这是一则由欧洲新闻电视台于1月26日发出的报道。 2025年6月13日至24日，伊朗与以色列、美国之间爆发了一场军事冲突。这场冲突被称作十二日战争。 冲突期间，以色列战机在伊朗上空如入无人之境，肆意轰炸伊朗军事目标、击杀多名伊朗军方高层和核 科学家。伊朗则向以色列发射导弹，造成以色列人员伤亡。 彼时的哈梅内伊藏身何处，外界不得而知。但在2025年6月17日，美国总统特朗普通过社交媒体如此表 示："我们确切地知道这位最高领袖的藏身之所。他是一个容易攻击的目标，但他目前是安全的。我们 不会把他干掉，至少现在不会。" 那么这一次，如果美国、以色列再对伊朗发起打击，哈梅内伊还是安全的吗？ 不一定。 因为此一时、彼一时。 2025年6月的冲突，是以色列突然发动空袭，伊朗被迫反击。 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊已转入德黑兰一处加固地堡。他的三儿子马苏德·哈梅内伊负责维系其父（地 下）与政府（地上）之间的沟通。该地堡与隧道系统相连，能抵御空袭。 此前一天的1月25日，以色列电视十三台发出报道，美国海军"林肯"号航母打击群已抵达中东地区。报 道分析称："这标志着美国距离做出攻击（伊朗）决定仅一步之遥"。 有媒体将本周（1月26日至2 ...

特朗普26日接受美国阿克西奥斯新闻网站采访时说："我们在伊朗边上有一支庞大的舰队，比在委内瑞 拉的还大。"他同时表示，外交仍是选项之一，并称伊朗方面"想达成协议"。 阿克西奥斯新闻网站援引知情人士的话报道，特朗普尚未作出最终决定。他本周可能会举行更多内部磋 商，并听取关于军事选项的汇报。随着美军航空母舰打击群到来，这些选项将进一步丰富。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's recent statements regarding Iran, emphasizing the potential for military action while also leaving the door open for diplomatic negotiations [1][2]. Group 1: Military Actions - Trump has deployed a significant naval fleet to the Middle East, larger than the one near Venezuela, indicating a heightened military presence in the region [1]. - The USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group, which includes three missile destroyers and various advanced fighter jets, has entered the Central Command area [1][2]. - Additional military assets, including F-15E fighters and missile defense systems, have been sent to the Middle East [1]. Group 2: Diplomatic Efforts - Trump has not completely ruled out diplomatic solutions to the Iran issue, suggesting that Iran is interested in negotiating with the U.S. [2]. - White House officials have indicated that military action remains an option, but they are also open to dialogue with Iran [2]. - Recent unrest in Iran has led to casualties, prompting Trump to threaten military intervention while Iran's officials have warned of severe consequences for any aggression [2].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that diplomatic efforts, including communications between Iran and the U.S., have led to a de-escalation of tensions in the Gulf region, with regional countries urging restraint from the U.S. government [2][3] - There is an increasing hope that communication between Tehran and Washington, possibly facilitated by third parties like Russia or Oman, could lead to further negotiations in the coming days [4] - Following President Trump's assurance that Iran has stopped executing protesters, global oil prices fell as traders became less concerned about military actions affecting Iran's output or retaliatory actions against shipping routes [5][6] Group 2 - The U.S. military has begun withdrawing personnel and aircraft from the Al Udeid air base, which had approximately 10,000 soldiers stationed, raising speculation about potential military action against Tehran [4] - Despite the apparent de-escalation, military options remain on the table, with indications that President Trump desires a swift and clear outcome similar to previous military interventions [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, highlighting the potential for military action and its implications for regional stability and the global oil market [3][4]. Group 1: U.S. Military Actions and Diplomatic Efforts - President Trump has expressed a desire for any military action against Iran to be a "quick, decisive strike" rather than a prolonged conflict [3]. - The U.S. Department of Defense is preparing action plans for potential military operations against Iran, with a submission expected to Trump [4]. - Iran's Foreign Minister has indicated a willingness to negotiate with the U.S. based on mutual respect, while also preparing for potential conflict [4]. Group 2: Regional Reactions and Concerns - Gulf Arab nations, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar, are actively lobbying the Trump administration to avoid military strikes against Iran, fearing disruptions to the oil market and domestic stability [6]. - Saudi Arabia has assured Iran that it will not be involved in any potential conflict and has sought to distance itself from U.S. military actions [6]. - An anonymous Iranian official warned that Iran would retaliate against U.S. military bases in the region if attacked, emphasizing Iran's strong short-range missile capabilities [6]. Group 3: Military Presence and Security Measures - Some U.S. military personnel stationed at the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar have begun to withdraw amid rising tensions [7]. - The U.S. Embassy in Qatar has issued security alerts advising American citizens to exercise caution and limit travel to military bases [7]. - The Chinese Embassy in Qatar has also issued warnings to its citizens regarding the escalating situation in the region [8].

特朗普：将"观望"伊朗局势发展， 未排除动武可能 据央视新闻，当地时间14日，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队航空航天部队司令马吉德·穆萨维说，伊朗当前处 于最高战备状态，导弹储备量自2025年以来有所增加。 穆萨维当天在接受采访时表示，在2025年6月以色列和伊朗的激烈冲突中受损的设施已完成修复，伊 斯兰革命卫队航空航天部队在多个领域的产出水平已超过去年6月时的水平。 伊朗称正密切监视美国在地区军事部署 当地时间14日下午，伊朗外交部与安全部门官员举行内部记者会，外交部发言人巴加埃指责近期伊 朗骚乱系美以"恐怖主义行径"所致，并强调当前缺乏与美谈判的环境。伊朗官方同时表示，正严密 监视美军在地区基地的部署动态。 据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)表示，当地时间1月14日，美国总统特朗普在白宫椭圆形办公室谈及伊 朗局势时表示，"我们要先观望局势发展"。 特朗普还称，美国政府收到了来自伊朗方面"非常可靠的声明"。 根据报道，特朗普尚未排除美国对伊朗采取军事行动的可能性。 来源：中国新闻网综合央视新闻 ...

Group 1 - Iran has warned U.S. allies in the Middle East that if Washington attacks Iran, it will target U.S. military bases located in those countries [1] - Iran's missile stockpile has increased since the 12-day conflict with Israel last year, and the Revolutionary Guard has reached a state of maximum readiness [1] - The death toll from the unrest in Iran has risen to nearly 2,600, marking one of the most significant challenges to the Iranian government since the 1979 Islamic Revolution [1][4] Group 2 - U.S. President Trump has threatened strong actions if Iran executes protesters, urging Iranians to continue their protests [2][7] - The U.S. has military deployments in the region, including the Fifth Fleet in Bahrain and the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar, which is a forward headquarters for U.S. Central Command [2] - Iran's foreign minister has communicated with counterparts in Qatar, the UAE, and Turkey, emphasizing Iran's determination to defend its sovereignty against foreign interference [4] Group 3 - The Iranian government has accused the U.S. and Israel of inciting unrest and has attributed violent incidents to alleged terrorists attacking security forces and public property [5] - The Iranian judiciary has called for swift trials and punishment for those responsible for violence against protesters to prevent future occurrences [6] - A funeral procession is planned in Tehran for over 100 civilians and security personnel who died during the unrest, indicating ongoing tensions within the country [7]

特朗普当天在底特律回答记者有关美国是否建议盟友撤离伊朗时说："他们应该撤离。这是个好主 意。" 美国国务院12日发布"安全警告"，要求美国公民"在确保安全的前提下，考虑通过陆路经亚美尼亚或 土耳其离开伊朗"。 更多最新消息： 美国政府批准向中国出口英伟达H200芯片；特朗普称取消与伊朗官员所有会面；今年起单位给员工 提供餐饮住宿等有偿服务要交税丨早报 据CCTV国际时讯，美国总统特朗普1月13日在其社交媒体"真实社交"发文称，他已经"取消了与伊 朗官员的所有会面"。 据《纽约时报》援引美军官员的话报道称，美军在中东地区的指挥官希望"在发起任何潜在打击前， 预留更多时间来巩固美军阵地，为伊朗可能发动的报复性袭击做好准备"。 据新华社，美国总统特朗普13日建议美国的盟友"撤离"伊朗。 ...

Group 1 - Iran's police force announced the arrest of 297 individuals linked to riot organizations associated with Israel and the United States [1] - The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reported the dismantling of multiple "terrorist organization" groups in southeastern Iran, capturing members who received training abroad for sabotage and assassination [1] - Iran's Defense Minister stated that the country would defend itself with "full force" if threats materialize, targeting all U.S. military bases in the region [1] Group 2 - The Russian Foreign Ministry condemned external interference in Iran's internal affairs, labeling U.S. military threats as "absolutely unacceptable" [2] - Hezbollah claimed that recent large pro-government rallies in Iran reflected the true will of the Iranian people, accusing the U.S. of attempting to undermine Iran from within [2]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. is intensifying pressure on Iran through potential military actions and economic sanctions, with President Trump planning discussions on further measures against Iran [3][4]. Group 1: U.S. Actions and Statements - President Trump is set to meet with senior officials on January 13 to discuss the next steps regarding Iran, which may include military options and increased sanctions [4]. - The U.S. State Department issued a "security warning" on January 12, advising American citizens to leave Iran immediately due to escalating domestic protests [5]. - Trump announced a 25% tariff on any country that engages in business with Iran, stating this decision is "final" and "immediate" [3][4]. Group 2: Iran's Response - Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei stated that the Iranian people have thwarted foreign attempts to exploit internal unrest [7]. - Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif expressed that Iran is prepared for any potential U.S. military action and hopes for a "wise choice" from the U.S. [7]. - Zarif also indicated that Iran's military readiness is extensive compared to previous conflicts, emphasizing that any attack on Iranian interests would be met with retaliation [8][9].