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《金融》日报-20250606
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-06 02:25
1.基差=CTD净价(中债估值)-期货结算价(主力合约)*转换因子 7 2.上市以来百分位数:基差部分指IRR自期货合约上市以来最新值的百分位数,其余均为价差最新值的百分位数 3.价差依据期货主力合约收盘价计算得出 | 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | Z0016628 2025年6月6日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | | | 价差 较前一日变化 历史1年分位数 | 品种 | 最新值 | | | 全历史分位数 | | F期现价差 | | -25.56 | 0.79 | 23.70% | 16.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -18.13 | -0.90 | 16.30% | 10.00% | | IC期现价差 | | -46.37 | 3.84 | 21.70% | 23.10% | | IM期现价差 | | -65.41 | 3.76 | 80.00% | 16.30% | | 次月-当月 | | -38.80 | 0.40 | 3 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250605
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-05 05:18
Report Summary 1. Investment Ratings - No investment ratings for the industries are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals futures, container shipping index futures, and provide relevant market data, such as price changes, spreads, ratios, and inventory information. 3. Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - **IF, IH, IC, IM期现价差**: The current - spot price spreads of IF, IH, IC, and IM are -26.34, -17.22, -50.21, and -69.17 respectively, with changes of 0.87, 1.47, 6.23, and 2.86 compared to the previous day [1]. - **跨期价差**: Different contracts' inter - period spreads show various changes, such as the IF's "次月 - 当月" spread being -39.20 with a change of -2.00 [1]. - **跨品种比值**: Ratios like "中证500/沪深300" are 1.4834 with a change of 0.0050 [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **基差**: The basis of TS, TF, T, and TL are -0.0786, -0.0235, -0.0580, and 0.5351 respectively, with changes of -0.0045, -0.0060, -0.0811, and 0.1237 compared to the previous day [4]. - **跨期价差**: For example, the "当季 - 下季" spread of TS is -0.1480 with a change of -0.0200 [4]. - **跨品种价差**: The "TS - TF" spread is -3.6390 with a change of -0.0310 [4]. Precious Metals Futures - **期货收盘价**: The domestic AU2508 contract closed at 782.42 yuan/gram, down 0.09% from the previous day, and the AG2508 contract closed at 8463 yuan/kg, up 0.08% [8]. - **外盘期货收盘价**: COMEX gold closed at 3397.40 dollars/ounce, up 0.61%, and COMEX silver closed at 34.66, down 0.06% [8]. - **现货价格**: London gold was at 3371.89 dollars/ounce, up 0.57%, and London silver was at 34.46, down 0.12% [8]. - **基差 and 比价**: The "黄金TD - 沪金主力" basis is -2.74, and the "COMEX金/银" ratio is 98.03, up 0.67% [8]. Container Shipping Index Futures - **结算价指数**: SCFIS (European route) was 1252.82 points, up 0.46%, and SCFIS (US West route) was 1718.11, down 0.10% [12]. - **期货价格及基差**: The EC2508 (主力) contract closed at 2199.1, up 4.71%, and the basis (主力) was -717.5, down 10.88% [12]. - **基本面数据**: Global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged at 3242.11 million TEU, and Shanghai's port punctuality rate decreased by 13.19% [12]. Data and Information - **海外数据/资讯**: It includes economic indicators such as the US initial jobless claims, trade balance, and European Central Bank's interest rates [15]. - **国内数据/资讯**: It covers China's Caixin Services PMI, steel production and inventory data, and energy and chemical industry indicators [15].
《金融》日报-20250603
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-03 09:56
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 2025年6月3日 | | | | | 价差 品种 最新值 较前一日变化 | | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | F期现价差 -17.83 | 8.07 | 27.00% | 24.00% | | H期现价差 -11.50 期现价差 | 5.80 | 23.70% | 19.10% | | -43.27 IC期现价差 | 8.04 | 22.10% | 26.50% | | IM期现价差 -60.56 | -1.98 | 85.00% | 18.70% | | 次月-当月 -36.80 | -1.60 | 4.90% | 8.70% | | 李月-当月 -70.40 远月-当月 -107.20 | -4.80 -7.20 | 8.10% 11.00% | 14.20% 16.70% | | IF跨期价差 李月-次月 -33.60 | -3.20 | 7.30% | 19.70% | | 元月-次月 -70.40 ...
广发期货《金融》日报-20250530
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-30 02:03
Report Investment Ratings - There is no information about the industry investment ratings in the reports Core Views - The reports provide daily updates on various futures markets including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and shipping container futures, presenting detailed data on price differences, ratios, and related indicators Summary by Category Stock Index Futures - **IF期现价差**: The latest value is -25.90, up 5.34 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 22.50% and an all-time quantile of 16.20% [1] - **IH期现价差**: The latest value is -17.29, up 0.37 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 18.00% and an all-time quantile of 10.90% [1] - **IC期现价差**: The latest value is -51.31, up 17.93 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 16.80% and an all-time quantile of 19.00% [1] - **IM期现价差**: The latest value is -58.58, up 26.88 from the previous day, with a 1-year historical quantile of 90.00% and an all-time quantile of 19.60% [1] Treasury Bond Futures - **TS基差**: The latest value is -0.0794, up 0.0326 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.8440 and a percentile of 39.90% since listing [4] - **TF基差**: The latest value is -0.0397, up 0.0202 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.8378 [4] - **T基差**: The latest value is 0.3511, up 0.3723 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.4639 and a percentile of 50.80% since listing [4] - **TL基差**: The latest value is 0.6679, up 0.3838 from the previous day, with an IRR of 1.1054 and a percentile of 27.20% since listing [4] Precious Metal Futures - **AU2508合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 764.32 yuan/gram, down 7.96 yuan or -1.03% from May 28 [8] - **AG2508合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 8224 yuan/kg, down 1 yuan or -0.01% from May 28 [8] - **COMEX黄金主力合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 3342.60 dollars/ounce, up 58.20 dollars or 1.77% from May 28 [8] - **COMEX白银主力合约**: The closing price on May 29 was 33.44 dollars, up 0.34 dollars or 1.04% from May 28 [8] Shipping Container Futures - **SCFI综合指数**: On May 23, it was 1586.12 points, up 106.7 points or 7.21% from February 16 [12] - **SCFI (欧洲)**: On May 23, it was 1317 dollars/TEU, up 163.0 dollars or 14.12% from February 16 [12] - **SCFI (美西)**: On May 23, it was 3275 dollars/FEU, up 184.0 dollars or 5.95% from February 16 [12] - **SCFI (美东)**: On May 23, it was 4284 dollars, up 215.0 dollars or 5.28% from February 16 [12]
《金融》日报-20250527
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-27 01:00
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the reports. 2. Report Core Views - The reports present comprehensive data on various futures, including stock index futures, Treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping index futures, covering price differences, basis, and related economic indicators. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **IF期现价差**: The latest value is 7.17, with a change of -28.91 from the previous day, at the 16.30% percentile in the past year and 13.20% percentile all - time [1]. - **IH期现价差**: The latest value is -15.02, with a change of 3.83, at the 19.60% percentile in the past year [1]. - **IC期现价差**: The latest value is -74.86, with a change of -103.79, at the 10.60% percentile in the past year and 7.60% percentile all - time [1]. - **IM期现价差**: The latest value is 13.89, at the 90.00% percentile in the past year [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **TS基差**: The latest value is 1.9655, with a change of -0.1195, at the 50.60% percentile since listing [2]. - **TF基差**: The latest value is 1.8632, with a change of -0.0497, at the 52.60% percentile since listing [2]. - **T基差**: The latest value is 1.8783, with a change of 0.2230, at the 64.50% percentile since listing [2]. - **TL基差**: The latest value is 1.8294, with a change of 0.3786, at the 63.40% percentile since listing [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Domestic Futures**: The AU2508 contract closed at 777.30 yuan/gram on May 26, down 0.36% from May 23; the AG2508 contract closed at 8280 yuan/kilogram, up 0.21% [5]. - **Foreign Futures**: The COMEX gold主力 contract closed at 3357.70 dollars/ounce on May 26, up 1.90% from May 23; the COMEX silver主力 contract closed at 33.64 dollars, up 1.39% [5]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was at 3342.21 dollars/ounce on May 26, down 0.46% from May 23; London silver was at 33.48 dollars, unchanged [5]. Container Shipping Index Futures - **Spot Quotes**: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe 6 - week future freight rate was 2252 dollars/FEU on May 27, up 1.03% from May 26 [8]. - **Container Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index was 1247.05 points on May 26, down 1.44% from May 19; the SCFIS (US West route) was 1719.79 points, up 18.90% [8]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1405.0 on May 26, down 3.31% from May 23; the basis of the EC2508 (main contract) was -594.5, down 1.49% [8]. Overseas and Domestic Data/Information - **Overseas**: The euro - zone's May industrial and economic sentiment indexes will be released at 17:00; the US May Conference Board consumer confidence index will be released at 22:00 [9]. - **Domestic**: Data on manganese ore inventory and throughput in Qinzhou Port, iron ore port inventory, etc., will be updated [10].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250526
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-26 05:27
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No clear core viewpoints were presented in the given reports. The documents mainly contain various data and statistics about different financial markets, including stock index futures, bonds, precious metals, shipping, and more. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **IF期现价差**: Latest value -36.07, changed -1.81 from the previous day, 10.60% in the past 1 - year and 8.50% in the full - history percentile [1]. - **IH期现价差**: Latest value -18.85, changed -0.62, 15.10% in the past 1 - year and 9.70% in the full - history percentile [1]. - **IC期现价差**: Latest value -91.24, changed -2.76, 9.00% in the past 1 - year and 4.10% in the full - history percentile [1]. - **IM期现价差**: Latest value -117.68, changed -1.57, 75.00% in the past 1 - year and 6.70% in the full - history percentile [1]. Bond Futures - **TS基差**: On 2025 - 05 - 23, IRR 1.9009, latest value -0.1019, changed -0.0307, 45.60% of the percentile since listing [4]. - **TF基差**: On 2025 - 05 - 23, IRR 2.0022, latest value 0.2085, changed -0.0838, 57.00% of the percentile since listing [4]. - **T基差**: On 2025 - 05 - 23, IRR 1.8206, latest value 0.2388, changed -0.0137, 62.40% of the percentile since listing [4]. - **TL基差**: On 2025 - 05 - 23, IRR 1.6735, latest value 0.4568, changed 0.0019, 57.40% of the percentile since listing [4]. Precious Metals - **London Silver**: Price 33.48, up 0.44 (1.34%) [11]. - **Shanghai Gold Exchange Gold T + D**: Price 775.72, down 2.05 (-0.26%) [11]. - **Shanghai Gold Exchange Silver T + D**: Price 8244, down 24 (-0.29%) [11]. Shipping Industry - **Port - related Indicators (Shanghai)**: Port on - time rate in April was 29.02, down 4.41 (-13.19%) from March; port calls were 317, down 15 (-4.52%); monthly export value was 3156.92 billion US dollars, up 20.33 (0.65%) [14][16]. - **Overseas Economic Indicators**: Eurozone manufacturing PMI in April was 49.50, down 0.90 (-1.79%) from March; EU consumer confidence index was - 14.50, up 1.50 (9.38%); US manufacturing PMI was 48.70, down 0.30 (-0.61%) [14][16]. Data and Information - **Overseas**: US exchanges were closed for one day; Brazil released secex weekly report [18]. - **Domestic**: Information on global manganese ore shipments, arrivals, port manganese ore inventories, iron ore shipments and arrivals, SMM electrolytic copper social inventory, etc. were reported [18].
《金融》日报-20250522
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 01:53
Report on Stock Index Futures Spread Core Information - **Date**: May 22, 2025 - **Analysis of Spread Data**: The report provides detailed data on the current and inter - period spreads of various stock index futures (IF, IH, IC, IM), including the latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical quantiles [1]. Key Points - **IF Spreads**: The IF current - period spread was - 35.18, down 2.41 from the previous day. Inter - period spreads such as "next month - current month" were - 40.60, down 0.80 [1]. - **IH Spreads**: The IH current - period spread was - 15.83, up 1.40. The "next month - current month" inter - period spread was - 30.20, down 1.80 [1]. - **IC Spreads**: The IC current - period spread was - 102.32, down 5.76. The "next month - current month" inter - period spread was - 76.20, up 1.20 [1]. - **IM Spreads**: The IM current - period spread was - 131.58, down 4.96. The "next month - current month" inter - period spread was - 91.20, up 2.20 [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios like CSI 500/CSI 300 were 1.4702, down 0.0042, with a 1 - year quantile of 45.90% [1]. Report on Treasury Bond Futures Spread Core Information - **Date**: May 22, 2025 - **Analysis of Spread Data**: The report presents data on the basis, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of treasury bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL), including the latest values, changes from the previous day, and historical quantiles [4]. Key Points - **Basis**: TS basis was 1.8110, down 0.0743; TF basis was 1.8222; T basis was 1.7962; TL basis was 1.7414 [4]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: For example, the "current quarter - next quarter" spread of TS was - 0.1180, down 0.0080 [4]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: TS - TF was - 3.6300, down 0.0330; TS - T was - 6.4550, up 0.0270 [4]. Report on Precious Metals Spot - Futures Core Information - **Date**: May 22, 2025 - **Analysis of Market Data**: The report covers domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, basis, price ratios, interest rates, exchange rates, inventory, and positions of precious metals (gold and silver) [6]. Key Points - **Futures Prices**: Domestic AU2508 contract closed at 778.78 yuan/g, up 3.23%; AG2508 contract closed at 8272 yuan/kg, up 2.45%. COMEX gold closed at 3316.60 dollars/ounce, up 0.73%; COMEX silver closed at 33.58 dollars/ounce, up 0.95% [6]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was 3314.36 dollars/ounce, up 0.76%; London silver was 33.38 dollars/ounce, up 0.95% [6]. - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract was - 5.16, down 2.97; silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract was - 35, down 18 [6]. - **Price Ratios**: COMEX gold/silver was 98.78, down 0.22%; Shanghai Futures Exchange gold/silver was 94.15, up 0.76% [6]. - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.58%, up 2.2%; 2 - year US Treasury yield was 4.00%, up 0.8%; US dollar index was 99.60, down 0.42% [6]. - **Inventory and Positions**: Shanghai Futures Exchange gold inventory was 17247 g, up 0.05%; silver inventory was 940799 kg, up 1.25% [6]. Report on Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Core Information - **Date**: May 22, 2025 - **Analysis of Market Data**: The report includes spot quotes, container shipping indices, futures prices, basis, and fundamental data of the container shipping industry [8]. Key Points - **Spot Quotes**: MAERSK's Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight was 2524 dollars/FEU, up 21.17%; CMA CGM's was 3402 dollars/FEU, up 15.09% [8]. - **Container Shipping Indices**: SCFIS (European route) was 1265.30, down 2.86%; SCFIS (US West route) was 1446.36, down 0.61% [8]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2602 was 1416.8, down 0.99%; the basis of the main contract EC2508 was - 411.9, up 11.4 [8]. - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply was 3231.11 million TEU, up 0.05%; Shanghai port's arrival punctuality rate was 29.02, down 13.19% [8]. Report on Trading Calendar Core Information - **Date**: May 22, 2025 - **Data Schedules**: The report lists overseas and domestic economic data and financial events schedules for different industries [9]. Key Points - **Overseas Data**: Eurozone's May manufacturing PMI preliminary value will be released at 16:00; US May S&P Global manufacturing and service PMI preliminary values will be released at 21:45 [9]. - **Domestic Data**: Steel Union's weekly production, inventory, and apparent demand data will be released in the afternoon; steel mill's start - up rate, capacity utilization, and hot metal production will be released in the evening [9].
《金融》日报-20250521
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-21 03:30
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given reports Group 2: Core Views - The reports present daily data on various futures, including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, shipping industry futures, and trading calendars, along with information on price differences, prices, rates, inventories, and data schedules [1][2][6][9][11] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Price Differences**: IF, IH, IC, and IM show different current - price and inter - period price differences and their historical percentile positions. For example, the IF current - price difference is - 32.77, with a 1 - year historical percentile of 12.70% and an all - time historical percentile of 10.10% [1] - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: There are various cross - variety ratios, such as CSI 500/Shanghai Composite 50, CSI 500/CSI 300, etc., with their respective values and historical percentile positions [1] Treasury Bond Futures - **Basis**: TS, TF, T, and TL basis values and their changes compared to the previous day, along with their historical percentile positions since the contract's listing. For example, the TS basis on May 20, 2025, is 1.8116, with a change of - 0.0751 and a historical percentile of 37.40% [2] - **Inter - Period Price Differences**: Each type of treasury bond futures has different inter - period price differences and their historical percentile positions [2] - **Cross - Variety Price Differences**: There are cross - variety price differences such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., and their historical percentile positions [2] Precious Metal Futures - **Prices**: Domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, and their changes and percentage changes. For example, the AU2508 contract closed at 754.38 yuan/g on May 20, 2025, down 1.48 yuan or - 0.20% from the previous day [6] - **Basis**: The basis values between different precious metal products and their historical percentile positions [6] - **Ratios**: The ratios between gold and silver in different markets and their changes [6] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: Information on 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yields, the US dollar index, and the offshore RMB exchange rate and their changes [6] - **Inventory and Position**: The inventory and position data of precious metals in different exchanges and their changes [6] Shipping Industry Futures - **Shipping Rates**: Shanghai - Europe shipping rates for different shipping companies and their changes, as well as various shipping indices and their changes [9] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different contracts and the basis of the main contract and their changes [9] - **Fundamentals**: Data on container shipping capacity supply, foreign trade - related indicators, and overseas economic indicators and their changes [9] Trading Calendar - **Overseas Data/Information**: Economic indicators and financial events in the energy and chemical sector in the US, such as API and EIA crude oil inventories [11] - **Domestic Data/Information**: Economic indicators and financial events in different domestic sectors, including black and non - ferrous metals, energy and chemicals, and special commodities [11]
《金融》日报-20250515
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-15 06:37
3/1 | | 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | 2025年5月15日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -35.81 | ਰੇ 45 | 10.20% | 8.60% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -16.18 | 3.67 | 15.90% | 11.90% | | | IC期现价差 | -101.32 | 25.75 | 6.50% | 3.20% | | | IM期现价差 | -117.37 | 37.04 | 90.00% | 6.00% | | | 次月-当月 | -35.60 | 5.40 | 2.00% | 9.10% | | | 季月-当月 | -101.60 | 7.20 | 0.80% | 6.80% | | | 远月-当月 | -139.60 | 7.40 | 0.80% | 9.30% ...
《金融》日报-20250513
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-05-13 08:19
| 股指期货价差日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | 2025年5月13日 | | | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | 价差 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | F期现价差 | -37.61 | -0.05 | 8.60% | 7.80% | | 期现价差 | H期现价差 | -16.02 | 1.79 | 15.50% | 12.00% | | | IC期现价差 | -105.67 | 11.25 | 5.70% | 2.90% | | | IM期现价差 | -130.46 | 6.42 | 85.00% | 5.40% | | | 次月-当月 | -32.00 | -0.40 | 3.20% | 10.70% | | | 季月-当月 | -98.40 | -1.80 | 0.40% | 7.20% | | | 远月-当月 | -135.40 | -2.00 | 0.40% | 10.00% | ...