在各类利好政策的助力下，外国人来华"中国游"和"中国购"正迎来又一波热潮。在离境退税服务的带动 下，我国入境游客流体量持续扩大，"五一"入境游订单量同比增长173%。上海作为入境游热门目的地 之一，在"五一"期间进一步优化离境退税消费环境，让境外旅客享受到更便捷的服务。(央视财经) ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses various tax policies aimed at promoting the purchase and use of new energy vehicles, as well as supporting small and micro enterprises and individual businesses in China [3][11][12]. Tax Policies for New Energy Vehicles - From January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2025, new energy vehicles will be exempt from vehicle purchase tax, with a maximum exemption of 30,000 yuan per vehicle [3]. - For purchases made between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2027, the vehicle purchase tax will be halved, with a maximum reduction of 15,000 yuan per vehicle [3]. Support for Small and Micro Enterprises - From January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2027, small-scale VAT taxpayers with monthly sales below 100,000 yuan will be exempt from VAT [9]. - Individual businesses with annual taxable income not exceeding 2 million yuan will have their personal income tax halved during the same period [11]. - Small-scale VAT taxpayers, small and micro enterprises, and individual businesses will benefit from a halved resource tax, urban maintenance and construction tax, property tax, and other related taxes from January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2027 [11]. Tax Incentives for Employment - From January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2027, businesses hiring individuals from poverty alleviation programs or long-term unemployed individuals will receive tax deductions of 6,000 yuan per person per year for three years [17]. - The deduction can be increased by up to 30% based on local government regulations [17]. Cultural and Agricultural Tax Exemptions - Ticket revenues from cultural and religious activities held by temples, mosques, and churches will be exempt from VAT [6]. - Agricultural producers selling self-produced agricultural products, including tea, will be exempt from VAT [7].

南方财经全媒体记者魏彤广州报道 今年的"五一"假期正式开启，游客出游需求得到极大释放，旅游市场迎来上半年又一出游高峰。 随着生活节奏的加快与压力的增加，人们的情绪需求日益显现。迎合这一需求的"情绪经济"迅速崛起， 成为当下消费市场的亮点。这一现象并非偶然，而是多种社会经济因素相互作用的结果，年轻消费者涌 向冷门打卡地寻找"松弛感"的"反向旅游"，正是其中一种体现。 反向旅游，即是游客去到陌生城市，漫无目的没有计划，放弃严谨的打卡式旅游，想去体验一下新鲜景 点，就找一个当地人问路；饿了，就钻进老城区里尝一尝当地美食。不为在旅行中学到什么意义，为的 就是体验宝贵的"放松感"。 在一个陌生地点完完全全放松自己，能够拥有不同于工作日那种身心紧绷 的体验。 携程数据显示，今年"五一"期间，旅游下沉化趋势更加明显，四线及以下城市消费升级趋势较三线及以 上城市更显著。前者市场旅游热度同比增长25%，增速高出高线城市11个百分点。此外，小城"钞能 力"显现，高星酒店消费占比碾压高线城市。 不少城市因此也开始深挖自家宝藏冷门的打卡宝地，一经推荐带火了不少地区消费。 在广州，人少景美的江心小岛国际生物岛，租辆单车环岛骑行，既能运 ...

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs significantly lowered the US Q1 GDP growth forecast to -0.8% due to an unexpected widening of the trade deficit in March, driven by increased consumer goods imports [1] - Morgan Stanley highlighted that uncertainty surrounding tariff policies and questions regarding the independence of the Federal Reserve may lead foreign investors to reduce their investments in the US [2] - Pantheon Macroeconomics indicated that the uncertainty from tariffs will limit any significant rebound in the French economy, projecting stagnation for the remainder of the year [3] Group 2 - ING reported that the euro has lost its status as a preferred alternative to the dollar, with most G10 currencies performing better than the euro recently [4] - ING also noted that news of potential reductions in auto tariffs by the Trump administration helped the dollar recover some of its recent losses [5] - Capital Economics stated that the impact of tariffs on the Eurozone economy is expected to intensify, with the economic sentiment index dropping from 95.2 to 93.6 in April [6] Group 3 - Deutsche Bank suggested that the European Central Bank should act more decisively to address increasing supply shocks and rising inflation [8] - Tianfeng Securities projected that the aerospace engine sector may stabilize and recover, with a significant portion of military electronic stocks held by active funds [9] - CITIC Securities reported that the implementation of new tax refund policies for departing travelers could boost domestic consumption, estimating a potential market space of nearly 100 billion [10]

Group 1: Market Overview - The three major stock indices experienced narrow fluctuations, with the North Stock 50 Index showing relative strength, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.05% to 3286.65 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index also dropped by 0.05% to 9849.8 points [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and North Stock markets was 10,419 billion, a decrease of 350 billion from the previous day [1] - Sectors such as electricity and insurance declined, while home furnishings, automotive, chemicals, healthcare, agriculture, food and beverage, home appliances, and semiconductors saw gains [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Smart Connected Vehicles - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) has released key points for automotive standardization by 2025, emphasizing the need to strengthen standards for driving assistance and autonomous driving [2] - CITIC Securities anticipates that companies in the industry chain will focus on improving product maturity and safety, with main manufacturers expected to refine hardware and software architectures [2] - Investment recommendations include leading manufacturers in smart driving development, top suppliers of laser radar, and companies providing testing and simulation services for smart connected vehicles [2] Group 3: Smart Imaging Devices Market - The market for handheld smart imaging devices is projected to reach 36.47 billion in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12.9% from 2023 to 2027, potentially reaching 59.2 billion by 2027 [3] - The panoramic camera market is expected to reach 5 billion, with applications expanding beyond daily life and sports to include video conferencing and robotics [3] - The global market for action cameras is expected to exceed 30 billion in 2023, driven by the rise of outdoor sports [3] Group 4: Vitamin D3 Price Outlook - The price of feed-grade Vitamin D3 is at a historical low, leading to production cuts and supply reductions among some manufacturers [5] - Demand for Vitamin D3 is steadily increasing, with manufacturers reducing output since the beginning of 2024, resulting in historically low inventory levels [5] - Recent price increases have been observed, with significant adjustments in quotes from manufacturers, indicating potential for further price rises [5] Group 5: Consumption Policy and Tax Refunds - The National Taxation Administration has revised the management measures for tax refunds for outbound tourists, simplifying processes and expanding coverage to more small and medium-sized businesses [6] - CITIC Securities estimates that the potential market for tax refunds could reach nearly 100 billion, which may further stimulate consumption and expand domestic demand [6] - Key sectors to watch include traditional retail companies with strong operational capabilities and those involved in consumer infrastructure and travel services [6] Group 6: Electricity Market Developments - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration have announced plans to accelerate the construction of a national electricity spot market, aiming for full coverage by the end of 2025 [8] - Specific timelines have been set for the transition to formal operations in various provinces, with a focus on continuous settlement operations [8] Group 7: Digital Economy Infrastructure - The National Development and Reform Commission is promoting the construction of a national integrated computing network to optimize resource allocation and support the development of the digital economy [9] Group 8: Livestock Production Adjustments - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has issued a plan to adjust and optimize pig production capacity, focusing on monitoring and guiding the market [10]

重庆：推动离境退税地域和规模双扩围 探索建立境外文旅推广中心 金十数据4月30日讯，《重庆市提振消费专项行动实施方案（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见。其中提 到，加快吸引外来消费。推动离境退税地域和规模双扩围，全面落实"即买即退"，力争2027年离境退税 商店达到200家。加快建设入境人员综合服务中心，为来渝人员提供"支付、文旅、通信、交通"一站式 服务。实施入境旅游促进计划，探索建立境外文旅推广中心（点），开展"你好！重庆"等全球推广活 动。提升外籍人员过境免办签证服务效能，联合四川实施好"240小时"过境免签政策，鼓励境外旅游 团"渝进蓉出""蓉进渝出"。支持增设境外直飞航线。 （证券时报） ...

4月30日，恒生指数、恒生科技指数集体高开，消费板块持续活跃。 相关ETF方面，截至发稿，港股消费ETF（159735）开盘后震荡走强，现涨0.77%。成分股中，周大福 涨超2%，蒙牛乳业、百威亚太、银河娱乐、美团-W等股涨幅居前。 港股消费ETF（159735）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，该指数选取港股通范围内流动性较好、市值较 大的50只消费主题相关股票组成指数样本，采用自由流通市值加权，以反映港股通内消费类股票的整体 表现。 消息面上，据国家发展改革委微信公众号，近日，国家发展改革委已印发通知，会同财政部及时向地方 追加下达今年第二批810亿元超长期特别国债资金，继续大力支持消费品以旧换新。下一步，国家发展 改革委将充分发挥"两新"部际协调机制作用，强化统筹推进和跟踪调度，督促各地各有关部门加快已拨 资金审核兑付，切实减轻企业垫资压力，确保真金白银优惠直达消费者，推动消费品以旧换新政策发挥 更大效果。 中信证券表示，今年以来我国消费政策全面升级创新，近期细分领域政策相继出台，政策体系逐步完 善。近日国家税务总局发布离境退税管理办法修订细则，推动前期离境退税"即买即退"推广政策落地。 根据我们测算，乐观假 ...

Market Overview - The three major indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.08%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.14%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.22% [1] - The multi-modal and AI glasses sectors saw significant gains, while the non-ferrous metals and hydropower sectors experienced declines [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 3284.08, down 0.08%, with 1020 gainers and 891 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 9863.50, up 0.14%, with 1556 gainers and 867 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 1936.12, up 0.22%, with 814 gainers and 358 losers [2] US Market Performance - US stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones up 300.03 points (0.75%) at 40527.62, the Nasdaq up 95.18 points (0.55%) at 17461.32, and the S&P 500 up 32.08 points (0.58%) at 5560.83 [3] - Mixed performance in popular Chinese concept stocks, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index down 0.3% [3] Institutional Insights - CITIC Securities highlighted the potential of the departure tax refund policy to boost domestic consumption, estimating a potential market space of nearly 100 billion [5] - Guotai Junan emphasized a focus on durable consumer goods, recommending a defensive approach with high-dividend stocks, while also identifying opportunities in new consumption sectors driven by consumption upgrades [6] - Huatai Securities expressed optimism about the lithium battery supply chain, noting a slight decrease in production but long-term improvements expected due to new models and technologies [7]

姜娅｜中信证券 消费产业首席分析师 S1010510120056 消费｜离境退税细则落地，推广提速提振内需 今年以来我国消费政策全面升级创新，近期细分领域政策相继出台，政策体系逐步完 善。近日国家税务总局发布离境退税管理办法修订细则，三方面推动前期离境退 税"即买即退"推广政策落地：①备案流程简化、时间缩短、资质放款，退税商店扩容 覆盖更广阔中小商家；②提额度+降起退点拓宽价格带场景，优质国货商品有望受 益；③进一步提升退税便利度。根据我们测算，乐观假设下离境退税市场潜在空间近 千亿级别，有望进一步提振消费扩大内需。建议密切关注政策效果显现，潜在受益板 块包括：传统零售板块中经营能力强、调改转型领先企业、消费基础设施和相关运营 商、出行服务提供商、景区目的地。 风险因素：关税政策调整；经济增速下行超预期；入境游客数量增长不及预期；入境 游客消费能力弱于预期；政策落地效果不及预期等。 刘春彤｜中信证券 联席首席A股策略师 S1010520080003 亮马组合｜自下而上，发掘高确定性机会（202505） 亮马组合是基于策略聚焦观点和行业研究精选推荐，遴选出的月度金股组合。本篇报 告为2025年第5期，更新中信证 ...

文 ｜ 姜娅 陈聪 杨清朴 杜一帆 刘济玮 今年以来我国消费政策全面升级创新，近期细分领域政策相继出台，政策体系逐步完善。近日国家税务总局发布离境退税管理 办法修订细则，三方面推动前期离境退税"即买即退"推广政策落地：①备案流程简化、时间缩短、资质放款，退税商店扩容覆 盖更广阔中小商家；②提额度+降起退点拓宽价格带场景，优质国货商品有望受益；③进一步提升退税便利度。根据我们测算 乐观假设下离境退税市场潜在空间近千亿级别，有望进一步提振消费扩大内需。建议密切关注政策效果显现，潜在受益板块包 括：传统零售板块中经营能力强、调改转型领先企业、消费基础设施和相关运营商、出行服务提供商、景区目的地。 ▍ 离境退税管理办法修订细则发布，"即买即退"推广加速落地。 4月2 6日国家税务总局发布关于修改《境外旅客购物离境退税管理办法（试行）》的公告，从推动退税商店增量扩容、丰富退 税商品供给、提升离境退税服务水平3个方面提出8条政策举措，有望推动"即买即退"推广加速落地。具体来看： 2）额度优化拓宽场景，品类明晰下优质国货受益。 额度上，单笔消费退税上限从5万元提升至1 0万元，现金退税限额从1万元 上调至2万元，起退点从同 ...