政府停摆对经济的影响
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未获通过!美联邦政府继续“关门”
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-10-09 12:01
美联邦政府"停摆"也给美国旅游业带来重创。美国旅游协会首席执行官杰夫.弗里曼称,"停摆"的每一 周都将导致旅游业损失10亿美元。美国国家公园保护协会估计,国家公园在"停摆"期间关闭,每天损失 100万美元门票收入,周边商户每天还将损失7700万美元。摩根大通首席美国经济学家迈克尔.费罗利指 出,政府"停摆"持续还可能对市场情绪产生负面影响。由于裁员威胁和实际失业,此次"停摆"可能加剧 劳动力市场风险并削弱消费者信心。 此外,特朗普政府推迟了向农民提供经济援助的计划。该农业援助计划原定于10月7日颁布。美国管理 和预算办公室已准备从美国农业部内部账户中拨出120亿至130亿美元,其中一部分资金可能用于救助因 美政府关税政策和其他经济逆风而受到影响的农民。但因政府停摆,此计划的实施时间将推迟。目前在 美国总统特朗普的社交媒体,以及其他美政府官网均没有发布相关政策。 美国联邦航空管理局7日发布通告称,由于政府"停摆"造成航空管制人员短缺,主要航空枢纽均出现严 重延误。根据美媒援引航班追踪网站FlightAware的数据报道,仅10月6日和7日两天,全美延误航班就超 过了9000架次,而8日仅是早间就已超过720架次 ...
美国政府停摆进入第二周
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-10-08 15:41
当地时间10月7日,美国政府停摆进入第七天。此前由于预算谈不拢,美国联邦政府从10月1日开始的停 摆已经持续一周,民主、共和两党仍然没有妥协的迹象。美国参议院7天投了5次票,但无论谁提出的拨 款法案都没能通过;众议院甚至索性"开摆",表示要休会到14日再开始讨论新方案。 共和党籍众议院议长约翰逊7日说,如果停摆危机10月13日前仍未化解,15日起将不得不暂时停发军 饷。约翰逊指责民主党"玩弄政治",导致军饷面临停发。他预计被迫休假的联邦雇员和无薪工作的人员 今后将获得补发工资。 不过,美国多家媒体报道,白宫预算办公室一份备忘录显示,特朗普政府警告,可能不会补发工资。美 国总统特朗普当天会见加拿大总理卡尼时说,补发政府停摆期间工资一事,"取决于我们谈论的是谁"。 美国媒体分析,受联邦政府停摆影响的美国民众人数远远超过政府雇员人数,但由于政府统计机构也大 多关停了,这些影响难以统计和量化,因此目前很难精确评估政府"关门"给美国带来的具体影响以及长 期伤害。 美国两党为"钱拨给谁"僵持不下的同时,200多万政府雇员乃至整个美国经济,每分每秒都在承受政府 停摆带来的伤害。白宫原本预计本周推出的一项超百亿美元的对美国农 ...
美国政府“停摆”持续 多重负面影响显现
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-05 00:42
新华财经北京10月5日电 美国国会参议院3日未能通过新的临时拨款法案,民主党和共和党的提案均再 度遭到否决,联邦政府"停摆"继续。自1日"停摆"后,大批联邦雇员已被迫停薪休假,经济数据发布暂 停,多项公共服务陷入停滞,美国经济将遭受直接损失,此次政府"关门"对美国的负面影响正逐步显 现。 数十万联邦雇员停薪休假 据路透社报道,受政府"关门"影响,有约75万名联邦雇员被迫停薪休假,而不能离岗的军队及边境巡逻 人员等其他职员暂时"无薪上班"。 美国副总统万斯1日警告,如果联邦政府"停摆"持续时间较长,可能会引发裁员。白宫发言人莱维特则 说,联邦政府裁员"很可能"发生,且"很快"会发生。 根据路透社看到的内部信件,美国商务部下属专利与商标办公室计划在其1.4万名员工中裁减1%。 美国多个重要金融监管机构大部分职员1日开始也被强制"停薪休假"。 据路透社报道,根据此次"停摆"应急预案,美国证券交易委员会将强制其超过90%的员工停薪休假,仅 保留约393名员工处理紧急执法和市场监督工作。该机构监管数千家上市公司、交易所、券商和基金。 美国商品期货交易委员会9月30日晚说,"停摆"期间,该机构543名员工中仅保留5.7% ...
特朗普警告!可能会裁员
证券时报· 2025-10-03 01:17
Core Points - The U.S. government has entered a shutdown for the first time in nearly seven years, following the Senate's rejection of funding bills on September 30 [2][3] - President Trump indicated that prolonged shutdown could lead to layoffs and project cuts, with Vice President Pence warning of potential job losses if the situation continues [2] - A White House memo warns that each week of shutdown could cost the U.S. GDP approximately $15 billion, with an estimated 43,000 additional job losses if the shutdown lasts a month [3] Economic Impact - The Standard & Poor's Global Ratings stated that the recent government shutdown may only have a slight impact on GDP growth, but it increases economic uncertainty [3] - Economic estimates suggest that for each week of shutdown, economic growth could decline by 0.1% to 0.2% [3] - The memo did not account for the 1.9 million federal employees who may be furloughed or working without pay, with 80% residing in the Washington area [3]
美媒:白宫经济顾问委员会警告称,美政府每“停摆”一周或致GDP损失150亿美元
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-10-02 07:02
Core Points - The White House economic advisors warn that an extended government shutdown could lead to severe economic consequences [1][3] - The memo estimates that each week of shutdown could result in a GDP loss of $15 billion [3] - A month-long shutdown could lead to an additional 43,000 job losses, not including the 1.9 million federal employees already affected [3] Economic Impact - The memo indicates that consumer spending could decrease by $30 billion if the shutdown lasts a month, with half of this impact directly affecting federal employees [3] - The remaining reduction in consumer spending would stem from spillover effects in other industries [3] Political Context - The government shutdown occurred due to a failure in the Senate to pass a temporary funding bill amid disagreements over healthcare-related benefits [3] - The shutdown marks the first occurrence in nearly seven years, starting at midnight on October 1 [3]
美国政府停摆!80万雇员恐被停薪,周五非农报告大概率“难产”
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-10-01 06:40
Group 1: Government Shutdown Impact - The U.S. federal government officially shut down due to a failure to reach an agreement on a short-term spending plan, affecting hundreds of thousands of federal employees who will not receive timely paychecks [1] - The duration of the shutdown is critical; the longer it lasts, the greater the impact on economic growth and businesses reliant on federal operations [1] - The last shutdown in late 2018 to early 2019 lasted 34 days, affecting 340,000 employees, while this shutdown could see over 800,000 employees forced to take unpaid leave [2] Group 2: Economic Data and Reports - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will not release or collect economic data during the shutdown, jeopardizing the timely publication of the September non-farm payroll report [3] - Delays in economic data releases will shift market focus to alternative data sources, although the quality of delayed reports may be compromised [3] Group 3: Private Sector Effects - Businesses dependent on federal operations may face loss of business or delays in critical approvals, as seen during the 2013 shutdown when Lockheed Martin had to furlough 3,000 employees [4] - Small businesses with government contracts may have to lay off employees and scale back operations due to payment delays [4] Group 4: Economic Growth Projections - The shutdown is expected to reduce government spending and project delays, leading to a decrease in economic activity; the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated a 0.4% decline in GDP growth during the last shutdown [6] - The current shutdown's impact may be more severe, potentially mirroring the 2013 shutdown, which caused a 0.6% decline in annualized growth [6] Group 5: Tourism and Travel Industry - The U.S. Travel Association warned that the tourism industry could lose $1 billion per week during the shutdown [7] - Transportation Security Administration (TSA) employees will work without pay, which may lead to operational issues similar to those experienced during the 2019 shutdown [7] - National parks will attempt to remain open using ticket revenue, but concerns about facility maintenance and potential damage have been raised [7]
美联储官员:政府停摆对经济影响取决于持续时间和广度
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-30 22:13
每经AI快讯,记者当地时间9月30日获悉,美国芝加哥联邦储备银行行长奥斯坦·古尔斯比当日表示,政 府停摆对经济的影响取决于停摆的范围和持续时间。据路透社报道,古尔斯比称,从历史上看,大多数 政府停摆持续时间都不长,其影响也有限。芝加哥联邦储备银行是美国联邦储备系统下设的地区性储备 银行之一。(央视新闻) ...
What to expect if the government shuts down
Youtube· 2025-09-29 19:33
If lawmakers can't come to an agreement on funding the government by end of day tomorrow, we're going to be headed into the first full government shutdown since 2013. Now, usually by this point, agency's plans for the shutdown would have been made public. Most of them have not put out those plans yet, but based on what we know previously, here's what we expect.First of all, no jobs data on Friday if the shutdown goes until then. And if the shutdown goes even longer, that could impact the collection of other ...
Here's what a government shutdown could mean for the economy
Youtube· 2025-09-26 16:24
All right, government moving closer to a shutdown to take place at the end of the month could have a big eh impact on economic data. For example, Emily Wilkins joins us now. She has more for us as we take a look at the countdown clock.Emily, hey David. Yeah, that countdown clock is going. It will be here before we know it.But look, a shutdown is looking increasingly likely. 4 days can be a long time in DC, but right now both sides have just very much dug in. Doesn't appear to be really any serious negotiati ...