【环球时报驻伊朗特约记者 包小龙 环球时报记者 樊巍 丁雅栀 余见】美国会对伊朗实施军事行动吗？具体的行动方案可能是什么？如今，这两个问题紧紧 地牵动着国际社会的神经。据英国广播公司（BBC）报道，美国总统特朗普29日说，他希望避免对伊朗采取军事行动，并计划与该国就核问题展开进一步谈 判。外媒认为，特朗普28日发出"最后通牒"后，在29日"缓和了语调"。但鉴于美国正在中东地区大规模集结兵力，当下的局面依旧隐藏着冲突爆发的风险。 伊朗方面正在加紧备战：1000架战略无人机29日正式编入军队作战序列；伊斯兰革命卫队海军将于2月1日至2日在霍尔木兹海峡进行实弹演习；首都德黑兰 市政府已启动战时避难设施建设规划……"美国的克制是化解有关伊朗核问题紧张局势的关键。"卡塔尔半岛电视台引述分析人士的话称，美国需要避免轰炸 伊朗核设施，"给外交一个机会"，过去的经验表明，对话是有效的。 另外，德黑兰启动了战时避难设施建设规划。伊朗光明通讯社29日援引德黑兰市长扎卡尼的话说，"12日战争"（即去年6月发生在伊朗与以色列之间、其间 美国介入的军事冲突）后，修建避难设施、设立防空警报，以及在可能发生战争的情况下保护民众的工作已被列 ...

特朗普被曝"正考虑对伊朗发动新的重大打击" 转自：成都日报锦观 伊朗千架战略无人机入列 伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的政治顾问阿里·沙姆哈尼28日晚在社交媒体发文说，一旦美方采取任何军事行动，伊朗将立即反击，目标是"特拉维夫 的心脏"和所有支持侵略的相关方。 伊朗回应：随时准备扣动扳机 据美国阿克西奥斯新闻网站29日报道，以色列高级情报官员近日到访美国，向美方通报关于伊朗境内可能打击目标的情报。美国媒体称，美国 总统特朗普"正考虑对伊朗发动新的重大打击"。 以色列向美通报涉伊朗情报 阿克西奥斯新闻网站报道援引两名美国官员的话称，以色列军事情报部门负责人什洛米·宾德27日和28日分别与五角大楼、中央情报局和白宫 高级官员举行了会晤。一名知情人士称，宾德此行是通报美方此前询问过的伊朗相关具体情报。 美国有线电视新闻网援引消息人士的话说，特朗普正在考虑的选项包括空袭伊朗领导人和安全官员，以及袭击伊朗核设施和政府机构，但尚未 做出最终决定。自美国海军"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航空母舰打击群在相关地区部署以来，他的军事选项范围已经扩大。 在美国大军向伊朗逼近之际，美国媒体28日报道说，美伊近期有过接触，但伊朗拒绝了美国的一些谈判条件 ...

新华社消息，伊朗官员28日就美国总统特朗普对伊发起军事打击"下通牒"一事与中东多国沟通。土耳 其、卡塔尔、埃及等国呼吁缓和局势。伊朗常驻联合国代表团说，伊方已做好准备与美方对话，但一旦 遭到袭击将坚定自卫。 近期，美国多次威胁对伊朗进行军事干涉。按美联社说法，受局势影响，伊朗货币近来大幅贬值。特朗 普28日在社交媒体发文称，一支庞大的舰队正前往伊朗，留给伊朗的"时间不多了"，希望伊朗能够迅速 坐到谈判桌前，并就一项"对各方都有利的协议"谈判。他还强调，伊朗不能拥有核武器。 "下一次袭击将会更加猛烈！别再让这种事发生。"特朗普说。 伊朗常驻联合国代表团迅速经由社交媒体对特朗普的言论作出回应："伊朗愿意基于相互尊重和共同利 益展开对话——但若受到逼迫，伊朗将坚决自卫，并作出前所未有的回应！" 伊朗外长阿拉格齐在社交媒体上表示，伊朗武装力量"随时准备扣动扳机"，对侵犯伊朗的行为作出回 应。他还说，与此同时，伊朗一直欢迎建立在平等基础上的互利、公正、公平的核协议，不受胁迫、威 胁和恐吓，这将确保伊朗和平利用核技术的权利。 美军连日来持续向中东地区增兵。美军中央司令部26日在社交媒体发布消息说，美国海军"亚伯拉罕·林 ...

每经编辑｜陈柯名 据新华社1月29日消息，美国有线电视新闻网1月28日报道，美国总统特朗普"正考虑对伊朗发动新的重大打击"。 报道援引消息人士的话说，特朗普正在考虑的选项包括空袭伊朗领导人和安全官员，以及袭击伊朗核设施和政府机构，但尚未做出最终决定。自美国海 军"亚伯拉罕·林肯"号航空母舰打击群在相关地区部署以来，他的军事选项范围已经扩大。 报道还援引一名美国官员的话说，美军一直在向中东地区部署包括"爱国者"防空系统在内的防空系统，以保护该地区美军免受伊朗报复。此外，美国还计 划向中东地区部署一套或多套"萨德"反导系统。此前美国和伊朗就限制伊朗核计划和弹道导弹生产的谈判未能取得进展。 图片来源：央视新闻 美军2天3个动作 特朗普连续三日发威胁 伊朗高官： 美若动武伊朗将打击特拉维夫的"心脏" 据CCTV国际时讯官方微博，当地时间1月28日晚，哈梅内伊的政治顾问阿里·沙姆哈尼在社交媒体用波 斯语、阿拉伯语、希伯来语、英文、中文、俄文等多种语言发文说，所谓美国将采取"有限打击"的说 法是一种"幻觉"——伊朗将把任何来自美国的军事行动视为战争开始，并立即实施全面且空前的反 击，目标是"特拉维夫（以色列中部城市）的心 ...

【哈梅内伊高级顾问：伊朗对美军事行动的回应将是"史无前例的"】智通财经1月29日电，据央视新闻 报道，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的国防顾问阿里·沙姆哈尼在社交平台发文称，任何来自美国的军事行动 都将导致伊朗针对美国和以色列以及那些支持它们的国家采取行动。他强调，伊朗的回应将是立即的、 全面的和史无前例的。此外，他还表示，有关美国将采取有限打击的"说法是一种幻觉"。 转自：智通财经 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates that Trump and his team are closely monitoring the situation in Iran and keeping all options open [1] - Trump has postponed the decision on whether to launch a military strike against Iran, with military options still on the table but uncertainty increasing [1] - Trump's advisory team has indicated that if a large-scale strike is implemented, the U.S. would need to deploy more military forces in the Middle East to protect U.S. troops and allies, including Israel, from potential Iranian retaliation [1]

Group 1: U.S. Military Action Against Iran - President Trump expressed a desire for any military action against Iran to be a "quick, decisive strike" rather than a prolonged conflict lasting weeks or months [1][3] - The U.S. Department of Defense is preparing an action plan for potential military intervention, which is expected to be submitted to Trump [3] - The U.S. State Department has advised American citizens to leave Iran immediately due to escalating tensions [3] Group 2: Iran's Diplomatic Efforts - Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif indicated that Iran is open to negotiations with the U.S. based on mutual respect, while also preparing for potential conflict [3][4] - Iran has been actively engaging in diplomatic communications with regional countries, emphasizing its commitment to national sovereignty and security [3][4] Group 3: Concerns of Gulf Arab States - Gulf Arab nations, including Saudi Arabia and Qatar, are lobbying the Trump administration against military action, fearing disruption to oil markets and domestic stability [4] - Saudi Arabia has assured Iran that it will not be involved in any potential conflict and will not allow U.S. use of its airspace for strikes [4] - An anonymous Iranian official warned that Iran would retaliate against U.S. military bases in the region if attacked [4] Group 4: U.S. Military Presence and Security Measures - Some personnel at the U.S. military base in Qatar have begun to withdraw amid rising tensions [5] - The U.S. Embassy in Qatar has issued security alerts, advising staff and citizens to exercise caution and limit travel to military installations [5]

Group 1 - U.S. military personnel at Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar have been advised to evacuate by the evening of the 14th [1] - Recent protests in Iran have led to unrest and casualties, prompting U.S. President Trump to threaten military intervention [1] - An anonymous senior Iranian official stated that Iran has warned regional countries, including Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Turkey, that it will retaliate against U.S. bases in those countries if attacked [1] Group 2 - In June 2025, Israel conducted a strike on Iran, leading to a 12-day conflict during which the U.S. bombed Iranian nuclear facilities [1] - In retaliation, Iran targeted the Al Udeid Air Base, which is the largest U.S. military base in the Middle East [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that U.S. President Trump is seriously considering military action against Iran, having received briefings on potential strike options [1][3] - Trump has not made a final decision yet, but he is contemplating authorizing military strikes, which could include targeting non-military sites in Tehran [3] - U.S. Secretary of State Rubio discussed the Iran situation with Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, indicating a collaborative approach between the U.S. and Israel regarding Iran [3] Group 2 - Protests in Iran have erupted due to rising prices and currency devaluation, leading to casualties and unrest [3] - The Iranian Supreme National Security Council stated that the protests have been orchestrated by the U.S. and Israel, posing a threat to national security [3] - The Iranian military has declared its commitment to defend national interests and urged citizens to unite against perceived foreign conspiracies [3]

Core Viewpoint - The path to restarting nuclear negotiations between Iran and the U.S. is increasingly difficult due to rising demands from both sides and a fragile ceasefire status that lacks substantial constraints [1][2][3] Group 1: Current Situation - The current ceasefire is described as exceptionally fragile, with a high likelihood of new conflicts arising in the future [1][2] - Iran insists that the U.S. must demonstrate goodwill before considering returning to the negotiation table, while the U.S. has threatened military action [1][2] - Both Iran and the U.S. have raised their demands, complicating the prospects for resuming negotiations [2] Group 2: Historical Context - Iran's demands are influenced by the U.S. withdrawal from the nuclear agreement in 2018, which has led Iran to believe that the U.S. cannot arbitrarily change its stance in negotiations [2] - Previous negotiations between Iran and the U.S. have occurred over five rounds, but recent military actions by the U.S. and Israel have strained relations [2] Group 3: Military Tensions - U.S. President Trump has warned that if intelligence indicates Iran is capable of enriching uranium to military levels, the U.S. will likely conduct airstrikes [2][3] - The lack of a formal text or guarantee mechanisms for the ceasefire raises concerns about its sustainability and increases the risk of military conflict [3]