Core Viewpoint - China Merchants Bank (03968.HK) maintains a strong technical trend, closing at HKD 49.45 on May 29, 2025, with a slight increase of 0.20%, reinforcing its recent upward channel [1] Technical Analysis - The stock price is currently above key technical support levels, with short-term support between HKD 47.50 and HKD 44.80, and upward resistance at HKD 50.60 and HKD 52.00 [1] - The overall upward probability is at 52%, indicating potential for breaking previous highs, with market sentiment remaining bullish [1] - Moving averages show the stock price is above the 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day averages, which are HKD 49.30, HKD 46.43, and HKD 46.40 respectively, reflecting a standard bullish pattern [1] - Trading volume reached HKD 750 million, indicating strong liquidity and high market participation, which supports steady price increases [1] Technical Indicators - The RSI value is at 66, nearing the overbought zone but not yet overheated, suggesting active buying with room for further upward movement [2] - Other key oscillators like CCI and psychological lines maintain buy ratings, while the stochastic oscillator is in the overbought zone but signals a sell [2] - The MACD remains in positive territory with a buy signal, and the Ichimoku chart shows a clear upward trend, indicating a healthy technical structure [2] - The Bollinger Bands indicate the stock is trading between the upper and middle bands, reflecting a strong consolidation phase with upward breakout potential [2] - The overall technical summary signals a "strong buy" with a strength rating of 17, indicating a very strong upward signal [2] Market Outlook - As a core blue-chip in the financial sector, China Merchants Bank has established a clear and stable upward pattern [3] - A successful breakthrough of the key resistance at HKD 50.60 could lead to rapid advancement towards HKD 52 or higher [3] - As long as the stock does not fall below the critical support level of HKD 47.50, the overall bullish trend will be maintained, making it a potential target for medium-term positioning [3]

Core Viewpoint - China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) shows a strong technical outlook with upward momentum, closing at HKD 6.59 on May 28, 2025, reflecting a 0.92% increase and surpassing key moving averages [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock has broken through the first resistance level of HKD 6.68 and is poised to challenge the next resistance at HKD 6.99, with first and second support levels at HKD 6.34 and HKD 6.07 respectively [3]. - The stock is above major support zones, indicating strong market support, with a 5-day volatility of 4.1%, suggesting manageable fluctuations [3]. - The RSI index is at 71, indicating overbought conditions, but no clear signs of weakening are present, suggesting a strong stock trend [3]. - Other indicators like the Williams and Stochastic indicators are also in overbought territory without reversal signals, confirming ongoing market momentum [3]. - The CCI and ADX indicators show robust performance, further validating the current trend [3]. - Overall technical indicators suggest a "strong buy" signal with a total strength of 17, indicating a very strong technical buying zone [3]. Trading Volume and Market Sentiment - The trading volume recorded was HKD 1.273 billion, reflecting active market participation and supporting the price uptrend [5]. - Momentum oscillators and rate of change indicators provide neutral to slightly bullish signals, indicating no signs of capital withdrawal [5]. - Psychological indicators and bull-bear power indicators maintain a positive outlook, boosting investor confidence [5]. Derivative Products - Various call and put options are available for CNPC, including UBS call options with a leverage of 12.7 times and a strike price of HKD 7.51, suitable for investors seeking high returns at lower costs [5]. - Guotai Junan call options offer a leverage of 13.1 times, balancing leverage and implied volatility for more conservative investors [5]. - UBS and Citigroup bear options have a redemption price of HKD 7.5, with actual leverage of 4.6 times and 4.9 times respectively, appealing to investors looking to short CNPC [5]. Short to Medium-Term Outlook - CNPC is expected to have further upward potential in the short to medium term, supported by resistance level breakthroughs and positive technical signals [7]. - Investors are advised to monitor short-term adjustment risks due to the overbought status of RSI and Williams indicators, as well as changes in trading volume for further reference [7].

Group 1 - The stock price of Sunny Optical (02382) is currently at 59.8 HKD, down 1.89%, showing weakness since reaching a peak on May 12, and is approaching the lower band of the Bollinger Bands at 58.8 HKD [1] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped to 40, indicating an oversold condition, while the William and Stochastic indicators are signaling a buy; however, the MACD and Bollinger Bands maintain a strong sell perspective [1] - The stock has fallen below all major moving averages, with the 10-day moving average at 63.89 HKD acting as a significant resistance level; if it cannot recover the support level of 59 HKD, it may drop to the year’s low of 51.3 HKD [1] Group 2 - The warrants related to Sunny Optical (15561) saw a price increase of 7% despite the underlying stock dropping by 2.7% two days later [3] - For investors anticipating a rebound, Huatai's call warrant (26633) offers a leverage of 3.4 times with an exercise price of 52.93 HKD, while the BNP Paribas call warrant (26732) provides similar conditions with a leverage of 3.3 times [5] - For bearish investors, UBS's put warrant (13316) offers a leverage of 2.5 times with an exercise price of 58.83 HKD, close to the current stock price [5] Group 3 - Citibank's bull certificate (55660) offers a leverage of 11.4 times with a redemption price of 58 HKD, which has the lowest premium among similar products; HSBC's bull certificate (55910) provides a leverage of 10.4 times [9] - Investors should note that Sunny Optical's 5-day volatility is at 7%, and they should assess their risk tolerance accordingly [9] - For bearish strategies, investors can consider JPMorgan's bear certificate (56227) or UBS's bear certificate (54934) with redemption prices of 77 HKD and 78 HKD, respectively, and premiums of 3.18% and 1.67% [9]

Group 1 - Meituan's stock price has been under pressure, currently trading at 128.5 HKD, down 0.62%, with a clear bearish technical pattern [1] - The stock has formed a death cross as the 10-day moving average (MA10) at 134.59 HKD has fallen below the 30-day (MA30) at 136.09 HKD and the 60-day moving average (MA60) at 150.42 HKD [1] - The stock is oscillating between 122.6 HKD and 136.4 HKD, with a 5-day volatility of 13.3%, indicating significant market divergence [1] Group 2 - There are 19 sell signals, 2 neutral signals, and 2 buy signals, indicating a strong sell sentiment [2] - Key support levels are identified at 126.4 HKD and 125.5 HKD, with a second support at 118.2 HKD [2] - The average daily trading volume is 54.3 billion HKD, showing sufficient liquidity but heavy selling pressure remains [3] Group 3 - Recent bearish derivative products related to Meituan have surged over 30%, with notable gains in put options and bear certificates [5][6] - The performance of these products highlights the explosive potential of bearish derivatives in a declining market [6] - For investors anticipating a rebound, HSBC's call options provide a leverage of 9 times with a strike price of 143.3 HKD, suitable for technical rebounds [8] Group 4 - Bull certificates from Morgan Stanley offer a recovery price of 117 HKD with a leverage of 9.8 times, while another option has a lower recovery price of 115 HKD with a leverage of 7.9 times [10] - Bear certificates from UBS and Societe Generale provide leverage of 7.7 times and 7.5 times, respectively, with recovery prices above 143 HKD [10]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is experiencing volatility, with Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing Limited (HKEX) trading at 390.6 HKD, down 1.91%. The stock is currently in a sideways movement above the midline on the daily chart, while the weekly chart shows a positive trend with seven consecutive weeks of gains, nearing the upper Bollinger Band at 400.65 HKD [1]. Technical Analysis - The current price of HKEX is at a critical divergence point, with multiple moving averages indicating a "strong buy" signal. However, the RSI has reached 77, indicating an overbought condition, and there is significant pressure at the upper Bollinger Band [1]. - Key support has shifted from resistance at 380 HKD to a strong support level, while the next target for bulls is the range of 406-415 HKD [1]. - Market participants are particularly focused on the 400 HKD level, with some considering short positions at this price point [2]. Derivative Products - In the options market, various call options are available, such as the Morgan Stanley call option (13652) with a leverage of 7.9 times and a strike price of 450.2 HKD, suitable for investors optimistic about breaking this price level. Another option, the Barclays call option (27807), offers 8.7 times leverage with a strike price of 450 HKD, noted for its cost-effectiveness [4]. - For bearish investors, Citigroup's put option (16606) provides 8.4 times leverage with a strike price of 333.9 HKD, while Morgan Stanley's put option (16907) offers 8.2 times leverage with a strike price of 333.68 HKD [4]. Market Sentiment - The market sentiment remains bullish, with investors closely monitoring the performance of HKEX as it approaches the 400 HKD resistance level. The trading strategies often involve gradually exiting positions as the stock price rises or deploying derivatives when reaching significant price points [2]. - Notably, when HKEX shares rose by 1.76%, related bullish derivative products performed exceptionally well, with notable increases of 36% for the Societe Generale bull certificate (54739) and 31% for the UBS bull certificate (54530) [2].

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance (02628) is experiencing a strong upward trend in its stock price, with a current price of 16.04 HKD and a daily increase of 1.78%, supported by multiple technical indicators signaling a "strong buy" despite being in an overbought state [1][4]. Technical Analysis - The technical indicators for China Life show a strong bullish pattern, with several moving averages indicating buy signals: MA10 at 15.79 HKD, MA30 at 14.72 HKD, and MA60 at 15.08 HKD, with the current price above these averages [1]. - The RSI index is at 66, indicating an overbought condition, while the William's indicator also signals a buy. Other indicators like ADX, psychological line, and momentum oscillators support a bullish outlook, although the overbought status suggests potential short-term pullback risks [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - The first short-term support level is at 15.4 HKD, with a second support level at 14.5 HKD if the price retraces. The first resistance level is at 16.5 HKD, and if this is breached, the stock could challenge the second resistance level at 17 HKD [4]. Product Performance - Recent performance of related derivative products has been strong, with products mentioned on May 22 showing a 6% increase within two days, highlighting the leverage effect of warrants and bull/bear certificates in a rising stock market [4]. Investment Products - For warrants, Citibank's call option (25498) has a high leverage with an exercise price of 16.9 HKD, suitable for investors expecting a breakout above 16.5 HKD. Morgan Stanley's call option (25657) offers a leverage of 11.4 times, appealing to aggressive investors [7]. - In terms of bear certificates, Citibank's bear certificate (57271) has a redemption price of 17.5 HKD and is suitable for short-term hedging, while UBS's bear certificate (57555) has a redemption price of 17.6 HKD, offering high leverage but with caution advised due to the resistance level at 16.5 HKD [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - China COSCO Shipping Holdings (中遠海控) is currently in a strong upward trend, supported by various technical indicators, but there are signs of overbought conditions that suggest caution for investors when chasing higher prices [1][6]. Technical Analysis - The stock closed at HKD 14.94 with a daily increase of 0.54%, and a trading volume of HKD 677 million, indicating a continuation of its bullish trend [1]. - Short-term support levels are at HKD 12.5 and HKD 13.7, while resistance levels are at HKD 15.5 and HKD 17. The current price is close to the first resistance level, and a successful breakout could lead to higher levels [3]. - The moving averages for 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day are HKD 14.28, HKD 12.44, and HKD 12.2 respectively, with the current price significantly above these averages, indicating a bullish arrangement [3]. - The overall technical signal is a "strong buy" with a strength rating of 18 points, suggesting that most technical models agree on the continuation of the upward trend [5]. Overbought Indicators - The RSI index is at 80, indicating a strong buying momentum but also potential risks due to overbought conditions. Other indicators like the Williams and CCI are also in the overbought zone, suggesting short-term pressure or corrections may occur [5]. - The stochastic oscillator shows a sell signal, while the ADX indicator is neutral, indicating that the trend remains valid but may require new catalysts for further acceleration [5]. - Additional indicators such as the psychological line and volatility indicators lean towards sell signals, reflecting a potential market sentiment overheating [5]. Overall Summary - China COSCO Shipping Holdings is in a strong upward channel, with most technical indicators supporting further upward potential. However, the continuous rise and multiple overbought signals increase short-term risks. Investors are advised to maintain a bullish outlook while setting appropriate risk control points to avoid profit-taking due to market sentiment reversals [6].

Core Viewpoint - Great Wall Motors (02333) has shown a strengthening trend, with a recent stock price increase of 2.10% to HKD 12.62, indicating potential bullish momentum in the market [1]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has successfully broken through the MA10 (HKD 12.36) and MA30 (HKD 11.94), forming a bullish alignment, while the MACD indicator has issued a buy signal [1]. - The Bollinger Bands are expanding, suggesting an increase in upward momentum, although the RSI at 55 indicates a neutral zone, and other indicators show overbought conditions, hinting at possible short-term volatility [1]. - The stock is facing a key resistance level at HKD 13.3, with a potential challenge to the yearly high of HKD 13.9. Important support levels are at HKD 12.1 and a stronger support at HKD 11.7 [2]. Trading Opportunities - For investors optimistic about Great Wall Motors' breakout, options include the JPMorgan call warrant (15880) with a leverage of 4.7 times and an exercise price of HKD 14.9, which has a relatively low implied volatility [2]. - Another option is the credit warrant (13639) with a leverage of 4.9 times and an exercise price of HKD 14.88, noted for its lowest premium and implied volatility among similar products, offering better cost-effectiveness [2]. - Products expiring in November, such as UBS call warrant (13608) and JPMorgan call warrant (14482), with an exercise price of HKD 18.82 and effective leverage of 4.5 times, have shown a recent increase of 9.52% [3].

Group 1 - Xiaomi's stock price is currently fluctuating around 54.45 HKD, with technical indicators showing mixed signals [1] - As of 9:55 AM, Xiaomi's stock price was at 54.55 HKD, a slight increase of 0.18%, with resistance at 56 HKD and support at 50.4 HKD [1] - The MACD and Ichimoku indicators are signaling a buy, while the RSI is at 66, nearing the overbought zone, and the Williams indicator shows a sell warning [1] Group 2 - On May 19, when Xiaomi's stock rose by 4.01%, related derivatives performed strongly, with the Morgan Stanley call option (14642) surging by 22% [3] - UBS bull certificates (66801) and call options (14991) increased by 19% and 18% respectively, while Morgan Stanley bull certificates (67102) also rose by 18% [3] - This data highlights the leverage effect of derivatives in high volatility markets, particularly call options [3] Group 3 - For investors optimistic about Xiaomi breaking the 56 HKD resistance, several high-leverage products are available, including UBS call options (14991) with a leverage of 4.8 times [5] - HSBC call options (15392) follow closely with a leverage of 4.7 times, while Morgan Stanley bull certificates (55982) offer a leverage of 6.7 times with an attractive premium level [5] - Morgan Stanley bull certificates (55750) have a lower recovery price of 46 HKD but provide a leverage of 5.6 times, suitable for aggressive investors [5] Group 4 - For bearish expectations, HSBC put options (14333) and Morgan Stanley put options (14322) offer leverage of 2.3 times and 2.4 times respectively, both with a strike price of 46.45 HKD [8] - Among bear certificates, UBS bear certificates (56421) provide a leverage of 8.8 times with a recovery price of 61 HKD, while Societe Generale bear certificates (56288) offer 9.4 times leverage with a recovery price of 60.5 HKD, suitable for short-term trading [8] Group 5 - Investors can choose based on their risk preferences: conservative investors may consider out-of-the-money call options, balanced investors may opt for medium-leverage bull certificates, and aggressive investors may select high-leverage bear certificates for short-term trades [11] - Regardless of market position, strict position control and clear stop-loss points are recommended [11]

今日上午11點50分，平保(02318)盤中表現穩健，最新報46.7元，上漲0.65%，股價逼近日線圖的保利加通道頂部47.57元。同時周線圖的保利加通道頂部在 48.57元。 從技術面來看，10日均線(47.04元)與30日均線(45.33元)形成黃金交叉，MACD指標發出買入信號，但動能略顯溫和。RSI處於55的中性水平，顯示股價仍有 上行空間。關鍵支持位在44.9元（支持1）和44元（支持2），上方阻力則看48.4元（阻力1）和49.4元（阻力2）。 窩輪市場上，有投資者表示從周線和日k線上看是買入時機，後續會持續上漲，等50元再賣出。不過有看淡的投資者則認為站不穩55元，走勢仍弱勢。 回顧5月19日表現，平保相關衍生品表現亮眼。當日正股上漲2.19%，法巴認購證15999大漲16%，摩通牛證53834也有15%升幅，跑贏正股表現。 窩輪產品精選 現階段的窩輪選擇上，可關注花旗認購證13225，行使價49.93元，提供13.4倍槓桿，其最大優勢是溢價及引伸波幅均屬市場最低；摩利認購證15639則提供 12.9倍槓桿，行使價同樣為49.93元，引伸波幅較為理想。看跌方向的可考慮摩通認沽證28028和瑞銀認 ...