Core Viewpoint - President Trump is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates and has called for an investigation into Chairman Powell, suggesting he should resign due to alleged misleading testimony [1][3][4]. Group 1: Pressure on the Federal Reserve - Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for not lowering interest rates, claiming that the government is incurring high interest costs due to the Fed's inaction [4][6]. - The Federal Reserve has maintained its benchmark interest rate since December, despite Trump's pressure, with Powell stating that future rate cuts depend on upcoming economic data [6][8]. Group 2: Allegations Against Powell - The Director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, Bill Pulte, has called for Congress to investigate Powell, accusing him of providing deceptive testimony regarding the Fed's headquarters renovation costs [3][4]. - Powell has defended himself against these allegations, stating that the reports about the renovation were misleading and inaccurate [3][6]. Group 3: Potential Successors for Powell - Trump has mentioned having "two or three candidates" in mind to replace Powell as Fed Chairman, although he has not disclosed their identities [9][10]. - Speculation includes former Fed Governor Kevin Walsh and current White House officials, but the White House has not confirmed any names [10][11]. Group 4: Impact on Market and Dollar - The potential for a "shadow Fed Chair" could undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve and create market instability due to conflicting policy signals [13][15]. - Concerns over the U.S. economic slowdown and rising debt interest costs have led to a significant depreciation of the dollar, which has fallen over 12% against a basket of currencies since January [19].

Core Points - The article discusses the abrupt termination of trade negotiations between the U.S. and Canada by Trump, coinciding with his call for Fed Chair Powell to resign, highlighting escalating trade tensions and political interference in economic matters [1][21][34] Trade Relations - Canada plans to implement a 3% digital services tax on U.S. tech companies, expected to generate approximately CAD 2 billion annually, which Trump perceives as a direct attack on the U.S. [3][6] - Trump's reaction included a complete halt to trade negotiations and a threat to impose tariffs on Canadian goods within a week, leading to a significant drop in the Canadian dollar [5][6] - Canada has previously responded to U.S. tariffs by imposing a 25% tariff on U.S. automobiles not compliant with the USMCA and has also levied tariffs on U.S. goods worth about $43 billion [11][13] Economic Impact - The breakdown of U.S.-Canada trade talks is expected to negatively impact the Canadian economy, particularly the labor market, as indicated by Barclays forex strategist Skylar Montgomery Koning [7] - The Canadian trucking industry, which relies on cross-border trade for about 70% of its cargo, is experiencing a decline in orders, leading to layoffs [19] Federal Reserve Dynamics - Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with Powell's leadership, labeling him as "stupid" and "stubborn," and indicated a preference for a successor who is more inclined to lower interest rates [21][23] - Powell's term has 11 months remaining, but Trump may announce a replacement sooner, which could undermine the Fed's independence and create uncertainty in U.S. monetary policy [25][36] Global Economic Uncertainty - The escalation of the U.S.-Canada trade conflict could disrupt global supply chains, leading to shortages and price increases, affecting U.S. exports and employment [34][36] - Other countries, including the EU and Mexico, may respond with their own tariffs, further intensifying global trade tensions [36][38]

Market Movements - US stock index futures are all up, with Dow futures rising by 0.30%, S&P 500 futures up by 0.27%, and Nasdaq futures increasing by 0.31% [1] - European indices also show positive movement, with Germany's DAX up by 0.77%, UK's FTSE 100 up by 0.56%, France's CAC 40 up by 1.30%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 up by 0.93% [2][3] Commodity Prices - WTI crude oil has increased by 0.34%, priced at $65.46 per barrel, while Brent crude oil is up by 0.21%, priced at $66.83 per barrel [4] Economic Indicators - The core PCE price index for May is expected to show a month-on-month increase of 0.1%, consistent with April's figures, while the year-on-year increase is projected to rise to 2.6% from April's 2.5% [5] - Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials indicate a cautious approach towards potential interest rate cuts, with emphasis on waiting for clearer economic signals [6] Corporate News - Nike reported Q4 revenue of $11.1 billion, a 12% year-on-year decline, but exceeded market expectations of $10.72 billion. The company anticipates a smaller revenue decline in Q1 than analysts predicted [9] - Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has dismissed the head of North American and European operations amid declining sales, particularly in Europe, where sales have dropped by approximately 28% year-on-year [10] - Toyota achieved record global sales of approximately 956,000 vehicles in May, marking an 8% year-on-year increase, despite challenges from tariffs [11] - Boeing's proposed acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems is under scrutiny by the UK competition regulator, assessing potential impacts on market competition [12] - CoreWeave is attempting to acquire Core Scientific to expand its cloud computing capabilities, following a previous unsuccessful attempt [13]

Group 1 - The decision regarding the nomination of the next Federal Reserve Chairman is not urgent, according to White House sources, despite President Trump's potential candidates [1] - The dollar index fell by 0.7% to levels seen in early 2022, with the dollar depreciating over 10% this year [1] - Analysts suggest that the early announcement of the Fed Chairman candidate could be a factor contributing to the dollar's decline [1] Group 2 - There is a divergence in views within the Federal Reserve, with some members supporting a rate cut as early as July, contrasting with Chairman Powell's stance of maintaining current rates [2] - The concept of a "shadow Fed Chairman" has been discussed, which could indirectly influence monetary policy [2] - Market volatility indicates that even if the Fed's decision-makers focus on economic data, perceived internal disagreements can impact market reactions [2]

Group 1 - The White House has denied rumors of an imminent replacement for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stating that the decision is not urgent but the President has the authority to change his mind at any time [1] - Powell's term will end in May next year, and if a successor is announced early, it may be perceived as an attempt to establish a "shadow Fed chairman," potentially undermining the Fed's credibility as an independent institution [1] - Following the news, the dollar fell and bond yields dropped as investors reassessed the political risks and potential policy shifts facing the Federal Reserve [1] Group 2 - President Trump has been pressuring Powell for significant interest rate cuts, leading to expectations that he will appoint a more dovish new chairman [2] - Potential candidates for the position include former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, who is seen as politically savvy and has previously advised Trump against firing Powell [2] - Other candidates mentioned are Fed governor Christopher Waller, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, and White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article indicates that President Trump has not yet decided on a successor for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and will not make a decision soon, downplaying the urgency of any potential action [1] Group 1 - A source familiar with the White House review process stated that President Trump has not made a decision regarding the replacement of Jerome Powell [1] - The source emphasized that there will not be a quick decision made by Trump on this matter [1]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump is increasingly dissatisfied with the Federal Reserve's inaction on interest rate cuts, prompting him to consider announcing the next Fed chair candidate as early as September or October [1] Group 1: Potential Candidates for Fed Chair - Trump is considering several candidates for the next Fed chair, including former Fed governor Kevin Warsh, current governor Christopher Waller, National Economic Council director Kevin Hassett, former World Bank president David Malpass, and current Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent [1] - Warsh has a hawkish policy inclination and has criticized the Fed's use of quantitative easing [4] - Waller is the first decision-maker advocating for a rate cut as early as July, believing that tariff-driven inflation is temporary [4][5] Group 2: Fed's Interest Rate Decision Dynamics - There is significant division among Fed officials regarding the timing of interest rate cuts, with some supporting a cut as early as July [2] - Powell has expressed caution regarding rate cuts, indicating that the administration's tariff policies could lead to a temporary rise in inflation, which necessitates a careful approach [2][3] Group 3: Risks of Announcing a New Fed Chair - Announcing a new Fed chair candidate prematurely could undermine the current chair Powell's authority and challenge the Fed's independence [1][5] - Candidates may face pressure to align with Trump's views, risking their credibility and effectiveness if they are seen as merely catering to the president [6]

Core Viewpoint - Trump is increasingly dissatisfied with the Federal Reserve's inaction on interest rate cuts, prompting him to consider announcing his next nominee for the Fed Chair earlier than expected [1] Group 1: Potential Nominees - Trump is contemplating potential candidates for the next Fed Chair, including former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett [1] - Other recommended candidates include Treasury Secretary Mnuchin, former World Bank President David Malpass, and current Fed Governor Christopher Waller [1] Group 2: Timing and Implications - The current Fed Chair Jerome Powell has 11 months remaining in his term, but Trump may announce a successor as early as September or October [1] - Announcing a nominee this summer or fall would be significantly earlier than the usual three to four months before the transition [1] - This early announcement could allow the nominee to influence market expectations regarding future interest rate paths [1]

Core Viewpoint - Trump is considering three to four candidates for the next Federal Reserve Chair, expressing dissatisfaction with current Chair Jerome Powell [1] Group 1: Candidates for Federal Reserve Chair - Trump mentioned he knows who he would choose among three to four potential candidates to replace Powell [1] - Main competitors for the position include former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett, current Fed Governor Christopher Waller, and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin [1] Group 2: Trump's Criticism of Powell - Trump has repeatedly criticized Powell for not lowering interest rates and has suggested firing him or appointing a successor [1] - Analysts believe Trump's actions may be an attempt to influence monetary policy before Powell's term ends in May 2026 [1]

美国总统特朗普表示，他将很快提名美联储主席的继任者，而鲍威尔的任期还有将近一年才结束。投资 者表示，这可能给市场带来一个危险的命题。 自今年1月开始第二个任期以来，特朗普毫不掩饰他对鲍威尔及美联储不降息的不满。尽管特朗普已收 回今年早些时候可能解雇鲍威尔的言论，且美国最高法院最近的一项裁决也缓解了人们对他这样做的担 忧，但他本月早些时候表示，关于下一任美联储主席的决定将很快做出。 投资者表示，在鲍威尔任期于2026年5月结束前提早这么久就宣布继任者，可能会在市场中引发严重不 安。 瑞银全球财富管理的美洲资产配置主管Jason Draho表示，如果在未来几个月内宣布一个非传统的美联储 人选，将给市场带来一个潜在的风险。他说，"如果人们对这一切可能如何演变过于自满，那么这个风 险是存在的。" 在美联储理事库格勒的任期于明年1月结束前，美联储没有空缺席位可供特朗普临时填补。 话虽如此，美联储主席只是货币政策制定委员会的18名成员之一，其部分职责是在委员会内部建立共 识。 Ritholtz Wealth Management的首席市场策略师Callie Cox表示，市场希望看到的美联储主席是能够"高度 专注"于经济平 ...