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Core Viewpoint - CrowdStrike Holdings is considered overvalued at a price-to-earnings ratio of 122 times its adjusted trailing earnings, despite its impressive growth performance [1][6]. Group 1: Valuation and Growth - CrowdStrike's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 28.1, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.2, indicating a premium valuation [2]. - The company has achieved an average revenue growth rate of 40% over the past three years, compared to the S&P 500's 6.3% [2]. - In the most recent quarter, CrowdStrike's revenues grew by 20% to $1.1 billion, outperforming the S&P 500's growth rate [2]. Group 2: Profitability - Reported operating income for the last twelve months was -$252 million, resulting in a negative operating margin of -6.1% [3]. - On an adjusted basis, the operating margin was 20.3%, excluding stock-based compensation and one-time expenses [3]. - The company generated an operating cash flow of $1.4 billion, leading to a cash flow-to-sales ratio of 33.4%, which is significantly better than the S&P 500's 15.7% [3]. Group 3: Financial Stability - CrowdStrike has a debt of $785 million against a market capitalization of $122 billion, resulting in a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.6% [4]. - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $4.6 billion, representing 53% of total assets, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500's 14.8% [4]. Group 4: Market Resilience - CrowdStrike's stock has shown greater volatility during market downturns, with a 58.3% decline during the 2022 Inflation Shock, compared to the S&P 500's 25.4% [5]. - During the 2020 Covid pandemic, the stock fell by 50.0%, again worse than the S&P 500's 33.9% decline [5]. - Although the stock recovered to pre-crisis levels, its higher volatility indicates weaker resilience during market crashes [5]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Current consensus estimates project average sales growth of 21% over the next couple of years, a slowdown from the previous three-year average of 40% [7]. - Given the high valuation and potential for a broader market downturn, it is suggested that now may not be the best time to invest in CrowdStrike stock [8].

Group 1 - CrowdStrike reported Q1 earnings of $0.73 per share on sales of $1.10 billion, exceeding consensus estimates of $0.65 earnings per share on the same sales figure [1] - The company's Q1 revenue increased nearly 20%, but the adjusted operating margin fell 500 basis points year-over-year to 18% due to rising costs in professional services and higher R&D spending [3] - Despite the positive Q1 results, CrowdStrike's stock fell about 7% in extended trading, attributed to a weaker-than-expected Q2 outlook [1][2] Group 2 - CrowdStrike anticipates Q2 earnings of $0.82 per share on revenue of around $1.14 billion, which is below street expectations of $0.81 earnings per share and $1.16 billion in revenue [2] - The company raised its full-year earnings guidance to $3.44 to $3.56 in adjusted earnings per share, above the consensus of $3.43, while maintaining its sales outlook of $4.74 billion to $4.81 billion, aligning with the consensus of $4.77 billion [4] - A $1 billion share buyback program was announced, which may indicate confidence in the company's long-term prospects [4] Group 3 - CrowdStrike's stock has surged 40% this year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 index's 2% rise, but the stock's lofty valuations may have contributed to investor unease following the minor Q2 revenue forecast miss [5] - The critical question remains whether CRWD stock is overvalued at current levels of $460, necessitating a comparison of its valuation with recent operating performance and financial condition [6]

每经记者｜宋欣悦 每经编辑｜高涵 ⑥【Q2营收预测低于预期，CrowdStrike盘前跌超6%】当地时间6月3日，网络安全公司CrowdStrike预 计，其Q2营收将介于11.4亿至11.5亿美元之间，低于分析师预期的11.6亿美元。截至发稿，CrowdStrike 跌6.2%。 ①【三大期指齐涨】截至发稿，道指期货涨0.15%、标普500指数期货涨0.18%、纳指期货涨0.13%。 ⑦【巴克莱上调标普500指数目标价】国际知名投行巴克莱周三将标普500指数的年终目标价从5900点上 调至6050点，理由是贸易不确定性有所缓解，以及预期2026年盈利增长将正常化。 ⑧【沃尔玛削减佛罗里达州部分工作岗位】沃尔玛正在佛罗里达州裁员，以应对美国最高法院最近关于 移民合法居留权的裁决。知情人士透露，公司已通知该州至少两家门店的一些员工，如果他们无法获得 新的工作许可，将失去工作。 ⑨【高盛首席亚太经济学家：预计美元将进一步贬值】高盛集团首席亚太经济学家Andrew Tilton预 计,"美元将进一步贬值。"他表示，按照高盛的汇率模型，美元相比长期公允价值仍被高估大约15%。 ②【热门中概股盘前普涨】热门中概股盘前普 ...

伯恩斯坦将CrowdStrike目标价从347美元上调至371美元。 ...

Group 1: CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. - CrowdStrike reported better-than-expected earnings for the first quarter and raised its full-year guidance [2] - The company expects second-quarter revenue to be between $1.145 billion and $1.152 billion, lower than the estimated $1.23 billion [2] - Anticipated second-quarter adjusted earnings are projected to be between 82 cents and 84 cents per share, compared to estimates of 92 cents per share [2] - Following the earnings report, CrowdStrike shares fell 7% to $454.70 in pre-market trading [2] Group 2: Other Companies - Asana, Inc. shares dipped 8.4% to $17.40 after reporting first-quarter results [5] - Outset Medical Inc. shares declined 6.8% to $18.09 after naming Renee Gaeta as CFO [5] - Merus NV shares fell 5.5% to $59.01 after pricing a $300 million public offering at $57 per share [5] - Quidelortho Corp shares decreased 4.3% to $29.00 in pre-market trading [5] - ATAI Life Sciences NV shares dropped 3.4% to $2.27 after a decline of more than 5% on Tuesday [5] - Doximity Inc. shares fell 2.7% to $52.06 after gaining around 4% on Tuesday [5]

Core Insights - Optimism in Wall Street has increased due to positive U.S. employment data, while Asian markets have seen a rise in investor risk appetite following clear political outcomes in South Korea [1] - The MSCI global stock index has reached a historic high, supported by gains in European and Asian markets [1][3] - The South Korean stock market is approaching a bull market, with the Kospi index rising 2.7% and over 20% from its April low [1][5] U.S. Market Performance - U.S. stock index futures are mixed, hovering around the flat line, with the Dow Jones slightly up by approximately 0.1% [2][8] - The employment market has exceeded expectations, boosting market optimism as investors await more labor market data, including the upcoming ADP employment data and non-farm payroll report [7] Global Market Trends - European stocks are mostly up, with German stocks rising over 0.7% and French stocks up over 0.3% [6] - The Nikkei 225 index closed up 0.8%, while the Topix index rose 0.5% [4] - The MSCI AC global index has surpassed its historical high reached in February [3] Currency and Commodity Movements - The U.S. dollar index has slightly decreased by 0.1%, while the euro has increased by 0.1% [6] - Gold prices are nearly flat, and oil prices have seen a slight decline of nearly 0.1% [7]

CrowdStrike美股盘前下跌近7%，公司第二季度收入预测低于市场预期。 ...

CrowdStrike美股盘前下跌7%，因公司第二季度收入预测低于预期。 ...

Revenue and Growth - Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) reached $4.4 billion as of April 30, 2025, representing a year-over-year growth of 22% compared to $3.6 billion in 2024, which had a growth of 33%[166]. - Total revenue increased by $182.4 million, or 20%, for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, reaching $1,103.4 million[191]. - Subscription revenue accounted for 95% of total revenue for both the three months ended April 30, 2025, and April 30, 2024, with a 20% increase to $1,050.8 million[192]. - The dollar-based net retention rate was consistent with expectations as of April 30, 2025, reflecting customer renewals, expansion, contraction, and churn[168]. - The company expects seasonal patterns in net new ARR generation, typically greater in the second half of the year, especially in Q4[232]. Expenses and Profitability - The company incurred approximately $36.0 million to $53.0 million in charges related to a strategic plan, with $6.6 million recognized in the first quarter of fiscal 2026[151]. - Total cost of revenue increased by $64.1 million, or 29%, for the three months ended April 30, 2025, totaling $289.1 million[194]. - Gross profit for the three months ended April 30, 2025, was $814.3 million, a 17% increase from $696.0 million in the same period of 2024[196]. - Research and development expenses rose by $98.9 million, or 42%, for the three months ended April 30, 2025, totaling $334.1 million[199]. - Sales and marketing expenses increased by $89.5 million, or 26%, for the three months ended April 30, 2025, reaching $439.6 million[198]. - General and administrative expenses increased by $61.5 million, or 59%, for the three months ended April 30, 2025[183]. - Subscription gross margin slightly decreased by 1 percentage point to 77% for the three months ended April 30, 2025[196]. - Professional services gross margin decreased by 17 percentage points to 11% for the three months ended April 30, 2025[197]. - Net income (loss) attributable to CrowdStrike was $(110.2) million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to $42.8 million in the same period of 2024, representing a decrease of $153.0 million[188]. Cash Flow and Financial Position - Net cash provided by operating activities was $384.1 million for the three months ended April 30, 2025, compared to $383.2 million in the same period of 2024[211]. - The company had $4.6 billion in cash and cash equivalents as of April 30, 2025, along with $750 million available under its Revolving Facility[206]. - Deferred revenue as of April 30, 2025, was $3.8 billion, with $2.7 billion expected to be recognized as revenue in the next 12 months[209]. - The company has non-cancellable purchase commitments totaling $2.7 billion as of April 30, 2025, with remaining terms in excess of 12 months[223]. - The company reported a decrease in other income (expense), net by $11.6 million, or 151%, primarily due to a decrease in gains on strategic investments[203]. Strategic Initiatives and Market Position - The company plans to continue investing significantly in research and development to enhance technology platform and product functionality[161]. - Following the July 19 Incident, the company has experienced delays in creating sales opportunities and longer sales cycles, which are expected to continue affecting key metrics and results of operations[162]. - The company’s go-to-market strategy includes a low friction land-and-expand model, allowing customers to easily add additional cloud modules after initial deployment[154]. - The flexibility and scalability of the Falcon platform enable the company to target organizations of all sizes, presenting significant growth opportunities[155]. - As of April 30, 2025, the company had a backlog of approximately $3.0 billion, which is not recorded in deferred revenue[230]. Employee and Organizational Information - The company had 10,363 full-time employees as of April 30, 2025, with no labor union representation in the U.S.[234].