Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the food and beverage industry [5] Core Insights - The food and beverage sector in A-shares has underperformed compared to major indices, with a decline of 0.27% over the past two weeks, lagging behind the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.62 percentage points [2][13] - The approval of D-Tagatose by the National Health Commission presents a new opportunity in the sugar substitute market, as it is a natural sweetener with lower calories compared to sucrose [4][62] - The dairy industry is showing signs of stabilization, with efforts to alleviate challenges and improve quality [4][62] Summary by Sections Market Review - The A-share food and beverage industry fell by 0.27% from June 23 to July 4, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 3.62 percentage points and the Shenzhen Component Index by 5.30 percentage points [2][13] - Within the sector, baking products (+3.67%), health products (+3.50%), and meat products (+1.54%) saw the highest gains, while soft drinks (-2.21%), beer (-2.10%), and snacks (-1.84%) experienced the largest declines [2][13] Key Data Tracking - As of July 4, the price of Feitian Moutai was 1,955 RMB for original boxes and 1,865 RMB for bulk, showing a decrease of 35 RMB and 65 RMB respectively from two weeks prior [3][29] - The average price of fresh milk in major production areas was 3.04 RMB/kg, down 7.0% year-on-year [40][43] Key Events Tracking - The approval of D-Tagatose as a new food ingredient opens up opportunities in the sugar substitute market, with its sweetness being about 70% that of sucrose but with only 10% of the calories [4][62] - The Ministry of Agriculture emphasized the need to support the dairy industry, indicating a positive trend towards recovery [4][62] Investment Recommendations - In the white liquor segment, it is advised to focus on high-end brands with strong market positions such as Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye, as well as regional leaders with favorable competitive dynamics [9][64] - For consumer goods, there is a growing interest in yellow wine, and beer consumption is entering its peak season, with high demand in snack foods and energy drinks [9][64]

Core Viewpoint - The approval of D-allulose as a new sugar substitute in China marks a significant development in the low-calorie sweetener market, indicating growth potential for the industry and related companies [2][3]. Industry Overview - The sugar substitute market in China reached a scale of 1.8 billion yuan in 2023, with projections to exceed 3.3 billion yuan by 2028 [3]. - The increasing consumer demand for healthier diets and reduced sugar intake is driving the growth of the sugar substitute market, with 44% of respondents indicating a greater focus on sugar and fat control [3]. - The global market for allulose is projected to grow from $237 million in 2023 to $423 million by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 7.7% [4]. Company Developments - Several companies have already positioned themselves in the allulose market, with production capacities primarily aimed at overseas sales prior to the recent approval for domestic use [6]. - Baolong Chuangyuan has a 15,000-ton crystalline sugar project set to commence production in May 2024 [6]. - Bailingbao plans to start a 20,000-ton allulose expansion project by March 2025, with an expected annual capacity of approximately 30,000 tons by 2026 [6]. - Sanyuan Biological has a 10,000-ton allulose production line that is operating well, with plans for a second line [6]. - Huakang Co. is collaborating with Jiangnan University to develop efficient green production methods for allulose, with a planned capacity of 40,000 tons per year [6]. Stock Performance - As of July 2, 2023, sugar substitute concept stocks have seen significant gains, with an average increase of over 24% this year, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [7]. - Notable performers include Baolong Chuangyuan and Bailingbao, both of which have seen stock prices surge [7]. - Five sugar substitute concept stocks reported net profits exceeding 100 million yuan in Q1 2023, including Meihua Biological and Xinghuo Technology [7]. - Seven sugar substitute concept stocks have rolling price-to-earnings ratios below 30, indicating potential investment opportunities [7].

Group 1: Industry Overview - The sugar substitute industry is experiencing positive developments, with the sugar substitute concept stocks showing strong performance, particularly in the A-share market, where the market capitalization of Baolingbao approaches 5 billion yuan [1] - The market size of sugar substitutes in China reached 1.8 billion yuan in 2023, with projections to exceed 3.3 billion yuan by 2028, driven by increasing consumer demand for healthier diets and reduced sugar intake [4] Group 2: Company Developments - Baolingbao, a key player in the sugar substitute market, reported a net profit of 50 million yuan in Q1, representing a year-on-year increase of 117.35% [1] - The company is expanding its production capacity for D-alulose, with plans to start a 20,000-ton annual production project by March 2025, aiming for a total capacity of approximately 30,000 tons by 2026 [2] - Other companies like Bailing Chuangyuan and Sanyuan Biological are also increasing their production capacities for D-alulose, with Bailing Chuangyuan's project set to commence in May 2024 [2][3] Group 3: Market Trends - D-alulose, a rare sugar with 70% of the sweetness of sucrose but only 0.3% of its calories, is gaining traction in the market due to its high sweetness, low calories, and safety [5] - The global market for D-alulose was valued at approximately 237 million USD in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.7%, expected to reach 423 million USD by 2030 [5] Group 4: Stock Performance - Sugar substitute concept stocks have shown strong performance this year, with an average increase of 20.51%, significantly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [6] - Several sugar substitute stocks, including Baolingbao and Bailing Chuangyuan, have seen cumulative increases exceeding 40% [6] - As of July 2, 2023, six sugar substitute concept stocks reported net profits exceeding 100 million yuan in Q1, indicating robust financial performance [6]

Group 1 - The announcement by the National Health Commission regarding the approval of D-Allulose and 20 other "new food" safety assessment materials has led to a surge in the sugar substitute sector, with companies like Baolingbao and Bailong Chuangyuan hitting the daily limit increase [1][2] - D-Allulose is a natural low-calorie sweetener with a sweetness level about 70% that of sucrose, but with only one-tenth the calories, making it a promising alternative to sugar due to its various health benefits [2][3] - The global market for D-Allulose is projected to reach approximately $200 million in 2024 and $500 million by 2030, indicating significant growth potential [2] Group 2 - The approval of D-Allulose in China is expected to reshape the supply chain dynamics, as the market has previously relied heavily on exports, with D-Allulose only being approved in 13 countries including the US and Japan [3][4] - Companies involved in the sugar substitute sector are actively expanding their production capacities, with Baolingbao planning to increase its annual production capacity to over 20,000 tons by 2025, and Jinhe Industrial already having a capacity of 10,000 tons [4][5] - The production of D-Allulose is complex and costly, but companies like Jinhe Industrial are utilizing advanced enzyme technology to reduce production costs and enhance efficiency [4][5]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced collective fluctuations on July 2, with the ChiNext index leading the decline [1] - The marine economy concept stocks surged, with nearly 20 stocks including ShenKai Co., Ltd. and Giant Rope achieving the daily limit [1] - The photovoltaic concept stocks rebounded, with stocks like Yamaton hitting the daily limit [1] - The sugar substitute concept stocks were active, with Baolingbao and Bailong Chuangyuan also reaching the daily limit [1] - The multi-financial sector declined, with Aijian Group hitting the daily limit down [1] - Semiconductor concept stocks collectively adjusted, with stocks like Taiji Co., Ltd. dropping over 5% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 849.7 billion, a decrease of 110.9 billion from the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included aquaculture, photovoltaic equipment, tourism and hotels, combustible ice, marine engineering equipment, and prepared dishes [2] - The sectors with the largest declines included components, semiconductors, multi-financial, storage chips, Huawei HiSilicon, and CPO [2] Institutional Insights - Guotai Junan Securities highlighted that solid-state batteries possess high energy density and safety, meeting the needs of various fields, with the industry moving towards rapid commercialization [3] - Zhongtai Securities noted that the beverage sector maintained leading growth in the fast-moving consumer goods category, showing resilience in demand despite price pressures [3] - CITIC Securities suggested that embracing innovation and internationalization, along with reforms in marketing models, will be key strategies for the second half of the year, particularly in the innovative drug sector [3] Regulatory Developments - The National Internet Information Office launched a campaign to address online misinformation affecting enterprises, emphasizing the need for stricter management of enterprise-related information [4] - The Longhua District government in Shenzhen issued a three-year action plan to promote local companies listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, enhancing cross-border financial services [5]

Market Overview - The market experienced a turbulent adjustment in the morning session, with the ChiNext Index leading the decline, down 0.84% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 849.7 billion, a decrease of 110.9 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Ocean economy concept stocks surged collectively, with over 10 stocks, including Jili Rigging, hitting the daily limit [1] - Solar energy concept stocks showed a rebound, with stocks like Yamaton also reaching the daily limit [1] - Sugar substitute concept stocks were active, with Baolingbao hitting the daily limit [1] - In contrast, semiconductor concept stocks faced a collective adjustment, with multiple stocks, including Taiji Co., dropping over 5% [1] Index Performance - By the end of the session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.42%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.84% [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - A-shares experienced a collective decline in the morning session, with the ChiNext index dropping by 0.84%, while marine economy concept stocks surged collectively [1] Market Performance - The three major A-share indices all fell in the morning, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.04%, the Shenzhen Component Index down by 0.42%, and the ChiNext Index down by 0.84% [1] - The North Stock 50 index decreased by 0.94% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was approximately 849.716 billion yuan, a decrease of about 110.904 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Out of the total market, 1,939 stocks rose while 3,248 stocks fell, with 48 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 5 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - Marine economy concept stocks saw significant gains, with over 10 stocks, including Jili Rigging, hitting the daily limit up [1] - Photovoltaic concept stocks experienced a rebound, with stocks like Yamaton hitting the daily limit up [1] - Sugar substitute concept stocks were active, with Baolingbao hitting the daily limit up [1] - Chip concept stocks collectively adjusted, with multiple stocks, including Taiji Co., falling over 5% [1] - The sectors with the highest gains included marine economy, sugar substitutes, photovoltaic, and non-ferrous metals, while the sectors with the largest declines included chips, Huawei HiSilicon, CPO, and brain-computer interfaces [1]

截至5月29日收盘，代糖概念下跌0.37%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，百龙创园、保龄宝、佳 禾食品等跌幅居前，股价上涨的有15只，涨幅居前的有圣泉集团、鲁信创投、华资实业等，分别上涨 2.63%、2.04%、1.49%。 今日涨跌幅居前的概念板块 代糖概念资金流出榜 | 代码 | 简称 | 今日涨跌幅（%） | 今日换手率（%） | 主力资金流量（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 605016 | 百龙创园 | -8.57 | 4.47 | -1894.27 | | 000930 | 中粮科技 | 0.36 | 0.46 | -896.84 | | 002286 | 保龄宝 | -6.46 | 16.75 | -643.15 | | 605300 | 佳禾食品 | -2.95 | 2.61 | -620.32 | | 002166 | 莱茵生物 | 0.63 | 5.78 | -552.58 | | 603739 | 蔚蓝生物 | -0.93 | 3.61 | -384.82 | | 002597 | 金禾实业 | 0.04 | 1.18 | -288.57 ...

Market Performance - On Tuesday, A-shares experienced a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.18% to 3340.69 points, the Shenzhen Composite Index down by 0.29%, the ChiNext Index down by 0.35%, and the STAR 50 Index down by 0.95%. In contrast, the Northern Stock Exchange 50 Index rose by 0.08% [1] Monetary Policy - The central bank has been actively injecting liquidity into the market, conducting a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 382 billion yuan on Monday, resulting in a net injection of 247 billion yuan after 135 billion yuan of reverse repos matured. On Tuesday, another operation of 448 billion yuan was conducted, leading to a net injection of 91 billion yuan after 357 billion yuan matured [2] Economic Indicators - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a 1.4% increase in profits for industrial enterprises above designated size from January to April, which is an improvement of 0.6 percentage points compared to the 0.8% growth from January to March. Specifically, profits in April rose by 3.0% year-on-year, surpassing the 2.6% increase in March. However, the profit data may be distorted due to significant export and import activities during the period of heightened US-China tariff discussions, leading to a muted market reaction [3] Market Outlook - Despite the generally favorable news, the impact on the market is expected to be limited. The market is likely to maintain a balanced and fluctuating pattern, with investors advised to hold their positions and observe [4]

Group 1 - The WiFi 6 concept sector experienced a decline of 1.35%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors as of May 27 [1][2] - Major companies within the WiFi 6 sector, such as Broadcom Integrated, Cambridge Technology, and Tai Ling Microelectronics, saw significant declines in their stock prices [1][2] - Despite the overall decline, a few companies like Canqin Technology, Pingzhi Information, and Jiulian Technology recorded stock price increases of 1.17%, 0.85%, and 0.29% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The WiFi 6 sector faced a net outflow of 490 million yuan in principal funds, with 41 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 19 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 10 million yuan [2] - Broadcom Integrated led the outflow with a net outflow of 63.34 million yuan, followed by Guanghetong, Unisplendour, and StarNet with outflows of 49.21 million yuan, 36.54 million yuan, and 30.23 million yuan respectively [2][3] - Conversely, stocks such as Pingzhi Information, Canqin Technology, and Gongjin Co. saw net inflows of 17.10 million yuan, 13.19 million yuan, and 4.07 million yuan respectively [3][4]