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诺奖得主菲利普·阿吉翁:技术革命会导致大规模失业吗?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-13 13:53
Core Insights - The article discusses the delay between the emergence of general-purpose technologies and subsequent economic growth acceleration, questioning why previous technological revolutions did not lead to mass unemployment as feared by historical figures like Ned Ludd and John Maynard Keynes. It also explores the future of the artificial intelligence revolution in terms of job creation versus destruction [1][11]. Group 1: Characteristics of General-Purpose Technologies - General-purpose technologies are characterized by three fundamental features: they spawn numerous secondary waves of innovation, they improve over time leading to reduced user costs, and they become ubiquitous across all sectors of the economy [3][4]. - Secondary innovations are crucial as they adapt general-purpose technologies to specific sector needs, enhancing productivity and serving as a source of long-term growth. However, these innovations require time and resource reallocation, which can temporarily lower GDP growth rates [5][8]. Group 2: Delays in Technology Adoption - There are instances where society may never optimally adopt new technologies due to a lack of secondary innovations or widespread acceptance, leading to missed opportunities for productivity improvements [7]. - The transition from old to new general-purpose technologies often intensifies the process of creative destruction, as new firms can avoid the costs associated with transitioning from outdated technologies [8]. Group 3: Impact on Employment - Historical perspectives reveal that fears of machines destroying jobs have existed for centuries, but technological advancements have often led to positive effects on production, exports, and employment [13][14]. - Automation has been shown to create more jobs than it destroys, with studies indicating that a 1% increase in automation can lead to a 0.25% increase in employment two years later and a 0.4% increase ten years later [15][16]. Group 4: Conclusion on Technological Revolutions - The article challenges two common misconceptions: that technological revolutions inevitably lead to accelerated growth and that they are detrimental to employment. While growth may accelerate, it often requires a time lag, and inappropriate institutional frameworks can hinder the potential benefits of new technologies [17][18].
Microsoft plans 'substantial' job cuts across Xbox division
Fox Business· 2025-06-25 17:20
Group 1 - Microsoft is planning substantial job cuts in its Xbox division as part of an ongoing reorganization, marking the fourth downsizing in 18 months [1] - The company has been reducing its workforce over the past two years to streamline processes and improve efficiency, with nearly 6,000 layoffs announced in May 2023 [4][7] - Executives in the gaming unit are under pressure to increase profitability following the $69 billion acquisition of Activision Blizzard in 2023 [9] Group 2 - The layoffs began in 2023 as the tech sector adjusted after over-hiring during the pandemic, with Microsoft cutting 10,000 jobs in response to macroeconomic conditions [7] - Microsoft has faced legal challenges regarding its acquisition of Activision Blizzard, but recently won a legal battle against the Federal Trade Commission [10]
科技周报|马云现身,阿里谈“重新创业”;美的称有六七人随时接班
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-11 07:35
Group 1 - Panasonic plans to cut 10,000 jobs within a year, which is about 4% of its global workforce of approximately 228,000 employees as of March 2024 [5] - Panasonic's fiscal year 2024 revenue was 8.46 trillion yen, a decrease of 0.5% from the previous year, and net profit fell by 17.5% to 366.2 billion yen [5] - The company aims to achieve profit growth by restructuring, although it expects a loss of approximately 130 billion yen in fiscal year 2025 due to these reforms [5] Group 2 - Alibaba's CEO Wu Yongming emphasized the need for a "re-entrepreneurial" mindset within the company, urging employees to embrace innovation and adapt to the rapidly changing AI landscape [2] - Alibaba's founder Jack Ma made a rare appearance at the company, visiting a replica of the original "Lakeside Cabin" where the company was founded, reinforcing the call for a return to its entrepreneurial roots [2] - The company is focusing on internal coordination to revitalize its e-commerce and cloud businesses, having recently opened up cross-departmental job transfers [2] Group 3 - Midea Group's chairman Fang Hongbo stated that there are already six or seven potential successors ready to take over, indicating a strong management pipeline [3] - Midea has a rich pool of younger management talent, with several executives under the age of 50, suggesting a focus on leadership renewal [3] - The company has experienced significant growth under Fang's leadership, achieving approximately fourfold growth over the past 12 years [3] Group 4 - The 2025 World Humanoid Robot Games will be held from August 15 to 17, featuring 19 events that showcase the diversity, innovation, and practicality of robotic applications [4] - The competition will include various formats such as competitive, performance, and scenario-based events, focusing on real-world applications of humanoid robots [4] Group 5 - Huawei has invested in the startup Qianxun Intelligent Technology, which specializes in embodied AI models, indicating a strategic move to enhance its ecosystem [7] - The investment aligns with a trend where major tech companies are investing in startups to build collaborative ecosystems and mitigate risks [7] Group 6 - Joyoung Co., Ltd. announced the resignation of its general manager Guo Lang, with the financial head taking over interim responsibilities [10] - The company has faced declining performance, with a revenue drop of 7.94% year-on-year to 8.849 billion yuan in 2024 and a significant net profit decline of 68.55% [10] - Joyoung needs to enhance its product structure and expand into new categories and overseas markets to improve its performance [10] Group 7 - Midea Group and Hisense Group have signed a strategic cooperation agreement focusing on AI applications, global capacity layout, and smart logistics [9] - The partnership reflects a shift in the home appliance industry towards higher-level collaboration rather than mere competition [9] - Midea's logistics subsidiary is preparing for a separate listing, indicating a strategic move to enhance its operational capabilities [9]
成立20多年的知名软件正式停运,曾有6.6亿用户
猿大侠· 2025-05-11 05:30
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft officially ceased operations of Skype on May 5, marking the end of a once-dominant internet voice and video calling software that was founded in 2003 [1] Group 1: Historical Context - Skype was initially launched as a free online calling tool, with its name derived from "sky peer to peer," reflecting its VoIP technology [1] - By 2004, just one year after its launch, Skype had registered 11 million users [1] - User numbers grew to 54 million by 2005 [2] - Microsoft acquired Skype in 2011 for $8.5 billion, marking the largest acquisition in Microsoft's history at that time [3] Group 2: Peak and Decline - At its peak in 2016, Skype had over 300 million active users monthly [4] - Post-acquisition, Microsoft shifted focus from optimizing technology to introducing new features to attract users, leading to a decline in stability as the code aged [4][5] - Competing applications like Apple's iMessage, FaceTime, WhatsApp, and Tencent's WeChat gained popularity, contributing to Skype's decline [5] - The COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 presented a potential resurgence opportunity for Skype, but Zoom captured the market instead [5] Group 3: Current Status and Future Direction - By 2023, Skype's active user base had dwindled to approximately 36 million [5] - Microsoft Teams has grown to 320 million monthly active users, surpassing Skype's remaining user base, prompting Microsoft to shift its focus entirely to Teams [6] - The free consumer chat market is inherently difficult to monetize, and Microsoft has no intention of maintaining a product that is becoming increasingly marginal [7]
普及了语音通话技术,曾经有6亿用户的Skype正式关停
Founder Park· 2025-05-07 06:15
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft officially shut down Skype on May 5, 2023, marking the end of an era for a once-dominant voice communication application that was founded in 2003 [1][2] Group 1: Skype's Rise and Fall - Skype was acquired by Microsoft for $8.5 billion in 2011, which was the largest acquisition in Microsoft's history at that time [6] - At its peak in 2007, Skype had over 405 million users, accounting for 8% of global international call duration [7] - The decline of Skype is attributed to its complex technology architecture and Microsoft's strategic misalignment, leading to difficulties in adapting to the mobile era [9][10] Group 2: Key Lessons from Skype's Closure - Skype's positioning was confused, targeting personal users while most of its actual users were small to medium enterprises [15][17] - The focus on feature overload and user acquisition led to a decline in call quality and user satisfaction, resulting in instability [19][20] - Despite a surge in users during the pandemic, Skype failed to capitalize on the opportunity due to technical debt and insufficient team resources, leading users to switch to Zoom [21][22] Group 3: Microsoft's Strategic Decisions - Microsoft chose to develop Teams instead of acquiring Slack, leveraging Skype's backend technology while ensuring Teams received full support and resources [25][26] - The decision to shut down Skype was seen as a necessary move for Microsoft, as the brand no longer provided significant value to the company [26]
新鲜早科技丨美国法院裁定苹果违反禁令;特斯拉在中国本土化率超95%;文远知行、小马智行与Uber携手推广Robotaxi
Group 1: Legal and Regulatory Developments - A U.S. federal judge ruled that Apple violated a previous court order, requiring the company to open its App Store to allow external payment methods, which could change the iOS payment landscape [2] - Apple has appealed the ruling, but developers within the iOS ecosystem can start directing consumers to third-party payment channels for at least two months before the appeal outcome [2] Group 2: Technology and Product Updates - Google launched the upgraded Gemini 2.5 Pro AI model, enhancing capabilities in coding and interactive web application development, available through Gemini API and Google’s Vertex AI [3] - Apple AI is expected to debut in the iOS 18.6 system in China, supported by Alibaba and Baidu, with Baidu's Wenxin Yiyan model as the core engine [3] - OpenAI announced a shift back to a Public Benefit Corporation model, maintaining nonprofit control over its operations, amidst criticism and legal challenges [3] Group 3: Market Strategies and Competition - Apple is changing its iPhone marketing strategy to release lower-end models in the first half of the year and high-end models in the second half, aiming to address competition in markets like China [4] - Tesla reported that over 95% of the parts for its Model 3 and refreshed Model Y are sourced from China, highlighting its reliance on local suppliers [4] Group 4: Corporate Actions and Partnerships - WeRide and Uber announced an expansion of their strategic partnership to deploy Robotaxi services in 15 new international cities over the next five years [6] - Pony.ai and Uber also reached a strategic partnership to integrate Pony.ai's Robotaxi services into the Uber platform, starting in the Middle East [7] Group 5: Industry Trends and Innovations - The global DRAM market saw a 42.5% year-on-year growth in Q1 2025, with SK Hynix overtaking Samsung to become the market leader with a 36.7% share [9] - Guoxin Technology successfully tested its quantum-resistant chip, AHC001, which is designed for high-security applications in finance, communication, and IoT [9]
正式停止运营!20多年历史,结束…
券商中国· 2025-05-07 01:25
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft officially discontinued Skype on May 5, 2023, after over 20 years of operation, transitioning its core functionalities to Teams to better meet current customer needs [2]. Group 1: Company Transition - Skype's services will be replaced by Microsoft Teams, which emphasizes chat functionalities and team collaboration [2]. - Existing Skype users can log into Teams for free using their original accounts, with chat history and contacts automatically migrated [2]. Group 2: User Statistics and Historical Context - Skype was launched in 2003 and quickly disrupted the fixed-line phone industry, becoming a household name with hundreds of millions of users at its peak [2]. - Microsoft acquired Skype in 2011 for $8.5 billion when it had approximately 150 million monthly active users, but this number plummeted to 23 million by 2020 [2]. - The decline in Skype's user base is attributed to its technology becoming outdated in the mobile internet era and increasing competition in the industry [2]. Group 3: Current Status of Teams - Microsoft Teams currently boasts around 320 million monthly active users, indicating a successful transition and adoption of the platform [2].
黄仁勋称错失中国市场损失巨大;阿里百度共同参与国行苹果AI;小马智行Uber合作
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-05-07 00:47
Group 1: Nvidia and AI Market - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang stated that missing out on the Chinese AI market could result in a significant loss, with the market potentially reaching approximately $50 billion in the next two to three years [1] - The ability to sell products in China would generate revenue and tax income, creating numerous job opportunities in the United States [1] Group 2: Strategic Partnerships - Pony.ai and Uber announced a global strategic partnership, with Pony.ai's Robotaxi service set to integrate into the Uber platform in the second half of this year [2] - The collaboration will initially launch in the Middle East, with plans to expand to more international markets in the future [2] Group 3: Apple and AI Development - Apple's AI is expected to debut in the iOS 18.6 system in mainland China, supported by Alibaba and Baidu [3] - Baidu's Wenxin Yiyan model will serve as the core cloud intelligence engine for the Chinese version of Apple's AI, while Alibaba will provide a compliance review mechanism for AI-generated content [3] Group 4: Microsoft and Skype - Microsoft officially discontinued its Skype service on May 5, ending 22 years of operation, and recommended users transition to the free version of Microsoft Teams [4] Group 5: Google and Antitrust Issues - The U.S. Department of Justice is seeking to force Alphabet's Google to divest its advertising technology products due to illegal monopolistic practices [5] - The DOJ has called for the immediate sale of Google's AdX advertising exchange platform and a phased divestiture of its DFP advertising management service [5] Group 6: Toy Industry and Price Increases - Mattel, the manufacturer of Barbie dolls, announced a price increase of 42.9% due to the impact of recent U.S. tariff policies [6][7] - The company expects to incur a loss of $270 million this year as a result of these tariffs [7] Group 7: Robotics and Funding - Qianjue Robotics recently completed a multi-million financing round, with funds allocated for technology development and product iteration [8] - Zhongwei Semiconductor secured 5 million yuan in angel round financing, planning to raise tens of millions in Series A funding next year for solid-state battery materials [8]
商务部:中方决定同意与美方进行接触;特朗普:美国将停止轰炸胡塞武装;巴基斯坦宣布进入紧急状态丨早报
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 00:12
Group 1 - The Chinese government has decided to engage in talks with the U.S. based on a thorough assessment of global expectations and domestic interests, with Vice Premier He Lifeng leading the discussions [2] - The Chinese economy has shown a strong start in 2025, with a GDP growth of 5.4% year-on-year in the first quarter, and the government aims for a growth target of around 5% for the year [6] - The State Administration for Market Regulation has released a model rental contract to enhance clarity and risk prevention in urban housing leases, aiming to optimize the utilization of existing housing resources [8] Group 2 - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant increase in engineering project investments, with 18,000 projects reported in March alone, accounting for 46.5% of the total for the quarter [10] - The People's Bank of China conducted a total of 9.05 billion yuan in standing lending facility operations in April, with interest rates set to maintain stability in the money market [11] - The tourism market experienced a notable rebound during the "May Day" holiday, with 314 million domestic trips taken, reflecting a 6.4% increase year-on-year, and total spending reaching 180.27 billion yuan, up 8% [13][14]
8点1氪|特朗普将付钱给自愿离美的非法移民;“小杨哥”露面参加导演王晶生日会;新西兰拟禁止16岁以下人群使用社交媒体
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-07 00:11
Group 1 - The Trump administration will provide $1,000 allowances and travel subsidies to undocumented immigrants who voluntarily leave the U.S., which is less than the average cost of forced deportation estimated at $17,000 [1] - Ford Motor Company anticipates a $1.5 billion loss due to tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, leading to the withdrawal of its 2025 earnings forecast [2] - DoorDash announced plans to acquire Deliveroo for £2.9 billion (approximately $3.85 billion) as part of its international expansion strategy [4] Group 2 - New Zealand lawmakers proposed a bill to ban social media use for individuals under 16 years old to protect children from potential harms [2] - Skechers announced its decision to go private, which is seen as a move to avoid regulatory pressures amid rising tariffs affecting the footwear industry [5] - Mattel plans to raise the price of Barbie dolls by 42.9% due to the impact of recent U.S. tariff policies, which are expected to cost the company $270 million this year [6] Group 3 - Microsoft officially discontinued Skype, transferring its core functionalities to Microsoft Teams, marking the end of Skype's 20-year operation [6] - The European gas prices have risen due to anticipated increased demand in Asia and supply constraints, despite a previous decline of over 15% since April [6] - Credit Suisse admitted to assisting U.S. clients in tax evasion and will pay $511 million in settlement, following a significant legal crisis after its acquisition by UBS [7]