航空股全面爆发，迎接周期大行情 20260204 摘要 中国对外免签政策和中转旅客增加推动航空业高增长，日韩旅客经中国 中转至欧洲的需求显著。 国内因私出行需求旺盛，银发游和学生假期有效支撑淡季客座率，整体 客座率维持历史高位，平滑波谷效应显著。 当前油价与汇率呈现利好趋势，人民币升值和油价同比下降降低航空公 司运营成本。收益管理方面，航空公司优化模型，牺牲部分客座率以提 升票价。 春节期间，客座率增长和票价上涨并存，国际航线中东南亚、韩国等地 票价涨幅显著，但日本和北美市场表现疲软。 航空供给受限于飞机产能，波音和空客订单排满，未来五年供给将持续 受限，油价与汇率的稳定对基本面改善至关重要。 预计 2026 年航空业将迎来大周期起点，供需关系、成本控制和收益管 理均呈现积极信号，对航空股市场持乐观态度。 春运数据显示国内航线进入提价周期，即使不考虑错期效应，票价也将 逐步上涨，且涨幅高于供需差，将支撑股市进一步上涨。 Q&A 2026 年航空股市场的需求情况如何？ 2026 年航空股市场的需求呈现出较高的确定性，主要体现在入境游和国内公 商务出行两方面。首先，2025 年是免签入境的元年，免签入境游客同比增 ...

Group 1 - The aviation and airport sector experienced a significant increase of 5.9% on February 4, with Huaxia Airlines leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4102.2, up 0.85%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14156.27, up 0.21% [1] - Key stocks in the aviation sector showed notable price increases, with Huaxia Airlines rising by 10.02% to a closing price of 11.53, and China Eastern Airlines increasing by 9.98% to 6.28 [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the aviation and airport sector was 796 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 396 million yuan [1] - Major stocks like Hainan Airlines and China Eastern Airlines had varying levels of net fund inflow and outflow, with Hainan Airlines seeing a net inflow of 336 million yuan from main funds [2] - Retail investors showed a negative trend, with significant outflows from stocks such as China Eastern Airlines and China Southern Airlines, indicating a cautious sentiment among smaller investors [2]

《中国民航报》、中国民航网 记者胡夕姮 报道：2026年春运自2月2日开始，至3月13日结束，为期40 天。华东地区各民航监管单位提前动员、深入一线，通过专项督查、机制优化、座谈部署等多种形式， 全力保障春运期间航空运行安全、有序、顺畅。 1月29日，民航华东地区管理局副局长章亚军率第四督查组赴江西地区开展春运督导。督查组分为机 场、航务、空管、通导、气象和公安六个专业小组，通过人员访谈、查阅台账、现场检查等方式，对南 昌昌北国际机场、江西航空、江西空管分局等单位开展监督检查，重点关注跑道侵入、鸟击防范、冬季 复杂天气运行等风险管控情况。 民航浙江监管局自1月30日起启动辖区重大航空运输保障工作机制，成立春运工作领导小组并组建工作 专班，要求辖区各地以机场牵头的春运工作领导小组及时启动相应的工作机制，积极配合地方政府，构 建上下衔接、政令畅通、横向协作、反应灵敏的春运指挥调配体系。 山东监管局于1月30日组织驻场航空公司召开春运及冬季运行安全专题座谈会，深入分析当前安全形 势，重点围绕信息通报、除防冰作业、作风建设等关键环节提出明确要求，进一步压实安全主体责任。 温州监管局也组织温州机场提前召开专题会议，总结 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the extension of the Spring Festival holiday in 2026 will continue to support strong demand for family visits and travel [2] - The 2024 Spring Festival holiday will be adjusted to 8 days, extending by 1 day compared to 2023, and encouraging time off from New Year's Eve [2] - The 2025 Spring Festival holiday will increase by 1 day, optimizing the adjustment principles, and the significant "拼假" effect will be evident [2] Group 2 - The expected cross-regional personnel flow during the 2026 Spring Festival is projected to reach 9.5 billion, a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.3%, setting a new historical high [3] - The railway is expected to send 539 million passengers, a 5.0% increase year-on-year, with passenger capacity also increasing by 5.3% [3] - The civil aviation sector anticipates a passenger transport volume of 95 million, a year-on-year growth of 5.3%, with Southern Airlines and Eastern Airlines expecting daily flight increases of 4.2% and 3.6% respectively [3] Group 3 - The 2026 Spring Festival travel demand is expected to be strong, with a gradual increase in passenger flow and ticket prices maintaining year-on-year growth [4] - The pre-holiday week will see a mix of business and travel passengers, with a confirmed peak in passenger flow before the holiday [4] - The average domestic ticket price is expected to continue rising, supported by high passenger load factors and market-driven pricing [4] Group 4 - The Chinese aviation industry is anticipated to enter a "super cycle," driven by market-driven pricing and a recovery in demand and passenger structure [5] - The long-term logic will provide dual space for performance valuation, with continuous positive feedback from fundamentals and seasonal performance catalyzing market optimism [5] - Recommendations include increasing holdings in major airlines such as Air China, Juneyao Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, China Southern Airlines, and Spring Airlines [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share aviation sector experienced a significant surge, with major airlines like China Eastern Airlines and Huaxia Airlines hitting the daily limit, while Southern Airlines and Air China saw increases exceeding 6% [2][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 4, 2026, the A-share aviation sector collectively rose, with Huaxia Airlines and China Eastern Airlines reaching the daily limit [2]. - Southern Airlines and Air China recorded gains of over 6% [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index remained stable at 4067.67, while the ChiNext Index fell by 1.74% [3]. Group 2: Spring Festival Travel - The 2026 Spring Festival travel period began on February 2, with expectations of record-breaking passenger volumes [5]. - On the first day of the Spring Festival travel, civil aviation passenger volume reached 2.19 million, a 5.3% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [5]. - The average domestic economy class ticket price on the first day was 807 yuan, reflecting a 9.3% year-on-year increase, although it was a slight decrease of 1.5% compared to 2019 [5][6]. Group 3: Airline Strategies and Financial Performance - China Eastern Airlines has seen substantial stock price increases, with A-shares and H-shares rising by 50% and 105.79% respectively over the past year, making it the top performer among eight listed airlines in Shanghai and Hong Kong [7]. - The airline's "Three Flying Strategy" has contributed to its success, with the opening of 24 new international routes in 2025 [7]. - Huaxia Airlines is projected to report a net profit of 500 to 700 million yuan for 2025, marking an increase of 86.59% to 161.22% year-on-year [7]. - Southern Airlines is expected to turn a profit with a projected net profit of 800 to 1 billion yuan, while China Eastern and Air China anticipate significant reductions in losses due to tax adjustments [7].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share aviation sector experienced a significant surge, with major airlines like China Eastern Airlines and Huaxia Airlines hitting the daily limit, driven by strong expectations for the Spring Festival travel season [3][5]. Group 1: Spring Festival Travel Insights - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season began on February 2, with expectations of record-breaking passenger volumes, potentially reaching historical highs for civil aviation [5]. - On the first day of the Spring Festival, civil aviation passenger volume reached 2.19 million, a 5.3% increase compared to the same period in 2025 [5]. - The average domestic economy class ticket price on the first day was 807 yuan, reflecting a 9.3% year-on-year increase, although it was a slight decrease of 1.5% compared to the same day in 2019 [5][6]. Group 2: Market Performance and Airline Strategies - The aviation sector's strong performance is attributed to increased market risk appetite and a shift of capital back to consumer and blue-chip industries, with coal, aviation, heavy machinery, and real estate leading the gains [6]. - China Eastern Airlines has seen substantial stock price increases, with A-shares and H-shares rising by 50% and 105.79% respectively over the past year, making it the top performer among eight listed airlines in Shanghai and Hong Kong [7]. - The "Three Flying Strategy" of China Eastern Airlines, which focuses on expanding international routes, has contributed to its market success, with 24 new international routes launched in 2025 [7]. Group 3: Financial Performance of Airlines - Huaxia Airlines is projected to report a net profit of 500 to 700 million yuan, marking an increase of 86.59% to 161.22% year-on-year [7]. - Southern Airlines is expected to turn a profit with a projected net profit of 800 million to 1 billion yuan [7]. - China Eastern Airlines and Air China are expected to report significant reductions in losses, primarily due to adjustments in deferred tax assets rather than operational issues [7].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share aviation sector has seen significant gains, with several airlines recently disclosing optimistic 2025 performance forecasts, leading to a surge in stock prices [1][6]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On February 4, the A-share aviation sector collectively rose, with Huaxia Airlines and China Eastern Airlines hitting the daily limit, while Southern Airlines and Air China saw increases exceeding 6% [1]. - China Eastern Airlines and Huaxia Airlines reported substantial stock price increases of 9.98% and 10.02%, respectively, while Southern Airlines rose by 7.84% [2][5]. Group 2: Spring Festival Travel - The 2026 Spring Festival travel period began on February 2, with expectations of record passenger volumes, as the first day saw 2.19 million air travelers, a 5.3% increase from the same day in 2025 [3][5]. - The average ticket price for domestic economy class on the first day of the Spring Festival was 807 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.3%, although it was a slight decrease of 1.5% compared to the same period in 2019 [3][5]. Group 3: Airline Performance Forecasts - Huaxia Airlines expects a net profit of 500 to 700 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 86.59% to 161.22% [6]. - Southern Airlines anticipates a turnaround with a projected net profit of 800 million to 1 billion yuan, while China Eastern Airlines and Air China expect significant reductions in losses due to tax adjustments rather than operational issues [6]. - The overall profitability of the civil aviation sector in 2025 is projected to be 6.5 billion yuan, with the total number of air travelers exceeding 500 million, making China the largest aviation population globally [6].

| 来源：新浪财经 （免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。） | | --- | | 编辑 段炼 杜恒峰 | | 校对 何小桃 | | 封面图片：视觉中国（图文无关） | 每日经济新闻综合自公开资料 每经编辑｜段炼 2月4日，A股航空运输板块集体爆发。截至发稿，东航涨停，南航涨超7%，国航涨超6%，华夏航空、春秋航空、吉祥航空、海航等纷纷上涨。 ...

2月4日，春秋航空涨5.05%，截至发稿，报58.62元/股，成交1.88亿元，换手率0.33%，总市值573.50亿 元。 资料显示，春秋航空股份有限公司位于上海市长宁区虹桥路2599号春秋航空总部办公楼，成立日期2004 年11月1日，上市日期2015年1月21日，公司主营业务涉及国内、国际及港澳航空客货运输业务及与航空 运输业务相关的服务。主营业务收入构成为：航空客运96.95%，其他(补充)2.38%，航空货运0.67%。 易方达沪深300ETF（510310）基金经理为余海燕、庞亚平。 截至发稿，余海燕累计任职时间15年61天，现任基金资产总规模4332.97亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报 174.06%， 任职期间最差基金回报-78.9%。 庞亚平累计任职时间7年111天，现任基金资产总规模3684.72亿元，任职期间最佳基金回报114.63%， 任 职期间最差基金回报-37.67%。 从春秋航空十大流通股东角度 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本 文出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@ ...

春秋航空股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2025年8月27日召开第五届董事会第十二次会议，审议通 过了《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份的议案》，同意公司使用自有资金和自筹资金以集中竞价 交易方式回购公司股份，回购资金总额不低于人民币30,000万元（含），不超过人民币50,000万元 （含），并将回购股份全部用于员工持股计划，同时同意授权公司管理层全权办理本次回购股份的相关 事宜。因公司实施2025年半年度权益分派事宜，自2025年10月17日（权益分派除权除息日）起，本次以 集中竞价方式回购股份的价格上限由不超过人民币65元/股（含）调整为不超过人民币64.57元/股 （含）。详见公司于2025年11月19日披露的《春秋航空关于以集中竞价交易方式回购股份的回购报告 书》（公告编号：2025-064）。 二、回购股份的进展情况 根据《上市公司股份回购规则》《上海证券交易所上市公司自律监管指引第7号一一回购股份》等相关 规定，公司在回购股份期间，应当在每个月的前3个交易日内公告截至上月末的回购进展情况。现将公 司截至上月末回购股份的进展情况公告如下： 2026年1月，公司未回购股份。截至2026年1月31 ...