Group 1 - The A-share market is experiencing rapid rotation between large-cap and small-cap stocks, with a cumulative decline of 0.57% for the Shanghai Composite Index, 0.46% for the Shenzhen Component Index, and 0.88% for the ChiNext Index this week [1] - China Galaxy Securities suggests focusing on three main lines of asset allocation: high-margin assets, clear "technology narrative" in the A-share market, and consumer sectors boosted by policy [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of stable dividend returns in defensive sectors amid increased external uncertainties, and highlights the potential of technology as a long-term allocation theme [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities anticipates a new round of "East Rising, West Falling" trading, with a focus on technology growth styles benefiting from liquidity overflow driven by a weak dollar [2] - Recommended investment directions include robotics, artificial intelligence, AI edge devices, computing power industry chain, controllable nuclear fusion, military informationization, autonomous driving, innovative drugs, solid-state batteries, AI agents, low-altitude economy, and satellite internet [2] Group 3 - Huajin Securities indicates that the A-share market may continue a strong oscillation trend in the short term, with a focus on technology and certain consumer sectors [3] - The report highlights that new consumption may yield excess returns compared to traditional consumption, and suggests low-cost allocations in sectors like computing, robotics, military, media (AI applications), electronics (semiconductors), and communications (computing power) [3] Group 4 - CITIC Securities notes that the pricing power of core assets is gradually shifting southward, driven by a surge in A-share companies going public in Hong Kong [4] - The report suggests that the attractiveness of the Hong Kong market is improving due to better asset supply structure and quality, as well as enhanced liquidity from the return of overseas funds [4] - The trend of high-quality leading companies listing in Hong Kong may catalyze a shift in A-share market style towards core assets [4]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Dongwu Securities indicates that the A-share market is expected to enter a new phase of "East Rising, West Falling" trading, driven by liquidity overflow from a weak dollar, which will benefit non-US markets and Chinese assets, with a focus on technology growth styles [1] Investment Direction - Specific investment directions include sectors such as robotics, artificial intelligence, AI edge devices, computing power industry chain, controllable nuclear fusion, military informationization, autonomous driving, innovative pharmaceuticals, solid-state batteries, AI agents, low-altitude economy, and satellite internet [1]

Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Viewpoints - Short-term focus on the new order cycle and accelerated delivery leading to improved capacity utilization and reduced variable costs, indicating a potential turnaround for companies in the sector [2] - Long-term attention on the reform dividends from equipment procurement and supply system changes, emphasizing the strategic importance of the types of equipment produced and the innovative leadership in processes, materials, and components [2] Summary by Sections 2024A & 2025Q1 Financial Analysis - The defense and military industry reported total revenue of 680.77 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year decline of 2.09%, with a net profit of 24.22 billion yuan, down 38.69% year-over-year [5][9] - The first quarter of 2025 showed total revenue of 130.11 billion yuan, a decline of 2.84% year-over-year, with a net profit of 6.22 billion yuan, down 18.37% year-over-year [5][9] - The industry is expected to enter a new procurement cycle in 2025, following the resolution of negative factors affecting performance [5][9] Structural Differentiation - The recovery of the sector is accompanied by increasing structural differentiation among various sub-sectors and companies, with significant growth in missile-related operations and fixed assets maintaining over 10% growth [5][9] - The industry is characterized by a co-existence of downward cycles in performance and upward cycles in supply-side capabilities, indicating a solid long-term fundamental outlook [5][9] Key Companies to Watch - Companies to focus on include: - Aviation mainframe manufacturers: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Harbin Aircraft, AVIC Engine, and AVIC Xi'an Aircraft [16][17] - New materials: Fushun Special Steel, Steel Research Institute, and others [19][20] - Military electronics: Huazhong University of Science and Technology, and others [21][22] - Missile manufacturers: North Navigation, and others [30][31] Financial Metrics - The overall gross margin for the defense and military sector was 19.77% in 2024, with a net profit margin of 3.56% [9][10] - The sector's fixed assets and construction in progress grew by 6.86% in 2024, indicating ongoing investment despite short-term challenges [14][26] Market Trends - The industry is witnessing a shift towards informationization and smart technologies, with new models expected to drive demand in the coming years [23] - The focus on military-civilian integration is expected to enhance the growth of new materials, with increasing penetration of military applications in civilian products [20]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the defense and military industry, indicating a potential recovery in performance as the new procurement cycle begins in 2025, following a challenging 2024 [1][5][9] - Short-term focus should be on the acceleration of delivery and improved capacity utilization, while long-term attention should be on the reform benefits from equipment procurement and supply chain changes [2] 2024 Financial Performance - The defense and military sector reported total revenue of 680.77 billion yuan in 2024, a year-over-year decline of 2.09%, with a net profit of 24.22 billion yuan, down 38.69% [5][9][12] - The overall gross margin stabilized at 19.77%, despite a decrease in net margin to 3.56% [9][10] 2025 Q1 Performance - In Q1 2025, the sector generated revenue of 130.11 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.84% year-over-year, with a net profit of 6.22 billion yuan, down 18.37% [5][9] - Positive signals from upstream inventory replenishment were noted, particularly in military electronics, which saw a revenue increase of 12.03% [5][9] Structural Differentiation - The report highlights increasing structural differentiation among various segments within the defense sector, with missile and related transactions expected to see significant growth in 2025 [5][9][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic direction in equipment models and the innovation of processes, materials, and components [2][5] Key Segments to Watch - Notable companies to focus on include: - **Aerospace and Engine Manufacturing**: Companies like Runbei Aerospace, Aero Engine Corporation, and Longda Co. are highlighted for their potential in domestic production [5][9] - **Military Electronics**: Companies such as Zhonghang Guangdian and Aerospace Electronics are recommended for their roles in the evolving military electronics landscape [5][22] - **New Materials**: Companies like Fushun Special Steel and Steel Research High-Tech are noted for their growth driven by military-civilian integration [5][20] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profitability and performance as the sector transitions from destocking to restocking phases, particularly in 2025 [5][9][23] - The ongoing reforms in the military procurement and supply chain are expected to create new growth opportunities for companies that can adapt to the changing landscape [2][5][26]

Market Overview - On May 22, major market indices collectively retreated, with a total trading volume of 1.14 trillion yuan, a decrease of 74.7 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - The number of stocks that rose was less than 900, while nearly 4,500 stocks declined, with 51 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 18 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] - Industry sectors experienced widespread declines, with beauty care, social services, and basic chemicals dropping over 1.5%, while only banking, media, and household appliances saw gains [1] Stockholder Changes - A total of 365 stocks reported changes in shareholder numbers as of May 20, with 170 stocks seeing a decrease in shareholder accounts compared to May 10 [2] - The stock with the largest decline in shareholder accounts was Shanshui Bide, which saw a 33.18% drop to 4,909 accounts [2] - Ji Qi Co., Ltd. also reported a significant decrease of 15.50% in shareholder accounts, totaling 17,413 [2] Institutional Trading - On May 22, 10 stocks saw net purchases from institutions, with Tianqi Mould and Aerospace Nanhu receiving over 50 million yuan in net buying [3] - The stock San Sheng Guo Jian faced the largest net selling from institutions, amounting to 151 million yuan, following a 100% increase in price over four consecutive days of hitting the daily limit up [3][4] - The institutional trading data indicates a trend of increasing net selling for San Sheng Guo Jian over three consecutive days [3] Northbound Capital Flow - On May 22, seven stocks experienced net buying from northbound funds, with San Sheng Guo Jian leading at 35.03 million yuan [5] - The stock Lianyun Port saw the highest net selling from northbound funds, totaling 51.66 million yuan [5] Important Announcements - Chao Da Equipment was selected for the 2025 Jiangsu Province Advanced Intelligent Factory list for its smart collaborative manufacturing project [6] - Bo Rui Pharmaceutical received a drug registration certificate for Iopamidol injection from the National Medical Products Administration [6] - Chengdu Xian Dao's shareholder plans to increase its stake in the company by 25 to 50 million yuan without a set price range [6] - Xinhua Insurance signed a contract to establish a private equity fund with a total scale of 20 billion yuan, contributing 10 billion yuan [6] - Zhongnan Media's subsidiary signed a government procurement contract worth 1.009 billion yuan, positively impacting the company's operations in 2025 [6]

当地时间周三，美国财政部拍卖160亿美元的20年期国债，最终得标利率为5.047%。这是2023年11月以 来的最高水平。 很显然，这是金融机构对美国资产抱以谨慎态度。这个消息也导致美股盘中一度大幅跳水。 这件事发生的时间与资本市场的走势，两者结合起来看，是比较微妙的。 一是本周道指正处于3月份的高点附近，标普500指数正处于3月初的平台高点附近。 二是上证指数处于3月份的高点附近，恒生指数处于3月末的平台高点附近。 尽管A股市场最近几年的走势相对独立，但如果美股大幅调整或连续大跌，A股市场也会受到一定的影 响。 对于美债，中金公司认为，穆迪下调美国主权信用评级、日本国债标售遇冷、美债拍卖需求疲软等事件 引发市场担忧。从宏观背景看，关税降级和美债到期高峰期使美债利率走高符合预期。虽需防范波动风 险，但不必过度解读为危机。历史上，流动性冲击都是抄底良机。 我们回归到市场。 今天，A股三大指数集体回调。截至收盘，上证指数下跌0.22%，深证成指、创业板指数分别下跌 0.72%、0.96%。沪深两市成交额达到1.1万亿元，较昨日缩量逾700亿元。 整个市场共有887只个股上涨，4451只个股下跌，个股涨跌幅的中位数 ...

Group 1 - The military information technology sector rose by 0.14%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 32 stocks increasing in value [1][2] - Notable gainers included Wangzi New Materials, Fenghuo Electronics, and Sichuan Jiuzhou, which reached their daily limit, with respective increases of 10.02%, 9.99%, and 2.46% [1][3] - The sector saw a net inflow of 766 million yuan from main funds, with 45 stocks receiving net inflows, and six stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2][3] Group 2 - The top net inflow stock was Wangzi New Materials, attracting 298 million yuan, followed by Galaxy Electronics and Guorui Technology with net inflows of 256 million yuan and 182 million yuan, respectively [2][3] - The net inflow ratios for Fenghuo Electronics, Sichuan Jiuzhou, and Galaxy Electronics were 59.54%, 40.83%, and 14.18% respectively, indicating strong investor interest [3][4] - The military information technology sector's performance was contrasted with other sectors, such as epoxy propylene and transgenic concepts, which experienced declines of -3.41% and -2.81% respectively [2]

请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨软件与服务 [Table_Title] 关注能源 IT 与跨境金融投资机遇 2025 年第 20 周计算机行业周报 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 上周计算机板块整体震荡调整，下跌 1.39%。在长江一级行业中排名第 32 位，两市成交额占 比为 9.23%，金融 IT 表现活跃。上周第 12 届中国国际警用装备博览会与第十届中国(北京)军 事智能技术装备博览会在北京举办；国家数据局综合司印发了《数字中国建设 2025 年行动方 案》。本周推荐关注 1）能源 IT 领域具备先发优势的厂商；2）中国跨境支付产业链相关标的， 重点关注跨境支付平台标的。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 宗建树 SAC：S0490520030004 SFC：BUX668 [Table_Title 关注能源 2] IT 与跨境金融投资机遇 2025 年第 20 周计算机行业周报 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 软件与服务 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Summary2] 上周复盘：计算机板块小幅回撤 上 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Viewpoints - The continuous development of AI technology is transitioning military applications from single-function assistance to full-system intelligence, indicating a rapid acceleration in China's military informationization process, benefiting the entire industry chain [2][11] - The recent exhibitions at the Beijing Military Expo and Police Equipment Expo showcased over 3,000 items from more than 500 participating companies, highlighting advancements in command information systems, unmanned combat equipment, and cybersecurity [11] - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the following areas: 1) Intelligent unmanned combat systems; 2) National defense informationization and electronic countermeasures; 3) Network and electromagnetic space confrontation [2][11] Summary by Sections Event Description - The 12th China International Police Equipment Expo and the 10th China (Beijing) Military Intelligent Technology Equipment Expo were held from May 14 to 17 and May 15 to 17, respectively, showcasing advancements in military and police equipment [5] Event Commentary - The exhibitions demonstrated China's ongoing enhancement of new combat capabilities, with a significant focus on AI and robotics reshaping warfare and equipment systems [11] - The report emphasizes that the integration of AI technologies is crucial for advancing military informationization, with the U.S. military's JADC2 system serving as a benchmark for real-time command across domains [11] - The introduction of China's new AI model, DeepSeek-R1, which rivals top U.S. models at a significantly lower training cost, is expected to lower barriers for AI research and application in military contexts [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the computer industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The reduction of tariffs is expected to accelerate China's economic growth, positively impacting the capital market and the overall performance of the computer industry [4][20] - The military informationization sector is highlighted as a promising area, with improved order conditions reported by some companies [4][20] - The AI commercialization is progressing, with significant advancements in large model technologies, particularly with the release of OpenAI's GPT-4.1 model [4][20] Summary by Sections Market Review - During the week of May 12-16, 2025, the computer (Shenwan) index declined by 1.26%, trailing behind the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 0.76%, and the Shenzhen Component Index, which increased by 0.52% [1][11] - Sub-sector performance showed declines in computer equipment (-0.92%), software development (-1.15%), and IT services II (-1.65%) [1][13] Key Announcements - Beijing Lier announced an investment of 200 million RMB in Shanghai Zhenliang Intelligent Technology Co., focusing on AI chip development [2][17] - Guoneng Rixin upgraded its "Kuangming" new energy model, enhancing its predictive capabilities in various fields [2][19] - Newland plans to globalize its payment solutions, enhancing its digital solutions for global commerce [3][19] Investment Insights - The joint statement from the US and China on May 12, 2025, regarding tariff adjustments is expected to benefit the computer industry as economic conditions improve [4][20] - Companies like Zhimingda reported a significant recovery in orders, with a 174% year-on-year increase in total orders, particularly in airborne and missile-mounted products [4][20] - The AI sector is witnessing rapid advancements, with major companies launching new models and enhancing their offerings [4][20]