金十数据5月13日讯，招商宏观研报称，中美关税谈判取得积极成果，叠加5月7日推出的支持稳市场稳 预期的一揽子金融政策，预计国内市场风险偏好将持续回暖，人民币汇率继续保持在7.10-7.3区间。贝 森特表示7月4日左右将拿出"减税法案2.0"，中美关税谈判取得积极成果叠加积极的财政态度或令美 股、美元继续受到一定提振。 招商宏观：预计人民币汇率继续保持在7.10-7.3区间 ...

智通财经5月13日电，美股延续涨势，标普500指数涨超3%，纳指涨超4%，道指涨2.58%。 ...

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智通财经5月9日电，美股高开高走，纳指涨超2%。 ...

美股短线拉升，道指涨幅扩大至1.27%、纳指涨1.6%、标普500指数涨1.2%。特朗普称现在最好赶快去 买股票。 ...

特朗普讲话期间，美股涨幅收窄，道指现涨0.13%、纳指涨0.23%、标普500指数接近转跌。 ...

智通财经5月8日电，美股短线拉升，道指涨超1%，纳指张0.65%，标普500指数涨0.56。 美股短线拉升 道指涨超1% ...

智通财经5月8日电，美联储利率决议公布后，美股快速下挫，纳指跌幅扩大至1%，标普500指数跌 0.5%。 美股快速下挫 纳指跌幅扩大至1% ...

Core Viewpoint - Major industry ETFs in the US experienced an upward trend, with global airline, banking, and regional banking ETFs rising over 1% [1] Industry Summary - **Global Airline ETF**: Current price at 21.09, increased by 1.35% (+0.28), with a trading volume of 73,832 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 16.80% [2] - **Banking ETF**: Current price at 52.25, increased by 1.10% (+0.57), with a trading volume of 86,539 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 5.13% [2] - **Regional Banking ETF**: Current price at 56.03, increased by 1.03% (+0.57), with a trading volume of 961,200 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 6.54% [2] - **Consumer Discretionary ETF**: Current price at 198.99, increased by 0.73% (+1.44), with a trading volume of 186,600 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 11.06% [2] - **Financial Sector ETF**: Current price at 49.47, increased by 0.63% (+0.31), with a trading volume of 1,695,900 shares. Year-to-date performance shows an increase of 2.73% [2] - **Biotechnology ETF**: Current price at 119.34, increased by 0.63% (+0.74), with a trading volume of 76,627 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 9.65% [2] - **Healthcare ETF**: Current price at 134.99, increased by 0.49% (+0.66), with a trading volume of 543,500 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 1.50% [2] - **Semiconductor ETF**: Current price at 215.97, increased by 0.17% (+0.38), with a trading volume of 528,200 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 10.82% [2] - **Technology Sector ETF**: Current price at 213.85, increased by 0.08% (+0.18), with a trading volume of 338,600 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 7.87% [2] - **Utilities ETF**: Current price at 80.57, increased by 0.06% (+0.05), with a trading volume of 916,600 shares. Year-to-date performance shows an increase of 7.20% [2] - **Global Technology ETF**: Current price at 78.66, increased by 0.04% (+0.03), with a trading volume of 4,057 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 7.19% [2] - **Consumer Staples ETF**: Current price at 81.38, increased by 0.04% (+0.03), with a trading volume of 936,200 shares. Year-to-date performance shows an increase of 4.07% [2] - **Internet ETF**: Current price at 236.53, increased by 0.03% (+0.07), with a trading volume of 6,753 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 2.73% [2] - **Energy Sector ETF**: Current price at 80.47, decreased by 0.06% (-0.05), with a trading volume of 1,009,000 shares. Year-to-date performance shows a decline of 5.33% [2]

Key Points - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates in May, with a 95% probability of no change, due to the resilience of the US economy and limited impact from tariffs on employment and inflation [1] - Current economic data shows signs of moderate weakening but no recession indicators, with significant layoffs in April not reflected in non-farm payroll data and strong PMI figures [1] - The focus will be on how Fed Chair Powell assesses the economic situation during the press conference, as any slowdown in employment and consumption could lead to recession risks [1] Outlook - The relationship between the White House and the Federal Reserve has eased, increasing the likelihood of the Fed sending positive signals [2] - Following strong non-farm payroll and PMI data, expectations for rate cuts have been delayed, and the Fed may have more room to stabilize market and economic expectations [2] - The upcoming FOMC meeting aims to provide a relatively positive signal to maintain market recovery since late April, reducing the potential for future interference from the Trump administration [2] Market Impact - The Fed's positive signals could lead to an increase in the probability of rate cuts if economic data weakens in the future [2] - The 10-year US Treasury yield and short-term rates are expected to trend downward, with US stocks entering a consolidation phase after volatility decreases [2] - It is suggested to gradually invest in US stocks, particularly in small-cap growth sectors, which may have greater upside potential compared to large-cap indices like the Dow and Nasdaq [2]