🚨Fed’s go-to inflation gauge (PCE) just dropped. All numbers came in exactly as expected!Core PCE MoM:🔹Actual: 0.2%🔹Forecasted: 0.2%Core PCE YoY:🔹Actual: 2.9%🔹Forecasted: 2.9% ...

Year-over-year core PCE inflation coming in as expected, up by 2.9% in August, but uh obviously it's still pretty sticky. Joining us right now on the implications for the Fed with all of this is Loretta Mester. She is former Cleveland Fed president and a junct professor now at the University of Pennsylvania.And Loretta, what do you think of these numbers. Maybe not hotter than expected, but but sticky nonetheless. Yeah, it was another month of stickiness and that isn't really what the Fed wants to see.I mea ...

Inflation Trends - The U S August 2025 Core PCE Price Index increased 29% year-over-year [1] - Overall PCE rose 27% year-over-year [1] - Overall PCE increased 03% month-over-month [1] Market Expectations - The U S August 2025 Core PCE Price Index year-over-year matched market expectations [1]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting thorough due diligence before making any financial decisions, particularly in the context of investments and trading activities [1] Group 1 - The content includes general news and publications, personal analysis, and opinions intended for educational and research purposes [1] - It highlights that the information provided does not constitute any recommendation or advice for investment actions [1] - The article warns that the information may not be accurate or provided in real-time, and prices may be sourced from market makers rather than exchanges [1] Group 2 - The website discusses complex financial instruments such as cryptocurrencies and contracts for difference (CFDs), which carry a high risk of losing money [1] - It encourages individuals to perform their own research and understand the risks involved before investing in any financial instruments [1] - The article states that FX Empire does not endorse any third-party services and is not liable for any losses incurred from using the information provided [1]

Market Expectations - US PCE data is expected to be 27% [1] - Core PCE data is expected to be 29% [1] Market Impact - A bullish market is contingent on PCE and Core PCE data being lower than expected [1]

Market Overview - Futures are slightly lower at the start of the trading day, but there are lingering bullish tones in the market [1][5] - The market has experienced a significant run recently, indicating potential fatigue in pre-market futures [5] Earnings and Economic Data - Key earnings reports are expected this week, including Micron after the bell tomorrow and Costco on Thursday [2] - Important economic data will be released, including PMIs, durable goods, GDP revisions, jobless claims, and personal income and outlays [3][4] Federal Reserve Insights - A steady flow of Federal Reserve speakers is anticipated this week, discussing recent interest rate decisions and economic outlooks [4][10] - The probability of a 25 basis point cut in October is currently around 91.9%, with market expectations heavily influenced by upcoming economic data [12][14] Inflation and Labor Market - The consensus for the year-over-year PCE inflation rate is expected to tick up slightly to between 2.6% and 2.7%, while the core PCE is projected to remain flat at around 2.9% [13] - Ongoing labor market data will be crucial for future discussions on interest rates, with more job-related data expected in early October [14] Gold and Risk Sentiment - Gold prices are rising, attributed to a risk-off sentiment in the market and a weaker dollar [6][7] - The VIX is higher, indicating increased market volatility, while yields on 10-year notes have drifted lower [8][9]

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Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that despite persistent inflation, consumer demand in the U.S. remains resilient, as evidenced by a significant increase in consumer spending in July [4][6] - The PCE price index for July showed a year-on-year increase of 2.6%, aligning with expectations and previous values, while the month-on-month change remained flat at 0.2% [4] - The core PCE price index rose by 2.9% year-on-year in July, marking the highest level since February, and matched expectations [6] Group 2 - The recent performance of gold prices has been strong, with a notable increase to $3437 per ounce, prompting plans for profit-taking in the North American trading session [6] - The upcoming week is anticipated to present a volatility window, with expectations of a range-bound market, indicating potential resistance levels at $3450 and $3500 [6]

PCE in line with expectationsCoins immediately bouncezerohedge (@zerohedge):PCE 0.2% MoM, Exp. 0.2%PCE 2.6% YoY, Exp. 2.6%PCE Core 0.3% MoM, Exp. 0.3%PCE Core 2.9% YoY, Exp. 2.9% ...

I take it PCE was favorable based on the price notifications I just received ...