Core Viewpoint - Wesfarmers' shares declined significantly due to a weaker-than-expected start to the second half of the fiscal year, as high living costs continue to impact consumer spending [1] Financial Performance - The company reported a half-year net profit after tax of A$1.60 billion, exceeding the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of A$1.56 billion and up from A$1.47 billion the previous year [1] - Bunnings recorded earnings growth of 5% to A$1.39 billion (approximately $978.42 million), while Kmart saw over 6% growth to A$683 million [1] - WesCEF, which includes chemicals, energy, fertilizer, and Covalent Lithium, achieved an 18% growth in first-half earnings [1] Market Expectations - Early second-half trading showed sales growth at Bunnings tracking its first-half growth of about 4%, while Kmart was ahead of its 3.2% growth from the previous six months [1] - The company fell short of market expectations for second-half growth in both Bunnings and Kmart [1] Consumer Sentiment - Australian households are tightening their spending due to persistent inflation and higher operating costs, affecting retailers' earnings despite steady traffic across key divisions [1] - Wesfarmers noted that cost-of-living pressures are impacting many households unevenly, with recent interest rate rises and inflation uncertainty affecting consumer sentiment [1] Dividend Announcement - The company declared an interim dividend of 102 Australian cents per share, an increase from 95 Australian cents per share last year [1]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of long-term investing, highlighting the benefits of compounding and dividend reinvesting as key strategies for wealth creation [1] - It advocates for a balanced investment approach that combines steady accumulation of high-quality assets with high-risk, high-reward opportunities and transformative technologies [1] - The author expresses a commitment to investing in companies and industries that contribute positively to society, reflecting a values-driven investment philosophy [1] Group 2 - The author identifies as an amateur investor with no formal education in investing, relying on self-education and learning from others [1] - The article mentions the author's extensive experience in academia, which may contribute to their analytical skills in investment research [1]

Core Insights - Gas and electricity prices remained elevated on average throughout the year due to geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic uncertainty [1] Group 1 - The increase in gas and electricity prices is attributed to ongoing geopolitical tensions [1] - Macroeconomic uncertainty has also contributed to the higher average prices of gas and electricity [1]

经济观察网天齐锂业（002466）预计2025年归母净利润为3.69亿至5.53亿元，同比扭亏为盈。公司近期 同步推进H股配售融资及参股公司股权处置计划，以优化资产流动性。 2026年2月4日，公司宣布拟择机处置所持中创新航和SQM的部分股权，以提升资产流动性，该举措与 融资计划同步进行。此外，公司持续布局锂电新技术(如全固态电池材料)，并参与行业会议。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 定增股票 2026年2月3日，公司公告拟按每股45.05港元配售H股，并发行26亿元零息可转债，合计募资净额约 58.29亿港元。资金将用于锂资源并购、项目开发及营运资金补充。 公司状况 业绩经营情况 公司于2026年1月30日披露业绩预告，预计2025年归母净利润为3.69亿至5.53亿元，同比扭亏为盈。正式 年报计划在近期发布，业绩改善主要得益于锂矿定价周期优化、SQM投资收益增长等因素。 近期事件 智利最高法院于2026年1月27日作出终审判决，驳回天齐锂业上诉，SQM与智利国家铜业公司的合作将 从2031年起变更控制权。这可能长期影响天齐锂业作为SQM第二大股东的投资收益和资产减值风险。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Albemarle Corporation is a leading player in specialty chemicals, particularly in lithium production for energy storage and electric vehicle batteries, with significant competition from SQM and Livent Corporation [1] Financial Performance - Albemarle is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) loss of $0.40, with revenue projected at approximately $1.35 billion, reflecting a 9.6% increase year-over-year driven by growth in the Energy Storage segment [2][6] - The anticipated EPS loss for the quarter ending December 2025 shows a 54.1% improvement compared to the same period last year, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates [3] Stock Performance - Albemarle's stock has increased by 113.5% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Chemicals Diversified industry, which has seen a decline of 17.4% [4][6] - The company has exceeded earnings expectations in three of the last four quarters, achieving an average earnings surprise of 35.3%, with a notable surprise of 79.4% in the most recent quarter [4] Strategic Initiatives - Strategic cost and productivity initiatives, along with a recovery in lithium prices, have positively impacted Albemarle's performance [5][6] - Financial metrics indicate a price-to-sales ratio of 3.94 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.38, reflecting the company's valuation and financial health, although a negative price-to-earnings ratio suggests ongoing financial challenges [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The rating for lithium carbonate is "Oscillating" [4] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The actual fundamentals of lithium carbonate are positive, but the futures market is significantly affected by macro - sentiment and capital flows. After the Spring Festival, the fundamentals are expected to show a simultaneous increase in supply and demand. From March to Q2, lithium carbonate is still expected to experience inventory reduction. After the supply increases in Q3, there may be inventory accumulation, but considering the demand growth, the inventory days are expected to decrease to less than one month. The price center of lithium carbonate may still be significantly higher than before. A bullish strategy is recommended, and investors should look for opportunities to go long at low prices after the trading volume and volatility stabilize [2][16] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 1 Month Chilean Shipment Exceeded Expectations, and the Futures Market Declined Significantly - **Price Changes**: This week (2/2 - 2/6), lithium salt prices dropped significantly. The closing price of LC2605 decreased by 10.3% week - on - week to 132,900 yuan/ton. The average spot prices of SMM battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate decreased by 16.2% and 16.6% week - on - week to 134,500 and 131,000 yuan/ton respectively. The price of lithium hydroxide fluctuated accordingly [11] - **Chilean Exports**: In January 2026, Chile exported a total of 25,400 tons of lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide, a 26% increase month - on - month and an 8% decrease year - on - year. Exports to China were 17,000 tons, a 44.8% increase month - on - month and an 11% decrease year - on - year. In January 2026, Chile shipped 27,800 tons (13,900 tons LCE) of lithium sulfate to China, a 475% increase month - on - month and a 1222% increase year - on - year. This large shipment may be due to pulse shipments considering the Spring Festival [1][12] - **Supply and Demand and Inventory**: According to SMM forecasts, the lithium carbonate production in February is 81,930 tons, a 16% decrease month - on - month. In the demand side, the production schedules of cathodes and cells also decreased in February, but the decline was lower than that of lithium salts. It is expected that lithium carbonate will continue to reduce inventory in February. This week, the total inventory of the SMM lithium carbonate sample decreased by 2019 tons week - on - week [13] - **Terminal Market**: In the power battery sector, in January 2026, the estimated wholesale volume of new energy passenger vehicles by national manufacturers was 900,000 units, a 1% year - on - year increase. Considering the Spring Festival effect in the same period last year, this data is not optimistic. In the energy storage sector, in January 2026, there were 152 energy storage bidding and winning projects. On January 30, the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration issued a notice to improve the capacity price mechanism on the power generation side, which is beneficial to the energy storage yield [2][15] 3.2 Weekly Industry News Review - Sigma Lithium resumed the mining operation of the Grota do Cirilo lithium mine on February 3, 2026. This mine is Sigma's only operating asset and the largest lithium mine in Brazil, with an annual production capacity of 270,000 tons of lithium concentrate [17] - Tianqi Lithium plans to dispose of no more than 3,565,970 Class A shares of SQM, accounting for no more than 1.25% of SQM's total shares [17] 3.3 Key High - Frequency Data Monitoring of the Industry Chain 3.3.1 Resource End: The Price Trends of Ore and Salt are Consistent - The report presents data on the average spot price of lithium concentrate and the monthly inventory of lithium ore samples [19][21] 3.3.2 Lithium Salts: The Futures Market Fell from High Levels, and the Basis Fluctuated Significantly - The report shows data on the closing price of the GFEX lithium carbonate main contract, the term structure of GFEX lithium carbonate, domestic weekly lithium carbonate production, SMM weekly lithium carbonate inventory, domestic average spot price of lithium carbonate and the electric - industrial price difference, lithium carbonate basis, domestic average spot price of lithium hydroxide, the price difference between domestic and overseas lithium hydroxide, the price difference between domestic battery - grade lithium hydroxide and lithium carbonate, and the theoretical production profit of lithium salt plants [24][31][34] 3.3.3 Downstream Intermediates: The Production Schedules in February are Good - The report includes data on the monthly production of SMM ternary materials, SMM lithium iron phosphate, the price trend of lithium iron phosphate, the average price of lithium iron phosphate cells (power type), the price trend of ternary materials, the average price of 523 square ternary cells (power type), the price trend of lithium cobalt oxide, and the average price of lithium cobalt oxide cells (consumer type) [48][53][57] 3.3.4 Terminal: Pay Attention to the Negative Feedback in the Industry Chain - The report provides data on China's power battery installation volume and year - on - year growth rate, the monthly installation proportion of China's power batteries, China's new energy vehicle production and sales year - on - year growth rate, and China's new energy vehicle penetration rate [62][66][68]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (09696) is experiencing a decline in stock price, currently down over 4%, with a trading price of HKD 41.58 and a transaction volume of HKD 48.6 million [1] Group 1: Fundraising and Strategic Development - The company plans to issue 65.05 million H-shares at a price of HKD 45.05 per share and issue convertible bonds totaling RMB 2.6 billion, expecting to raise a net amount of approximately HKD 58.29 billion [1] - The raised funds will support the company's strategic development in the lithium sector, including capital expenditures for project development and optimization, as well as acquisitions of quality lithium mining assets [1] Group 2: Asset Liquidity and Risks - Tianqi Lithium intends to opportunistically dispose of its stakes in affiliated companies, including Zhongchu Innovation and SQM, to enhance asset liquidity [1] - Following the resolution of the Chilean lithium salt lake dispute, the company faces the risk of losing control over its core lithium business due to the establishment of a public-private partnership with SQM, which could significantly impact investment returns and dividends [1] - The company's lithium resource rights and production capacity are expected to decline as a result of these developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium Industries (002466)(09696) has seen a decline of over 4%, currently trading at 41.58 HKD, with a transaction volume of 48.6 million HKD. The company announced plans to issue 65.05 million H-shares at a price of 45.05 HKD per share and issue convertible bonds totaling 2.6 billion RMB, aiming to raise approximately 5.829 billion HKD for strategic development in the lithium sector [1] Group 1 - The fundraising will support the company's strategic development in the lithium field, including capital expenditures for project development and optimization, as well as acquisitions of quality lithium mining assets [1] - Tianqi Lithium plans to dispose of part of its equity in joint ventures with Zhongjin Innovation and SQM to enhance asset liquidity [1] - Recent resolution of the Chilean lithium salt lake dispute poses a risk of Tianqi Lithium losing control over its core lithium business, which could significantly impact investment returns and dividends [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Lithium is optimizing its financial structure and strategic layout through capital operations, including fundraising and asset disposal, to strengthen its position in the lithium sector [2][9]. Fundraising Details - Tianqi Lithium plans to issue 65.05 million H-shares at a price of HKD 45.05 per share, raising approximately HKD 58.607 billion, with a net amount of about HKD 58.29 billion after fees [3][4]. - The company will also issue zero-coupon convertible bonds totaling RMB 2.6 billion, convertible into H-shares at an initial price of HKD 49.56 per share [3][4]. Use of Proceeds - The funds raised will support strategic development in the lithium sector, including project development, capital expenditures, and acquisitions of quality lithium assets [4][10]. - Remaining funds will be used to supplement working capital and for general corporate purposes [4]. Financial Performance - Tianqi Lithium expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 369 million to RMB 553 million for 2025, with a non-recurring profit of RMB 240 million to RMB 360 million, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [9]. - The company has seen improvements in profitability despite market fluctuations in lithium product prices, aided by better pricing mechanisms and reduced impairment losses [9]. Asset Disposal - The company plans to dispose of part of its equity in its associate companies, including 2.02172 million shares of Zhongchuang Innovation and 3.566 million shares of SQM, to enhance asset liquidity [10][11]. - The book value of the SQM shares to be disposed of is approximately USD 206 million (RMB 143.4 million), while the shares of Zhongchuang Innovation have a book value of HKD 516 million (RMB 45.9 million) [10].

2月4日早间，天齐锂业在港交所公告，于2026年2月3日，董事会审议通过了《关于择机处置公司部分参 股公司股权的议案》，公司拟择机处置持有的SQM的A类股数量合计不超过3,565,970股（占SQM股份 总数的比例不超过1.25%），且出售股份以不触发公司按照上市规则及《深圳证券交易所股票上市规 则》应提交股东会审议批准的情形为限。 公告介绍，董事会授权公司管理层在一年内根据证券市场情况适时择机出售公司通过全资子公司天齐智 利持有SQM的A类股62,556,568股，同时授权公司管理层确定具体出售方案（包括但不限于确定具体出 售价格、数量及方式等）。本次授权自董事会审议通过之日起一年内有效。 SQM成立于1968年6月17日，注册地位于智利圣地亚哥，主营业务涵盖碘、锂、钾产品、农用化肥及相 关化工原料的生产与销售。 该公司自2025年12月26日起已处置通过全资子公司天齐锂业香港持有SQM的B类股748,490股，占SQM 股份总数的0.29%。于本公告日期，公司通过全资子公司Inversiones TLC SpA（天齐智利）持有SQM的 A类股62,556,568股，占其股份总数的21.90%；公司不再持有 ...