I spoke with @jvisserlabs this week to break down the latest CPI data and what it means for the Fed’s next move.We discussed artificial intelligence, including how it’s changing the way people work, learn, and create an edge in their careers.We also cover bitcoin, macro positioning, and specific companies and organizations investors should be paying attention to right now.Enjoy!YouTube: https://t.co/S3FpWr7gvwSpotify: https://t.co/HU1Jn3FDreApple: https://t.co/pmaxKtPYvYTIMESTAMPS:0:00 - Intro0:45 – CPI tak ...

Core Insights - Rising private healthcare costs are prompting millionaires to reconsider their living locations, as highlighted by Henley & Partners [1] Inflation Concerns - Inflation is a significant concern, with fears that it could spiral out of the Federal Reserve's control by 2026 [2][5] - Recent data indicates that while headline inflation was cooler than expected in November, it remains above the Fed's 2% target [3] Stock Market Observations - The stock market is perceived to be in a bubble, with the "Dr. X's Bubble Detector" indicating all-time high equity prices [3][5] Money Supply Dynamics - The M2 money supply has increased by $3.5 trillion over the past five years, which is viewed as a critical metric for inflation outlook [4] - The Federal Reserve's recent actions, including rate cuts and the cessation of quantitative tightening, are expected to loosen financial conditions, potentially accelerating price growth [6] Factors Contributing to Inflation - Several developments are identified that could exacerbate inflation in the coming year: 1. Fed rate cuts that loosen financial conditions [6] 2. The end of quantitative tightening, which previously aimed to control inflation [6] 3. Easing of lending rules, allowing banks to increase the money supply [7] 4. Increased issuance of T-bills by the US Treasury to fund government deficits, contributing to inflationary pressures [7]

Speaking of benefits, a $2,000 check is no doubt going to provide relief by helping to pay off credit card debt, build savings, or fund a variety of spending options. If you are a family living paycheck to paycheck, this money can't arrive soon enough, and since it would show up as a direct payment, it would just show up one day.As far as the political side of this conversation, it's straightforward in that the Trump Administration can argue that other countries are paying for American stimulus through tari ...

Economic Outlook - Navellier predicts U.S. GDP growth will exceed 5% in 2026, driven by factors such as interest rate cuts and increased investments in domestic production [2][24] - The Federal Reserve has reduced the Fed Funds Rate by a quarter percentage point at each of the past three meetings to support the jobs market [1][12] AI Investment Impact - AI spending is projected to significantly contribute to economic growth, with Goldman Sachs estimating hyperscalers will spend $533 billion in 2026, a 34% increase from 2025 [15] - Bank of America forecasts spending on AI data centers to rise from $243 billion in 2025 to $415 billion in 2026, indicating a robust investment trend [16] Trade and Manufacturing - The U.S. trade deficit improved to -$52.8 billion in September, its lowest level since early 2020, which is expected to provide a GDP tailwind as more production is brought back to the U.S. [11][9] - The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) includes incentives for capital spending, encouraging domestic manufacturing and investment [7][8] Inflation and Interest Rates - Inflation concerns appear exaggerated, with November CPI inflation at 2.7%, down from 3% in September, suggesting a more favorable environment for economic growth [19][20] - Bank of America projects core PCE inflation for 2026 to be around 3.1% in Q1, which may lead to further interest rate cuts if unemployment remains high [21][22][23] Overall Economic Growth Drivers - Economic growth is expected to be supported by onshoring and data center growth, with lower interest rates likely stimulating interest rate-sensitive sectors such as automotive and housing [24]

Core Insights - The consumer price index (CPI) report indicated that inflation rose less than expected, with a 0.2% increase over the two months from September to November and a year-over-year increase of 2.7% [8] - Core inflation, averaged over the past three months and annualized, is reported at 1.6%, reflecting the effectiveness of the Trump administration's policies to enhance aggregate supply and lower prices [4][7] - The CPI report was praised as "astonishingly good," with comparisons drawn to previous economic conditions during Trump's first term, where growth and inflation were similarly favorable [7] Economic Performance - The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that core prices, excluding volatile items like gasoline and food, rose by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.6% year-over-year, aligning with economists' expectations [9] - Despite the positive CPI report, consumers are still experiencing price increases, particularly in food, which rose by 2.6% compared to the previous year, along with higher costs in energy, transportation, and housing [10] Job Market - The U.S. added 64,000 jobs in November following a loss of 105,000 jobs in October, indicating a recovery in the job market [5]

There's three components of Bitcoin that I've kind of put my my side on. When is this going to go back up? Because the one thing I believe in is that it's going higher. The question and the point you made, what's the probability it go what would have to happen for it to sell off past 80,000 and down to 60. Crypto isn't getting money because it's all being sucked out by AI. I think that starts to change this year. What's going on guys? Today in this conversation with Jordy Visser, we talk about the recent CP ...

Market Overview - Markets experienced moderate gains due to softer inflation data and stable unemployment, which renewed investor confidence in a potential 2026 rate cut by the Federal Reserve [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 advanced, supported by broad-based sector strength, while the Nasdaq Composite rebounded, led by a tech recovery [2] Earnings Highlights - Micron Technology Inc. exceeded expectations and raised its guidance, leading to a rally in AI-related semiconductor stocks [3] - Nike Inc. shares declined after the company expressed caution regarding global demand, particularly in China, raising concerns about consumer strength [3] - FedEx Corp. reported solid quarterly results, enhancing confidence in global shipping demand, while Carnival Corp. provided optimistic forward guidance, indicating strong consumer appetite for travel [4] Sector Performance - Cyclical and dividend-paying stocks gained traction as portfolio managers positioned for a potentially lower-rate environment in 2026 [3] - Transportation and travel sectors showed resilience, with FedEx and Carnival Corp. signaling robust demand and strong bookings [4] Notable Stock Movements - Cannabis stocks, including Tilray Brands Inc. and Canopy Growth Corp., rallied following reports of potential rescheduling of marijuana by President Trump, which could ease tax burdens [6] - Carnival Corporation reported record earnings and reinstated its quarterly dividend, forecasting adjusted net income of about $3.5 billion for 2026, reflecting strong demand [7] - Caterpillar Inc. emerged as the top-performing Dow stock in 2025, rising over 62% and adding approximately $1.7 billion in value to significant stakeholders [8] Market Sentiment - JPMorgan Chase indicated that the generative-AI narrative has peaked, suggesting that 2026 will focus more on profits rather than hype, with investors likely to favor companies demonstrating clear ROI [9] - Meta Platforms Inc. is noted as the most underperforming stock among the Magnificent 7, trading about 19% below its 52-week high, with potential for a year-end rebound [10][11] - Novo Nordisk A/S faced challenges as Eli Lilly and Co. gained market share in the weight-loss drug sector, leading to a decline in Novo's stock [12]

Thinkstock Quick Read Annuities provide guaranteed lifetime income like Social Security but carry high fees and surrender charges. Fixed annuities offer predictable payments without market risk but may not keep pace with inflation. Make sure you understand the pros and cons of an annuity before buying one. If you’re thinking about retiring or know someone who is, there are three quick questions causing many Americans to realize they can retire earlier than expected. take 5 minutes to learn more he ...

It's been an especially eventful 25 years, from Y2K to the great financial crisis to the pandemic, giving us a lot to adjust to and learn from, starting with profound changes in the economy. Our colleague Michael McKee starts us with an economic overview. -We are fortunate to be alive at this moment in history.-Unemployment was low. The economy was booming. -Never before has our nation enjoyed at once so much prosperity and social progress with so little internal crisis.-Trees don't grow to the sky, and, at ...

Core Insights - Affordability has emerged as a significant issue in the U.S., impacting political dynamics and public sentiment, particularly in the context of the upcoming midterm elections [2][4][5] Economic Conditions - Inflation has decreased to 3.0% as of September, down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022, yet food prices have surged by 18.2% since January 2022 [5][6] - The food insecurity rate in the U.S. stands at 14.2% as of November, indicating a growing concern over access to affordable food [5] Household Financial Strain - A survey revealed that 43% of six-figure earners skip social events to avoid costs, and 40% utilize buy now pay later (BNPL) services for purchases under $100 [3] - Nearly half (48%) of high earners over $200,000 have pretended their payment apps were malfunctioning to avoid payments, highlighting the pressure to maintain an appearance of financial stability [4] Housing Market Challenges - Homeownership has become increasingly unaffordable, with urban homeowners needing an annual income of $118,300, an increase of 87.5% from pre-pandemic levels [6] - Rural areas have seen an even larger increase of 105.8% in the income required to afford a typical home [6] Rising Costs of Living - The average monthly energy bill has increased by 35%, from $196 to $265, from March 2022 to June 2025, contributing to financial strain for many households [8] - The cost of raising a child has reached an annual average of $29,419, with infant care costs exceeding rent in many metropolitan areas [9] Health Care Expenses - Workers are expected to see health coverage paycheck deductions rise by 6% to 7% in 2026, alongside increased out-of-pocket expenses due to higher deductibles and copays [11] Consumer Behavior - Many Americans are adjusting their spending habits, with 64% of respondents indicating that a six-figure income is now viewed as "survival mode" rather than a sign of wealth [4] - The financial reality for many families is leading to difficult decisions regarding childcare and family planning, as seen in anecdotal accounts from individuals earning over $100,000 [10]