① 03:00 美联储公布货币政策会议纪要 ② 05:30 美国至2月13日当周API原油库存 ③ 08:30 澳大利亚1月 季调后失业率 ④ 15:00 瑞士1月贸易帐 ⑤ 17:00 欧元区12月季调后经常帐 ⑥ 19:00 英国2月CBI工业订单 差值 ⑦ 21:30 美国至2月14日当周初请失业金人数 ⑧ 21:30 美国12月贸易帐 ⑨ 21:30 美国2月费城联储 制造业指数 ⑩ 22:00 美联储卡什卡利讲话 ⑪ 23:00 欧元区2月消费者信心指数初值 ⑫ 23:00 美国1月成 屋签约销售指数月率 ⑬ 23:30 美国至2月13日当周EIA 天然气库存 ⑭ 次日01:00 美国至2月13日当周EIA 原油库存 ⑮ 次日01:00 美国至2月13日当周EIA库欣原油库存 ⑯ 次日01:00 美国至2月13日当周EIA战略 石油储备库存 ...

Group 1 - Switzerland's trade balance for December was reported at 3.036 billion Swiss francs, a decrease from the previous value of 3.841 billion Swiss francs [1]

Market Overview - The US dollar index is trading around 98.928, while spot gold opened at $4597.42 per ounce and is currently around $4594.97 per ounce. Gold T+D is trading at approximately 1026.30 CNY per gram, and the Shanghai gold main contract is at about 1028.86 CNY per gram [1] - On the previous trading day, the US dollar index fell by 0.16% to 98.896, while spot gold rose by 1.97% to $4597.94 per ounce. Other precious metals also saw gains: spot silver increased by 6.51% to $85.16 per ounce, platinum rose by 3.03% to $2337.30 per ounce, and palladium gained 1.80% to $1851.00 per ounce [1] Inventory Data - As of January 12, COMEX gold inventory remains unchanged at 1129.43 tons, while COMEX silver inventory decreased by 70.15 tons to 13607.32 tons [2] - SPDR gold ETF holdings increased by 6.24 tons to 1070.80 tons, and SLV silver ETF holdings rose by 39.47 tons to 16347.95 tons on the same date [2] - The payment direction for deferred compensation fees indicates that for Au(t+d), shorts pay longs, and for Ag(t+d), shorts also pay longs [2] Economic Events - Key economic data to be released includes Japan's trade balance for November, the US NFIB small business optimism index for December, and various CPI metrics for December, including the unadjusted and seasonally adjusted core CPI [4] - The Federal Reserve's Musalem is scheduled to speak, and the EIA will release its monthly short-term energy outlook report [5]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Japan's trade balance for November will be released at 07:50 [1] - Key Point 2: The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for December will be announced at 19:00 [1] - Key Point 3: The seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December in the U.S. will be published at 21:30 [1] - Key Point 4: The annualized new home sales total for October in the U.S. will be reported at 23:00, along with a speech by Federal Reserve's Musalem [1] - Key Point 5: The EIA's monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook report will be released at 01:00 the next day [1] - Key Point 6: The API crude oil inventory for the week ending January 9 will be available at 05:30 the next day [1]

Group 1 - The adjusted trade balance for Germany in November was €13.1 billion, indicating a decrease from the previous value [1] - The prior value was revised from €16.9 billion to €17.1 billion, reflecting adjustments in trade data [1]

Group 1 - Key Point 1: Focus on the release of Switzerland's December CPI at 15:30 [1] - Key Point 2: European Central Bank Vice President Gentiloni will give an informal speech at a forum at 16:30, and the Swiss National Bank will publish the minutes of its monetary policy meeting [1] - Key Point 3: Eurozone's December Economic Sentiment Index and final Consumer Confidence Index will be released at 18:00 [1] Group 2 - Key Point 1: U.S. initial jobless claims for the week ending January 3 and October trade balance will be reported at 21:30 [1] - Key Point 2: Federal Reserve Governor Mester will speak in Athens, Greece at 23:00 [1] - Key Point 3: U.S. November consumer credit data will be released at 04:00 the next day [1]

Group 1 - The US dollar index is trading around 98.298, while spot silver opened at $64.07/oz and is currently around $63.55/oz, indicating a slight decline [1] - On December 15, the dollar index fell by 0.12% to close at 98.276, while spot silver rose by 3.28% to $64.04/oz, driven by a weaker dollar and declining US Treasury yields [1] - COMEX silver inventory increased by 37.34 tons to 14,138.42 tons on December 15, while silver ETF holdings decreased by 42.3 tons to 16,102.9 tons [1] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve is considering a rate cut in December due to slowing employment and easing inflation risks, as indicated by various Fed officials [2] - The US delegation in Berlin is insisting on Ukraine ceding the Donbas region, with Ukraine expected to receive security guarantees similar to NATO's Article 5 [2] - The silver market experienced a strong rally after a brief decline, with the daily high reaching $64.16 and closing at $64.071, indicating bullish sentiment [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.75%, with some dissent among members regarding the decision, while also announcing the restart of reserve management purchases [2] Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's new interest rate is set at 3.75%, down from the previous 4.00% [2] - There were three dissenting votes during the meeting, with two members opposing the rate cut and one advocating for a larger cut of 50 basis points [2] - The latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) indicates that 6 out of 19 officials do not support the rate cut, and the median path for 2026 remains unchanged [2] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending December 6 were reported at 236,000, higher than the expected 220,000 [2] - The U.S. trade deficit for September was revised to $59.3 billion, which is narrower than the expected $63.3 billion, marking the smallest deficit since June 2020 [2] - China's CPI for November increased by 0.7% year-on-year, the highest since March 2024, while the M2 money supply growth was reported at 8%, below the market expectation of 8.2% [2] Group 3: Upcoming Events - Key upcoming events include the Bank of England's interest rate decision on December 18, the European Central Bank's deposit rate announcement, and the U.S. November CPI and non-farm payroll data release on December 18 [3]

Group 1 - Japan's trade balance for October reported at 98.3 billion yen, a significant decrease from the previous value of 236.0 billion yen [1]

Economic Events and Data Summary - Key focus on China's October trade balance and foreign exchange reserves, which are pending release [1] - U.S. Federal Reserve officials, including Musalem and Williams, are scheduled to speak, indicating potential insights into monetary policy [1] - Germany's September adjusted trade balance and the UK's October Halifax adjusted house price index will be released, providing insights into European economic conditions [1] - France's September trade balance data will be available, contributing to the understanding of the Eurozone's trade dynamics [1] - Switzerland's October consumer confidence index is set to be published, which may reflect consumer sentiment in the region [1] - Canada will report October employment numbers, which are crucial for assessing labor market conditions [1] - The U.S. will release preliminary data on November's one-year inflation expectations and the University of Michigan's consumer confidence index, both of which are key indicators for economic outlook [1] - Upcoming data on U.S. oil drilling activity will be released, which can impact energy sector dynamics [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Milan is scheduled to discuss stablecoins and monetary policy, highlighting ongoing discussions in the financial sector [1]