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LME:自11月10日起将暂停交易不活跃的非美元期权合约的交易
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-07 12:21
Core Viewpoint - LME will suspend trading of inactive non-USD options contracts starting November 10 as part of its options reform roadmap announced in early October [1] Group 1: Options Reform - The suspension targets non-USD options contracts that have shown no trading volume over the past few years [1] - The options reform roadmap includes automation of expiration processes, conversion of American options to European options, and electronic options quoted in premiums [1]
沪锡:周中小幅升至27.4万元/吨,或在27-27.7万震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 13:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that tin prices have shown a slight increase due to macroeconomic factors, particularly expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which have boosted valuations in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - The main tin futures contract price reached 274,000 yuan per ton, with spot prices showing a premium of 200 yuan per ton [1] - The inventory levels at the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased slightly to around 7,700 tons, while LME inventories rose to 2,385 tons [1] Group 2 - The article notes that the import losses for tin remain stable, and the processing fees for tin ore are also holding steady at 40% [1] - The overall industrial fundamentals are stable, with a tight supply situation expected to persist in September, although weak demand has not significantly impacted prices [1] - Tin prices are anticipated to continue fluctuating around 274,000 yuan per ton, with a projected trading range of 270,000 to 277,000 yuan per ton [1]
【广发宏观陈礼清】宽度下降后的叙事流转:大类资产配置月度展望
郭磊宏观茶座· 2025-09-04 14:56
Core Viewpoint - The macroeconomic environment since August 2025 has been characterized by a strong performance in high-growth sectors, particularly in China's technology stocks, alongside a backdrop of rising global bond yields and shifting currency dynamics [1][3][4]. Group 1: Asset Performance - In August 2025, major asset performances ranked as follows: Sci-Tech 50 > ChiNext Index > CSI 300 > Gold > Hang Seng Tech > Dow Jones > LME Copper > European Stocks > NASDAQ > Hang Seng Index > RMB > 0 > China Bond > Nanhua Composite > USD > Crude Oil > Long VIX [1][14]. - Risk assets generally rose in August, with notable performance in Chinese assets, a concurrent appreciation of the RMB, and pressure on government bonds [2][14]. - The domestic equity market saw a broad increase, with the Wind All A Index rising by 10.9% in August, while the 10-year government bond yield increased by 13.4 basis points to 1.84% [2][27]. Group 2: Macro Trading Themes - The primary macro trading themes since August 2025 include a "high-growth narrative" led by the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext Index, a "rate cut trade" in the U.S. following downward revisions in employment data, and a rise in "risk aversion" reflected in increasing global bond yields [3][57]. - The U.S. employment data revision has opened a window for potential Fed rate cuts, influencing various asset classes to align with this "rate cut trade" [3][57]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The macroeconomic indicators show that the U.S. hard data has remained stable while soft data has slightly improved since August, contrasting with Europe and Japan, where economic outlooks are mixed [4][70]. - China's economic indicators suggest a slowdown, with an estimated actual GDP growth of approximately 4.76% for August, aligning with seasonal economic characteristics [4][70]. Group 4: Real Estate Market - The real estate market in China has shown a narrowing year-on-year decline in sales, with second-hand housing performing better than new homes, indicating a trend of "price for volume" [2][42]. - The rental yield in major cities has remained above the 30-year government bond yield, although the leading margin has narrowed compared to previous periods [2][42]. Group 5: Market Volatility and Sentiment - The volatility in the market has seen a decrease in August, with the number of daily ranking changes among 19 asset classes dropping from 124 to 114 [15][62]. - The VIX index has shown signs of recovery, indicating increased market uncertainty and potential adjustments in global risk assets [15][63].