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6月非农大超预期,美联储7月降息无望!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-07-03 13:00
Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for June showed an increase of 147,000 jobs, exceeding the expected 110,000, with the previous value revised from 139,000 to 144,000 [1] - The unemployment rate for June fell to 4.1%, lower than the expected 4.3% and the previous value of 4.20% [1] - Average hourly wage growth for June was 0.2% month-over-month, below the expected 0.3%, and the year-over-year growth was 3.7%, also below the expected 3.9% [1] Group 2 - Following the non-farm data release, traders reduced bets on a July rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with the probability of a September rate cut now at approximately 80%, down from 98% before the report [2] - The report indicated that job growth was primarily in government positions, with state and local government jobs increasing by 73,000, while federal government jobs decreased by 7,000 [2] - The construction sector saw an increase of 15,000 jobs in June, marking the largest gain since December of the previous year [2] Group 3 - Analysts noted that the employment report does not urgently call for an immediate rate cut by the Federal Reserve, as job growth has consistently exceeded expectations [3] - The decline in the unemployment rate may be linked to shrinking immigrant labor, with the number of foreign-born workers decreasing to 32.6 million in June from 33.7 million in March [3] - The employment report provided support for the U.S. dollar, indicating a resilient labor market despite some moderation in private employment data [3]
美国6月季调后非农就业人口 14.7万人,预期11万人,前值由13.9万人修正为14.4万人。
news flash· 2025-07-03 12:32
Core Insights - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for June increased by 147,000, surpassing the expected increase of 110,000 and a revised previous value of 144,000 from 139,000 [1] Summary by Category Employment Data - The adjusted non-farm employment figure for June stands at 147,000, which is higher than the market expectation of 110,000 [1] - The previous month's non-farm payroll figure was revised from 139,000 to 144,000, indicating a positive adjustment in employment data [1]
美国6月季调后非农就业人口及失业率、6月平均时资月率及年率、5月贸易帐、上周初请数据将于十分钟后公布。
news flash· 2025-07-03 12:24
Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for June, as well as average hourly earnings month-over-month and year-over-year, May trade balance, and last week's initial jobless claims data are set to be released shortly [1]
周四(7月3日)重点关注财经事件和经济数据
news flash· 2025-07-02 22:02
Economic Events and Data Summary - Key focus on various economic indicators and events scheduled for July 3rd, including China's Caixin Services PMI for June [1] - Switzerland's CPI month-on-month for June will be released at 14:30 [1] - The Ministry of Commerce will hold a regular press conference at 15:00 [1] - Final services PMI for June will be published for France at 15:50, Germany at 15:55, and the Eurozone at 16:00 [1][1][1] - The UK's services PMI for June will be available at 16:30 [1] - The European Central Bank will release the minutes of its June monetary policy meeting at 19:30 [1] - Key U.S. labor market data will be released at 20:30, including the unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls for June [1] - The final services PMI for June from S&P Global will be published at 21:45 [1] - The ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and factory orders for May will be released at 22:00 [1] - EIA natural gas inventory data for the week ending June 27 will be available at 22:30 [1] - Federal Reserve's Bostic will speak on monetary policy at 23:00 [1] - Total U.S. oil rig count for the week ending July 4 will be reported at 01:00 the next day [1]
美国5月非农就业人口变动 13.9万人,预期 12.6万人,前值 17.7万人。
news flash· 2025-06-06 12:35
Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll employment change in May was 139,000, exceeding the expected 126,000 but lower than the previous value of 177,000 [1]
美国5月季调后非农就业人口 13.9万人,预期13万人,前值由17.7万人修正为14.7万人。
news flash· 2025-06-06 12:32
Core Insights - The U.S. non-farm payrolls for May increased by 139,000, surpassing the expected increase of 130,000, while the previous value was revised down from 177,000 to 147,000 [1] Summary by Category - **Employment Data** - The adjusted non-farm employment figure for May stands at 139,000, which is higher than the market expectation of 130,000 [1] - The prior month's employment figure was revised from 177,000 to 147,000, indicating a downward adjustment [1]
美国5月季调后非农就业人口及失业率、平均时薪月率及年率、加拿大5月就业人数将于十分钟后公布。
news flash· 2025-06-06 12:23
Core Viewpoint - The upcoming release of adjusted non-farm payroll data and unemployment rates for May in the United States, along with average hourly earnings on a monthly and yearly basis, is anticipated to provide insights into the labor market dynamics and economic health [1] Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payroll data for May is expected to be released shortly, which will include adjustments that could impact market perceptions [1] - The unemployment rate for May will also be disclosed, offering a critical indicator of employment trends [1] - Average hourly earnings data, both on a monthly and yearly basis, will be published, which is essential for understanding wage growth and inflationary pressures [1] Group 2 - Canada’s employment figures for May are set to be announced, which will provide additional context for North American labor market conditions [1]
今日重点关注的财经数据与事件:2025年6月6日 周五
news flash· 2025-06-05 16:01
Economic Data and Events - Key economic data and events to focus on include speeches from Federal Reserve officials regarding economic outlook and banking policies [1] - Germany's industrial production and trade balance for April will be released, along with the Halifax house price index for the UK [1] - France's industrial production and trade balance for April are also scheduled for release [1] - Eurozone's first quarter GDP year-on-year revision and employment figures will be published [1] - Retail sales data for April in the Eurozone will be reported [1] - Canada and the US will release employment figures for May, including unemployment rate and non-farm payroll data [1] - The total number of oil rigs in the US will be updated for the week ending June 6 [1]
美国4月非农就业人口变动 17.7万人,预期 13.8万人,前值 22.8万人。
news flash· 2025-05-02 12:38
Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 177,000 in April, exceeding the expectation of 138,000 and down from the previous value of 228,000 [1]
美国4月季调后非农就业人口及失业率、平均时薪月率及年率将于十分钟后公布。
news flash· 2025-05-02 12:22
Group 1 - The U.S. non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate for April, along with average hourly earnings month-over-month and year-over-year, are set to be released shortly [1]