智通财经1月5日讯，今日108股涨停，26股炸板，封板率为81%，锋龙股份7连板，雷科防务4连板，南 兴股份、友邦吊顶3连板，蓝色光标20cm2连板，圣晖集成9天5板。市场高开高走迎来2026年开门红， 创业板指领涨，沪指重回4000点上方，录得十二连阳。沪深两市成交额高达2.55万亿，较上一个交易日 放量5011亿。盘面上，全市场超4100只个股上涨。板块题材上，脑机接口、创新药、保险、存储芯片板 块涨幅居前；海南自贸区、旅游酒店、猪肉、银行等板块领跌。 马斯克表示，其脑机接口公司Neuralink将于2026年开始对脑机接口设备进行"大规模生产"，并将采用趋 近完全自动化的手术流程。脑机接口概念受此消息提振，全天持续扩大涨势，三博脑科、美好医疗、南 京熊猫、创新医疗全天封死一字涨停，收盘时约有40只成分股涨停或涨超10%。去年年初，国家医保局 发布对脑机接口康复收费的指导意见，直接推动了脑机接口产业快速发展。目前已有约11个省市出台脑 机接口相关收费标准，且不少公司也透露最新商业化进展，国内密集政策叠加马斯克旗下公司的催化， 成为其大面积爆发主因。随着商业航天概念此前高举高打，为今日脑机接口概念股批量补涨 ...

2025年12月23日，第一财经《云程笃行·万里可期 | 2025年度财经思想者盛典》圆满落幕。智汇 集团创始人及首席经济学家夏春、中欧陆家嘴国际金融研究院副院长刘功润、京华世家家族办公室董 事长聂俊峰、新鼎资本董事长张驰和第一财经总编辑杨宇东共同呈现了一场精彩的年度思想演说秀， 围绕宏观趋势、居民消费、年轻人理财、具身智能等热点议题展开，探寻2026年值得期待的结构性 机遇。 此为《 2025年度财经思想者盛典》中 京华世家家族办公室董事长聂俊峰 的演讲完整版内容 大家好，我是京华世家家族办公室聂俊峰，感谢第一财经、感谢一财大 V号，非常荣幸参加2025年 度财经思想者盛典。我分享的年度主题是：2025中国财富传承"觉醒之年"的未了局。 我认为从 2025年开始，中国的财富传承开始进入"觉醒年代"，其中的典型案例是民营企业家和高 净值人士，但其实普通家庭也面临相似的继承焦虑。回顾2025年，宗氏家族信托争议、爱马仕继承 人被骗150亿等真实案例充分暴露了时代财富传承的典型风险。从亲情到利益、从一代到二代、从私 人到法人、从本土到离岸、从家族到社会利益相关方。围绕着宗庆后遗产和娃哈哈股权的司法纷争尚 未落槌终 ...

沪指涨0.24%，深成指涨0.31%，创业板指涨0.08%。商业航天概念股反复活跃，算力硬件、AI手机、智 能交通、芯片、核聚变题材走强；煤炭、保险、黄金板块调整。 沪指涨0.24%，深成指涨0.31%，创业板指涨0.08%。商业航天概念股反复活跃，算力硬件、AI手机、智 能交通、芯片、核聚变题材走强；煤炭、保险、黄金板块调整。 ...

盘面上，近日一致走强的大型科技股多数显示疲惫，其中，快手跌近3%，百度跌2%，阿里巴巴跌 1.9%，小米、腾讯飘绿，闪购与华为鸿蒙合作升级，美团大涨5.6%表现最为强势，京东涨超2%；油汇 成本改善利好航企业绩，近期调整的航空股再度迎来大涨行情，东航大涨近7%相对抢眼；巨头密集发 布产品调价通知，白卡纸价开始触底反弹，纸业股午后涨幅加大；流感药品销量暴涨！药品类股走势活 跃，创新药概念股涨幅相对明显，半导体芯片股、汽车股、重型基建股、保险股多数上涨。 另一方面，地缘政治有缓和迹象，军工股持续回调，影视娱乐股、黄金股、稳定币概念股、内房股、煤 炭股多数走低。(格隆汇) 港股高开震荡尾盘涨幅持续收窄，恒生指数涨0.13%26000点得而复失，国企指数、恒生科技指数分别 上涨0.04%及0.11%，大市总体呈现3连涨行情。 ...

Core Points - A-shares experienced a slight decline at the opening, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.18% and the ChiNext Index increasing by 0.25% by the end of the trading day [1] - The seafood sector showed strong performance, with Guolian Aquatic achieving a 20% limit-up, alongside other stocks like Zangzi Island and Dahu Co. also hitting the limit [1] - The lithium mining sector saw significant gains, with companies like Rongjie and Jinyuan both reaching their daily limit [1] - The gas sector weakened, with Shengli Co. hitting the daily limit down [1] - Other sectors that performed well included deep-sea technology, gold and jewelry, insurance, lithium extraction from salt lakes, and aerospace and military industries [1] - The market's total trading volume exceeded 1.7 trillion yuan, a decrease of over 200 billion yuan compared to the previous day, with more than 4,100 stocks declining [1]

General Investment Ratings - The report does not explicitly provide an overall industry investment rating. However, for different asset classes, it offers specific short - term investment suggestions: - For stocks and bonds, short - term cautious long positions are recommended; for commodities, different sectors have different suggestions, including cautious long, cautious short, and cautious observation [3]. Core Views - Overseas, the US labor market shows signs of deterioration, the dollar index is falling, but the potential end of the long - term shutdown boosts global risk appetite. Domestically, China's economic growth has slowed in October, but inflation data has recovered, and the central bank's policies have increased liquidity and boosted domestic risk appetite. The short - term macro - upward driving force has strengthened, and the market focuses on domestic incremental stimulus policies and economic growth [3][4]. Summary by Categories Macro - finance - **Market Conditions**: Overseas, the ADP predicts a decline in US private - sector jobs, the dollar index is falling, and the potential end of the shutdown boosts global risk appetite. Domestically, China's manufacturing and export data in October are weak, but inflation data has recovered, and the central bank's policies have increased liquidity [3]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Stocks and bonds are expected to rebound in the short - term, with cautious long positions. For commodities, black metals are in short - term shock, with cautious observation; non - ferrous metals, precious metals, and some other sectors are in short - term shock and rebound, with cautious long positions; energy and chemical sectors are in short - term shock, with cautious observation [3]. Stocks - **Market Conditions**: Affected by sectors such as artificial intelligence, consumer electronics, and insurance, the domestic stock market has declined slightly. China's economic growth has slowed, but inflation data has recovered, and policies have boosted risk appetite [4]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Stocks are expected to rebound in the short - term, with cautious long positions [4]. Precious Metals - **Market Conditions**: The precious metals market rose on Tuesday night. The expectation of the US government ending the shutdown and potential Fed rate cuts has boosted prices. Spot gold has reached a high since October 23 [4]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Precious metals are in short - term shock and rebound, with a long - term upward trend. Short - term cautious long positions are recommended, and long - term buying on dips is advised [4]. Black Metals - **Steel**: Spot prices were flat on Tuesday, and futures prices continued to fluctuate. The change in coking coal supply expectations and the decline in coking coal prices have led to a weakening of the steel market. Demand is weak, and supply has decreased. The short - term market may continue to weaken, but the decline below 3000 points for rebar is limited [7]. - **Iron Ore**: Futures and spot prices weakened slightly on Tuesday. Steel mills' losses have accelerated production cuts, and iron ore demand may further decline. Supply has decreased, but port inventories have increased. The short - term price is expected to fluctuate within a range [7]. - **Silicon Manganese/Silicon Iron**: Spot prices were flat on Tuesday, and futures prices weakened slightly. Steel production has declined, reducing ferroalloy demand. Manganese ore prices are firm, and supply has decreased slightly. The prices of silicon manganese and silicon iron are expected to continue to fluctuate within a range [8]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Energy - **Copper**: There are differences within the Fed on interest rate cuts. US copper inventories are at a high level, and there is a risk of the Panama copper mine restarting. Domestic de - stocking is less than expected, but the shutdown of an Indonesian copper mine supports prices. The short - term price is expected to fluctuate at a high level [9]. - **Aluminum**: On Tuesday, Shanghai aluminum declined slightly. The market is worried about future supply shortages, but domestic de - stocking is difficult. The short - term price is expected to be strong, but there may be a significant correction later [10]. - **Tin**: The supply of tin is still tight, and the demand is weak. Tin ingot inventories have increased. The short - to - medium - term price is expected to be supported at the bottom but pressured at the top, with high - level fluctuations [11]. - **Lithium Carbonate**: The price of the lithium carbonate futures contract rose on Tuesday. The market has digested negative news, and the demand logic is dominant. The price is expected to be strong with fluctuations, but supply - side disturbances and hedging pressure need attention [12]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The price of the industrial silicon futures contract declined on Tuesday. Supply and demand are both weak, and the price is expected to fluctuate. Buying on dips is recommended [12]. - **Polysilicon**: The price of the polysilicon futures contract declined on Tuesday. There is a game between strong policy expectations and weak reality. The price is expected to fluctuate in a high - level range, and buying on dips is recommended [13][14]. Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: The weakness of the crude oil market is offset by the high premium of refined oil products. Supply concerns and technical buying support the price. The short - term price is expected to continue to fluctuate [15]. - **Asphalt**: Asphalt has rebounded slightly following crude oil, but the rebound space is limited. There is pressure on inventory accumulation, and supply pressure is increasing. Attention should be paid to the cost fluctuations of crude oil [15]. - **PX**: PX has weakened slightly. PTA's high - level operation provides some demand support. The PXN spread has rebounded slightly, and PX is still in a tight supply situation. Attention should be paid to cost changes [16]. - **PTA**: The expectation of inventory accumulation from November to December has decreased, but the actual production cut is not highly confirmed, and there is still a risk of inventory accumulation later [16]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: Ethylene glycol has declined again and is still under pressure. Port inventories have increased significantly, and there is pressure on inventory accumulation in mid - to - late November [16]. - **Short - fiber**: Short - fiber has declined slightly following the polyester sector, and there is still pressure in the later period. The follow - up upward space may be limited [17]. - **Methanol**: The methanol market has weakened. There is pressure on inventory accumulation, and the price is expected to decline with fluctuations, but the decline rate may slow down [17][18]. - **PP**: The price of polypropylene is expected to continue to decline. Demand improvement is limited, and supply is increasing. Cost support is insufficient [18]. - **LLDPE**: The price of polyethylene is expected to continue to be under pressure. Supply pressure is increasing, demand is weakening, and cost support is insufficient [19]. - **Urea**: The urea market is stable with a slight decline. Supply is expected to increase, and demand is differentiated. The short - term market is expected to continue to weaken slightly [19]. Agricultural Products - **US Soybeans**: The CBOT soybean price has declined. The market is optimistic about Sino - US soybean trade relations. Attention should be paid to USDA reports. If the USDA lowers the yield per unit, the US soybean's ending inventory will shrink, strengthening the cost - repair logic [20]. - **Soybean and Rapeseed Meal**: The supply of soybean meal is loose, and the basis is weak. With the improvement of Sino - US agricultural trade relations, the cost of imported soybeans has increased, and the risk of future shortages has decreased. Rapeseed meal generally follows the soybean meal market [20]. - **Oils**: Palm oil has entered the production - reduction cycle, and the market is weak and stable. The supply - demand situation of soybean oil is still unbalanced, and the price is stable within a range. Rapeseed oil inventories are decreasing, and the basis is strengthening [22]. - **Corn**: The futures price has risen continuously, driving up the price in the Northeast production area. Inventories are low, and the price is expected to be stable with a slight increase [22]. - **Pigs**: The planned slaughter volume of large - scale farms in November has decreased, and the supply pressure has eased. Demand has increased with the cooling weather. The pork price is expected to be weak and stable, and the futures price may be supported [22].

Industry Perspective - The report equates the insurance market to a gambling market [1] - Buying insurance is described as betting on one's own death [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed mixed performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.10% to close at 3916.23 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% to 13086.41 points. The ChiNext Index increased by 0.38% to 3037.44 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index decreased by 0.94% to 1416.58 points. Overall, there were 1172 stocks that rose and 4168 stocks that fell, with a total trading volume of 193.11 billion yuan, down by 14.17 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1][12]. Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, coal, banking, food and beverage, telecommunications, and pharmaceutical sectors led the gains, with increases of 2.35%, 1.35%, 0.97%, 0.74%, and 0.20% respectively. Conversely, the steel, non-ferrous metals, building materials, basic chemicals, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sectors experienced declines, with decreases of 2.14%, 2.06%, 1.86%, 1.76%, and 1.56% respectively [1][12]. Sector Highlights - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous limit-up stocks, insurance, coal mining, Hainan Free Trade Port, memory storage, banking, semiconductor packaging, first boards, liquor, beverage manufacturing, ST stocks, near-term new shares, anti-cancer stocks, and brand leaders [2][11].

Market Overview - The market's half-day trading volume was 1.22 trillion yuan, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous day, with over 4,000 stocks declining [1] - The coal, communication, and pharmaceutical sectors remained active, while power generation, diversified finance, and steel sectors declined [1] Sector Performance - The HBM index rose by 2.99%, storage by 2.83%, advanced packaging by 2.17%, and insurance by 2.04% [2] - The communication sector saw gains, with stocks like Wanma Technology and Meixin Technology rising significantly [7][8] - The shipping sector experienced a surge, with Haitong Development and Antong Holdings hitting the daily limit [11][12] Notable Stocks - Xpeng Motors fell by nearly 4%, leading the decline in the Hang Seng Technology Index [2][3] - Notable gainers included Yingjixin and Yunhan Chip City, both hitting the daily limit with a 20% increase [4][5] - Tianpu Co., which previously had a 15-day consecutive rise, opened with a 10% drop, maintaining a limit down status [13][14] Investment Fund Announcement - The Shenzhen Semiconductor and Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund was officially launched with an initial scale of 5 billion yuan, focusing on early-stage and growth-stage investments in key semiconductor areas [6]

Market Overview - The A-share market saw a majority of major indices decline today, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.62% closing at 3865.23 points, the Shenzhen Component down 2.54% at 12895.11 points, the ChiNext Index down 3.99% at 2955.98 points, and the STAR 50 down 4.26% at 1410.30 points [1] - Overall, there were 1733 stocks that rose while 3547 stocks fell, with 148 stocks remaining unchanged. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 25762 billion yuan, an increase of 2215 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the banking, coal, food and beverage, transportation, and public utilities sectors led the gains with increases of 2.51%, 2.18%, 1.69%, 0.50%, and 0.49% respectively [1] - Conversely, the communication, electronics, non-ferrous metals, computer, and electric equipment sectors experienced the largest declines, with decreases of 4.98%, 4.64%, 3.66%, 2.98%, and 2.36% respectively [1] Concept Sector Performance - The top-performing concept sectors today included continuous boards, insurance, liquor, beverage manufacturing, banking, coal mining, and others [2][11] - Notably, the semiconductor equipment, national big fund, and semiconductor packaging sectors experienced a pullback [11]