Earnings analysis
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Will BlackRock Stock Rise On Upcoming Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-07 11:55
Group 1 - BlackRock is expected to announce earnings on October 14, 2025, with projected revenues of $6.22 billion, reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase, and earnings per share anticipated at $11.80 [2] - The revenue growth is attributed to elevated market levels compared to the previous year and an increase in organic base fee revenue, along with expected growth in technology services and subscriptions [2] - BlackRock's current market capitalization is $179 billion, with total revenue over the past twelve months at $22 billion, operating profits of $7.7 billion, and net income of $6.4 billion [2] Group 2 - Historical data shows that BlackRock has had 16 earnings data points over the last five years, resulting in 8 positive and 8 negative one-day returns, indicating a 50% chance of positive returns [5] - The median of the positive one-day returns is 2.6%, while the median of the negative returns is -1.9% [5] - A strategy to analyze correlations between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be effective, particularly if the 1D and 5D returns exhibit strong correlation [6]
PepsiCo: Buy PEP Stock Ahead Of Its Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-07 11:21
Core Insights - PepsiCo is expected to announce its earnings on October 9, 2025, with historical stock trends indicating a strong likelihood of positive returns following earnings announcements [2][3] - Consensus forecasts predict earnings of $2.26 per share on revenue of $23.84 billion, compared to $2.31 per share on sales of $23.32 billion from the previous year [4] - PepsiCo's current market capitalization stands at $195 billion, with reported revenue of $92 billion over the past twelve months, resulting in an operating profit of $12 billion and net income of $7.6 billion [4] Historical Performance - Over the past five years, PepsiCo's stock has appreciated on the day after earnings results in 78% of cases, with a median increase of 1.5% and a peak rise of 3.6% [3][7] - In the last three years, the percentage of positive one-day returns has slightly decreased to 75%, with a median of 1.5% for positive returns and -1.1% for negative returns [7] Post-Earnings Returns - The correlation between one-day (1D) and five-day (5D) returns post-earnings can provide insights for traders, with strategies to position themselves based on historical performance [8] - Historical data indicates that the performance of peers may influence post-earnings stock reactions, with pricing potentially starting before earnings announcements [9]
Is Tesla Stock A Buy Before Its Q3 Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-06 09:10
Group 1 - Tesla is expected to report earnings of approximately $0.52 per share, a decline from $0.72 in the same period last year, while revenues are projected to slightly increase to $25.41 billion [2] - The company reported Q3 delivery figures showing a 7% year-over-year increase in total shipments to 462,890 vehicles, driven by a surge in EV purchases in the U.S. before the federal tax credit expired [2] - Tesla faces challenges in Europe due to opposition to CEO Elon Musk's political views and increasing competition from BMW, Volkswagen, and BYD [2] Group 2 - Tesla's current market capitalization stands at $1.4 trillion, with revenue over the past twelve months amounting to $93 billion, and it reported $5.8 billion in operating profits and a net income of $6.1 billion [3] - Historical trends indicate that there is a 63% chance of positive one-day post-earnings returns based on 19 earnings data points over the last five years, though this percentage drops to 55% when considering the last three years [5] - The median of the 12 positive one-day returns is 4.2%, while the median of the 7 negative returns is -6.1% [5]
Constellation Brands: Sell STZ Stock Ahead Of Its Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-10-03 10:40
Core Insights - Constellation Brands Inc. is expected to announce earnings on October 6, 2025, with a historical trend of negative one-day returns following earnings reports, where 60% of the past five years resulted in negative returns averaging -3.3% [3][4][10] - The consensus estimate for the upcoming report anticipates earnings of $3.42 per share and $2.48 billion in sales, a decline from the previous year's earnings of $4.32 per share and $2.92 billion in sales [4] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $24 billion, with $10 billion in revenue over the past twelve months and operational profits of $3.2 billion, but a net income loss of $442 million [5] Historical Performance - In the last five years, Constellation Brands recorded 20 earnings data points, with 8 positive and 12 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 40% of the time [10] - The median of the positive returns was 1.8%, while the median of the negative returns was -3.3% [10] Trading Strategies - Traders can utilize historical trends to establish positions before and after earnings releases, focusing on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns [7][9] - A strategy could involve taking a long position for the next five days if the one-day post-earnings return is favorable, based on the correlation data [7]
AeroVironement: Sell AVAV Stock Ahead of Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-09-05 10:45
Core Insights - AeroVironment is scheduled to announce its earnings on September 9, 2025, with historical patterns suggesting potential trading strategies based on past performance [2] - The company has experienced a negative one-day return in 55% of instances following earnings announcements over the past five years, with a median negative return of -6.6% [3][6] - Analysts forecast earnings of $0.34 per share on revenues of $437 million for the upcoming quarter, a significant decline from $0.89 per share and $189 million in revenues from the same quarter last year [3] Financial Performance - AeroVironment currently has a market capitalization of $11.6 billion and generated $821 million in revenue over the past twelve months, with an operating profit of $59 million and a net income of $44 million [4] - The company recorded 20 earnings data points in the last five years, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 45% of the time [6] Trading Strategies - A strategy based on the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns post-earnings can be employed, particularly if a strong correlation exists between 1D and 5D returns [7] - Historical data indicates that the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns can guide trading decisions [7][8]
Compared to Estimates, HealthEquity (HQY) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-09-02 22:30
Core Insights - HealthEquity reported revenue of $325.84 million for the quarter ended July 2025, marking an 8.6% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $318.81 million by 2.2% [1] - The company achieved an EPS of $1.08, up from $0.86 a year ago, representing a surprise of 17.39% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.92 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total HSA Assets reached $33.14 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $32.48 billion [4] - Total HSA investments amounted to $16.1 billion, exceeding the estimated $14.78 billion [4] - CDBs Accounts totaled 7.15 million, compared to the average estimate of 6.88 million [4] - Total Accounts stood at 17.14 million, above the average estimate of 16.97 million [4] - Total HSA cash was reported at $17.04 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $17.7 billion [4] - HSAs Accounts were 9.99 million, compared to the estimated 10.1 million [4] - Revenue from Services was $117.87 million, slightly above the estimated $116.04 million, reflecting a 1% year-over-year change [4] - Revenue from Custodial services reached $159.88 million, exceeding the average estimate of $155.15 million, with a year-over-year increase of 15.3% [4] - Revenue from Interchange was $48.09 million, surpassing the estimated $46.74 million, representing an 8% year-over-year change [4] Stock Performance - HealthEquity's shares have returned -2% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite increased by 3.8% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Buy OKTA Stock Ahead Of Its Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-08-22 13:25
Company Overview - Okta is an identity and access management firm with a market capitalization of $16 billion and reported revenue of $2.7 billion over the past twelve months [2] - The company achieved operational profitability with $23 million in operating profits and a net income of $130 million [2] Earnings Release Insights - Okta is scheduled to announce its earnings on August 26, 2025, and the results will be crucial in determining market expectations and consensus [2] - Historical trends can provide traders with insights into potential outcomes surrounding the earnings release [3] Historical Performance Analysis - Over the past five years, Okta has recorded 20 earnings data points, resulting in 10 positive and 10 negative one-day (1D) returns, indicating a 50% chance of positive returns [5] - The median of the 10 positive returns is 12%, while the median of the 10 negative returns is -8.9% [5] Correlation of Returns - Analyzing the correlation between 1D, 5D, and 21D returns can help traders position themselves effectively based on historical performance [4][6] - A strategy that focuses on the strongest correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be beneficial, particularly if 1D and 5D returns show a high correlation [4]
Previous Earnings Reports Hurt Home Depot Stock—Will This One?
Forbes· 2025-08-18 10:25
Group 1 - Home Depot is expected to announce its fiscal second-quarter earnings on August 19, 2025, with analysts predicting earnings of $4.70 per share and revenue of $45.37 billion, reflecting a 2% increase in earnings and a 5% rise in sales year-over-year [3] - The company has a current market capitalization of $400 billion, with revenue over the past twelve months at $163 billion, operating profits of $22 billion, and net income of $15 billion [3] - Historical data indicates that Home Depot stock has dropped 55% of the time after earnings announcements, with a median one-day decline of 2.2% and a maximum observed decrease of 9% [3] Group 2 - In the past five years, there have been 20 earnings data points for Home Depot, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in positive returns approximately 45% of the time [5] - The percentage of positive one-day returns increases to 58% when considering data from the last three years [5] - The median of the 9 positive returns is 1.7%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -2.2% [5] Group 3 - The company is focused on maintaining prices despite tariff pressures, leveraging its scale, supplier relationships, and diversified supply chain to absorb costs and potentially capture market share as competitors raise prices [3] - In Q1, Home Depot experienced strong demand for smaller projects and seasonal activities, although high interest rates have deterred consumers from larger renovation projects [3]
Buy or Sell Amcor Stock Ahead of Earnings?
Forbes· 2025-08-13 09:40
Group 1 - Amcor is set to announce its earnings on August 14, 2025, with a current market capitalization of $22 billion [2] - The company generated $13 billion in revenue over the last twelve months, with operating profits of $1.4 billion and net income of $807 million [2] - Historical data shows that Amcor has recorded 20 earnings data points over the past five years, with 9 positive and 11 negative one-day returns, resulting in a positive return rate of approximately 45% [5] Group 2 - The percentage of positive one-day returns decreases to 33% when analyzing data from the last three years [5] - The median of the 9 positive returns is 1.8%, while the median of the 11 negative returns is -2.2% [5] - A strategy to assess the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns can be beneficial for traders, particularly if the correlation is strong [4][6]
Consolidated Water (CWCO) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 00:31
Core Insights - Consolidated Water reported revenue of $33.59 million for the quarter ended June 2025, reflecting a 3.4% increase year-over-year and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $32.69 million by 2.76% [1] - The company's EPS for the quarter was $0.32, up from $0.26 in the same quarter last year, representing a 60% surprise compared to the consensus estimate of $0.20 [1] Revenue Breakdown - Manufacturing revenue was reported at $5.23 million, surpassing the average estimate of $4.23 million by analysts, marking a significant year-over-year increase of 33.2% [4] - Services revenue totaled $11.45 million, slightly above the average estimate of $10.39 million, but showed a year-over-year decline of 4% [4] - Retail revenue reached $8.64 million, which was below the average estimate of $9.4 million, yet indicated a year-over-year growth of 5.6% [4] - Bulk revenue was reported at $8.28 million, slightly below the average estimate of $8.53 million, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2.1% [4] Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of Consolidated Water have returned -2.3%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 2.7% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), suggesting potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]