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Cramer slams Amazon for considering a circular AI deal reminiscent of the dotcom bubble
CNBC· 2025-12-17 20:03
Core Viewpoint - Jim Cramer warns Amazon against engaging in speculative AI deals reminiscent of the 1990s dotcom bubble, particularly a potential $10 billion investment in OpenAI for the use of its custom AI chips [1] Group 1: Investment Concerns - Amazon is reportedly in discussions for a $10 billion investment in OpenAI, which raises concerns about the necessity of selling Trainium chips [1] - Cramer expresses disbelief that Amazon would participate in such deals, labeling them as "not real" [1] - The current trend of high AI-related spending by major companies is alarming, as it mirrors the speculative behavior seen before the dotcom crash [1] Group 2: Market Predictions - Cramer predicts that the stock market will not support excessive speculative investments, referencing the historical crash of the tech-heavy Nasdaq after the 2000 peak [1] - He describes the interconnected investment activities in AI as a potential bubble, drawing parallels to the year 2000 [1] Group 3: OpenAI's Activities - OpenAI has been aggressively securing computing power from various firms, including Nvidia and Oracle, amounting to $1.4 trillion in infrastructure commitments recently [1] - Cramer characterizes OpenAI's current deal-making as "2000 in a nutshell," indicating a pattern of leveraged bets that could lead to a bubble [1]
Newman: Data Center Buildout & NVDA Demand Show No Signs of A.I. Bubble
Youtube· 2025-12-17 19:00
It's time to spotlight the tech sector, look back at the past year in tech. Joining us now to help us do that is Daniel Newman, the CEO of Futurum. Daniel, thank you for taking the time to be with us today.You know, since we're talking tech, I guess I have to ask everyone's favorite or least favorite question, depending on how you look at it. Do you think we're in an AI bubble. >> Yeah, that's a great way to start the conversation.Good to speak with you. And what a year it has been. I am probably one of the ...
Amazon Eyes a Big Investment in OpenAI. Is This the Latest Sign of an AI Bubble?
Investopedia· 2025-12-17 16:55
Key Takeaways Amazon is reportedly in talks with OpenAI about investing $10 billion or more in the ChatGPT maker. The deal is also expected to see OpenAI use Amazon AI chips.Earlier this year, OpenAI agreed to buy $38 billion in cloud computing capacity from Amazon Web Services over the next several years. Amazon (AMZN) could be set to unveil an investment of $10 billion or more in ChatGPT maker OpenAI. The companies are in talks for a deal that would see OpenAI buy some of Amazon's custom AI chips, an ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-17 15:42
Are we living in an AI bubble? @BradStone breaks it down and dives into more stories from the January edition of Businessweek — all about what we can expect next year https://t.co/evLbK3meHb https://t.co/LUfUyxYrzx ...
Global Fund Manager Survey-The Crash in Cash
2025-12-17 02:27
Summary of BofA December Global Fund Manager Survey Industry Overview - The survey reflects the sentiment of global fund managers regarding macroeconomic conditions, asset allocation, and investment strategies as of December 2025. Key Points Macro & Economic Outlook - **Macro Optimism**: The macro optimism is at its highest since August 2021, with 57% of respondents predicting a soft landing for the economy, 37% expecting no landing, and only 3% anticipating a hard landing [2][19] - **Profit Expectations**: Net profit expectations rose to 29%, the highest since August 2021, indicating a positive outlook on global profits [26] - **Liquidity Conditions**: Rated as the third best in the past 17 years, with 61% of investors rating liquidity conditions as positive, the highest since September 2021 [41][43] Asset Allocation Trends - **Cash Levels**: Cash levels dropped to a record low of 3.3%, down from 3.7%, indicating a strong shift towards risk assets [1][103] - **Equity and Commodity Allocation**: Allocation to equities rose to a net 42% overweight (OW), the highest since December 2024, while commodities reached a net 18% OW, the highest since September 2022 [16][55] - **Sector Rotation**: Significant rotation into US stocks, technology, and materials, while reducing exposure to bonds, healthcare, and staples [4][60] Investment Risks and Concerns - **AI Bubble**: Identified as the biggest tail risk by 38% of investors, with concerns about overinvestment in AI-related capital expenditures [31][29] - **Credit Event Sources**: 40% of investors believe private equity/private credit is the most likely source of a credit event, followed by AI hyperscaler capex at 29% [34][36] Crowded Trades - **Most Crowded Trades**: "Long Magnificent 7" remains the most crowded trade at 54%, followed by "Long Gold" at 29% [37][39] Future Expectations - **Bond Yield Expectations**: 38% of investors expect long-term interest rates to rise, the highest since April 2022 [45] - **Yield Curve Steepening**: 75% of investors anticipate a steepening yield curve in the next 12 months [48] Regional and Sector Allocations - **US Equities**: Net 6% overweight in US equities, the highest since February 2025 [145] - **Underweight Sectors**: Significant underweight positions in energy (26% UW) and consumer staples (20% UW) [56][172] Conclusion - The December survey indicates a strong bullish sentiment among fund managers, with significant shifts towards equities and commodities, while concerns about potential risks, particularly related to AI and credit events, remain prevalent. The overall outlook suggests a cautious optimism as investors navigate the current economic landscape.
AI funding fears are overstated, says Goldman Sachs' Sung Cho
Youtube· 2025-12-16 21:57
Corweave shares down more than 20% this week alone and yet another example of AI anxiety gripping this market. The Wall Street Journal focusing on that company today. There's the tear.Coreweave staggering fall from market grace highlights AI bubble fears. So for more on where the AI trade is heading, let's welcome in Sun Cho. He is co-head of public tech investing for Goldman Sachs.Good to see you. Welcome back. >> Good to see you as Um, so I feel like this this market is is focused on debt, depreciation, a ...
George Osborne hired by ChatGPT-maker OpenAI
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-16 20:23
OpenAI has hired George Osborne, the former chancellor, to help grow American-led artificial intelligence infrastructure worldwide - Jack Taylor/Getty Images for SXSW London The developer of ChatGPT has hired George Osborne to help expand its business internationally. The former Conservative Chancellor confirmed he would take on a role leading OpenAI’s push to establish American-led AI infrastructure worldwide, in a challenge to China. Confirming his appointment on X, Mr Osborne said: “I recently asked ...
There are 2 kinds of market bubbles, and AI isn't either of them yet, portfolio manager at $35 billion fund says
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-16 18:30
JOHANNES EISELE/AFP via Getty Images Markets are split into two camps as 2025 winds down: AI is a bubble or AI is not a bubble. John Belton of Gabelli Funds notes that the market is prone to two distinct types of bubbles. Despite constant chatter, he doesn't think AI has formed into either type yet. You're either in one camp or the other as 2025 comes to a close: you think AI is a bubble or that AI is not a bubble. But for those wondering where they stand, there's nuance in the debate to be aware ...
Dow Jones today moving toward historic loss: Why is Dow down as jobs data, Fed signals rattle US stock market
The Economic Times· 2025-12-16 18:03
Market Overview - U.S. stocks experienced significant declines, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 368 points, or 0.76%, to 48,048, marking one of its weakest sessions this month [1] - The S&P 500 decreased by 0.65%, and the Nasdaq lost 0.39% [1] Labor Market Data - The November nonfarm payrolls report indicated an addition of 64,000 jobs, surpassing expectations of approximately 45,000 [3] - However, the unemployment rate rose to 4.6%, up from 4.4%, the highest level since July 2021, contrary to economists' expectations of it remaining around 4.5% [4] Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate for the third time this year, citing rising risks in the labor market, but the latest data did not clarify the Fed's stance [5] - Market expectations for a near-term rate cut have diminished, with only a 26% chance of a cut at the January 28 Fed meeting following the jobs report [7] Bond and Currency Markets - The 10-year Treasury yield decreased to 4.15%, down from 4.18% on Monday, reflecting concerns over economic growth [8] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.3% to 98.05, nearing its lowest level since early October [9] Commodity Markets - WTI crude oil prices dropped nearly 2.5% to $55.45 per barrel, briefly falling below $55 for the first time since February 2021 [9] - Gold futures remained near $4,335 an ounce, close to record highs, while Bitcoin rebounded to around $87,500 after earlier dipping below $85,300 [10] Sector Performance - Energy stocks were among the worst performers, with the S&P 500 Energy sector declining over 2%, and companies like APA, Diamondback Energy, Phillips 66, and Halliburton down between 3.5% and 4% [11] - Technology shares remained volatile amid ongoing concerns regarding the AI bubble, with Broadcom and Oracle experiencing significant declines earlier in the week but showing slight intraday recoveries [10] Corporate News - Tesla shares rose approximately 1% after CEO Elon Musk confirmed testing of driverless cars in Austin, Texas, reaching its highest closing level of 2025 [12] - Ford Motor shares remained stable as the company anticipates about $19.5 billion in EV-related charges and plans to focus more on gas and hybrid vehicles [12] - Among active stocks, AMC Robotics surged over 80%, while Nvidia traded modestly higher on heavy volume [13]
CleanSpark (CLSK) Slashes 15% on Bitcoin Fall
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-16 15:27
We recently published 10 Stocks Facing Selling Pressure Ahead of Christmas. CleanSpark, Inc. (NASDAQ:CLSK) is one of the biggest losers on Monday. CleanSpark fell for a second day on Monday, shedding 15.07 percent to close at $11.91 apiece as investor sentiment was dampened by the drop in Bitcoin prices and fresh concerns about the artificial intelligence industry. CleanSpark, Inc. (NASDAQ:CLSK) declined alongside its counterparts, namely Terawulf, Hut 8, and Cipher Mining, after Bitcoin fell below the $ ...