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里昂:升赣锋锂业目标价至35港元 评级升至“跑赢大市”
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 09:30
里昂发布研报称,赣锋锂业(002460)(01772)次季业绩符合预期,净亏损为1.75亿元人民币。虽然毛利 率9.6%未达预期,但该行预期市场将更关注管理层对锂价前景的展望,而管理层则表示短期内价格水 平有望更趋理性。该行上调锂价预测及对其盈利预估,并改以市盈率为估值基础,延展至2027年,以目 标市盈率15倍计,H股目标价由25港元升至35港元,赣锋A股(002460.SZ)目标价由37元人民币升至45元 人民币,A/H股评级均由"持有"上调至"跑赢大市"。 ...
里昂:升赣锋锂业(01772)目标价至35港元 评级升至“跑赢大市”
智通财经网· 2025-08-27 09:29
智通财经APP获悉,里昂发布研报称,赣锋锂业(01772)次季业绩符合预期,净亏损为1.75亿元人民币。 虽然毛利率9.6%未达预期,但该行预期市场将更关注管理层对锂价前景的展望,而管理层则表示短期 内价格水平有望更趋理性。该行上调锂价预测及对其盈利预估,并改以市盈率为估值基础,延展至2027 年,以目标市盈率15倍计,H股目标价由25港元升至35港元,赣锋A股(002460.SZ)目标价由37元人民币 升至45元人民币,A/H股评级均由"持有"上调至"跑赢大市"。 ...
全球第二大矿商架构调整:力拓(RIO.US)新CEO简化运营聚焦核心资产
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-27 07:14
力拓周三宣布将重组为三大业务部门:铁矿石、铝与锂、铜。此次调整将把位于几内亚的新西芒杜铁矿 与澳大利亚现有铁矿石业务合并,同时整合铝和锂业务板块。 据知情人士透露,尽管这位丹麦籍前CEO在上任初期曾帮助公司扭转部分困境,但董事会认为当前需要 更具创新性的战略思路。此次业务重组被视为新任管理层推动公司转型的关键一步。 特罗特的任命标志着力拓管理层的重大调整。他接替了今年早些时候被董事会罢免的雅各布.施陶霍尔 姆(Jacob Stausholm)。 力拓集团(RIO.US)新任首席执行官西蒙.特罗特(Simon Trott)正着手对这家全球第二大矿业公司展开业务 整合,旨在简化运营架构并聚焦核心资产。曾主导铁矿石业务的特罗特于今年早些时候获任CEO,并于 本月正式履新,其核心任务包括精简业务、控制成本,并在公司多个重大增长项目逐步投产的背景下, 集中资源发展最优质的资产。 接替特罗特负责铁矿石部门的是马修.霍尔茨(Matthew Holcz),而原矿产业务负责人辛西娅.考夫曼 (Sinead Kaufman)将于年内离职。公司还表示将对矿产部门旗下的硼酸盐和钛业务进行审查。 ...
加拿大能源与自然资源部长放话:学美国,摆脱中国稀土依赖
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-08-27 06:26
Group 1 - Key Point 1: Key minerals have become a new battleground for strategic competition among major global powers, with Canada signaling its intent to diversify supply chains away from China following new rare earth regulations [1][3] - Key Point 2: Canadian Energy and Natural Resources Minister Tim Hodgson announced plans to collaborate with allies, similar to the U.S. partnership with MP Materials, to provide funding support for critical mineral projects [1][3] - Key Point 3: Canada aims to establish a capacity-sharing mechanism with partners, differentiating its approach from the U.S. model where all outputs are directed domestically [1][3] Group 2 - Key Point 1: Canada and Germany have reached a consensus to deepen cooperation in critical minerals and defense sectors, aiming to strengthen bilateral relations amid rising global trade tensions [3][4] - Key Point 2: Both countries face significant supply challenges, with Germany almost entirely dependent on imports for critical minerals, while Canada has limited production capacity [3][4] - Key Point 3: A cooperation agreement has been signed, with Germany seeking to rely on Canada for rare earths and other materials like lithium, graphite, cobalt, and nickel [4][5] Group 3 - Key Point 1: Canadian Prime Minister Carney emphasized the potential for energy exports, including liquefied natural gas (LNG) and hydrogen, during discussions with German Chancellor Merz [4][5] - Key Point 2: Despite interest, Germany's engagement with Canadian LNG remains at the intention stage due to logistical challenges and high costs associated with transportation [5][6] - Key Point 3: Canada is mobilizing nearly $50 trillion for infrastructure development to enhance resource utilization and increase exports to Eastern markets [7][8] Group 4 - Key Point 1: Canada and Germany plan to foster closer partnerships between businesses and financial institutions, as well as enhance research collaboration [8] - Key Point 2: A notable collaboration has emerged between Canadian mining company Troilus Gold and German firm Aurubis AG to establish a rare earth magnet supply chain [8] - Key Point 3: Previous cooperation in clean energy faced challenges, with a hydrogen trade agreement stalled due to low domestic demand in Germany, leaving the effectiveness of current mineral cooperation uncertain [8]
渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2025.08.27)-20250827
BOHAI SECURITIES· 2025-08-27 03:04
晨会纪要(2025/08/27) 编辑人 022-28451618 SAC NO:S1150511010016 cuijian@bhzq.com 崔健 渤海证券研究所晨会纪要(2025.08.27) 固定收益研究 收益率全部上行,成交金额持续下降——信用债周报 公司研究 产量完成度超指引中值,业务降本增效成果显著——洛阳钼业(603993)2025 年半年报点评 自主品牌发展良好,电商渠道半年度增长近 40%——乖宝宠物(301498)2025 年半年报点评 请务必阅读正文之后的声明 渤海证券股份有限公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格 1 of 8 晨 会 纪 要 行业研究 美国 9 月降息预期增强,稀土总量调控政策发布——金属行业周报 证 券 研 究 报 告 晨会纪要(2025/08/27) 固定收益研究 收益率全部上行,成交金额持续下降——信用债周报 李济安(证券分析师,SAC NO:S1150522060001) 王哲语(证券分析师,SAC NO:S1150524070001) 1、核心观点 本期(8 月 18 日至 8 月 24 日)交易商协会发行指导利率整体全部上行,整体变化幅度为 1 BP 至 6 BP ...
“矿工与交易商矿业论坛”认为:全球锂市场仍具复苏潜力
Zhong Guo Hua Gong Bao· 2025-08-26 02:28
总部位于加拿大的锂开发商爱国者电池金属公司澳大利亚籍首席执行官肯·布林斯登在论坛上表示:"作 为一个行业,我们对需求的判断显然过于谨慎。我知道人们总在谈论北美电动汽车销量,但这并不重 要。北美从来都不是锂原料需求的主战场,未来也不会。真正的关键是世界其他那些锂需求正在迅猛增 长的地区。行业将很快回归需求超过供应的常态,其速度将远超西方分析师当前的预期。" 亨德森表示,尽管今年年初一些预测机构曾预计锂行业将面临阻力,尤其是来自美国市场的压力,但全 球电动汽车销量意外好于预期。塑造锂行业的需求驱动因素从未改变,即能源转型、技术变革和政府刺 激政策,今年全球能源领域投资将达3.3万亿美元,其中三分之二投向清洁能源技术。 对此,澳大利亚皮尔巴拉矿业有限公司总经理兼首席执行官戴尔·亨德森在论坛上表示:"我们正看到整 个供应链都在承受压力,包括锂原料和化学品生产商。"部分压力源于电动汽车增长乏力。7月,美国取 消了电动汽车购买税收抵免,这是美国总统特朗普《大而美法案》的一部分,此举可能阻碍美国电动汽 车行业的发展。 澳大利亚高管们在论坛上呼吁投资者将目光投向美国以外的市场,关注电动汽车和电池储能领域的重大 增长机遇,这两 ...
【环时深度】关键矿产博弈,非洲能否抓住主动权?
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-08-25 23:00
Core Viewpoint - The ninth Tokyo International Conference on African Development highlighted the strategic competition among various countries for Africa's critical minerals, emphasizing the need for responsible development and stable supply chains [1][2]. Group 1: Global Interest in African Minerals - Japan has been actively pursuing partnerships with African nations to secure a stable supply of critical minerals, with recent high-level meetings focusing on artificial intelligence and mineral resources [1][2]. - The United States has shifted its approach towards Africa, with President Trump meeting leaders from African nations to discuss their valuable mineral resources, indicating a strategic pivot in U.S. foreign policy [2]. - The European Union is also intensifying its efforts to collaborate with African countries on critical minerals, with a strategic project list that includes four projects located in Africa [4]. Group 2: Investment and Infrastructure Development - The U.S. has facilitated a peace agreement in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) to enhance investment opportunities for private companies in the region, particularly in mining [3]. - The "Lobito Corridor," a major infrastructure project in Africa, aims to significantly reduce transportation time for critical minerals, with a U.S. investment commitment of $4 billion [3]. - Other countries, including Canada, Australia, and the UAE, are also increasing their investments in Africa's mining sector, focusing on key minerals like cobalt, copper, and lithium [5][6]. Group 3: Economic Implications for Africa - Africa is positioned as a major player in the global mining investment landscape, attracting approximately $77 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI) from 2018 to 2022, accounting for 13.9% of total FDI [8]. - The continent's rich mineral resources provide significant economic opportunities, but there are challenges related to regional stability and governance that could impact investment [10][11]. - African nations are increasingly seeking to process minerals domestically to create jobs and enhance economic benefits, with many countries implementing restrictions on raw mineral exports [12].
西藏珠峰:上半年净利润同比增长135.08%,重点项目顺利实施夯实未来发展基础
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-08-25 11:52
2025年上半年,公司主营业务收入主要来自子公司塔中矿业有限公司。塔中矿业有限公司生产系统运行 平稳高效,通过持续优化生产组织和工艺流程,主要金属产品产量实现全面增长。其中,铅金属量2.92 万吨,同比增长44.53%;锌金属量2.84万吨,同比增长25.15%;铜金属量737.82吨,同比增长29.90%; 银金属量46.80吨,同比增长40.08%。在产能建设方面,塔中矿业有限公司重点推进的选矿厂抛废项 目、600万吨/年技改项目和低品位矿石选精项目均取得积极进展。其中,选矿厂技改项目主体工程预计 年内完成,将有效提升公司选矿处理能力;低品位矿石选精项目的重启进一步拓展了资源利用空间。这 些重点项目的顺利实施,为公司未来产能释放和可持续发展奠定了坚实基础。 此外,公司备受市场关注的阿根廷盐湖项目顺利完成前期合规手续办理和基础设施建设方案优化。公司 表示,项目严格执行进度和资金管控,通过技术创新和精细化管理实现运营成本显著下降。下半年将重 点推进盐湖提锂主体工程建设,进一步加强成本管控。(CIS) 8月25日晚间,西藏珠峰(600338)发布2025年半年度报告,公司上半年实现营业收入11.23亿元,同比 ...
美银:锂价有望获得支撑 看好智利矿业化工(SQM.US)低成本优势
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 08:47
智利矿业化工二季度营收同比下降19%至10亿雷亚尔。EBITDA同比下降25%至3.08亿美元,利润率降 至29.5%(同比收缩2.4个百分点)。锂业务部门持续承压,尽管销量保持相对稳定达5.31万吨(同比 +1%),但营收同比下降33%至4.45亿美元。 智通财经APP获悉,由于锂价持续疲软,全球顶尖的锂矿生产商之一智利矿业化工(SQM.US)第二季度 业绩表现不佳,美银认为,尽管杠杆率有所上升,智利矿业化工仍保持强劲的资产负债表——其极具竞 争力的锂生产成本优势使公司能够吸收锂市场的疲软,而不会出现重大的信用恶化,给予其34年期债 券"增持"评级。 中国或成为锂价短期企稳的关键变量。美银指出,中国已明确今年将"有序出清"10万吨锂云母产能,若 全部落实,理论可重新锚定2万美元/吨的边际成本定价。尽管执行节奏仍取决于地方,但政策信号已令 市场空头趋于谨慎。考虑到智利矿业化工现金成本全球最低(约4千美元/吨),即便价格反弹至1.2–1.4 万美元/吨区间,其吨毛利仍能维持70%以上,盈利弹性显著优于高成本矿山。 该行对34年期债券给予"增持"评级,反映了其相对于同业和智利其他资产的吸引力估值。对29年期和33 ...
降息预期提振+旺季需求回暖,看好商品价格表现 | 投研报告
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-08-25 02:50
民生证券近日发布有色金属周报:本周(08/18-08/22)上证综指上涨3.49%,沪深300指 数上涨4.18%,SW有色指数上涨1.33%,贵金属COMEX黄金+1.05%,COMEX白银 +2.26%。工业金属LME铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡价格分别变动+0.73%、+0.50%、+0.32%、 +0.56%、-1.45%、+0.70%,工业金属库存LME铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡分别变动-0.17%、 +0.11%、-10.81%、+4.58%、-0.90%、+7.85%。 以下为研究报告摘要: 本周(08/18-08/22)上证综指上涨3.49%,沪深300指数上涨4.18%,SW有色指数上涨 1.33%,贵金属COMEX黄金+1.05%,COMEX白银+2.26%。工业金属LME铝、铜、锌、 铅、镍、锡价格分别变动+0.73%、+0.50%、+0.32%、+0.56%、-1.45%、+0.70%,工业金属 库存LME铝、铜、锌、铅、镍、锡分别变动-0.17%、+0.11%、-10.81%、+4.58%、-0.90%、 +7.85%。 工业金属:美联储降息预期上升,叠加旺季需求预期改善,工业金属价格有望上行 ...