美联邦政府"停摆"也给美国旅游业带来重创。美国旅游协会首席执行官杰夫.弗里曼称，"停摆"的每一 周都将导致旅游业损失10亿美元。美国国家公园保护协会估计，国家公园在"停摆"期间关闭，每天损失 100万美元门票收入，周边商户每天还将损失7700万美元。摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔.费罗利指 出，政府"停摆"持续还可能对市场情绪产生负面影响。由于裁员威胁和实际失业，此次"停摆"可能加剧 劳动力市场风险并削弱消费者信心。 此外，特朗普政府推迟了向农民提供经济援助的计划。该农业援助计划原定于10月7日颁布。美国管理 和预算办公室已准备从美国农业部内部账户中拨出120亿至130亿美元，其中一部分资金可能用于救助因 美政府关税政策和其他经济逆风而受到影响的农民。但因政府停摆，此计划的实施时间将推迟。目前在 美国总统特朗普的社交媒体，以及其他美政府官网均没有发布相关政策。 美国联邦航空管理局7日发布通告称，由于政府"停摆"造成航空管制人员短缺，主要航空枢纽均出现严 重延误。根据美媒援引航班追踪网站FlightAware的数据报道，仅10月6日和7日两天，全美延误航班就超 过了9000架次，而8日仅是早间就已超过720架次 ...

Core Points - The U.S. federal government has been in a shutdown for seven days due to budget disagreements between the Democratic and Republican parties, with no signs of compromise [1][2] - The economic impact of the shutdown is significant, with an estimated loss of $15 billion for each week the government remains closed, affecting over 2 million government employees and the broader U.S. economy [2][3] - The shutdown has led to widespread disruptions, including over 3,000 flight delays on October 7, and a reduction in air traffic control personnel, raising concerns about safety and potential impacts on holiday travel [2][3] Economic Impact - The White House had planned to announce over $1 billion in subsidies for American farmers, which has been postponed due to the shutdown [2] - The Transportation Secretary reported a significant increase in sick leave among air traffic controllers, with some areas seeing personnel reduced to half of pre-shutdown levels [2] - The National Air Traffic Controllers Association warned that ongoing disruptions could severely affect travel during the Thanksgiving holiday if the shutdown continues [2] Government Employee Concerns - The Speaker of the House indicated that military pay could be temporarily halted if the shutdown is not resolved by October 13 [2] - There are conflicting reports regarding the potential for back pay for federal employees affected by the shutdown, with some sources indicating that it may not be guaranteed [3] - The number of affected citizens extends beyond government employees, but the lack of functioning government statistics makes it difficult to quantify the full impact of the shutdown [3]

新华财经北京10月5日电 美国国会参议院3日未能通过新的临时拨款法案，民主党和共和党的提案均再 度遭到否决，联邦政府"停摆"继续。自1日"停摆"后，大批联邦雇员已被迫停薪休假，经济数据发布暂 停，多项公共服务陷入停滞，美国经济将遭受直接损失，此次政府"关门"对美国的负面影响正逐步显 现。 数十万联邦雇员停薪休假 据路透社报道，受政府"关门"影响，有约75万名联邦雇员被迫停薪休假，而不能离岗的军队及边境巡逻 人员等其他职员暂时"无薪上班"。 美国副总统万斯1日警告，如果联邦政府"停摆"持续时间较长，可能会引发裁员。白宫发言人莱维特则 说，联邦政府裁员"很可能"发生，且"很快"会发生。 根据路透社看到的内部信件，美国商务部下属专利与商标办公室计划在其1.4万名员工中裁减1%。 美国多个重要金融监管机构大部分职员1日开始也被强制"停薪休假"。 据路透社报道，根据此次"停摆"应急预案，美国证券交易委员会将强制其超过90%的员工停薪休假，仅 保留约393名员工处理紧急执法和市场监督工作。该机构监管数千家上市公司、交易所、券商和基金。 美国商品期货交易委员会9月30日晚说，"停摆"期间，该机构543名员工中仅保留5.7% ...

Core Points - The U.S. government has entered a shutdown for the first time in nearly seven years, following the Senate's rejection of funding bills on September 30 [2][3] - President Trump indicated that prolonged shutdown could lead to layoffs and project cuts, with Vice President Pence warning of potential job losses if the situation continues [2] - A White House memo warns that each week of shutdown could cost the U.S. GDP approximately $15 billion, with an estimated 43,000 additional job losses if the shutdown lasts a month [3] Economic Impact - The Standard & Poor's Global Ratings stated that the recent government shutdown may only have a slight impact on GDP growth, but it increases economic uncertainty [3] - Economic estimates suggest that for each week of shutdown, economic growth could decline by 0.1% to 0.2% [3] - The memo did not account for the 1.9 million federal employees who may be furloughed or working without pay, with 80% residing in the Washington area [3]

Core Points - The White House economic advisors warn that an extended government shutdown could lead to severe economic consequences [1][3] - The memo estimates that each week of shutdown could result in a GDP loss of $15 billion [3] - A month-long shutdown could lead to an additional 43,000 job losses, not including the 1.9 million federal employees already affected [3] Economic Impact - The memo indicates that consumer spending could decrease by $30 billion if the shutdown lasts a month, with half of this impact directly affecting federal employees [3] - The remaining reduction in consumer spending would stem from spillover effects in other industries [3] Political Context - The government shutdown occurred due to a failure in the Senate to pass a temporary funding bill amid disagreements over healthcare-related benefits [3] - The shutdown marks the first occurrence in nearly seven years, starting at midnight on October 1 [3]

Group 1: Government Shutdown Impact - The U.S. federal government officially shut down due to a failure to reach an agreement on a short-term spending plan, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees who will not receive timely paychecks [1] - The duration of the shutdown is critical; the longer it lasts, the greater the impact on economic growth and businesses reliant on federal operations [1] - The last shutdown in late 2018 to early 2019 lasted 34 days, affecting 340,000 employees, while this shutdown could see over 800,000 employees forced to take unpaid leave [2] Group 2: Economic Data and Reports - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will not release or collect economic data during the shutdown, jeopardizing the timely publication of the September non-farm payroll report [3] - Delays in economic data releases will shift market focus to alternative data sources, although the quality of delayed reports may be compromised [3] Group 3: Private Sector Effects - Businesses dependent on federal operations may face loss of business or delays in critical approvals, as seen during the 2013 shutdown when Lockheed Martin had to furlough 3,000 employees [4] - Small businesses with government contracts may have to lay off employees and scale back operations due to payment delays [4] Group 4: Economic Growth Projections - The shutdown is expected to reduce government spending and project delays, leading to a decrease in economic activity; the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated a 0.4% decline in GDP growth during the last shutdown [6] - The current shutdown's impact may be more severe, potentially mirroring the 2013 shutdown, which caused a 0.6% decline in annualized growth [6] Group 5: Tourism and Travel Industry - The U.S. Travel Association warned that the tourism industry could lose $1 billion per week during the shutdown [7] - Transportation Security Administration (TSA) employees will work without pay, which may lead to operational issues similar to those experienced during the 2019 shutdown [7] - National parks will attempt to remain open using ticket revenue, but concerns about facility maintenance and potential damage have been raised [7]

Core Viewpoint - The impact of a government shutdown on the economy depends on the scope and duration of the shutdown, according to Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank [1] Group 1 - Historically, most government shutdowns are short-lived and have limited economic impact [1]

If lawmakers can't come to an agreement on funding the government by end of day tomorrow, we're going to be headed into the first full government shutdown since 2013. Now, usually by this point, agency's plans for the shutdown would have been made public. Most of them have not put out those plans yet, but based on what we know previously, here's what we expect.First of all, no jobs data on Friday if the shutdown goes until then. And if the shutdown goes even longer, that could impact the collection of other ...

All right, government moving closer to a shutdown to take place at the end of the month could have a big eh impact on economic data. For example, Emily Wilkins joins us now. She has more for us as we take a look at the countdown clock.Emily, hey David. Yeah, that countdown clock is going. It will be here before we know it.But look, a shutdown is looking increasingly likely. 4 days can be a long time in DC, but right now both sides have just very much dug in. Doesn't appear to be really any serious negotiati ...