AI Investment & Market Perspective - ASML CEO describes artificial intelligence investing as resembling an "arms race" [1] - The CEO sees no bubble in the AI industry [1] - The AI boom is raising questions about whether current spending levels are justified [1] ASML's Role in the AI Supply Chain - ASML is a crucial component in the global AI supply chain [1] - ASML holds a near-monopoly on extreme ultraviolet lithography machines [1] - These machines are essential for manufacturing advanced chips [1]

Core Viewpoint - The recent turbulence in AI-related stocks, particularly due to negative updates from Oracle and Broadcom, has reignited concerns about overvaluation and a potential AI bubble, yet many investors remain optimistic about the long-term prospects of AI technology [1][2][3]. Company-Specific Summaries - Oracle's stock has faced significant pressure, dropping as much as 17% since Wednesday's close, following a warning that capital expenditures for fiscal 2026 are expected to be $15 billion higher than previously estimated, and the completion dates for data centers for OpenAI have been pushed back to 2028 from 2027 [3][4][5]. - Broadcom shares fell over 11% after the company indicated that increasing sales of lower-margin custom AI processors are impacting profitability, raising concerns about the sustainability of its business model [4][5]. - Meta's shares also experienced an 11% decline after forecasting significantly larger capital expenses for the upcoming year due to AI investments, including the construction of new data centers [8]. Industry Trends - Investors are becoming more selective in the AI sector, showing less willingness to reward indiscriminate spending on AI, which has led to a notable shift in the correlation between capital spending and stock prices [7][8]. - Despite concerns about a potential bubble, data indicates that investors are not aggressively betting against the largest AI companies, with short-selling activity primarily focused on smaller and mid-cap AI stocks [10][12]. - The overall sentiment suggests that while there is skepticism regarding individual AI stocks, there is no broad consensus on an impending collapse of the AI market [11][13].

Company Performance - Broadcom shares fell 11.4% after the company warned of slimmer future margins, raising concerns about the profitability of AI investments [1][11] - Oracle's stock dropped 4.5% following a nearly 11% decline the previous day due to a weak financial forecast, despite denying reports of delays in data centers for OpenAI [1][11] - Nvidia, a major player in AI chips, saw a decline of 3.3%, contributing to the overall negative sentiment in the semiconductor sector [8][11] - SanDisk experienced a significant drop of 14.7%, marking it as the largest percentage decliner in the S&P 500 [8][11] - CoreWeave and Oklo also faced declines of 10.1% and 15.1%, respectively, as investors moved away from AI infrastructure companies [8][11] Market Trends - The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both closed down more than 1%, with the S&P 500 losing 73.59 points (1.07%) and the Nasdaq dropping 398.69 points (1.69%) [4][11] - For the week, the S&P 500 fell 0.63% while the Nasdaq declined 1.62% [5][11] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average decreased by 245.96 points (0.51%) but managed a weekly gain of 1.05% [7][11] - Six of the 11 S&P 500 sectors closed lower, with technology stocks leading the decline at 2.9%, marking their deepest daily loss since October 10 [9][11] Investor Sentiment - Investors are shifting focus to more defensive sectors amid concerns over the AI theme and upcoming labor market and inflation data [2][3][11] - The market is exhibiting caution ahead of significant economic reports, including nonfarm payrolls and consumer inflation data, which may provide insights into economic health [3][11] - Declining issues outnumbered advancers on both the NYSE and Nasdaq, indicating a bearish sentiment among investors [10][11]

U.S. tech stocks were lower again on Dec. 12 as investors continued to reassess the sector’s rapid run-up. Oracle (ORCL) shares sank 10.83% on Dec. 11 and slipped another 4.66% on Dec. 12, extending a sharp selloff that followed the company’s latest earnings report. The weakness, combined with Broadcom’s (AVGO) pullback despite delivering a solid quarter, has added to growing concerns of an AI bubble. Oracle, the 48-year-old cloud and database software company, reported quarterly results on Dec. 10 that ...

On this week’s episode of Everybody’s Business, @reckless joins @chafkin and @svaneksmith to unpack President Donald Trump’s decision to lift export restrictions on AI chips made by Nvidia, AMD and Intel and why it may not be enough to stop the AI bubble from bursting https://t.co/qSwm0RcP17 ...

Major stock indexes fell Friday as technology shares remained under pressure on AI bubble fears. The tech-heavy Nasdaq sank, and the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average pulled back from records. https://t.co/gRRjXZQPS2 ...

Key Takeaways Broadcom's custom AI chip business is growing rapidly. Wall Street, however, is wary about how much upside that growth suggests. Broadcom (AVGO) on Thursday predicted its AI-related revenue will double year-over-year to $8.2 billion in the current quarter. That would be an acceleration from the most recent quarter, when it grew 74% to $6.5 billion. But the forecast came with a caveat—and that weighed on the shares today. The stock was recently down about 10% in intraday trading. Broadcom expec ...

On this week’s episode of Everybody’s Business, @reckless joins @chafkin and @svaneksmith to unpack President Donald Trump’s decision to lift export restrictions on AI chips made by Nvidia, AMD and Intel and why it may not be enough to stop the AI bubble from bursting https://t.co/qSwm0RcP17 ...

[Music] Hello and welcome to Market Domination. I'm Josh Lipton live from our New York headquarters. There's just an hour to go until the closing bell here and stocks mix.Let's take a look at the popular averages. The Dow is up about 670 points. The S&P 500, your broad gauge is up about 2/10 of a percent. Your tech heavy NASDAQ is down about 3/10en of a percent.We do have buyers stepping in. One big story for the markets today, you'd have to say Oracle, which is just getting whacked in today's trade. Look a ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently exhibiting a lack of confidence in the growth potential of certain companies, particularly in the AI and cloud sectors, despite strong demand for compute resources [2][3][9]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Demand - There is a perception of a timing mismatch in the market, leading to an over-penalization of certain companies despite their growth [1]. - The demand for compute resources is described as insatiable, not only for specific companies but also for other hyperscalers [2]. - Companies like Microsoft have reported higher demand for their cloud services than they could supply, indicating a robust market demand [3]. Group 2: Financial Health and Debt Management - The company expects to maintain investment-grade credit and does not anticipate needing to exceed $100 billion in debt [3]. - The current debt level stands at $106 billion, with negative free cash flows reported at $10 billion [4]. - There are flexible options available for managing debt, including leasing and equity issuance, which the company is considering [6]. Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - A significant reduction in the price target for the stock from $400 to $275 reflects market conditions rather than a change in the company's fundamentals [8]. - For the stock to regain higher valuations, there needs to be clear evidence of outperformance in cloud revenue [9]. - The company is positioned as the fastest-growing and cheapest megacap software company, which could lead to a recovery in stock prices as market confidence returns [9]. Group 4: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The industry is experiencing a renaissance in software development driven by increased compute availability, particularly in AI [12]. - Traditional knowledge workers are still awaiting significant productivity improvements, indicating a varied experience across different roles [13]. - The company has made a swift pivot to the AI compute cycle, which is expected to benefit its existing customer base and align with broader industry trends [16].