支撐位
Search documents
港交所阻力與支撐分析:短線操作的窩輪選擇要點
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-09 21:00
港交所阻力與支撐分析:短線操作的窩輪選擇要點 近期港股市場交投偏淡,港交所(00388)股價持續承壓,走勢備受關注。港交所最新報價400.2元,微跌0.99%,再度考驗400元心理關口。過去五日振幅僅 約2.9%,資金交投呈現謹慎態勢,反映市場缺乏明確方向,投資者普遍持觀望態度。 技術面:多空信號交織,震盪築底特徵顯現 從技術分析來看,港交所股價目前正處於關鍵技術區域,中短期趨勢偏弱特徵顯著。上方短期移動平均線形成層層阻力,10天線(約408.26元)、30天線 (約419.8元)及60天線(約428.86元)皆位於當前股價之上,構成階段性壓力。 支撐與阻力位的界定相對清晰,為短線操作提供了核心依據。支撐端呈現階梯式特徵:393元作為第一支撐位,是近期多次測試後形成的階段性防線,若能 穩固則有望觸發技術性反彈;385元作為第二支撐位,對應前期震盪平臺下沿,具備較強的心理支撐與資金承接預期。阻力端同樣明確:411元是短期反彈的 首要目標,該位置接近10日均線附近,疊加前期成交密集區壓力,突破難度不小;429元作為第二阻力位,同時靠近30日均線與60日均線的疊加區域,形成 較強中期阻力帶,短期突破需成交量顯著配合 ...
10月27日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、百度集團、藥明康德、阿里、瑞聲科技
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-27 13:11
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently experiencing mixed investor sentiment, with some expecting it to challenge 26,800 points while others predict a drop to 26,100 points [1][2] - The resistance level for the HSI is estimated at around 26,900 points, while the support level is approximately 25,800 points [2] - Technical signals indicate a predominance of "strong sell" signals, with 12 sell signals and only 2 buy signals [3][6] Group 2 - Meituan's stock price has surpassed 100 HKD, closing at 102 HKD, and is currently above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [10] - The technical signals for Meituan lean towards "sell," with 9 sell signals and 3 buy signals, suggesting a bearish outlook [10] - The resistance level for Meituan is around 106 HKD, with a potential next target of 110 HKD if it breaks through [10] Group 3 - Baidu's stock price closed at 125 HKD, close to the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a resistance level at approximately 132.5 HKD [16] - The technical signals for Baidu are also predominantly "sell," with 8 sell signals and 5 buy signals [20] - Investors are advised to consider the exercise price of options carefully, with recommendations to choose options closer to the current stock price for better alignment with market movements [17] Group 4 - WuXi AppTec's stock has shown strong performance, breaking through the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, with a resistance level at around 123.6 HKD [23] - The stock's trading volume has increased significantly compared to the past 10 trading days, indicating positive market sentiment [23] Group 5 - Alibaba's stock closed at 173.6 HKD, with a resistance level at 180.6 HKD and a potential next target of 189.7 HKD [30] - The technical signals for Alibaba are predominantly "sell," with 9 sell signals and 3 buy signals, indicating a cautious outlook [30] - The support level for Alibaba is around 164.4 HKD, with a potential drop to 157.5 HKD if it breaks below this level [30] Group 6 - AAC Technologies' stock closed at 40.88 HKD, above the 40 HKD mark, but still below the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [36] - The technical signals for AAC Technologies are slightly more favorable, with a majority of buy signals [36] - Investors are advised to consider waiting for lower entry points, with a support level at approximately 38.8 HKD [36]
快手短期支撐與阻力全解析
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-06 18:50
Core Viewpoint - Kuaishou's stock price is approaching resistance levels, with a current price of 79.15 HKD and potential challenges at 85-90 HKD, while technical indicators suggest a possible short-term adjustment due to overbought conditions [1][10]. Price Movement and Technical Analysis - Kuaishou's stock rose by 2.79% to close at 79.15 HKD, with a slight decline of 0.02% to 79.1 HKD the following day [1]. - Key support levels are identified at 73.1 HKD and 67.2 HKD, while resistance levels are at 82.4 HKD and 86.3 HKD [3]. - The stock is currently above its 10-day moving average (75.16 HKD) and 30-day moving average (68.4 HKD), indicating strong short-term upward momentum [1]. Derivative Products and Leverage - Various derivative products are available, including HSBC's call option with a leverage of 5.5 times and a strike price of 90.29 HKD, which has a relatively low premium [5]. - For bearish investors, UBS's put option with a strike price of 68.83 HKD offers a leverage of 3.2 times, also with a low premium [5]. - High-leverage products such as the HSBC bull certificate with a recovery price of 66 HKD and a leverage of 4.9 times are highlighted for bullish strategies [6]. Market Sentiment and Trading Strategies - The market sentiment indicates a cautious approach due to the stock being in an overbought zone, with traders considering whether to test resistance at 82.4 HKD or retreat to support at 73.1 HKD [10]. - The analysis suggests that investors should monitor volume changes closely as buying momentum appears to be weakening [3].
攜程短線策略:支撐位與阻力位的攻防戰
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-14 10:21
Group 1 - Ctrip's stock price has shown a strong trend, currently at 485.6 HKD, with a recent drop of 0.7% and a 5-day volatility of 7.6%, indicating robust market momentum [1] - The stock has surpassed key moving averages (MA10 at 470.64, MA30 at 472.79, and MA60 at 475.69), with multiple moving averages signaling a "strong buy" [1] - The RSI indicator is at 58, nearing the overbought zone, while MACD and Bollinger Bands continue to provide buy signals, although short-term overbought correction signals are present [1] Group 2 - Recent data indicates support levels at 466 HKD (previous neckline) and 448 HKD (medium-term uptrend line), with potential for capital inflow if the stock retraces to these levels [2] - The primary resistance level is at 503 HKD, and breaking this level could open up a path to 529 HKD, with a 54% probability of upward movement reflecting a slight bullish advantage [2] Group 3 - Ctrip's stock performance has led to significant gains in related leveraged products, with a 2.01% increase in the stock price resulting in a 13% rise in the Morgan Stanley bull certificate and a 12% rise in the UBS bull certificate over two trading days [4] - The stock's strong performance has attracted attention to various call and put options, with notable leverage ratios and strike prices indicating potential trading strategies [7][10] Group 4 - The market is currently observing a bullish sentiment towards Ctrip, with discussions on whether the stock can break through the 503 HKD level during the summer travel peak or if it will consolidate within the 466-503 HKD range [14]