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国泰海通 · 晨报0630|策略、海外策略
国泰海通证券研究· 2025-06-29 14:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that after breaking through key points, the stock market still has room for growth, with a focus on growth sectors rather than indices [1][2] - The reduction in the risk-free interest rate and the shift in expectations for the RMB from depreciation to stability or slight appreciation are significant drivers for the revaluation of Chinese assets [1][2] - The article highlights the importance of macro policies that prioritize investor returns and capital market reforms, which are crucial for changing investors' conservative attitudes towards risks [1][2] Group 2 - Economic policies and innovation support are expected to improve risk appetite and drive growth performance, with new business opportunities emerging in China [2] - The article notes that the financial sector's recent strong performance is influenced by multiple factors, including the ongoing development of stablecoin concepts and favorable domestic policies [6] - Historical analysis shows that financial stock rallies are often driven by liquidity, fundamentals, or policy events, with the sustainability of these drivers determining future market trends [8]
X @Ansem 🧸💸
Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-06-29 12:46
chinese ppl & jewish ppl are both very good at this from my povAnsem 🧸💸 (@blknoiz06):increasing trend of distrust in government & focus on sovereignty + self sustainability is going to result in a lot of localized high trust groups forming w/ aligned goals, beliefs, and generational monetary incentives ...
X @Ansem 🧸💸
Ansem 🧸💸· 2025-06-29 12:45
Societal Trends - Increasing distrust in government is observed [1] - A growing focus on sovereignty and self-sustainability is noted [1] Group Dynamics - Formation of localized high-trust groups with aligned goals is anticipated [1] - These groups will share beliefs and generational monetary incentives [1]
G7税收新规允许“美国例外”:全球最低企业税遇挫,数字税何去何从?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-29 11:18
Core Points - The G7 agreement allows U.S. multinational companies to avoid additional overseas tax payments, indicating a shift in international tax policy [1][2] - The agreement will fundamentally alter the global minimum corporate tax reform established in 2021, raising concerns among economists about prioritizing corporate interests over smaller businesses and citizens [1][5] Group 1: G7 Agreement Details - The G7 reached an agreement on a "parallel" tax solution that exempts U.S. multinationals from certain tax rules in exchange for the removal of a controversial provision in the U.S. "Inflation Reduction Act" [1][4] - The removal of the "retributive tax" (Section 899) is crucial for achieving consensus and providing a stable environment for discussions within the OECD framework [4][6] Group 2: Implications for Global Tax Policy - The OECD's tax chief emphasized that the G7 cannot make binding decisions, and any proposals must be approved by all 147 OECD members [2] - The agreement simplifies compliance requirements for the second pillar of the OECD/G20 inclusive framework, which mandates a global minimum corporate tax rate of at least 15% for companies with revenues exceeding €750 million [3][4] Group 3: Digital Taxation Concerns - The G7 statement suggests that the implementation of the parallel system will promote stability in the international tax system and constructive dialogue regarding digital taxation [5][6] - Digital services taxes (DST) have been a point of contention, particularly with European countries targeting U.S. tech companies, with rates varying from 2% to 5% [5][6]
X @wale.moca 🐳
wale.moca 🐳· 2025-06-28 19:44
My guilty pleasure is checking the charts of airdrops I sold months ago and seeing how much money I saved by selling them ...
Velshi Banned Book Club: “World War Z” by Max Brooks
MSNBC· 2025-06-28 19:09
Max Brooks’ seminal zombie thriller, “World War Z”, is set in an alternate 21st century world after a zombie apocalypse -- a pandemic that began in a small Chinese village -- infected and subsequently killed millions. Told through a series of interviews, all conducted by a fictional version of Brooks, there is very intentionally no hero. Each interview subject is a survivor of the apocalypse, each with a different role to play. While “World War Z” grapples with human shortsightedness, the power of fear, the ...
X @The Block
The Block· 2025-06-28 13:43
Vitalik Buterin warns Sam Altman's World digital IDs risk killing pseudonymity online https://t.co/S9RPg6dyfJ ...
国信海外:港股市场医药消费回撤,石油机械逆势吸金
智通财经网· 2025-06-28 02:48
股价表现:医药与消费带动市场总体回撤 本周,恒生指数跌1.5%,恒生科技跌2.0%。风格方面,大盘(恒生大型股-1.4%)>小盘(恒生小型 股-2.0%)>中盘(恒生中型股-3.3%)。 概念指数多数下跌,跌幅较小的有:恒生金融(-0.3%);跌幅较大的有:恒生创新药(-8.8%)、恒生消费 (-4.3%)。 港股通行业中,2个行业上涨,28个行业下跌。上涨的有:电子(+3.0%)、银行(+0.9%);下跌的主要有: 医药(-7.5%)、国防军工(-5.7%)、基础化工(-5.4%)、轻工制造(-5.2%)、消费者服务(-5.2%)。 结构上,19个行业EPS预期上修,8个行业EPS预期下修,2个基本持平。上修的行业主要有:钢铁 (+2.1%)、农林牧渔(+1.9%)、房地产(+0.8%)、汽车(+0.5%)、计算机(+0.5%);下修的行业主要有:交通运 输(-1.1%)、机械(-0.4%)、煤炭(-0.2%)、电力及公用事业(-0.1%)、基础化工(-0.1%)。 风险提示:经济基本面的不确定性,国际政治局势的不确定性,美国财政政策的不确定性,美联储货币 政策的不确定性。 本文编选自微信公众号"学恒的海外 ...
X @Messari
Messari· 2025-06-27 17:28
Caldera is quietly becoming the modular OS for Ethereum rollups.@Calderaxyz now powers 52 chains with $412M+ in TVL.Its Rollup Engine + Metalayer transform appchains into programmable, interoperable infrastructure — right out of the box.Full deep dive by @Degenerate_DeFi 👇 https://t.co/JN2dOMr3Mk ...
“报复税”吓坏外国投资者,美财政部力促删掉
第一财经· 2025-06-27 16:03
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent agreement between the U.S. Treasury and the G7, which exempts U.S. companies from certain foreign taxes in exchange for the withdrawal of the proposed Section 899, also known as the "retaliatory tax" [1][3]. Group 1: Agreement Details - The U.S. Treasury estimates that the agreement will prevent U.S. companies from paying over $100 billion in taxes to foreign governments over the next decade [3]. - The G7 will work to implement the agreement in the coming weeks to months, ensuring that the OECD's second pillar tax does not apply to U.S. companies [3][4]. - The OECD's international tax reform framework includes two pillars, with the second pillar aiming to impose a global minimum tax rate of around 15% to curb tax avoidance [3][4]. Group 2: Political Context - The Section 899 proposal was drafted by Republican members of the House and supported by the White House, aimed at countering discriminatory taxes imposed by several countries on U.S. companies [3][4]. - The agreement reflects a significant difference in economic models between Anglo-American countries and continental European nations, with the former favoring lower tax rates [4]. Group 3: Market Reactions - The "retaliatory tax" raised concerns on Wall Street, as it could complicate foreign investment in the U.S. and negatively impact U.S. assets [6][7]. - International investors have increasingly concentrated their investments in U.S. assets, driven by a tech boom and a strong dollar, which has raised concerns about potential market corrections [8].