五角大楼向 伊朗 派遣了第二艘航空母舰。 据路透社2月13日报道，美国总统特朗普1 3日表示支持伊朗可能发生的政权更迭，并宣布 将很快在中东部署"强大的力量"。与此同时，五角大楼向该地区派遣了第二艘航空母舰。 报道说，在特朗普进行军事部署和发表强硬言论之际，华盛顿和德黑兰正寻求就德黑兰与 西方长期存在的核争端恢复外交谈判。 一名知情人士对路透社记者说，美国特使威特科夫和库什纳将于1 7日在日内瓦与伊朗举行 谈判，阿曼代表将担任调解人。该消息人士说，威特科夫和库什纳1 7日还将在日内瓦会见 俄罗斯和乌克兰的官员，以推动美国为结束乌克兰战争所作的努力。 当 被 问 及 他 是 否 希 望 伊 朗 政 权 更 迭 时 ， 特 朗 普 回 答 说 ， 这 " 似 乎 是 可 能 发 生 的 最 好 的 事 情"。 他拒绝透露他希望谁来接管伊朗，但表示"有人选"。 特 朗 普 在 北 卡 罗 来 纳 州 布 拉 格 堡 的 一 次 军 事 活 动 后 说 ： " 47 年 来 ， 他 们 一 直 在 谈 、 谈 、 谈。与此同时，在他们谈判的时候，我们已经失去了很多生命。腿被炸飞，胳膊被炸飞， 脸被炸飞。我们已经这样很 ...

伊朗愿意就核计划展开讨论，但铀浓缩活动本身不在谈判范畴之内。伊朗愿意就确保伊朗核计划完全用 于和平目的的相关机制进行谈判。我们此前已就这一安排达成共识，也就是2015年签署的《伊朗核问题 全面协议》（JCPOA）。但是该项协议却被特朗普政府单方面破坏。这也是伊朗愿意谈判的核心内 容。 在2026年开年，委内瑞拉总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗及其夫人被美军绑架之后不久，白宫将其"政权更迭"机 器的矛头转向了另一个能源大国——伊朗。自1979年革命以来，伊朗一直是西方多轮严厉制裁的目标。 这些制裁对其经济发展和民众生活造成了巨大损害。 更糟糕的是，美国近几个月发动的金融攻击导致伊朗货币贬值，引发了巨大的经济压力。这最初引发了 合法且和平的民众抗议。但1月8日至9日，抗议活动遭美国、以色列等国特工渗透，街头出现大量破坏 与伤亡事件，伊朗安全部队随即对暴力行为实施强力镇压。 自那时起，美国一直在向该地区部署大量军事力量，特朗普也连续多日威胁要轰炸伊朗。针对美国会如 何发难伊朗，以及美国伊朗未来谈判的前景，围绕美国对伊朗的发难方式、美伊谈判前景及两国局势走 向，《巴西事实》地缘政治分析师马可与德黑兰大学英语文学教授穆罕默德・马兰 ...

Core Viewpoint - The situation between the U.S. and Iran is escalating, with military preparations and warnings exchanged, indicating a potential for increased military action in the Middle East [1][9]. Military Movements - Recent satellite imagery shows a significant increase in U.S. military presence around Iran, particularly at the Al Udeid Air Base, where the number of KC-135 refueling aircraft has increased [3][4]. - The U.S. Navy has confirmed the deployment of the USS Lincoln aircraft carrier and three Arleigh Burke-class destroyers in the Central Command area, equipped with over 70 aircraft including F-35C and F/A-18E/F [4][5]. Strategic Considerations - Experts suggest that the current U.S. military presence may not be sufficient for a large-scale operation against Iran, indicating that any action might be limited unless Israel participates [5][10]. - The U.S. military's strategy may involve targeted strikes on key Iranian military and nuclear facilities, but operational challenges remain significant due to Iran's fortified positions [10][11]. Iranian Response - Iran has reportedly enhanced its military capabilities, including the integration of 1,000 strategic drones into its armed forces, and has a substantial stockpile of ballistic missiles that could threaten U.S. bases and allies in the region [8][9]. - Iranian leadership has signaled a strong commitment to retaliate against any U.S. military actions, indicating a readiness to target U.S. and Israeli interests directly [11][12]. Geopolitical Context - The U.S. administration's approach to Iran is complicated by the historical context of military engagements, with experts noting that a direct military intervention in Iran would be more complex than previous actions in Venezuela [9][10]. - The U.S. strategy appears to be focused on avoiding prolonged military engagements in the Middle East, as indicated by recent national security reports [12].

美国总统特朗普28日在社交媒体发文，对伊朗发出"最后通牒"。他称，一支庞大的美国舰队正前往伊 朗，留给伊朗的"时间不多了"，"就像对待委内瑞拉一样，它随时准备并且能够迅速完成任务，如有必 要，将以暴力手段"。伊朗方面迅速反驳。 伊朗外交部长阿拉格齐28日说，伊朗武装力量"随时准备扣动扳机"，对侵犯伊朗的行为作出回应。针对 当前美伊局势，伊朗《世界报》29日发文，提及关闭霍尔木兹海峡的选项，并称伊朗可以击沉美国航 母。伊朗官员28日就特朗普对伊发起军事打击"下通牒"一事与中东多国沟通。卡塔尔半岛电视台称，伊 朗释放出的信息是：它准备"体面地"与美国谈判，但也准备好了战斗。 伊朗议长：美国将无法掌控战争如何结束 特朗普28日称，希望伊朗能够迅速坐到谈判桌前，并就一项"对各方都有利的协议"进行谈判并达成一 致，否则美方将对伊朗发动比去年6月那次袭击"更猛烈"的行动。他强调，伊朗不能拥有核武器。《新 闻周刊》网站称，特朗普向伊朗发出"最后通牒"之际，美国"林肯"号航母打击群已部署到中东地区。据 英国广播公司报道，美国"布莱克"号驱逐舰28日抵达中东，目前至少有10艘美国军舰部署在中东地区。 伊朗通讯社称，伊朗外交部长 ...

据央视新闻，美国"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航空母舰26日被曝已进入美军中央司令部在印度洋的辖区。当 天美军中央司令部证实，"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航母打击群"正部署到中东"。 伊朗议会国家安全与外交政策委员会发言人26日表示，如果美国发动任何侵略，伊朗的回应"绝不会 仅限于美国的军事基地或装备"。伊朗外交部同一天强调，伊朗武装力量将全力应对任何侵犯，作出 令侵犯者"后悔"的回应。 黎巴嫩真主党领导人纳伊姆·卡西姆26日也表示，面对任何针对伊朗的军事行动，真主党不会袖手旁 观，并警告此类行动可能引发更大范围的地区冲突。 战云密布"山雨欲来"？美伊严阵以待 公开资料显示，"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航母打击群以"林肯"号航母为旗舰，下辖第9舰载机联队，"莫比 尔湾"号导弹巡洋舰和第21驱逐舰支队的多艘导弹驱逐舰。 美多艘舰艇已部署在伊朗周边海域 美国空军25日表示，即将在中东地区展开为期数天的战备演习，旨在展示美军在这一地区部署和维 持空中作战力量的能力。 还有消息指出，为防备伊朗可能的袭击，美国还在向中东增派"爱国者"防空反导系统和"萨德"反导 系统。 伊朗进入最高战备状态 称将对任何侵略作出全面果断回应 以色列方面此前有消息称 ...

Core Viewpoint - The situation in the Middle East is escalating, with the U.S. deploying the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier strike group to the region, while Iran and its allies prepare for potential military conflict in response to perceived threats from the U.S. and Israel [1][21][30]. Military Deployments - The USS Abraham Lincoln strike group, which includes the Lincoln aircraft carrier, the Mobile Bay guided-missile cruiser, and several destroyers, has been confirmed to be deployed to the Middle East [1][21]. - Multiple U.S. naval vessels, including the Arleigh Burke-class destroyers Mitchell and McFaul, as well as amphibious command ships and submarines, are operating in the waters surrounding Iran [4][24]. - U.S. Air Force aircraft, including F-35A, F-15E, F-16 fighters, P-8A maritime patrol aircraft, MQ-9 drones, and KC-135 refueling aircraft, have been deployed to the Middle East from Germany [6][26]. Preparedness and Responses - The U.S. military is set to conduct several days of readiness exercises in the Middle East to demonstrate its capability to maintain air combat power in the region [8][28]. - Iran has declared a state of maximum readiness, asserting that it will respond decisively to any aggression, emphasizing that its response will not be limited to U.S. military bases or equipment [10][32]. - Hezbollah's leadership has warned that any military action against Iran could lead to broader regional conflict, indicating a potential for escalation [12][34]. Strategic Objectives - Reports suggest that the U.S. acknowledges regime change in Iran as a fundamental goal, with discussions between U.S. Central Command and Israeli defense officials focusing on regional security and the Iranian threat [35][42]. - Israel is preparing for potential fallout from U.S. military actions against Iran, with heightened alert status and emergency plans for evacuating tourists in case of conflict [16][40]. Regional Concerns - Middle Eastern countries, including Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Oman, express concerns over U.S. military intervention in Iran, fearing it could ignite widespread regional instability [20][42].

每经编辑｜陈柯名 毕陆名 潘海福 据央视新闻，以色列方面25日消息，美国海军"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航母打击群已抵达中东地区，并正在美国中央司令部辖区内开展行动。美国空军当天表 示，即将在中东地区展开为期数天的战备演习。美国空军称，此次演习旨在展示美军在这一地区部署和维持空中作战力量的能力。 据此前报道，美国总统特朗普22日表示，一支"庞大舰队"正在前往中东地区海域。美国福克斯新闻网此前报道，随着与伊朗紧张关系升级，美国正在向中 东地区增派兵力，其中包括至少一艘航空母舰，同时将在该地区部署更多的导弹防御系统。 当地时间25日，以色列国防军北方司令部司令拉菲·米洛表示，鉴于地区紧张局势持续升温，以军正为美国可能对伊朗采取军事行动后引发的连锁反应做 准备，并已进入高度戒备状态。 米洛表示，美国近期在波斯湾及中东多地加强军事部署，以军正密切关注局势发展。他指出，如果美国决定对伊朗发动打击，伊朗的部分回应行动可能波 及以色列，以军已为此做好准备。 米洛同时表示，以色列正密切关注黎巴嫩真主党是否可能加入更大范围的冲突。他强调，以军已在防御和必要时的进攻准备方面保持高度戒备。 当地时间1月25日，伊朗议会国家安全与外交政策委 ...

Core Viewpoint - Turkey's Foreign Minister Fidan warns external forces against attempting regime change in Iran, emphasizing that the current situation will not lead to such an outcome [1] Group 1: Turkey's Position - Turkey is closely monitoring the recent domestic situation in Iran and believes it will not result in a regime change [1] - Fidan directly addresses the United States, advising against allowing Iran to become another "Venezuela" [1] Group 2: Diplomatic Engagement - Fidan highlights that Iran has shown a willingness to negotiate, but the U.S. must find the "right way" to engage without undermining Iran's national dignity [1] - He warns that if Iran feels cornered, it will prepare for the "worst-case scenario" [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Cuban Deputy Foreign Minister, Decosio, stated that the economic difficulties faced by Cuba are primarily caused by the United States, which has launched a "barbaric attack" on a peaceful nation that does not threaten or oppose any country [2][4]. Group 1: U.S.-Cuba Relations - The U.S. is reportedly considering a new strategy to promote regime change in Cuba, including a complete blockade on Cuban oil imports, with support from Secretary of State Rubio [4]. - The Trump administration is seeking "insiders" within the Cuban government to help in efforts to "overthrow the Cuban regime" by the end of the year [4]. - Tensions between the U.S. and Cuba are currently high, especially following recent military actions against Venezuela, with President Trump indicating that Cuba may be the next target [4]. Group 2: Cuban Government Response - Cuban President Diaz-Canel emphasized that Cuba will not initiate attacks or threats against any country but is prepared to defend its territory [4].

Group 1 - Silver TD is currently trading above 24550, with an opening price of 23203 CNY/kg and a current price of 25020 CNY/kg, reflecting an increase of 8.60% [1] - The highest price reached today is 25080 CNY/kg, while the lowest was 23120 CNY/kg, indicating a bullish short-term trend for Silver TD [1] - The daily chart shows that despite a morning decline, the price recovered during the European session, continuing its upward momentum with a strong bullish trend [3] Group 2 - The Trump administration is reportedly seeking to negotiate with insiders in the Cuban government to facilitate a regime change by the end of the year, inspired by the recent capture of Venezuelan President Maduro [2] - U.S. officials believe that the Cuban economy is on the brink of collapse, especially after losing Maduro as a key supporter, making the Cuban government particularly vulnerable [2] - The military operation in Caracas resulted in the deaths of 32 Cuban soldiers and intelligence personnel, indicating a significant impact on Cuba's security forces [2]