| 总量研究 2 | | | --- | --- | | 本周观点 | 2 | | 重点报告 | 2 | | 行业研究 3 | | | 本周观点 | 3 | | 重点报告 | 4 | | 公司研究 5 | | | 重点报告 5 | | | 重点报告摘要 6 | | | 总量研究 6 | | | 行业研究 8 | | | 公司研究 10 | | 一周观点 总量研究 本周观点 | 领域 | 一周观点 | 分析师 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 市场大方向或仍处在牛市中，不过短期或进入宽幅震荡阶段。与往年牛市相比，当前指数仍然 | | | 策略 | 有相当大的上涨空间，但是在国家对于"慢牛"的政策指引之下，牛市持续的时间或许要比涨 | 张宇生 | | | 幅更加重要。不过短期来看，市场可能缺乏强力催化，叠加年末部分投资者在行为上可能趋于 | | | | 稳健，股市短期或以震荡蓄势为主。 | | | | 本周国内权益市场指数震荡下行，各类行业主题基金表现不佳，金融地产主题基金相对抗跌。 | | | 金工 | 不同投资范围的 ETF 资金均呈现流入，各宽基主题 ETF 受被动资金显著加仓，TMT 主 ...

记者丨江佩佩 见习记者 张嘉钰 编辑丨刘巷 小米汽车11月交付量持续超过4万台。12月1日，据雷军微博，小米汽车"现车选购"即将开启， 现车包含全新现车、官方展车、准新车。12月1日12点，已锁单未交付用户可优先改配同车型 现车。12月3日10点，"现车选购"面向全部用户开放。 12月1日， 多家造车新势力发布最新交付数据。 零跑汽车称，11月，零跑全系交付再创新高达70327台，同比增长超75%，持续刷新月销纪 录，并已连续九个月保持增长态势。2025年1—11月累计交付超17万辆，提前完成年度50万辆 目标。 岚图汽车11月交付新车20005辆，同比增长84%，系品牌单月交付量首次突破2万辆大关，并实 现连续10个月环比增长。此前于11月10日，岚图第30万台整车已正式下线。 智己汽车公布11月销售13577台，环比增长3%。 鸿蒙智行宣布11月全系交付新车81864台，同比增长89.61%，创单月交付历史新高。 其他品牌方面，截至发稿，小鹏汽车11月交付数据未公开，但三季度交付116007台，创单季度 新高，四季度指引12.5万至13.2万辆。 蔚来汽车11月交付数据未公开，但三季度交付87071台，创 ...

（来源：每财网） 来源：市场资讯 多数新势力车企业绩狂奔，然而蔚来仍然巨额亏损，已被同行甩在身后。 文/每日财报 楚风 蔚来再交出一份巨额亏损的成绩单。正当成立11周年之际，蔚来发布2025年第三季报，公司实现营收与 净利润双增长，但是净利润仍亏损34.81亿元。今年前三季度，蔚来累计亏损逾152亿元，与去年同期大 抵持平。 随着汽车销量增长，蔚来创始人李斌表示，有信心在今年四季度盈利。然而此言一出，就有机构出 来"打脸"。招商国际表示，预计蔚来第四季度仍可能实现净亏损16亿元，无法实现盈亏平衡。 《每日财报》发现，相比其他造车新势力，蔚来已被远远甩在后面。理想汽车早已在2023年盈利，零跑 汽车以及小米汽车也在今年迈入盈利行列，小鹏汽车业绩大幅减亏，而蔚来仍处于巨额亏损中。 但是不得不承认蔚来强大的融资能力。今年9月份，蔚来完成11.6亿美元股权发行，有效缓解现金流问 题。截止三季度末，公司现金储备达到367亿元，环比增长近百亿元，但长期来看仍然面临资金压力， 负债总额在持续攀升。 交出史上最好季报， 四季度能否盈利？ 11月25日，是蔚来成立11周年，同时披露了三季报。这堪称是蔚来史上最好的季报，实现营收 ...

Policy and Regulation - Six departments issued a plan to expand automotive aftermarket consumption, focusing on areas like vehicle modification and RV camping, aiming for significant optimization of consumer goods supply structure by 2027 [2][3] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) announced the creation of demonstration bases for emerging industries, targeting new technologies and industries, with plans to establish around 100 park-type and 1,000 enterprise-type bases by 2035 [4] - A UN global technical regulation on electric heavy vehicle battery durability was passed, which will standardize testing methods and requirements for battery performance, supporting the global electric truck industry [5] - A new group standard for automotive data export safety assessment was approved, providing clear guidelines for data compliance in the automotive sector [6] - The Ministry of Public Security proposed a standard limiting passenger cars' acceleration to 100 km/h in no less than 5 seconds, promoting safety in vehicle performance [7][8] - The Ministry of Commerce and other departments announced stricter controls on new cars being exported as used cars, aiming to address the issue of "zero-kilometer used cars" [9] - MIIT set new credit ratio requirements for new energy vehicles for 2026 and 2027, mandating 48% and 58% respectively, to encourage investment in new energy [10][11] Industry Information - The automotive industry donated over 80 million HKD to support Hong Kong after a severe fire incident, showcasing corporate social responsibility [13][14] - Two new academicians from the automotive industry were elected, indicating a boost in innovation and research capabilities within China's new energy vehicle sector [15][16] - At the Guangzhou Auto Show, nearly 60% of the displayed vehicles were new energy vehicles, marking a significant shift towards electric and intelligent vehicles [17] - In the first ten months of the year, China's new energy vehicle exports exceeded 2 million units, highlighting the sector's growth and importance in the global market [18][19] - China's combined driving assistance technology has reached an international leading level, with a market penetration rate of 62.58% [20][21] - The 8th China International Import Expo showcased advancements in the automotive ecosystem, emphasizing electric, intelligent, and low-carbon technologies [22][23] International News - In Europe, new car sales increased by 4.9% in October, with electric vehicle registrations surpassing gasoline and diesel vehicles, although overall sales remain below pre-pandemic levels [25] - The UK government announced an additional £1.3 billion in electric vehicle subsidies and £200 million for charging infrastructure, reinforcing its commitment to zero-emission vehicles [26][27] - Japan's exports to the US have declined for seven consecutive months, with a 7.5% drop in automotive exports, reflecting the impact of external trade policies [28] - The Eurasian Economic Union initiated an anti-dumping investigation on Chinese heavy-duty tires, indicating potential challenges for Chinese exports [29] - In the US, electric vehicle sales dropped significantly in October following the expiration of federal subsidies, highlighting the importance of policy support for market growth [30][31] Company Information - NIO reported a significant increase in gross margin and revenue for Q3 2025, with a revenue of 21.79 billion CNY, and expressed confidence in achieving profitability in Q4 [33] - GAC Group announced the completion of a pilot production line for solid-state batteries, marking a key step towards mass production [34] - Huawei applied for the "Qijie" trademark, indicating its ongoing commitment to the smart automotive sector [35] - The Aion UT super electric vehicle was launched exclusively on JD.com, aiming to invigorate the small electric car market [37] - Seres completed its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, raising 14.016 billion HKD, marking the largest IPO for a Chinese car company to date [39] - Geely and Renault signed a strategic cooperation agreement in Brazil, with plans to invest 3.8 billion BRL in new energy technology [41][42]

Core Insights - Wuxi CheLianTianXia Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. has officially submitted its main board listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on November 28 [1] - The company focuses on providing full-stack solutions for in-vehicle computing platforms, including smart cockpit domain controllers and self-developed AutoseeOS software [1] - According to Frost & Sullivan, CheLianTianXia ranks second in China's smart cockpit domain controller market by revenue in 2024 and is expected to lead global shipments of smart cockpit domain controllers based on Qualcomm's Snapdragon SA8155P platform by June 30, 2025 [1] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow significantly from 369 million yuan in 2022 to 2.656 billion yuan in 2024, representing an increase of over six times [1] - Gross profit is also expected to rise from 35 million yuan to 430 million yuan during the same period [1] Partnerships and Collaborations - CheLianTianXia has established partnerships with major Chinese automakers such as Geely, Chery, and GAC, securing mass production projects for over 100 models of smart cockpit domain controllers as a first-tier supplier by June 30, 2025 [1] Shareholders and IPO Plans - The company's shareholders include NIO Capital, Bosch Venture Capital, Wingtech Technology, and several state-owned funds from Wuxi and Wuhu [2] - The IPO proceeds are planned to be used for research and development of in-vehicle computing and regional controller solutions, enhancing production capacity, strengthening international expansion, and supplementing working capital [2]

Core Insights - Baillie Gifford, a century-old asset management company, emphasizes a long-term investment philosophy that focuses on tracking technological transformations to identify investment opportunities for the next decade [1][2] Investment Philosophy - The company believes that while new technologies may appear suddenly, they actually have long gestation periods, and continuous observation can reveal future trends today [2] - Baillie Gifford's research agenda, released annually, covers industry themes, technological frontiers, and important economic and governance topics, showcasing a forward-looking and sustainable investment approach [2] Research Agenda Evolution - The evolution of Baillie Gifford's research agenda from 2015 to 2024 highlights its proactive positioning to capture extraordinary returns from technological changes [2] - Key themes from 2015 to 2024 include advancements in technology, energy transition, digital economy, artificial intelligence, and opportunities in China [3][4][5][14] Energy Transition - Baillie Gifford identifies the transition to renewable energy as a necessary trend to mitigate climate change, leading to significant capital cycles and infrastructure upgrades [5] - The company anticipates that capital scarcity and resource competition will favor companies with excellent capital allocation capabilities [5] Digital Economy - The digital economy has been a focal point for investors, with Baillie Gifford investing in major players like Amazon since 2004 [7] - The firm observes a "winner-takes-all" dynamic in technology platform companies, where a few innovative firms dominate and create new growth opportunities [7][8] Artificial Intelligence - Artificial intelligence has rapidly evolved into a standalone research theme for Baillie Gifford, with a focus on its transformative potential for society and the economy [9] - The company invests in key players in the AI supply chain, including Nvidia, ASML, and TSMC, which hold monopolistic positions in their respective fields [9] Transportation Revolution - The transportation sector is a significant area of focus, with Baillie Gifford investing in electric vehicle companies like Tesla and BYD, as well as battery manufacturers [11] - The firm highlights four disruptive forces in the future transportation ecosystem: shared mobility, urban air travel, electrification, and autonomous driving [11] Opportunities in China - China is a critical market for Baillie Gifford, with over 100 holdings in various sectors, including internet, new energy, and advanced manufacturing [14] - The company emphasizes the importance of long-term investment principles in China, recognizing its unique economic development model and innovation capabilities [15][16][17] Conclusion - Baillie Gifford believes that technological change and disruption are key drivers of significant investment opportunities, particularly in renewable energy and artificial intelligence [18] - The firm asserts that the next decade will see growth frontiers based on data and AI, with a shift from a two-dimensional to a three-dimensional internet landscape [18]

七年前，美国要求我们主动放弃发展，不准中国推进中国制造2025，不准进行产业升级，也不准在高科 技领域对美国的主导地位形成威胁。他们说，我们过去用八亿件衬衫换一架波音飞机，今后也只能继续 给别人打工；既不允许我们翻身当家做主，更不愿看到十四亿中国人过上像美国那样的好日子。然而七 年过去，美国参众两院议员在看到最新报告时，却只能发出难以置信的惊呼：中国已经成长为全球高端 制造强国，美国的科技霸主位置出现动摇，人类科技皇冠迎来了新的主人。 | Type of Goal | Target | Met? | Details | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Global Market | Sell 3,000,000 Indigenous | VAR 22 | Sold 3.5 million in 2021-29) | | Share | NFVel --- | | | | Localization of | 80 Percent Domestic Market | Voc 8888888 | Roughly 91 percent domestic | | Production | Sha ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the rapid advancement of flexible display technology, highlighting significant breakthroughs in materials and applications that are reshaping the industry landscape [3][4][6]. Group 1: Technological Advancements - Recent developments include the successful creation of high-performance stretchable polymer light-emitting diodes (PLED) by the Chinese Academy of Sciences, which show improved optical performance and mechanical stability [3]. - LG Display has showcased a prototype of a stretchable display capable of approximately 53% deformation, indicating significant progress in flexible display technology [3]. - The flexible display market is projected to exceed $173 billion by 2031, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.3% [6]. Group 2: Material and Structural Innovations - Achieving flexible displays requires a multi-layered approach, including flexible substrate materials, core electronic components, and advanced packaging technologies [4][5]. - Commonly used flexible substrate materials like polyimide and polyester can be as thin as 0.1 mm and withstand high temperatures and thousands of folds without deformation [4]. - The integration of high-performance electronic materials, such as oxide semiconductors and organic semiconductors, is crucial for ensuring rapid current flow and self-emission capabilities in flexible displays [5]. Group 3: Application Expansion - Flexible displays are increasingly being utilized across various sectors, including smart terminals, wearable devices, automotive, healthcare, and public services [6][7][8]. - In the automotive sector, flexible displays are enhancing user interaction, with companies like Mercedes and BMW integrating large OLED screens into their vehicles [7]. - The healthcare industry is adopting flexible displays for real-time monitoring, with products like flexible health patches and wearable medical devices becoming more prevalent [8]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The development of intrinsic flexible materials aims to address challenges such as fragility and resolution loss, potentially leading to new applications in smart homes and IoT [9][10]. - Intrinsic flexibility allows displays to bend and stretch without relying on external structures, enhancing durability and stability [10]. - Future flexible displays may incorporate sensors and AI algorithms for real-time data analysis and adaptive interaction, transforming user experiences and expanding the scope of applications [10].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of consumption in driving high-quality economic development and improving people's lives, highlighting the initiatives taken by China Construction Bank (CCB) in Shenzhen to boost consumer spending and support local economic growth [1] Group 1: CCB's Initiatives to Promote Consumption - CCB Shenzhen Branch has implemented five key measures to enhance consumer spending, including promoting installment consumption, strengthening government-bank collaboration for trade-in activities, offering personal consumption loan benefits, implementing interest subsidy policies, and creating consumption scenarios [2][3] - The bank has provided over 5 billion yuan in credit card installment services for residents in Shenzhen from January to October, with nearly 2 billion yuan allocated to the new energy vehicle sector, making it the largest service provider in the region [2] - CCB has partnered with over 5,000 merchants to facilitate trade-in activities, resulting in over 102 million yuan in consumer spending, benefiting residents with tangible financial incentives [2] Group 2: Personal Consumption Loans and Interest Subsidies - CCB has optimized personal consumption loan policies, reducing average loan interest rates by over 30 basis points, and has served over 400,000 loan customers with a total loan support exceeding 30 billion yuan, marking a 21% year-on-year increase [3] - The bank was among the first to launch interest subsidy features for consumption loans, serving over 32,000 customers and facilitating more than 91,600 transactions within two months of the policy's implementation [3] Group 3: Green Consumption and New Consumption Ecosystem - CCB has focused on supporting green consumption, particularly in the new energy vehicle sector, with a comprehensive financing service that covers all major brands, allowing customers to complete the financing process online [4][5] - The bank has also introduced promotional activities for green home appliances, benefiting 14,000 residents and driving over 100 million yuan in green appliance consumption [5] - CCB aims to deepen collaboration with major commercial partners to create a vibrant consumption ecosystem, moving beyond being a mere payment channel to actively participating in marketing and consumer engagement [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company Cheliantianxia is applying for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise capital despite ongoing losses and negative cash flow from operations [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Cheliantianxia was established in 2014 and specializes in providing intelligent cockpit domain controllers, cockpit and driving integration domain controllers, and the Autosee OS software platform to automotive manufacturers [1]. - The company ranks second in China's intelligent cockpit domain controller market by revenue in 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Cheliantianxia's revenue has increased sixfold over the past three years, from 369 million RMB in 2022 to 2.298 billion RMB in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 523.3%. The revenue is projected to reach 2.656 billion RMB in 2024, with a growth rate of 15.6% [1]. - However, the company has not achieved profitability, reporting net losses of 514 million RMB, 201 million RMB, and 253 million RMB for 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, totaling nearly 1 billion RMB in losses over three years [1]. - In the first half of 2025, the net loss significantly increased to 262 million RMB, compared to 78.4 million RMB in the same period last year [1]. Group 3: Cash Flow and Business Structure - The operating cash flow has been consistently negative, with net outflows of 250 million RMB, 697 million RMB, 1.011 billion RMB, and 335 million RMB for 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [2]. - The company attributes the negative cash flow to substantial investments in product development, technological innovation, and customer acquisition, with no assurance of generating positive cash flow from operations in the future [2]. - Cheliantianxia's product offerings primarily consist of in-vehicle computing solutions, with 100% of revenue in 2024 coming from this segment. The regional controller segment has not yet generated significant revenue, contributing only 227,700 RMB in 2025, accounting for 0.2% of total revenue [2]. Group 4: Customer and Supplier Concentration - The company has a high concentration of customers and suppliers, with the top five customers contributing over 95% of total revenue, and the largest customer accounting for more than 40% of revenue [2][3]. - Bosch, the largest supplier, accounts for approximately 80% of procurement expenses [2]. - Cheliantianxia's customer base includes major automotive manufacturers such as Geely, Chery, and GAC, with the number of customers increasing from 5 in 2022 to 14 in the first half of 2025 [3].