UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-K (Mark One) ☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File Number: 001-09305 STIFEL FINANCIAL CORP. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) (State or other jurisdiction of (I.R.S. Employer ...

We recently published 10 Stocks Jim Cramer Talked About.  Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM) is one of the stocks Jim Cramer talked about. Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM) is a software-as-a-service (SaaS) company that provides customer relationship management products. The shares are down by 43% over the past year and by 30% year-to-date. The firm made a key announcement on February 18th when it announced that it would acquire conversational insights and revenue orchestration platform Momentum in order to bolster its Ag ...

Seeing Machines 'harvest season has arrived' says broker Proactive uses images sourced from Shutterstock After Seeing Machines Ltd said first-half revenue is expected to fall 7.5% year on year, broker Stifel said the decline in non-recurring engineering income “doesn't make good headlines” but signals that the “harvest season has arrived”. Stifel reiterated its 10.5p target price and said investors should “make the most of the current weakness”. The fall in revenue is due to services work easing and Af ...

Core Viewpoint - Etsy, Inc. (NYSE:ETSY) is experiencing price target reductions from various analysts, reflecting broader market conditions in the e-commerce sector, yet the outlook remains cautiously optimistic as the company is expected to return to growth [2][3][4]. Group 1: Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - BofA has lowered its price target on Etsy to $63 from $73 while maintaining a Neutral rating ahead of the earnings report scheduled for February 19, indicating a response to multiple compressions in the e-commerce space [2]. - Stifel analyst Mark Kelley reduced his price target on Etsy to $62 from $65, keeping a Hold rating, citing healthy fourth-quarter data for the e-commerce group but noting potential pricing pressure from Amazon in 2026 [3]. - Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Deepak Mathivanan lowered the price target to $55 from $64 while maintaining a Neutral rating, acknowledging macro concerns but suggesting an improving outlook for Global Internet stocks as AI enters a "Synergy" phase [4]. Group 2: Company Overview - Etsy, Inc. operates two-sided online marketplaces, including Etsy, Reverb, and Depop, connecting buyers and sellers globally across various consumer categories [5].

Core Viewpoint - The largest cryptocurrency, Bitcoin, is facing potential further declines, with predictions suggesting it could drop to $31,000 if the current bear market evolves into a full-blown winter [2][4]. Group 1: Current Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently trading near $69,000, having fallen approximately 45% from its peak of $126,199 last October [2]. - If Bitcoin were to decline to $31,000, it would represent an additional drop of about 55% from current levels [2]. - Historical analysis indicates that previous Bitcoin winters have seen average declines of 70% to 75% from peak to trough [4]. Group 2: Historical Context - The average decline during past Bitcoin winters since 2011 has been 84% [5]. - The average duration of these winters is around 225 days, while the current downturn has lasted only 129 days [6]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Predictions - There is a growing bearish sentiment in the market, with Standard Chartered's digital asset research head predicting Bitcoin could fall to $50,000 or lower if selling pressure continues [9]. - Zacks Investment Research's chief strategist speculates that Bitcoin might drop to $40,000, given that previous crypto winters have lasted over a year [10]. - Stifel has forecasted that the current decline could push Bitcoin's price down to around $38,000 [11].

Let's bring in Barry Bannister. He's the chief equity strategist at Seiffl. Barry, it's great to have you and and I don't know if if this is part of a broader macro case or a Bitcoin specific kind of move that jumps out to you after a lot of the trading damage we've seen.>> Yeah, Bitcoin is is not digital gold. Uh when you think about gold when it does well and when it does best historically, it's because of higher thanex expected inflation with lower growth, stackflation basically. But Bitcoin really behav ...

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin is increasingly behaving like a speculative financial instrument rather than a hedge against inflation or a safe haven asset like gold [2][5][9]. Market Behavior - Historically, Bitcoin would rise when the dollar weakened and when global money supply increased; however, it has recently shown the opposite behavior, declining alongside a weaker dollar [4][5]. - The current market dynamics suggest that Bitcoin is acting more like an overextended tech stock, influenced by liquidity concerns and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy [6][9]. Investment Analysis - The price level of Bitcoin around $38,000 is significant based on historical drawdowns, indicating a potential support level [11]. - The broader market is experiencing pressure on speculative assets like Bitcoin due to unsustainable price multiples and rising interest rates [13]. Economic Context - The current economic environment is characterized by slowing wage growth and weak job creation, leading to concerns about consumer spending power [14][15]. - The market is betting on a cyclical rotation into sectors like industrials and financials, but there are risks associated with this transition, reminiscent of past economic cycles [16].

Core Insights - Solventum Corporation (NYSE:SOLV) is currently viewed as a highly profitable stock, with recent upgrades from Mizuho and Stifel indicating a positive outlook for the company and its market segments [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance and Upgrades - Mizuho upgraded Solventum from Neutral to Outperform, raising its price target to $100 from $85, based on an optimistic outlook for the dental industry and increased patient volumes [1]. - Stifel also raised its price target for Solventum to $105 from $88 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing a favorable outlook for large-cap MedTech in 2026 [2]. Group 2: Acquisition Details - Solventum finalized its acquisition of Acera Surgical for an upfront cash payment of $725 million, with potential additional milestone payments of up to $125 million, aimed at enhancing its MedSurg portfolio in US acute care settings [3]. - The acquisition is expected to be slightly dilutive to adjusted EPS in 2026 but projected to become accretive starting in 2027 [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Solventum Corporation develops, manufactures, and commercializes solutions addressing critical healthcare needs, operating in three segments: Medsurg, Dental Solutions, and Health Information Systems [4].

Group 1 - LeydenJar has secured €7.8 million in new equity investment, bringing its total funding to €43 million, which is a significant step towards large-scale production of its silicon anode technology [2][3] - The funding will be used to complete the construction of its first production facility in Eindhoven, preparing for mass production by 2027. The pure silicon anode technology can increase battery capacity by 50% while reducing carbon emissions by up to 85% [3][4] - The investment round was led by the Dutch pension fund ABP, with participation from the Netherlands Organization for Applied Scientific Research (TNO). Investment bank Stifel acted as the financial advisor for this funding round [3][4] Group 2 - LeydenJar's silicon anode aims to overcome size and weight limitations of traditional batteries by increasing energy density, unlocking new possibilities in various industries such as electric vehicles, electric aviation, and AI wearable devices [4] - The CEO of LeydenJar stated that the investment from ABP represents a "high level of trust" in the company's technology. The €43 million funding consists of equity, customer funds, government grants, and loans [4]

Market Overview - The crypto market is currently experiencing significant turmoil, with Bitcoin down nearly 47% from its October peak, trading around $66,900, and the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at a score of 9, indicating "Extreme Fear" [1] Federal Reserve Influence - Analysts at Stifel attribute Bitcoin's current weakness to the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance, suggesting that a "hawkish cut" in December indicates a more cautious, data-dependent monetary policy approach [2][3] - The Fed has maintained steady interest rates in 2026, raising concerns about tightening liquidity, with FOMC members rejecting the notion of an "inflationary boom" amid trade tensions and tariff uncertainties [4] Historical Context - The rhetoric from Stifel analysts parallels Chair Jerome Powell's 2022 speech, which warned of impending pain as policymakers aimed to control inflation, with market reactions following the nomination of Kevin Warsh, an inflation hawk, as a signal for sustained higher rates [5] Structural Changes in Bitcoin's Performance - Stifel highlights a structural shift where Bitcoin has not benefited from a weaker dollar over the past year, diverging from its historical performance patterns, attributed to the impacts of Trump's trade war and changing inflation expectations [6] - Despite an expansion in global dollar liquidity, Bitcoin has not responded positively, undermining its status as a hedge against fiat debasement [7] Divergence from Equities - Bitcoin's decline occurs while the Nasdaq 100 Index remains near record highs, creating a widening gap between digital assets and equities, which Stifel describes as "ominous," suggesting potential turbulence for tech investors ahead [8]