Core Viewpoint - The PIMCO Active Bond ETF (BOND) is an actively managed fixed income fund that aims to provide diversified bond exposure with a strong annualized yield of 5.09% and a one-year total return of 8.65% [1][7]. Fund Overview - The fund has $6.85 billion in assets under management (AUM) and reported a dividend yield of 5.09% as of January 23, 2026 [4][6]. - As of January 22, 2026, the share price was $93.46, reflecting an 8.6% increase over the past year, although it underperformed the S&P 500 by 4.94 percentage points [3][4]. Investment Activity - Bouvel Investment Partners purchased an additional 85,742 shares of BOND during Q4 2025, increasing its total holdings to 237,842 shares, which now represent 6.38% of its reportable U.S. equity AUM [2][10]. - The estimated transaction value for this purchase was $8.02 million, contributing to a quarter-end position value increase of $7.94 million [2]. Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on diversified exposure to fixed income instruments, primarily investment-grade bonds, with up to 30% allocation to high-yield securities [9]. - The portfolio includes a mix of U.S. Treasuries, agency, corporate, and mortgage-backed securities, with the flexibility to use derivatives for risk management and yield enhancement [9]. Competitive Advantages - BOND's active management allows for adjustments in response to changing interest rates, providing a competitive edge in navigating various market conditions [11]. - The fund offers monthly dividend payments, making it an attractive option for investors seeking fixed income [12].

Core Viewpoint - Kirr Marbach has established a new position in the Invesco BulletShares 2031 Corporate Bond ETF, acquiring 466,959 shares valued at approximately $7.80 million, indicating a strategic investment in defined-maturity corporate bonds [1][2]. Fund Overview - The Invesco BulletShares 2031 Corporate Bond ETF has an AUM of $1.52 billion and a current price of $16.64, reflecting a 3% increase over the past year [4][3]. - The ETF offers a dividend yield of 4.7% and a 1-year total return of 8.76%, appealing to investors seeking income and growth [4]. Investment Strategy - The ETF targets U.S. dollar-denominated investment grade corporate bonds maturing in 2031, aiming to match the performance of a defined-maturity index [8]. - The portfolio includes bonds maturing from 2026 to 2031, providing a staggered maturity structure that enhances cash flow management and reduces duration risk [7][10]. Portfolio Composition - The fund primarily holds investment grade corporate bonds, with significant exposure to large, well-known corporate issuers, ensuring a balanced risk profile [10][11]. - Despite the bond focus, the largest positions in the portfolio are in industrials and mega-cap equities, indicating a balanced approach rather than a defensive strategy [11].

Core Viewpoint - Kirr Marbach has established a new position in the Invesco BulletShares 2030 Corporate Bond ETF, acquiring 653,537 shares valued at approximately $11.06 million, indicating a strategic move towards fixed income investments [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Details - The acquisition represents 2.11% of Kirr Marbach's reported 13F assets under management (AUM) as of December 31 [3]. - The ETF's shares were priced at $16.87 as of January 23, reflecting a 3% increase over the past year [3][4]. Group 2: ETF Overview - The Invesco BulletShares 2030 Corporate Bond ETF targets investment-grade corporate bonds maturing in 2030, providing a structured approach for fixed income portfolio construction [6][9]. - The ETF offers a yield of 4.6% and a one-year total return of 8.2%, appealing to both institutional and individual investors seeking predictable cash flows [4][6]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The ETF employs a sampling methodology to replicate an index of U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds, focusing on bonds maturing in 2030 [9]. - The fund's effective duration is just under four years, with a yield to maturity around 4.4%, which is significant in a market where cash yields may decline faster than longer-dated credit [11]. Group 4: Portfolio Implications - The addition of the 2030 corporate bond sleeve is seen as a deliberate strategy to extend duration and lock in yield, rather than a defensive measure [10]. - This move complements existing exposures to other maturities, suggesting a strategy aimed at building a staggered income profile rather than focusing on a single fund [11].

Core Viewpoint - Kirr Marbach has increased its stake in the Invesco BulletShares 2029 Corporate Bond ETF (NASDAQ:BSCT) by purchasing 226,705 shares, valued at approximately $4.27 million, indicating confidence in the fund's strategy and performance [1][2]. Fund Overview - The Invesco BulletShares 2029 Corporate Bond ETF targets investment-grade corporate bonds maturing in 2029, providing a structured approach to fixed income investments with defined maturity dates [6][9]. - As of January 23, the ETF's price was $18.80, reflecting a 2.5% increase over the previous year, with a total return of 7.7% over the past year [3][4]. Financial Metrics - The ETF has an Assets Under Management (AUM) of $2.59 billion and offers a yield of 4.5% [4]. - Following the recent purchase, BSCT now constitutes 2.3% of Kirr Marbach's 13F reportable assets, which total $523.16 million [3]. Investment Strategy - BSCT's investment strategy focuses on U.S. dollar-denominated investment-grade corporate bonds, with at least 80% of its assets allocated to securities in its underlying index [9]. - The fund is designed to liquidate around December 2029, mimicking a bond ladder approach, which provides a cleaner risk profile compared to longer-duration bond funds [11]. Portfolio Context - The position in BSCT is part of a broader portfolio that includes large industrial and mega-cap equity holdings, suggesting it serves as a ballast rather than a defensive retreat [12]. - The defined-maturity bonds in the portfolio act as a counterweight to volatility and provide predictable cash flow amidst a landscape of cyclical stocks and growth exposure [12].

Core Insights - The semiconductor industry has experienced significant growth in recent years, driven by the increasing demand for technology and AI applications [1] - A well-diversified investment portfolio is recommended, with a focus on high-quality low-cost S&P 500 funds and an overweight position in the technology sector, which is believed to be in the early stages of a long-term bull market [1] - For income-focused investors, large oil and gas companies that offer strong dividends and growth are suggested as viable investment options [1] Investment Strategy - Investors should consider a top-down capital allocation approach tailored to their individual circumstances, including age, risk tolerance, and financial goals [1] - Suggested investment categories include S&P 500, technology, dividend income, sector ETFs, growth, speculative growth, gold, and cash [1]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious outlook on the artificial intelligence sector, highlighting a recent downturn in momentum and a shift in market sentiment towards cyclical stocks and AI stocks [1][11]. Core Insights - The report discusses a significant rotation in the market, with a focus on the leadership and expanding participation of artificial intelligence companies. There is growing skepticism among investors regarding the sustainability of AI's leadership position [11]. - Despite a recent decline in the S&P 500 index, the non-essential consumer/retail sector has seen gains, driven by a strong performance in the GSPUCYDE currency trading basket [2]. - The report notes that not all cyclical stocks have suffered; for instance, LULU's stock surged by 11% due to better-than-expected earnings and an optimistic outlook for economic recovery [5]. - The financial sector has been a net buyer for three consecutive weeks, driven by bullish sentiment, while the energy sector has faced significant selling pressure due to low WTI crude oil prices [20]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The S&P 500 index fell by 1% to 6827 points, with the Nasdaq index dropping 191 basis points to 25196 points, primarily due to declines in AVGO and ORCL stocks [1]. - The report highlights that macro factors are driving capital flows, with ETFs tracking macro stocks accounting for 36% of total trading volume [1]. Sector Analysis - The healthcare, utilities, and financial sectors are noted as the highest net buyers, while communication services, information technology, and energy sectors are the highest net sellers [16]. - The energy sector has seen a rapid deterioration in market sentiment, particularly among refining stocks, with a noted decline in crack spreads [22]. Investor Behavior - The report indicates that two groups of investors had net sell-offs of approximately $1 billion each, with hedge funds primarily driven by selling in industrial and technology stocks [6][9]. - The report also mentions that the volatility index (VIX) is expected to see increased selling pressure as investors hedge against volatility [10][12].

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The explosive growth in AI so far happened at a low point cyclically for semis, enabling a smooth ramp to 12x+ revenue growth in the last 10 quarters - but the fabs are starting to become full, which shifts value add to commodities and semicaps. The strength in AI semis is starting to enter a phase that strains overall semiconductor capacity. In the last ten quarters, NVIDIA has grown its data center revenue from $3.6bn to $49bn, a remarkable ascent which has required unprecedented supply chain dynamism fro ...

Core Insights - NVIDIA Corporation is recognized as a leading player in the artificial intelligence market, with a price target raised to $225 per share by Mizuho [1][3] - The firm forecasts over $300 billion in AI data center revenue by 2028, indicating strong growth potential in the sector [1][3] Group 1: Market Position and Forecast - Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh emphasizes NVIDIA's leadership in AI, projecting significant revenue growth in AI data centers [1][3] - The competitive landscape is highlighted by increasing pricing pressures, particularly related to "Neocloud budgets" and customer focus on return on investment (ROI) [2][3] Group 2: Competitive Analysis - NVIDIA is positioned alongside AVGO as a strong competitor, while AMD's recent OAI deal suggests potential for upside [3] - The mention of competitive pricing pressures indicates a challenging environment for AI stocks, with a focus on maximizing ROI for customers [2][3]

Core Insights - Micron Technology is experiencing growth due to increasing demand for artificial intelligence and strict supply discipline in the memory industry [1][3] - BofA Securities raised the price target for Micron to $180 from $140 while maintaining a Neutral rating, indicating that much of the stock's upside is already reflected in its price [1][2] - The company is benefiting from high bandwidth memory (HBM) sales and a resurgence in traditional server CPU sales driven by agentic AI [3] Financial Performance - Micron's gross margin is projected to be 51.5% in FQ1, which is 600 basis points above consensus estimates, indicating strong pricing power [3] - FY26 and FY27 earnings estimates have been raised significantly by 38% and 56% to $16.28 and $17.55 respectively [3] Market Dynamics - The memory industry is experiencing abnormal supply discipline, which has led to increased pricing in both traditional and new memory markets [3] - The entry of Samsung into the HBM market could potentially impact Micron's market share and pricing in CY26 [3] Competitive Landscape - The strength in AI is seen as beneficial for other companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO), while traditional server CPU strength is positive for AMD [3] - There is potential for increased memory capital expenditures, which could positively affect Applied Materials (AMAT) and Lam Research (LRCX) [3]