再看30分钟K线，它将一天交易时间细分，能更及时捕捉股价变化，同样用指数平滑法算出预测值，若 实际值小于预测值，说明短期股价表现弱于预期，可能是调整信号，意味着大盘短期可能要调整。 （原标题：和讯投顾王偲安：通过上证指数的日K线和30分钟K线，对大盘后续走势清晰预判） 和讯投顾王偲安表示，若还在为摸不透大盘走势发愁，今天分享一个实用方法助你精准把握大盘动向。 通过上证指数的日K线和30分钟K线，结合指数平滑法，可对大盘后续走势清晰预判。指数平滑法简单 来说，就是从复杂历史数据中找股价最可能走向的方法，它按时间远近给过去数据赋予不同权重，越新 的数据权重越大，以此预测未来趋势。 先看日K线，它反映一天股价综合情况，用指数平滑法可算出当日预测值，若当日实际值大于预测值， 说明当天股价表现强于模型预期，是偏积极信号，意味着大盘短期有向上冲的动力。 当两者结合，若日线实际值大于预测值，而30分钟实际值小于预测值，就形成矛盾信号，日线显示整体 趋势向上，30分钟短期数据却暗示有调整需求，此时大盘很可能进入短期调整阶段；反之，若日线实际 值小于预测值，30分钟实际值大于预测值，则是短期有向上动力但长期趋势偏弱，大盘后续可 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing a downward adjustment, with the index closing below the 5-day moving average for the first time since the upward trend began after the May Day holiday [1] Group 1 - The index has broken below the 3386 level, indicating that the recent upward movement is likely to halt, leading to a short-term correction [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index's 5-minute K-line chart shows that the recent decline is only the first segment of a larger downward movement, with a potential weak recovery observed [2] - A critical resistance level is identified around 3370 points; failure to surpass this level suggests continued weakness in the market [3] Group 2 - If the index cannot break above the 3370 level, it may continue to form a downward trend, with potential support around the 3320 level [3] - Other indices, including the ChiNext Index, are also showing similar patterns of horizontal consolidation after breaking below their respective support levels [3][4] - The current adjustment is viewed as a normal correction within an overall upward trend, provided it does not lead to a significant decline [4]

Group 1 - The market is currently experiencing a small cycle adjustment, but it is not yet determined to be a large-scale adjustment, with a majority of stocks showing an upward trend despite the index's decline [1] - The trading volume is relatively low, below 11 trillion, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index has lost its high sequence, suggesting a lack of strong upward momentum, and the current situation can only be defined as a small cycle adjustment [1] Group 2 - The recent adjustments differ from previous ones, forming a daily top pattern, indicating potential market weakness [2] - The 3350 position is critical; if it is effectively broken, it may lead to further defensive adjustments in the market [2] - Current probabilities suggest that a significant drop below the 3350 level is unlikely, but market participants should remain vigilant for any changes in the upcoming week [2]

上证指数收报3367.46点，跌0.40%。 深证成指收报10179.60点，跌0.07%。 创业板指收报2039.45点，跌0.19%。 沪深300收报3889.09点，跌0.46%。 科创50收报995.24点，跌0.57%。 中证500收报5715.85点，涨0.01%。 中证1000收报6068.12点，涨0.18%。 ...

周五临近午盘，国家新闻出版署发布网络游戏管理办法征求意见稿，成为游戏板块甚至整个市场跳水的 导火索，最为直接的是游戏板块大跌10.83%，板块内超20只个股跌停；恒生科技指数大跌4.37%、网易 大跌24.6%、腾讯控股大跌12.35%。 周末，市场给予了诸多解读，有机构专家的、有相关上市公司的、也有权威部门的。当然，最为主要的 是事件的制造者国家新闻出版署：征求意见稿旨在促进行业繁荣健康发展，将认真研究，并将在继续听 取相关部门、企业、用户等各方意见的基础上进一步修改完善。 另外一则消息就比较官方了，周五晚间，证券时报评论：为上证指数正名。观点比较直接和明确，用一 系列的数据肯定了上证指数的长期增长速度，用上证指数和美国道指进行比较：上证33年的年化收益超 过10%，而道琼斯指数127年里的年化收益为5.5%，只有上证的一半。 这个周末，截至目前，市场只有两个消息，一个已经拖垮了大盘，一个延长了寿命。 看了全篇评论，有三点疑问？ 美国127年经历了什么？战争不下数十场，甚至包括一战、二战，而A股近30年，是发展的黄金周期， 经济地位已跃居世界第二。 用127年的长周期来评价股市的投资价值，敢问提出此观点的神 ...

| 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交额 | 年初年今 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 000001 | 上证指数 | 3374.71 c | -6.12 | -0.18% | 36亿 | 0.68% | | 399001 | 深证成指 | 10157.68 c | -28.77 | -0.28% | 60亿 | -2.47% | | 899050 | 北证50 | 1408.90 c | -6.57 | -0.46% | 4.0亿 | 35.76% | | 881001 | 万得全A | 5097.20 c | -11.92 | -0.23% | 100亿 | 1.50% | | 000688 | 科创50 | 997.45 c | -3.52 | -0.35% | 0.7 Z | 0.86% | | 399006 | 创业板指 | 2035.87 c | -7.38 | -0.36% | 22亿 | -4.94% | | 000300 | 沪深300 | 3898.67 c | -8.53 | -0.22% | 11亿 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index 50 (CSI 50) index, which reflects the performance of the largest 50 companies eligible for the Hong Kong Stock Connect, has shown significant growth, with a year-to-date increase of 19.87% [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 index opened lower and fell by 0.73%, closing at 3528.46 points with a trading volume of 79.73 billion yuan [1]. - Over the past month, the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 index has increased by 11.88%, and over the past three months, it has risen by 5.41% [1]. Group 2: Index Composition and Adjustments - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 index is composed of the largest 50 listed companies within the Hong Kong Stock Connect range, established with a base date of November 14, 2014, and a base point of 3000.0 [1]. - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2]. - New samples ranked within the top 40 are prioritized for inclusion, while those ranked below 60 are prioritized for removal [2]. - The index can undergo temporary adjustments in special circumstances, such as when a sample company is delisted or when a new company ranks in the top ten by market capitalization within the Hong Kong Stock Connect range [2].

Core Viewpoint - The recent market adjustment is seen as a minor correction, with the previous breakout at 3400 points still considered valid despite the pullback [1][2] Group 1: Market Analysis - The average stock price declined by 1.11, indicating a notable adjustment in the market [1] - The adjustment is attributed to a small high point, suggesting limited downside potential [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index is viewed as healthy, with significant buying activity observed [2] Group 2: Index Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has not broken below the 30-minute and 20-hour moving averages, indicating a strong performance [2] - Other indices, such as the ChiNext and Shenzhen Composite, are showing relative weakness compared to the Shanghai Composite [2] - The critical support level is identified at 3274, with 3350 being an important threshold [2][3] Group 3: Future Outlook - A potential decline below the identified support levels would warrant caution, but a rebound is also considered a normal occurrence [3] - The expected range for adjustments is around 3320 points, near the identified gap [3] - The overall market trend is still viewed as an early stage of a three-wave upward movement, with 3040 points marking the starting point [3]

中证1000早盘收报6085.00点，跌1.22%。 上证指数早盘收报3389.75点，跌0.42%。 深证成指早盘收报10238.63点，跌1.12%。 创业板指早盘收报2055.06点，跌1.35%。 沪深300早盘收报3919.65点，跌0.60%。 科创50早盘收报1003.00点，跌1.06%。 中证500早盘收报5740.63点，跌1.01%。 ...

上证指数突破3400点整数关口，截至13点半左右，涨0.75%，深证成指涨0.3%，创业板指涨0.5%。 大金融板块发力，保险股领涨。 ...