Economic Measures - The Japanese government approved a comprehensive economic measure with a scale of 21.3 trillion yen, which includes tax reductions such as the abolition of the temporary gasoline tax [2][4] - The economic measures are expected to increase Japan's real GDP by approximately 24 trillion yen and raise the annual growth rate by about 1.4% [2][4] Budget Allocation - The general account expenditure for the supplementary budget for the fiscal year 2025 is set at 17.7 trillion yen, which is an increase of 4 trillion yen compared to the fiscal year 2024 [4] - Total fiscal expenditure, including special accounts, amounts to 21.3 trillion yen, with a total project scale encompassing central government, local governments, and private funds reaching 42.8 trillion yen [4] Economic Strategy Pillars - The economic strategy is built on three pillars: (1) ensuring living security and addressing rising prices, (2) achieving a "strong economy" through crisis management investments and growth investments, and (3) strengthening defense and diplomatic capabilities [4]

Things used to be simple in the markets. AI would carry US stocks higher for a couple of years, regardless of what the economy looked like. ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively pursuing technological iterations and application development in its special integrated circuit business to maintain profitability, while acknowledging that its stock price is influenced by macroeconomic factors, market conditions, and investor risk appetite [1] Group 1: Business Development - The company has completed the development of its image AI smart chip, which is now being selected by users [1] - The AI video processor chip is currently in the research and development stage, with progress reported as smooth [1] - Future plans include forming R&D teams, engaging in external collaborations, and investing or acquiring quality targets to advance AI business layout, focusing on edge AI applications [1] Group 2: Commercial Aerospace Expansion - The company is actively expanding in the commercial aerospace sector, with a series of products including FPGA, read-refresh chips, memory, and bus interfaces being gradually introduced [1] - Progress in the commercial aerospace product line is reported to be good [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a significant adjustment, with major indices declining, while the electric grid equipment ETF shows a mixed performance but has seen consistent net inflows, indicating strong investor interest in this sector [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 21, 2025, the three major A-share indices have all declined, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 2.43%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 3.37%, and the ChiNext Index down 3.91% [1]. - The electric grid equipment ETF (159326) has decreased by 4.91%, with a latest price of 1.355 yuan and a trading volume reaching 305 million yuan, resulting in a turnover rate of 16.52% [1]. Group 2: Fund Flows and ETF Performance - The electric grid equipment ETF has seen net inflows for six consecutive trading days, with a maximum single-day net inflow of 148 million yuan, totaling 308 million yuan in net inflows, averaging 51 million yuan per day [1]. - As of November 20, 2025, the latest share count for the electric grid equipment ETF reached 1.33 billion, marking a new high since its listing [1]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The largest U.S. grid operator, PJM, is facing a significant increase in electricity demand from data centers, which is expected to account for nearly all of the 32 gigawatts of new demand anticipated by 2030 [1]. - Citic Securities projects that global investment in electric grids will exceed 400 billion USD, with high growth potential continuing, driven by AI's strong impact on global electricity demand and a significant increase in the demand for electrical equipment [1]. Group 4: ETF Composition - The electric grid equipment ETF is the only ETF tracking the China Securities Electric Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors such as transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, cable components, and distribution equipment [2]. - The ultra-high voltage sector holds a weight of 64% in the ETF, the highest in the market [2].

Core Insights - Intel, in collaboration with partners including H3C, Invec, and Yilian, has launched a dual-plate liquid cooling server based on the Intel Xeon 6900 series performance core processors, which enhances reliability and energy efficiency while significantly reducing energy consumption and operational costs [1][3] Group 1 - The new server system, equipped with the Xeon 6900 series processors, doubles computing power by leveraging more cores, double memory bandwidth, and built-in AI acceleration, making it capable of handling demanding AI workloads in data centers [3] - The dual-plate liquid cooling server utilizes two key patented technologies from Intel: "Memory Beam Cold Plate Technology" and "SSD/HDD Cold Plate Patent Technology" [3] - The Memory Beam Cold Plate Technology features a detachable design for memory heat sinks and cold plates, offering advantages such as ease of maintenance, good compatibility, and standardization, while meeting the cooling requirements of DDR5 memory with a maximum power consumption of 36W at a 0.297-inch pitch [3] - The SSD/HDD Cold Plate Patent Technology optimizes the contact area and flow channels for hard drives, providing up to 25W of cooling capacity per SSD, ensuring stable operation of the server under high-load conditions [3]

Core Viewpoint - Ctrip Group-S (09961) maintains a "Buy" rating with Q3 2025 performance slightly exceeding expectations, net revenue increased by 16% year-on-year to 18.4 billion RMB, and operating profit margin stable at 30% [1] Financial Performance - Q3 performance slightly exceeded expectations with net revenue of 18.4 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 16%, surpassing the bank/market expectations by 2%/1% [1] - Accommodation bookings increased by 14% year-on-year, while transportation ticketing revenue rose by 9%, accounting for 44% and 34% of total revenue respectively, contributing 51% and 27% to revenue growth [1] - Gross profit increased by 15% year-on-year with a gross margin of 82%, remaining stable both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [1] - Operating profit reached 5.6 billion RMB, an 11% year-on-year increase, exceeding bank/market expectations by 4%/5%, with an operating profit margin rising to 30% [1] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 19.2 billion RMB, significantly above market expectations of 5.6 billion RMB, primarily reflecting gains from the disposal of overseas investment in MakeMyTrip [1] Operational Data - Domestic hotel ADR and ticket prices saw a slight decline in Q3, with domestic tourism revenue per capita increasing by 5% and total visits up by 13% year-on-year [2] - Outbound hotel and ticket bookings increased by 20% year-on-year, and 40% compared to Q3 2019, indicating a recovery faster than the industry average [2] - International OTA hotel and ticket bookings maintained over 60% year-on-year growth, with the Asia-Pacific market being the largest [2] - Inbound tourism bookings more than doubled year-on-year [2] - TripGenie has expanded to over 200 countries, with user growth exceeding 200% year-on-year [2] Financial Forecast and Valuation - During the National Day holiday, outbound hotel and ticket bookings increased by 30%, with strong growth in Europe and stable hotel ADR [3] - Q4 total revenue is expected to grow by 16% year-on-year, with accommodation and transportation bookings projected to increase by 15% and 12% respectively [3] - For 2026, total revenue is forecasted to grow by 14%, with adjusted net profit expected to reach 20.8 billion RMB and a profit margin of 29.6% [3] - The bank is optimistic about the company's long-term profit margin exceeding 30%, driven by supply advantages and improved profitability in overseas operations [3] - The valuation benchmark has been adjusted to 2026, with a target price raised to 693 HKD (9961.HK) / 89 USD (TCOM.US) based on a 20x 2026 P/E ratio [3] - The company continues to invest in AI and overseas markets while maintaining good ROI and financial discipline [3]

Core Viewpoint - Ctrip Group-S (09961) maintains a "Buy" rating with Q3 2025 performance slightly exceeding expectations, net revenue increased by 16% year-on-year to 18.4 billion RMB, and operating profit margin stable at 30% [1] Financial Performance - Q3 revenue reached 18.4 billion RMB, a 16% year-on-year increase, slightly above the firm's and market expectations by 2% and 1% respectively [2] - Accommodation bookings grew by 14% year-on-year, while transportation ticketing revenue increased by 9%, accounting for 44% and 34% of total revenue, contributing 51% and 27% to revenue growth [2] - Gross profit rose by 15% year-on-year with a gross margin of 82%, remaining stable both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter [2] - Operating profit was 5.6 billion RMB, an 11% year-on-year increase, exceeding the firm's and market expectations by 4% and 5% respectively, with an operating profit margin of 30% [2] - Adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 19.2 billion RMB, significantly above market expectations of 5.6 billion RMB, mainly reflecting gains from the disposal of overseas investment in MakeMyTrip [2] Operational Data - Domestic hotel ADR and ticket prices saw a slight decline in Q3, with domestic tourism revenue per capita increasing by 5% and total visits up by 13% year-on-year [3] - Outbound hotel and flight bookings increased by 20% year-on-year, and 40% compared to Q3 2019, indicating a faster recovery than the industry average [3] - International OTA hotel and flight bookings maintained over 60% year-on-year growth, with the Asia-Pacific market being the largest [3] - Inbound travel bookings more than doubled year-on-year [3] - TripGenie has expanded to over 200 countries, with user growth exceeding 200% year-on-year [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - During the National Day holiday, outbound travel hotel and flight bookings increased by 30%, with notable growth in Europe and stable hotel ADR [4] - Q4 total revenue is expected to grow by 16% year-on-year, with accommodation and transportation bookings projected to increase by 15% and 12% respectively [4] - For 2026, total revenue is forecasted to grow by 14%, with adjusted net profit expected to reach 20.8 billion RMB and a profit margin of 29.6% [4] - The firm is optimistic about the company's long-term profit margin exceeding 30%, driven by supply advantages and improved profitability in overseas operations [4] - The valuation benchmark has been adjusted to 2026, with a target price raised to 693 HKD (9961.HK) / 89 USD (TCOM.US) based on a 20x 2026 P/E ratio [4] - The company continues to invest in AI and overseas markets while maintaining good ROI and financial discipline [4]

Core Insights - The current electronic industry is experiencing a demand recovery, with supply-side adjustments leading to an unexpected increase in storage chip prices, and an acceleration in the domestic production process [1] - Structural opportunities worth attention include AI computing power, semiconductor equipment, key components, and rising storage prices [1] Industry Overview - Donghai Securities highlights that the semiconductor ETF (512760) tracks the China Semiconductor Index (990001), which focuses on listed semiconductor-related companies [1] - The index includes no more than 40 representative securities, aiming to reflect the overall performance of the semiconductor industry chain, with a focus on upstream sectors and the trend of domestic substitution [1]

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