Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (首次) [3] Core Views - The company is a leading organic raw milk producer in China, with a fundamental reversal expected [3] - The company has obtained dual certification for organic standards from China and the EU, making it a prominent player in the organic milk market [6] - The company operates across the entire dairy value chain, from pasture planting to raw milk production and high-end liquid milk processing [6] - The high-end organic milk market is anticipated to continue expanding due to rising consumer demand for healthy food options [6] - The company benefits from a unique geographical advantage in Inner Mongolia, recognized as a prime milk source region [6] - A rebound in milk and beef prices is expected to enhance the company's fundamental performance [6] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 3,383.63 million RMB - 2024: 3,126.18 million RMB - 2025E: 2,989.43 million RMB - 2026E: 3,207.90 million RMB - 2027E: 3,447.21 million RMB - The expected growth rates show a decline in 2024 and 2025, followed by a recovery in 2026 and 2027 [4] - The projected net profit for 2025 is -47.31 million RMB, with a significant recovery expected in 2026 and 2027 [4] - The company’s price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for 2026 is estimated at 5.51, significantly lower than the average P/E of comparable companies at 9.6 [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that despite external pressures, China is accelerating the cultivation of new momentum in AI application scenarios, advanced manufacturing, and consumption upgrades [1] - The recent research direction of the fund aligns with this viewpoint, having conducted surveys on companies like Cangge Mining, Juguang Technology, Ximai Food, and Shengxin Lithium Energy since June [1] - Market data supports the fund's layout logic, with the main product, Siyuan Three-Year Holding Period Mixed A, achieving a nearly one-year return of 10.16% as of June 17, 2025, with the top ten heavy stocks in technology and new energy accounting for 53.37% [1] Group 2 - The fund manager emphasizes that the AI terminal's intelligentization will enter a product explosion cycle by 2025, while lithium battery leaders have begun to recover from the industry bottom [2] - Industry trends are reflected in the upcoming production of Shengxin Lithium Energy's 60,000 tons lithium salt project in Indonesia and Cangge Mining's successful team preparation for lithium extraction technology [2] - The fund currently manages a scale of 17.09 billion yuan and continues to enhance its ability to capture industry trends through research and investment linkage [2]