.6% [1][12]. - The company raised its 2025 revenue growth guidance to approximately 30%, up from nearly 25% previously, and expects capital expenditures to remain between $38 billion and $42 billion [1][14]. - The report highlights the ongoing strong demand for AI and HPC, with HPC revenue increasing by 14% quarter-over-quarter, now accounting for 60% of total revenue [2][12]. Revenue and Profitability - The company expects Q3 2025 revenue to be between $31.8 billion and $33.0 billion, with a gross margin forecast of 55.5% to 57.5% [1][14]. - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upward by 1.9%, 1.7%, and 1.1% respectively, while net profit estimates have been adjusted to NT$1,528 billion, NT$1,820 billion, and NT$2,156 billion [5][24]. Capacity and Technology - The company maintains its capital expenditure budget for 2025 at $38 billion to $42 billion, with ongoing production plans for N2 and A16 processes [4][30]. - The report emphasizes the tight supply-demand balance for N3 and N5 nodes, with expectations for increased AI product transitions to N3 in the coming years [31]. Market Position and Valuation - The company is positioned as a leader in semiconductor foundry services, with a projected PE ratio of 25x for 2026, compared to a median of 21x for comparable companies [5][26]. - The target price of $300 reflects a significant increase from the previous target of $227.98, based on the anticipated growth in earnings per share [24][26].

Here's our initial take on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing's (TSM 3.42%) fiscal 2025 second-quarter financial report.Key MetricsMetricQ2 2024Q2 2025Changevs. ExpectationsNet revenue$20.8 billion$30.1 billion+44%MissedEarnings per share$1.48$2.47+67%BeatGross margin53.2%58.6%+5.4 ppn/aWafer shipments (thousand 12-inch equiv)3,1253,718+19%n/aTSMC Noted Strong Demand for Leading NodesTSMC, as it is better known, missed analyst expectations for revenue in the second quarter, but currency exchange rate fluctu ...

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of core values such as Excellence, Integrity, Transparency, and Respect for long-term success in the investment sector [1] - The author invites readers to provide constructive criticism and feedback to enhance the quality of future work [1] Group 2 - There is a disclosure stating that the author has no stock, option, or similar derivative position in any mentioned companies and no plans to initiate such positions within the next 72 hours [1] - The article expresses personal opinions and does not receive compensation from any company mentioned, aside from Seeking Alpha [1]

Company Overview - Invictus Origin is a high-alpha investment company founded by Oliver Rodzianko in May 2025, aiming to deliver among the highest annual returns globally [1] - The company is developing innovative portfolio strategies, particularly through its flagship High-Alpha Black Swan Portfolio, designed to outperform leading indices like the Nasdaq-100 [1] Investment Strategy - The Invictus Hydra Portfolio maintains approximately 20% in dynamic cash reserves, allowing for strategic value investing during significant market disruptions [1] - The investment process emphasizes fundamental valuation, long-term market cycles, and sector expertise in technology, semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and energy [1] Leadership and Expertise - Oliver Rodzianko has extensive experience as a macro-focused investment analyst and has built a strong reputation through platforms like Seeking Alpha, TipRanks, and GuruFocus [1] - As CEO, Oliver leverages his expertise to establish a firm characterized by resilience, performance, and disciplined capital stewardship [1]

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing TodayTSMTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing$245.19 +7.63 (+3.21%) 52-Week Range$133.57▼$248.59Dividend Yield1.01%P/E Ratio31.52Price Target$236.25Add to WatchlistThere have been a few times in the stock market when investors received a clear signal, as they do right now, with a focus on the technology sector amid a race for artificial intelligence dominance and a broader market share for the United States. As trade tariffs begin to create more uncertainty and rivalry with ...

Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding an additional layer of due diligence [1] Market Focus - The primary focus is on stocks in the US market, although there is openness to owning shares in less stable economies, referred to as "banana republics" [1] - The investor's approach is characterized by a willingness to engage in high-risk, illiquid options, highlighting a unique investment philosophy [1]

ROMAINE: DON'T WORRY, BLOOMBERG "OPEN INTEREST" STARTS RIGHT NOW. SONALI: COMING UP, RETAIL SALES SIZZLE AS AMERICANS KEEP SPENDING. AND NETFLIX IS GOING TO TAKE THE EARNINGS SPOTLIGHT AFTER THE BELL. A LOT RIDING ON THE COMPANY'S OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS AHEAD. AND A MULTIBILLION-DOLLAR DEAL. RUBBER IS TEAMING UP WITH LUCID TO LAUNCH A ROBOTAXI FLEET. FIRST WE HAVE SOME STOCKS TO WATCH BEFORE THE MARKET OPENS. ROMAINE: KEEP AN EYE ON THE CHIP STOCKS. TSMC RAISING ITS OUTLOOK AND THAT IS BOOSTING TECH STOCKS ...

Core Insights - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) is experiencing strong interest from its leading U.S. customers and is accelerating its volume production schedule by several quarters [1][2] - TSMC has committed to investing a total of $165 billion in advanced semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S. [2] - The company reported $31.7 billion in revenue for the period, with a nearly 61% year-over-year increase in profit, setting a record high and surpassing estimates [3] Company Developments - TSMC's CEO, C.C. Wei, emphasized the company's critical role in supporting customer success and maintaining partnerships within the U.S. semiconductor industry [2] - The company has not observed any changes in customer behavior for the second half of 2025, despite potential uncertainties related to tariff policies [4] Market Context - U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened a 32% reciprocal tariff on Taiwan, which could impact the semiconductor sector, although trade talks are ongoing [3] - There are concerns regarding the potential impact of tariff policies on consumer-related and price-sensitive market segments [4]