【#榛树导弹白俄罗斯部署地疑被发现#】#榛树导弹部署地卫星图疑遭曝光# 路透社当地时间12月26日 独家爆料称，两名美国研究人员通过分析卫星图像发现，俄方可能在白俄罗斯东部一处前空军基地部署 新型可携带核弹头的高超音速导弹，此举可能增强俄罗斯向欧洲全境发射导弹的能力。知情人士表示， 这一评估与美国情报部门的发现大体一致。路透社称，俄方已明确表示计划在白俄罗斯部署"榛树"导 弹，但具体部署地点此前未曾披露。来自美国米德尔伯里国际问题研究所的杰弗里·刘易斯与来自研究 分析机构CNA的德克尔·埃夫莱斯表示，他们基于专业平台"行星实验室"（Planet Labs）提供的图像分析 得出有关"榛树"部署情况的发现。相关图像显示出与俄罗斯战略导弹基地一致的特征。二人表示，他们 有90%的把握认为，"榛树"发射装置将部署在靠近白俄罗斯克里切夫的一处前空军基地，该地距离白俄 罗斯首都明斯克约190英里（约306公里），距离莫斯科约300英里（约483公里）。路透社提到，英国知 名智库查塔姆研究所专家约翰·福尔曼表示，俄方在白俄罗斯部署"榛树"导弹，是对美国计划明年在德 国部署包括"暗鹰"高超音速导弹在内的常规导弹的回应。路透社 ...

卫星图曝光！美研究人员称疑发现"榛树"导弹在白俄罗斯部署地，美俄暂无回应 路透社当地时间12月26日独家爆料称，两名美国研究人员通过分析卫星图像发现，俄方可能在白俄罗斯东部一处前空军基地部署新型可 携带核弹头的高超音速导弹，此举可能增强俄罗斯向欧洲全境发射导弹的能力。知情人士表示，这一评估与美国情报部门的发现大体一 致。 路透社称，俄方已明确表示计划在白俄罗斯部署"榛树"导弹，但具体部署地点此前未曾披露。来自美国米德尔伯里国际问题研究所的杰 弗里·刘易斯与来自研究分析机构CNA的德克尔·埃夫莱斯表示，他们基于专业平台"行星实验室"（Planet Labs）提供的图像分析得出有 关"榛树"部署情况的发现。相关图像显示出与俄罗斯战略导弹基地一致的特征。二人表示，他们有90%的把握认为，"榛树"发射装置将 部署在靠近白俄罗斯克里切夫的一处前空军基地，该地距离白俄罗斯首都明斯克约190英里（约306公里），距离莫斯科约300英里（约 483公里）。 俄罗斯驻华盛顿大使馆未立即回应置评请求。白俄罗斯大使馆拒绝置评。 当地时间12月22日，白俄罗斯总统卢卡申科表示，部署在白境内的俄罗斯"榛树"导弹系统不超过10套。白俄罗 ...

【环球网报道】路透社当地时间12月26日独家爆料称，两名美国研究人员通过分析卫星图像发现，俄方可能在白俄罗斯东部一处前空军 基地部署新型可携带核弹头的高超音速导弹，此举可能增强俄罗斯向欧洲全境发射导弹的能力。知情人士表示，这一评估与美国情报部 门的发现大体一致。 俄罗斯驻华盛顿大使馆未立即回应置评请求。白俄罗斯大使馆拒绝置评。 路透社称，俄方已明确表示计划在白俄罗斯部署"榛树"导弹，但具体部署地点此前未曾披露。来自美国米德尔伯里国际问题研究所的杰 弗里·刘易斯与来自研究分析机构CNA的德克尔·埃夫莱斯表示，他们基于专业平台"行星实验室"（Planet Labs）提供的图像分析得出有 关"榛树"部署情况的发现。相关图像显示出与俄罗斯战略导弹基地一致的特征。二人表示，他们有90%的把握认为，"榛树"发射装置将 部署在靠近白俄罗斯克里切夫的一处前空军基地，该地距离白俄罗斯首都明斯克约190英里（约306公里），距离莫斯科约300英里（约 483公里）。 当地时间12月22日，白俄罗斯总统卢卡申科表示，部署在白境内的俄罗斯"榛树"导弹系统不超过10套。白俄罗斯国防部长赫列宁当天表 示，"榛树"导弹本月底将进入战斗值班 ...

在当地时间12月19日发布的一档播客节目中，美国中央情报局前官员拉里·约翰逊表示，美方在委内瑞 拉附近所谓打击"毒品恐怖分子"只是一个借口，实际上是想掌控委内瑞拉的石油资源，并扶植一个听命 于美国政府的傀儡政权。不过当前，美国在军事层面已经陷入骑虎难下的境地。 转自：央视 约翰逊称，就算美军"出兵"，委内瑞拉复杂的地势、庞大的军队等因素，也只会让美军对委内瑞拉造成 一些破坏却无力击败。他认为，特朗普政府的如意算盘，是通过军事威慑和武力炫耀，迫使委内瑞拉军 方的部分指挥官倒戈，但目前的事态发展，显然是起到了反作用，因为委内瑞拉方面已受够了美国的霸 凌行径。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Japan's Defense Minister, Koizumi Shinjiro, announced the planned deployment of medium-range missiles at a Self-Defense Force base on Yonaguni Island, which is strategically located 110 kilometers from Taiwan, amidst rising regional tensions [1][2][4]. Military Deployment - The Yonaguni Island base is part of Japan's broader multi-layered defense network extending from the mainland to Okinawa, Miyako Island, Ishigaki Island, and the Yaeyama Islands [5]. - Japan plans to deploy the Type 03 medium-range surface-to-air missile system, which is a mobile platform capable of intercepting threats with advanced radar systems [4][5]. - The deployment is part of Japan's 2026 budget and defense enhancement plan, which includes increasing naval and coast guard presence in the region [5]. Regional Tensions - China's Foreign Ministry responded strongly, labeling Japan's actions as dangerous and a provocation that could escalate military tensions in the region [3][7]. - The deployment is seen as a test of China's red lines and a potential shift away from Japan's post-war pacifism, raising concerns among local residents in Okinawa about increased militarization [9][10]. Economic Impact - The diplomatic tensions have already affected Japan's tourism sector, with China issuing travel warnings that could impact the influx of Chinese tourists, who accounted for nearly 30% of foreign visitors to Japan in the first nine months of 2025 [8].

Core Points - The U.S. is set to conduct military exercises with Trinidad and Tobago from October 16 to 21, which has drawn criticism from Venezuelan President Maduro, labeling it as "irresponsible" [1][8] - President Trump has indicated that he has made a decision regarding the next steps the U.S. will take concerning Venezuela, although he has not disclosed specific details [5][7] Group 1: Military Actions and Strategy - The U.S. has increased its military presence in the Caribbean, with reports suggesting that military options against Venezuela include airstrikes on military or government sites and targeting drug trafficking routes [4][7] - The U.S. military deployment in the Caribbean is significant, with over 15,000 troops being assembled, marking one of the largest military operations in decades [7] - The U.S. has conducted at least 20 military operations in the Caribbean since September, resulting in approximately 80 casualties, primarily targeting Venezuelan vessels [7] Group 2: Political Reactions - Maduro has called for mobilization against U.S. military threats and has organized protests in response to the military exercises [10] - The Trinidad and Tobago government confirmed the joint military exercises with the U.S., which are the second such exercises in a month [10]

Core Viewpoint - On October 23, a U.S. B-1B bomber was tracked near the coast of Venezuela, marking the second instance of such military displays by U.S. aircraft within a week [1] Group 1 - The U.S. military is demonstrating its presence in the region through aerial maneuvers [1] - This incident reflects ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela [1]

Group 1: Oil Price Movements - Oil prices increased on October 3, with West Texas Intermediate crude oil settling at $60.88 per barrel, up $0.40, and Brent crude oil at $64.53 per barrel, up $0.42, both reflecting a 0.66% rise [1] - The market has seen four out of the last five trading days of declining oil prices due to expectations that OPEC will discuss increasing production [2] - The potential for geopolitical risk from the Middle East, particularly concerning the conflict involving Hamas, is contributing to short-term price volatility [4] Group 2: OPEC Production Decisions - OPEC is expected to discuss production increases, with Saudi Arabia advocating for a significant rise in output, while Russia suggests a more modest increase of 137,000 barrels per day [2] - Saudi Arabia's proposed increases could range from 274,000 to 548,000 barrels per day, reflecting its capacity to quickly boost production [2] - The internal dynamics of OPEC, characterized by differing production strategies between Russia and Saudi Arabia, highlight the challenges in forming a unified response to market conditions [5] Group 3: Geopolitical Influences - Trump's ultimatum to Hamas, with a deadline set for October 5, coincides with the OPEC meeting on October 6, creating a unique "policy window" that may influence market expectations [4] - The ongoing conflict in the Middle East raises concerns about potential disruptions to oil supply, particularly if tensions escalate [1][4] - Historical patterns indicate that oil price increases driven by Middle Eastern conflicts tend to be temporary unless there are significant supply disruptions [4] Group 4: Soft Power Dynamics - The concept of "soft power" in the energy sector is illustrated by the differing production capabilities and strategies of Russia and Saudi Arabia, reflecting a "value game" in the market [3] - The U.S. is attempting to reshape governance rules in the Middle East through economic control, which aligns with the principles of soft power theory [3][5] - The interplay between geopolitical events and OPEC's production decisions exemplifies the dynamic balance of soft power and material capabilities in the oil market [4][6] Group 5: Long-term Market Trends - The long-term impact of technological advancements, such as shale oil production in the U.S., is expected to reshape the energy landscape more significantly than geopolitical conflicts [6] - Current U.S. shale oil production stands at 13.6 million barrels per day, indicating a shift in the traditional power dynamics of oil production [6] - Future oil price trends will depend on critical factors, including the acceptance of Trump's proposal by Hamas, OPEC's final production decisions, and the potential escalation of the Ukraine conflict [6]

Group 1 - Venezuela's Defense Minister Lopez announced the initiation of a nationwide voluntary conscription registration program aimed at training citizens to defend the country amid regional tensions [1] - President Maduro stated that over 4.5 million citizens have registered to participate in the Bolivarian militia program, which will be conducted at military units and 15,751 defense bases across the country [1] - The U.S. is deploying a naval task force to the Caribbean near Venezuela, consisting of approximately 4,500 military personnel, including 2,200 Marines, to combat drug trafficking [3][5] Group 2 - The U.S. naval task force includes various ships capable of significant firepower, such as amphibious assault ships and destroyers, which pose a considerable threat to smaller nations like Venezuela [5] - Maduro condemned the U.S. military deployment as a violation of international law and a threat to regional peace, asserting that it is an attempt to force regime change in Venezuela [6][8] - The Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America (ALBA) expressed strong opposition to U.S. military actions in the Caribbean, emphasizing the need for respect for Venezuela's sovereignty and territorial integrity [9][11] Group 3 - Colombian President Petro warned that U.S. intervention in Venezuela could lead to regional instability and conflict, potentially dragging Colombia into turmoil [11][13] - Brazil's chief advisor expressed deep concern over U.S. military presence near Venezuela, advocating for cooperation rather than unilateral intervention to address illegal activities [13] - The UN Secretary-General's spokesperson urged both the U.S. and Venezuela to de-escalate tensions and resolve disputes peacefully [13]

Group 1 - The trade war between the US and China has escalated dramatically, with tariffs increasing from 10% to 104%, causing significant disruptions in global supply chains and impacting consumer prices [3][5][19] - The US military budget has surged to $1 trillion, indicating a clear focus on countering China's influence in the Pacific region, with extensive military exercises planned [5][11][19] - The global military expenditure has reached a record $2.46 trillion, driven largely by the US's military strategies and alliances in the Asia-Pacific region [11][21] Group 2 - The US has strategically allied with countries like the Philippines and Japan to strengthen its military presence against China, emphasizing the importance of these nations in regional security [7][9][11] - China's military responses have intensified, with significant exercises demonstrating its capabilities and asserting its stance on Taiwan, indicating a shift towards a more aggressive defense posture [11][15][19] - The ongoing military and economic tensions are leading to a potential arms race in the Asia-Pacific region, with countries like Japan and South Korea increasing their defense budgets [21][24] Group 3 - The geopolitical landscape is becoming increasingly polarized, with countries either aligning with the US or attempting to maintain neutrality, reflecting a trend towards multipolarity [24][26] - Analysts suggest that the likelihood of military conflict may peak between 2025 and 2027, highlighting the critical nature of this period in US-China relations [26][28] - The outcome of this strategic competition will not only affect the two nations but also have significant implications for global stability and economic development [28]