Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the extreme high temperatures experienced in China this summer, particularly in the central and northern regions, highlighting the early onset and intensity of the heatwave, which is attributed to climate change and specific atmospheric conditions [1][2][3]. Weather Conditions - Since the beginning of summer, many regions in China have experienced persistent high temperatures, with some areas recording temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius [1]. - In Hubei province, the average maximum temperature from July 1 to 15 was 35.8 degrees Celsius, which is 4.2 degrees Celsius higher than the historical average for the same period [1]. - Hubei has recorded 10.51 days of high temperatures as of July 15, marking the highest number for this time of year historically [2]. Climate Trends - Meteorological experts indicate that the summer heat is becoming more intense and prolonged, with a significant increase in the number of high-temperature days and their intensity over the years [3]. - In Henan province, the average summer temperature has risen by 1.5 degrees Celsius compared to the early 2000s, with the number of days with minimum temperatures above 28 degrees Celsius increasing significantly [3]. Future Projections - The climate models predict that the average number of high-temperature days in Henan will increase by approximately 3 days over the next 25 years [3]. - Hubei is expected to continue experiencing high temperatures, with forecasts indicating that July temperatures will be 1 to 1.6 degrees Celsius above the historical average, along with reduced rainfall [2]. Public Awareness - The article emphasizes the difference between measured air temperature and perceived temperature, explaining that the latter can feel significantly higher due to factors like humidity and direct sunlight [4]. - A yellow high-temperature warning was issued, advising vulnerable populations to take precautions against heat exposure [4].

Summary - A new round of rainfall is expected to begin tonight in northern regions, including the eastern Northwest, Southwest, North China, Huanghuai, Inner Mongolia, and Northeast China, with some areas experiencing moderate to heavy rain, and localized heavy rain or torrential rain [1] - The 6th typhoon of the year, "Wipha," has formed and is anticipated to bring rainfall to southern China [1] - As rainfall develops, high-temperature weather is expected to gradually decrease, although areas such as Guanzhong in Shaanxi, Henan, and Hubei may still experience persistent high temperatures, with extreme temperatures exceeding 40°C in some locations [1]

近日，我国高温天气愈演愈烈，今天（7月16日）依然是大范围高温的强盛时段，陕西、河南、湖北等 地部分地区最高气温可达37至39℃， 局地将出现40℃以上极端高温 。同时，今明两天，已进入多雨期 的华北、东北等地雷雨频繁。 此外，未来三天，内蒙古中东部、东北地区等地多雷阵雨， 局地有大到暴雨 ，并伴有短时强降水、雷 暴大风或冰雹等强对流天气；江南南部、华南、云南等地有分散性强降水，局地有大到暴雨。 近期，华北、东北进入多雨期，黄淮、江淮等地也多分散性阵雨，公众出行需携带雨具，注意交通安 全。 江淮、江汉等地警惕强对流 华北东北进入多雨期 中央气象台7月16日10时继续发布 强对流天气蓝色预警 ，预计7月16日14时至17日14时： 江淮及其东部沿海、江汉、江南地区东部、西北地区中部等地的部分地区将有8级以上雷暴大风或冰雹 天气，其中，河南东南部、安徽中部、江苏中部等地的部分地区将有 10级以上雷暴大风，最大风力可 达11级以上 。 江淮、江汉、江南地区东部、西北地区中东部、西南地区南部等地的部分地区将有小时雨量大于20毫米 的短时强降水天气，其中，河南南部、安徽中南部、江苏中南部、湖北北部和西部等地的部分地区小 ...

智通财经7月16日电，从陕西省气象台获悉，7月11日—15日，陕西省区域性高温范围广，极端性强，关 中陕南共8个气象站最高气温突破本站历史极值。此次高温过程已持续5天，全省极端日最高气温为 42.8℃。依据省气象台预报，此次高温过程还将持续，预估综合强度为强等级。 陕西多个气象站高温突破历史极值 最高气温42.8℃ ...

7月16日，据中国气象局消息：昨日（7月15日），山东河北内蒙古及华南云南等地出现较强降雨，华北中南部至华南北部等地出现大范围35℃以上高温天 气。其中陕西关中、山西西南部、河南西北部重庆北部、湖北西部等局地达40℃至42.8℃。 中央气象台预计，未来三天内蒙古中东部、东北地区多雷阵雨，江南南部、华南及云南有分散性强降雨，黄淮南部、江淮、江南东北部等地有雷暴大风或 冰雹等强对流天气，黄淮、江汉及陕西等地有持续性高温天气。中央气象台7月16日6时继续发布高温橙色预警。来看具体预报—— 黄淮江汉陕西等地有持续性高温天气 7月16日至20日，黄淮、江汉、江淮、江南北部、陕西关中、四川盆地等地将持续35℃以上高温天气，部分地区最高气温可达39℃至42℃。 专家提醒： 江淮、内蒙古中东部、东北地区有强对流天气，需关注局地强降雨和强对流可能引发的次生灾害。黄淮、江汉、及陕西等地高温天气持续，部分地区最高 气温可达39℃至42℃，需关注对能源供应、人体健康等影响。 兴心"热"出的问题 ● 持续的高温会使人 感到不适,容易引 发中暑、肠道疾病、 心脑血管病。 如果长时间处于高 温高湿环境下,要 特别警惕具有致命 性的重度中暑 ...

河南：70个区县超过40℃ 多地突破历史极值 发布高温红色预警最多的是河南省，13日、14日河南大部最高气温均在37℃以上，7月14日，已经有70个左右的区县超过了40℃，7 月20日之前河南将持续37℃以上的高温天气。 央视网消息：气象监测显示，7月14日，河南、陕西、四川、重庆、山西等地部分地区出现35℃以上高温天气，陕西关中局地 达40～41.9℃。这两天，我国高温继续发展增强，中央气象台7月15日继续发布高温橙色预警。 截至7月15日下午5点，各地发布高温红色预警174条，其中河南发布了78条、陕西39条，重庆17条、四川16条、山西11条，由此可 见中部地区成为本轮高温天气最热的地方。 川渝地区高温持续 多地气温超过40℃ 川渝地区此轮高温天气也来势汹汹，7月15日，重庆发布高温红色预警，沙坪坝、江北等34个区县海拔400米以下的地区，日最高气 温升至40-42℃。四川内江、南充等地出现40℃以上的高温。 河南省气象台首席预报员 邵宇翔：局部超过42℃，其中15日和16日将是高温最强时段，40℃以上的高温15日主要在河南北中 部，16日主要在河南中东部、南部。 截至7月15日14点，陕西周至达41. ...

Group 1 - The Shandong Meteorological Bureau issued a yellow warning for severe convective weather, predicting heavy rainfall in several cities including Weifang, Qingdao, Rizhao, and southern Yantai from the evening of July 15 to the daytime of July 16 [1] - High temperature warnings were downgraded from orange to yellow, with expected maximum temperatures ranging from 27 to 37 degrees Celsius across various regions [1] - The severe weather may adversely affect outdoor tourism, transportation, agricultural production, and outdoor work, prompting recommendations for precautionary measures [1] Group 2 - A geological disaster meteorological risk warning was jointly issued by the Shandong Provincial Natural Resources Department, Emergency Management Department, and Meteorological Bureau, indicating a high possibility of geological disasters in certain areas due to rainfall [2] - A blue warning for mountain flood disasters was also issued, forecasting potential mountain floods in specific regions including Rizhao, Weifang, Qingdao, and Yantai from July 15 to July 16 [2] - Local governments and relevant units are advised to enhance monitoring, flood prevention warnings, and evacuation measures in response to the potential risks [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The oil market rating for the current week has been adjusted from relatively strong to neutral and volatile [5] Core Views - **Crude Oil**: In Q2, global oil inventories increased by 2.7%, accelerating marginally from 2% in Q1. In the first week of Q3, overall inventories decreased by 0.3% due to crude oil destocking and refined oil stockpiling. The upward drive of strong real - world factors on oil prices may be weakening, and the further upside for Brent above $70 per barrel is limited [5] - **Fuel Oil**: Last week, global fuel oil inventories decreased by 0.7% week - on - week and remained at a low level. The spread between high - and low - sulfur fuel oils in Singapore widened [5] - **Asphalt**: In June, refinery production exceeded the plan, breaking the de - stocking pattern. The increase in asphalt supply is still uncertain, and demand recovery is expected to be delayed [5] - **Natural Gas**: High temperatures have boosted market demand. In the US, the upside is limited before further strengthening of power demand. In Europe, the market is expected to remain volatile [8] - **LPG**: Middle East production pressure persists, and the overseas price continues to be weak. The domestic market is currently experiencing weak supply and demand, with the futures market showing weak volatility [8] - **Container Shipping Index (European Route)**: The spot price was stronger than expected last week. The short - term futures market will fluctuate with the spot price. In the medium term, freight rates are likely to decline seasonally [8] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Energy & Shipping Price Trends - **Energy Commodities**: Last week, crude - related products continued to rise, with Brent up 3.1%. By - products LPG and fuel oil were weak. The natural gas market showed mixed performance, with European gas up 5.2% and US gas down 0.89%. The steam coal market continued to rebound [4] - **Shipping**: European route quotes mostly remained stable in late July. US route freight rates bottomed out and stabilized, with SCFI West & East US routes up 5% and 1.2% week - on - week respectively [4] Crude Oil & Oil Products Chain Key Volume and Price Data - **Price Trends**: The crude oil monthly spread declined from a high. The premium of domestic futures was strong. The spot premium of crude oil declined slightly from a high [10] - **Crack Spreads**: Overseas gasoline and diesel crack spreads fluctuated, and the crack spread of high - sulfur fuel oil weakened. Domestic energy - chemical product crack spreads continued to decline with the rebound of crude oil [12] - **Global Oil Consumption High - Frequency Indicators**: The 7 - day average of global commercial flights was down 1.2% year - on - year. The 4 - week average of US refined oil apparent demand was down 1.6% year - on - year [13] - **China's Oil Consumption High - Frequency Indicators**: China's ground congestion index was flat year - on - year, and highway truck traffic was up 0.8% year - on - year. The number of domestic flights was up 2% year - on - year [17] - **Refining Profits & Refinery Operations**: The comprehensive refining profits of refineries in three regions and the refining margins of Chinese refineries are presented in the report, along with refinery capacity utilization rates [19] - **China & India Procurement Shipping Schedules**: In June, China's above - scale crude oil processing volume was up 8.5% year - on - year, and imports were up 7.4% year - on - year. India's crude oil imports and refining product demand also showed certain trends [22] - **Major Oil - Producing Countries' Shipping Schedules**: The shipping schedules of major oil - producing countries such as OPEC 9 countries, Saudi Arabia, Russia, and Iran are presented [24] - **US Crude Oil Production**: Data on US crude oil production, including production volume, four - week average year - on - year growth rate, and rig counts, are provided [26] - **Crude Oil Inventories**: Data on on - land commercial inventories, floating storage inventories, and total inventories of crude oil are presented [28] - **Refined Oil Inventories**: Data on global refined oil inventories, including light distillates, diesel, kerosene, and fuel oil, are provided [31] - **Fund Positions**: The relative net long positions of management funds in Brent and WTI crude oil are presented [33] Asphalt Key Volume and Price Data - **High - Frequency Supply and Demand**: The shipment volume of domestic refinery asphalt increased slightly week - on - week, and the cumulative year - on - year increase decreased by 1 percentage point to 7% compared to the end of June [5] - **Inventory**: Data on domestic asphalt inventories, including refinery inventories and trader inventories, are provided [38] Natural Gas Key Volume and Price Data - **Core Spreads**: Data on key spreads such as the TTF - balance spread, JKM - TTF spread, and HH forward curve are presented [41] - **Short - Term Temperature Forecast**: Short - term temperature forecasts for regions such as Northwest Europe, the US, and China are provided [46] - **European Consumption and LNG Imports**: Data on natural gas consumption and LNG imports in Europe are presented [49] - **US Production and Global LNG Exports**: Data on US natural gas production and LNG exports from the US, Qatar, and Australia are provided [51] - **Inventory Levels and Change Rates**: Data on natural gas inventory levels and change rates in the US and Europe are presented [53] LPG Key Volume and Price Data - **Core Spreads**: Data on key spreads such as the PG - FEI spread, ether - post - carbon - four - civil - gas spread, and Far - East propane - naphtha spread are presented [55] - **Inventory Levels**: Data on propane inventories in the US, refinery inventories in China, and port storage capacity utilization rates in South and East China are provided [57] Steam Coal Key Volume and Price Data - **Trade Spreads and Profits**: Data on inland trade shipping profits, high - calorie coal premiums at Bohai Rim ports, and the import advantages of imported coal are presented [59] - **Upstream Supply**: Data on the weekly production of 442 coal mines in the Three Western Regions, Ordos coal mine operating rates, and China's imported steam coal weekly shipments are provided [62] - **Mid - Stream Transportation**: Data on the supply - demand surplus, number of ships, and inventories at four Bohai Rim ports, as well as inland port inventories, are presented [64] - **Downstream Manufacturing & Construction Industry Prosperity**: Data on sub - industry PMIs, real estate sales areas, cement and coal - to - methanol operating rates, and steel mill blast furnace capacity utilization rates are provided [66] - **Downstream Daily Consumption & Inventory**: Data on the daily consumption and inventory of eight coastal provinces, seventeen inland provinces, and twenty - five provinces across the country are presented [68][69] Container Shipping (European Route) Key Volume and Price Data - **Price Trends**: The spot price was stronger than expected last week. The short - term futures market will fluctuate with the spot price, and the basis will gradually converge [71] - **Capacity Turnover**: Data on the idle capacity, sailing speed of container ships, and the scale of container ships in ports in Northwest Europe and Asia are presented [76]

近期，我国大范围高温天气愈演愈烈，今天（7月15日）进入最强盛时段，多地气温刷新当地最高纪 录，不仅如此，地表温度也达到了历史同期少见的热度。预计17日开始，受冷空气和降雨影响，部分地 区高温将按下"暂停键"，18日后高温将自北向南大幅收敛。（央视） ...

多地将热到破纪录 智通财经7月15日电，从中国气象局获悉，本轮大范围高温已进入最强时段，多地气温突破40℃，不少 地方将热到破纪录。陕西、河南、湖北等局地最高气温将接近或突破历史同期极值。大城市中，郑州、 重庆15日最高气温达40℃或以上，杭州16日最高气温可达38℃，创今年以来气温新高；不少地方夜温也 明显偏高，西安、郑州、重庆、武汉等地15日夜间最低气温将达30℃左右。 (国是直通车) ...