小心了！周四议息会议可能要爆雷，6月降息泡汤，牛市还能如期而至吗？ 那很不幸的是，根据最新的利率市场结果，美联储在6月降息的概率减半了，从68%跌到了31.8%，而不降息的概率则 为67%。所以今天晚上鲍威尔讲话利空的概率是三分二，利好的概率是三分之一，这点大家要留意。 比特币ETF资金流入创纪录，现在是该逃顶？还是牛市才刚刚开始？ 当然佩佩对短期利空什么的并不关心，我更在意的是，到6月还不降息，那下一次就要等到7月底才能降息了，这中间 空白太久，对行情很不利，可能会造成一些回调，直到降息或者关税达成协议才会好转。 而以太坊何时升级，咱们又该如何操作呢，一起来看看吧~ 首先咱们先看下全世界都在关注的、今天晚上也就是周四凌晨两点的议息会议了，他会决定整个资本市场接下来的牛 熊走势预期。这次会议有三大重要的事情公布，咱们有数据可以提前窥探一二。 第一个就是本次议息会议的结果，这个毋庸置疑的--100%不降息，市场早已提前定价，所以这个结果对币圈不会有任 何影响。 但是第二个事件影响就太大了，并且出现了逆转，那就是美联储会给出下次议息会议的指引，这关乎着他是否能时隔 半年再次开启降息，这对咱们评估后续走势尤为重要。 ...

Market Overview - Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged past $94,000, setting a new historical record, driven by multiple factors including macroeconomic changes and increased demand for safe-haven assets [1][7] - The rise in BTC price reflects a significant shift in global economic dynamics, with central banks adjusting monetary policies, leading to a heightened interest in Bitcoin as a decentralized and scarce digital asset [1] Technical Analysis - BTC has successfully broken through key resistance levels and is maintaining its position above important technical support lines, indicating strong buying pressure and potential for further price increases [1] - The continuous growth in Bitcoin's network hash rate enhances its security, further solidifying investor confidence [1] Market Sentiment - Discussions about Bitcoin on social media and financial forums have intensified, creating a positive market sentiment that fuels further price increases [2] Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Developments - XBIT has emerged as a leading decentralized exchange (DEX) amid the rising BTC prices, launching Bitcoin-based perpetual contract products that offer low fees and high transparency [4][11] - The platform supports seamless cross-chain trading across major blockchains like Ethereum, BNBChain, and Solana, enhancing trading efficiency and reducing costs for investors [4] Technological Innovations - XBIT utilizes Zero-Knowledge Proof (ZK-Rollups) technology to significantly reduce transaction confirmation times to milliseconds and lower gas fees, addressing common issues faced by users in traditional exchanges [5] - Smart contract technology on XBIT ensures decentralized, trustless transactions, enhancing security and transparency for users [5][9] Institutional Interest - The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs has sparked increased interest from institutional investors, providing a compliant investment channel and contributing to significant capital inflows into the Bitcoin market [7] - Major institutions, including pension funds and asset management companies, are incorporating Bitcoin into their portfolios, supporting long-term price appreciation [7] Comprehensive Support for Investors - XBIT offers advanced trading tools, real-time market analysis, and educational resources to help investors navigate the cryptocurrency market effectively [8][11] - The platform emphasizes security with multiple protective measures and an emergency response mechanism to safeguard user assets [9] Future Outlook - The ongoing rise in BTC prices and the development of decentralized exchanges present significant opportunities for investors, with XBIT positioned as a key player in this evolving landscape [11] - The cryptocurrency market is expected to experience broader growth as technology advances and market conditions mature, with XBIT committed to enhancing its core competencies and service offerings [11]

中概股又开始从市场里找钱 这一轮中概股财报季接近尾声，大多数公司走出业绩低谷，收入和利润双增，使得现金和投资理财规模 基本都超过了疫情前的水平，剔除必要的资本开支和研发支出后，仍存在大量的超额现金。 如截至今年 3 月底，阿里巴巴现金、投资和理财规模超过 6000 亿元，腾讯超过 4000 亿元，拼多多超过 2400 亿元，京东超过 1700 亿元。 阿尔特曼背叛当初的 OpenAI 《地下城与勇士》首周预计创收超 1.4 亿美元 普华永道可能因地产审计面临创纪录罚款 关注《晚点财经》并设为星标，第一时间获取每日商业精华。 面对这种情况，公司通常有两个选择。一是将超额现金作为股息发放，但这可能不符合大股东的期望， 因为大股东更倾向于公司股票增值而不是获得额外现金收益，并且拿到股息的大股东往往需要支付税 费，使得实际收益减少。二是通过回购减少流通股数，在不改变企业盈利状况的情况下提升每股收益， 从而支撑股价、提升公司股票价值。 有的公司两种激励同时推进、但更多资源放在回购。比如阿里 2024 财年大约派息 40 亿美元、同时回购 了 125 亿美元；腾讯去年大约派息 320 亿港元、回购 490 亿港元，今年仅 ...