Market Overview - Stock markets experienced a three-day rally that fizzled out, with benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty ending flat amid choppy trading on November 13, 2025 [1] - The BSE Sensex closed with a slight gain of 12.16 points, or 0.01%, at 84,478.67, while the NSE Nifty rose by 3.35 points, or 0.01%, to 25,879.15 [1][2] Sector Performance - Among the gainers in the Sensex pack were Asian Paints, ICICI Bank, PowerGrid, Larsen & Toubro, Bajaj Finserv, Bharti Airtel, Sun Pharmaceuticals, Maruti Suzuki India, Axis Bank, UltraTech Cement, and HCL Technologies [2] - Conversely, laggards included Tata Motors' commercial vehicles arm, Mahindra & Mahindra, Tata Steel, Bharat Electronics Ltd, Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles, Trent, Tata Consultancy Services, Hindustan Unilever, and Infosys [3] Economic Indicators - The market sentiment was positively influenced by the signing of a short-term funding bill by Trump to end the U.S. government shutdown and hopes for tariff relief for India [4] - Record-low October inflation figures reinforced expectations of an interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), making rate-sensitive sectors like metals and realty attractive to investors [5] Foreign Investment Trends - Foreign institutional investors were net sellers for the third consecutive day, offloading equities worth ₹1,750.03 crore, while domestic institutional investors purchased stocks worth ₹5,127.12 crore [7] - The previous day, the BSE Sensex had rallied by 595.19 points, closing at 84,466.51, and the NSE Nifty climbed 180.85 points to close at 25,875.80 [7]

Find out which banks are offering the best MMA rates right now. As interest rates begin to fall following the Fed’s recent rate cuts, it’s more important than ever to ensure you’re earning a competitive rate on your savings. One option you may want to consider is a money market account (MMA). These accounts are similar to savings accounts — they offer interest on your balance, but may also include a debit card and/or check-writing capabilities. Wondering where the top money market account rates can be fou ...

Experts said this boosted chances of an interest rate cut at the December monetary policy meeting, although this also depends on factors such as economic growth and the conclusion of a trade deal with the US.This marks the third time in FY26 that inflation has stayed below the central bank's target range of 4% with a margin of two percentage points on either side of that figure. Inflation based on the "The positive impact of the Live EventsA close callA two-slab GST structure took effect September 22, lowe ...

Group 1 - The decision to cut the target rate by a quarter point to 2.25% was made on October 29 [1]

Group 1: Cryptocurrency Market Performance - Bitcoin (BTC) experienced a significant drop, falling back below $102,000 after briefly exceeding $105,000, marking a 3% decline as U.S. markets opened [1] - Ether (ETH) also saw a decline of nearly 5%, dropping below $3,400, while other major altcoins like Solana (SOL) and XRP faced similar downturns [1] - The overall weak performance of cryptocurrencies during U.S. trading hours has been a consistent trend, with the Coinbase Premium indicating a lack of U.S. investor demand since late October [3][4] Group 2: Impact on Crypto-Related Stocks - U.S. stocks related to cryptocurrency are experiencing declines, with Circle (CRCL) dropping 9.5% following its third-quarter earnings report [2] - Crypto mining companies such as Bitfarms (BITF), Bitdeer (BTDR), Cipher Mining (CIFR), Hive Digital (HIVE), Hut 8 (HUT), and IREN have seen their stock prices fall between 5% and 10% [2] Group 3: Federal Reserve Sentiment and Market Uncertainty - There is growing uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's next moves, with a divide among policymakers about whether to prioritize concerns over persistent inflation or a softening labor market [5][6] - The recent government shutdown has complicated the situation by delaying key employment and inflation data, making a December rate cut uncertain [7] - Since the Fed's October meeting, U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs have experienced over $1.8 billion in net outflows, reflecting the market's uncertainty and lack of positive catalysts [8]

The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) today is up +0.31%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) is up +0.77%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) is down -0.21%.  December E-mini S&P futures (ESZ25) are up +0.22%, and December E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQZ25) are down -0.18%. US stock indexes are mostly higher today, with the S&P 500 posting a 1-week high and the Dow Jones Industrials posting a new all-time high. Stocks are climbing in anticipation that the US government shutdown could end as soon as tod ...

ANALYSIS: Despite data showing the labor market may have weakened during the government shutdown, Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members have struck a cautious tone in recent weeks. This is cooling expectations for a final rate cut in 2025, as the Fed balances sticky inflation and uncertainty with its need to maintain full employment. Markets have maintained some positive momentum on hopes the U.S. government shutdown will soon draw to a close. As the government shutdown has rumbled on, a dark clo ...

Economic Indicators - The ADP report indicated that the private sector lost an average of 11,250 jobs per week during the four weeks ending October 25th, suggesting a weakening labor market in late October [1] - Goldman Sachs estimated a decline of 50,000 in U.S. payrolls for October after accounting for the government's deferred resignation program [1] Government Shutdown and Economic Reports - A temporary funding bill has been passed by the Senate, potentially ending a 43-day U.S. government shutdown, with the House set to consider the package [4] - Following the government reopening, a wave of delayed economic reports is expected, which may clarify the outlook for interest rates [2] Stock Market Movements - Wall Street's major indexes closed mixed, with Paramount Skydance (PSKY) rising over +9% after issuing above-consensus Q4 revenue guidance [3] - FedEx (FDX) increased more than +5% after projecting improved profits, while RealReal (REAL) jumped over +38% following better-than-expected Q3 results [3] - Nvidia (NVDA) fell nearly -3% after SoftBank Group disclosed the sale of its entire stake in the chipmaker for $5.83 billion [3] Interest Rate Expectations - U.S. rate futures indicate a 63.4% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the next monetary policy meeting [6] - Market participants are closely monitoring comments from various Fed officials regarding potential rate cuts [5] European Market Performance - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index rose +1.01%, driven by optimism about the U.S. government reopening and expectations of a Fed rate cut [8] - Positive economic data from Germany showed a slight easing in annual inflation to 2.3% in October, while Italy's industrial production rebounded more than expected [8][10] Corporate Earnings - S&P 500 companies are projected to post a +14.6% increase in Q3 profits from a year earlier, nearly double analysts' expectations [6] - Notable companies such as Cisco (CSCO), TransDigm Group (TDG), and GlobalFoundries (GFS) are set to release quarterly results [6][16] Asian Market Developments - Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Index closed higher, supported by gains in metals and pharmaceuticals, amid optimism regarding the U.S. government shutdown [12] - Foxconn Industrial reported a 17% increase in Q3 profit, contributing to its stock rise of about +0.8% [11]

Economic Outlook - The government shutdown is expected to depress GDP growth during its occurrence, but growth may rebound in the following quarter once the shutdown is lifted [2][3] - The current economic outlook remains largely unchanged despite the shutdown, with the potential for some growth not being fully recovered due to the prolonged nature of the shutdown [2][3] Federal Reserve Projections - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) had projected three interest rate cuts for the year, but recent inflation data has been better than expected, suggesting a more dovish stance may be warranted [5][6] - Labor market data indicates a gradual softening, with new job openings, wages, and jobless claims reflecting continued weakening [6][7] Inflation Data Analysis - Current inflation data is considered backward-looking and may not accurately reflect future trends, as many rely on stale data [8][9] - Market-based core measures of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) are closer to the Fed's target than traditional measures, indicating a potential decline in inflation [11][12] Future Data Expectations - Updated inflation data may take time to be released following the end of the shutdown, with labor market data also expected to be somewhat outdated [13][14] - The focus should remain on forward-looking policies rather than solely on past data, as no significant changes have occurred since the last FOMC meeting [15][19] Economic Performance Indicators - Factors such as tax refunds and depreciation are anticipated to contribute to stronger economic performance in the first half of the next year [16] - The output gap, which compares potential GDP to actual GDP, is crucial for understanding economic growth and may necessitate rate cuts [16][19] Financial Conditions - Financial conditions are viewed as nuanced, with some markets appearing tight, particularly in housing, which is more relevant for economic growth than equity markets [23][24] - The central bank's focus should remain on achieving maximum employment and stable prices rather than solely on financial market conditions [21][22]

Market Overview - U.S. stock futures rose on Monday following a mixed close on Friday, with major benchmark indices showing positive movement [1] - Investors are focused on two significant developments: progress towards ending the government shutdown and a surprise stimulus proposal from President Trump [1][2] - The Senate held a key vote on a funding bill aimed at concluding the 40-day government shutdown [1] Economic Indicators - The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.13%, while the two-year bond was at 3.59% [2] - Market expectations indicate a 64.9% likelihood of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in December [2] Futures Performance - Dow Jones increased by 0.42%, S&P 500 by 0.97%, Nasdaq 100 by 1.52%, and Russell 2000 by 1.11% [3] - The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) rose 0.98% to $677.52, and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) advanced 1.52% to $619.02 in premarket trading [3] Company Highlights - Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE: OXY) is expected to report quarterly earnings of 52 cents per share on revenue of $6.68 billion, rising 0.70% in premarket [5] - Viasat Inc. (NASDAQ: VSAT) jumped 13.21% after posting earnings of 9 cents per share on sales of $1.141 billion for the second quarter [5] - Micron Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MU) gained 4.48% due to rising prices for next-generation HBM4 memory chips [5] - Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ: NVDA) increased by 3.23%, leading the Nasdaq and S&P 500 higher [11] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (NYSE: TSM) climbed 2.76% with October revenue up 17% year-over-year to $11.99 billion [11] Analyst Insights - Ryan Detrick of Carson Group views government shutdowns as short-term noise, noting that the S&P 500's median return during past shutdowns was only 0.1% [8] - Historically, the S&P 500 has averaged a gain of 12.3% in the 12 months following the end of a government shutdown, with a 91% success rate in positive market performance post-reopening [9][10]